Changes of lung tumour volume on CT - prediction of the reliability of assessments

Effect of particularisation size on the accuracy and efficiency of a multiscale tumours' growth model

In silico, medicine models are frequently used to represent a phenomenon across multiples space-time scales. Most of these multiscale models require impracticable execution times to be solved, even using high performance computing systems, because typically each representative volume element in the upper scale model is coupled to an instance of the lower scale model; this causes a combinatory explosion of the computational cost, which increases exponentially as the number of scales to be modelled increases. To attenuate this problem, it is a common practice to interpose between the two models a particularisation operator, which maps the upper-scale model results into a smaller number of lower-scale models, and an operator, which maps the fewer results of the lower-scale models on the whole space-time homogenisation domain of upper-scale model. The aim of this study is to explore what is the simplest particularisation / homogenisation scheme that can couple a model aimed to predict the growth of a whole solid tumour (neuroblastoma) to a tissue-scale model of the cell-tissue biology with an acceptable approximation error and a viable computational cost. Using an idealised initial dataset with spatial gradients representative of those of real neuroblastomas, but small enough to be solved without any particularisation, we determined the approximation error and the computational cost of a very simple particularisation strategy based on binning. We found that even such simple algorithm can significantly reduce the computational cost with negligible approximation errors.

Prognostic Impact of Longitudinal Monitoring of Radiomic Features in Patients with Advanced Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer

Tumor growth dynamics vary substantially in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). We aimed to develop biomarkers reflecting longitudinal change of radiomic features in NSCLC and evaluate their prognostic power. Fifty-three patients with advanced NSCLC were included. Three primary variables reflecting patterns of longitudinal change were extracted: area under the curve of longitudinal change (AUC1), beta value reflecting slope over time, and AUC2, a value obtained by considering the slope and area over the longitudinal change of features. We constructed models for predicting survival with multivariate cox regression, and identified the performance of these models. AUC2 exhibited an excellent correlation between patterns of longitudinal volume change and a significant difference in overall survival time. Multivariate regression analysis based on cut-off values of radiomic features extracted from baseline CT and AUC2 showed that kurtosis of positive pixel values and surface area from baseline CT, AUC2 of density, skewness of positive pixel values, and entropy at inner portion were associated with overall survival. For the prediction model, the areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) were 0.948 and 0.862 at 1 and 3 years of follow-up, respectively. Longitudinal change of radiomic tumor features may serve as prognostic biomarkers in patients with advanced NSCLC.

How reliable are ADC measurements? A phantom and clinical study of cervical lymph nodes

Objective

To assess the reliability of ADC measurements in vitro and in cervical lymph nodes of healthy volunteers.

Methods

We used a GE 1.5 T MRI scanner and a first ice-water phantom according to recommendations released by the Quantitative Imaging Biomarker Alliance (QIBA) for assessing ADC against reference values. We analysed the target size effect by using a second phantom made of six inserted spheres with diameters ranging from 10 to 37 mm. Thirteen healthy volunteers were also scanned to assess the inter- and intra-observer reproducibility of volumetric ADC measurements of cervical lymph nodes.

Results

On the ice-water phantom, the error in ADC measurements was less than 4.3 %. The spatial bias due to the non-linearity of gradient fields was found to be 24 % at 8 cm from the isocentre. ADC measure reliability decreased when addressing small targets due to partial volume effects (up to 12.8 %). The mean ADC value of cervical lymph nodes was 0.87.10^-3 ± 0.12.10^-3 mm²/s with a good intra-observer reliability. Inter-observer reproducibility featured a bias of -5.5 % due to segmentation issues.

Conclusion

ADC is a potentially important imaging biomarker in oncology; however, variability issues preclude its broader adoption. Reliable use of ADC requires technical advances and systematic quality control.

Key Points

• ADC is a promising quantitative imaging biomarker.

• ADC has a fair inter-reader variability and good intra-reader variability.

• Partial volume effect, post-processing software and non-linearity of scanners are limiting factors.

• No threshold values for detecting cervical lymph node malignancy can be drawn.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1007/s00330-017-5265-2) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.