A risk score to predict 30-day hospital readmission rate in cirrhotic patients with spontaneous bacterial peritonitis

Hepatic encephalopathy and spontaneous bacterial peritonitis are associated with increased liver-related readmissions in cirrhosis

Introduction

Liver disease remains a significant global health concern. In China, the number of patients with liver cirrhosis is estimated to reach 7 million. In addition to the high risk of death, cirrhosis leads to several severe complications. Patients with cirrhosis have significantly longer hospital stays and higher total hospital costs than those without cirrhosis. We aimed to investigate the predictors of readmission among patients with cirrhosis in China.

Materials and methods

We conducted a retrospective study to evaluate adult patients with cirrhosis. Data on various sociodemographic, clinical, and hospitalization characteristics were collected. We defined the primary endpoint as the first liver-related readmission occurring within 30-90 days of initial hospitalization. Adult patients with cirrhosis admitted to our hospital between January 2009 and December 2022 were included. Differences between groups were analyzed using Student's t-test and chi-square test. Logistic and multiple linear regression analyses were performed to identify predictors associated with readmission and the length of the first hospitalization.

Results

In total, 1,285 patients were diagnosed with cirrhosis. Among these patients, 767 (59.7%) were males, and the mean age was 58.9 ± 12.3 years. Seventy-two (5.6%) and 154 (12.0%) patients were readmitted within 30 and 90 days, respectively. Compared with those who were not readmitted, patients readmitted at 30-day and 90-day had a higher proportion of males, ascites, spontaneous bacterial peritonitis, electrolyte abnormalities, higher Child-Pugh-Turcotte scores, longer initial hospital stays, and higher initial hospitalization costs. Logistic regression analysis indicated that hepatic encephalopathy, spontaneous bacterial peritonitis, diabetes, and ascites were predictors of 30- and 90-day readmission. Hypertension and spontaneous bacterial peritonitis were significant predictors of the length of the first hospitalization.

Conclusion

Patients with cirrhosis presenting with hepatic encephalopathy, ascites, and spontaneous bacterial peritonitis may have a higher risk of rehospitalization.

Assessment of the 2021 AASLD Practice Guidance for Albumin Infusion in Elective Therapeutic Paracentesis: A Regression Discontinuity Design

INTRODUCTION

The 2021 American Association for the Study of Liver Disease (AASLD) Practice Guidance recommends albumin infusion when removing ≥5 L of ascites to prevent post-paracentesis circulatory dysfunction. However, the optimal criteria and scenarios for initiating albumin infusion subsequent to therapeutic paracentesis (TP) have been subject to limited scientific inquiry.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective cohort study at a US academic healthcare center. Participants received elective, outpatient TP between July 2019 and December 2022. Patients with spontaneous bacterial peritonitis, post-TP clinical adjustments, and/or hospitalization were excluded. The institution strictly followed the AASLD Guidance. We used a sharp regression discontinuity (RD) design to estimate the effect of albumin infusion at the AASLD Guidance-recommended cutoff of 5 L on serum creatinine and sodium trajectory after TP.

RESULTS

Over the study period, 1,457 elective TPs were performed on 235 unique patients. Albumin infusion at the threshold of 5 L of ascites removal reduced serum creatinine levels by 0.046 mg/dL/d (95% confidence interval 0.003-0.116, P = 0.037) and increased serum sodium levels by 0.35 mEq/L/d (95% confidence interval 0.15-0.55, P = 0.001) compared with those who did not receive albumin infusion. The RD plots indicated worsened serum creatine/sodium levels after draining 3 L of fluid, approaching levels similar to or worse than with albumin infusion at 5 L or more.

DISCUSSION

Our RD models supported the 2021 AASLD Guidance with robust estimation of causal effect sizes at the cutoff level of 5 L. Nevertheless, the findings also highlight the need to further evaluate the efficacy of albumin infusion in patients who undergo elective TP and have 3-5 L of ascites removed.

Neutrophil percentage-to-albumin ratio is a new diagnostic marker for spontaneous bacterial peritonitis: a prospective multicenter study

BACKGROUND

The neutrophil percentage-to-albumin ratio (NPAR) is a novel measure of systemic inflammation and infection. Low albumin levels increase the risk of infection, while high neutrophil counts indicate the presence of infection. Spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP) is a serious infection in cirrhotic ascites, and the potential of NPAR in diagnosing SBP is not yet established.

OBJECTIVE

The objective of this study is to determine the diagnostic value of NPAR in identifying SBP.

PATIENTS

This prospective multicenter study included 465 patients diagnosed with cirrhotic ascites and SBP according to international guidelines. Demographic, clinical, and laboratory data were collected. The sensitivity and specificity of NPAR values for diagnosing SBP were assessed using the receiver operating characteristic curve.

RESULTS

For SBP diagnosis in the total cohort, NPAR of > 17 had a sensitivity of 85.71%, specificity of 66.67%, and 95% CI (42.1-99.6). In culture-positive SBP, the NPAR at a cut-off > 5.2 had a sensitivity of 85.71%, specificity of 83.33%, and 95% CI (0.709 to 0.979), while in culture-negative SBP, the NPAR at a cut-off > 2.1 had a sensitivity of 92.86%, specificity of 33.33% and CI (0.367 to 0.764). The multivariate analysis revealed that albumin (OR = 2.78, [1.11;3.98], INR (OR = 0.198, [0.066;0.596], creatinine (OR = 0.292, [0.1; 0.81], CRP (OR = 3.18, [1.239;4.52] total leukocytic count (TLC) (OR = 1.97, [1.878; 2.07], platelets (OR = 2.09, [0.99; 2.31] and neutrophil (OR = 3.43, [1.04;3.89] were significantly associated with higher prediction rates for culture positive SBP.

CONCLUSIONS

NPAR could be a new, affordable, noninvasive test for diagnosing SBP.