Whole body metabolic tumor volume is a prognostic marker in patients with newly diagnosed stage 3B non-small cell lung cancer, confirmed with external validation

An updated and validated PET/CT volumetric prognostic index for non-small cell lung cancer

OBJECTIVES

Whole-body metabolic tumor volume (MTV_WB) and TNM staging are independent prognostic factors for overall survival (OS) in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). We aimed to update and validate the PET/CT volumetric prognostic index (PVP index) using the new 8th edition TNM staging system to evaluate its prognostic power versus TNM staging and MTV_WB alone.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This study was a retrospective analysis of 949 non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients diagnosed between 2004 and 2014. Clinical TNM stage, MTV_WB, age and gender, tumor histology type at the initial staging PET/CT exam, as well as treatment history and long-term survival data were obtained. Patients were randomly assigned to modeling or validation group. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were performed to compare PVP index, TNM stage, and MTV_WB in the validation group.

RESULTS

The updated PVP index included the 3 variables TNM stage, and MTV_WB and age. Univariate Cox models showed significant association of PVP index with overall survival (OS) in patients with NSCLC (with Hazard ratio HR = 2.88 in the validation group, p < 0.001). The C-statistic of the PVP index (C-statistic = 0.71 in the validation group) was significantly greater than that of 8th edition TNM staging (C-statistic = 0.68, p = 0.029), MTV_WB (C-statistic = 0.68, p = 0.001), and patient age (C-statistic = 0.53, p < 0.001). Multivariate Cox regression analyses demonstrated significant association of PVP index with OS (with HR = 2.80, p < 0.001) after adjusting patient's gender and tumor histology.

CONCLUSIONS

The updated PVP index provides a quantitative risk assessment for NSCLC patients using 8th edition TNM staging, MTV_WB, and age. The index provides a simple and practical way for the care team to incorporate the independent prognostic value of both the TNM stage and MTV_WB. This approach can further improve the accuracy of overall survival prognosis.

Developing and validating a novel metabolic tumor volume risk stratification system for supplementing non-small cell lung cancer staging

PURPOSE

We hypothesized that whole-body metabolic tumor volume (MTVwb) could be used to supplement non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) staging due to its independent prognostic value. The goal of this study was to develop and validate a novel MTVwb risk stratification system to supplement NSCLC staging.

METHODS

We performed an IRB-approved retrospective review of 935 patients with NSCLC and FDG-avid tumor divided into modeling and validation cohorts based on the type of PET/CT scanner used for imaging. In addition, sensitivity analysis was conducted by dividing the patient population into two randomized cohorts. Cox regression and Kaplan-Meier survival analyses were performed to determine the prognostic value of the MTVwb risk stratification system.

RESULTS

The cut-off values (10.0, 53.4 and 155.0 mL) between the MTVwb quartiles of the modeling cohort were applied to both the modeling and validation cohorts to determine each patient's MTVwb risk stratum. The survival analyses showed that a lower MTVwb risk stratum was associated with better overall survival (all p < 0.01), independent of TNM stage together with other clinical prognostic factors, and the discriminatory power of the MTVwb risk stratification system, as measured by Gönen and Heller's concordance index, was not significantly different from that of TNM stage in both cohorts. Also, the prognostic value of the MTVwb risk stratum was robust in the two randomized cohorts. The discordance rate between the MTVwb risk stratum and TNM stage or substage was 45.1% in the modeling cohort and 50.3% in the validation cohort.

CONCLUSION

This study developed and validated a novel MTVwb risk stratification system, which has prognostic value independent of the TNM stage and other clinical prognostic factors in NSCLC, suggesting that it could be used for further NSCLC pretreatment assessment and for refining treatment decisions in individual patients.

Incorporation of circulating tumor cells and whole-body metabolic tumor volume of 18F-FDG PET/CT improves prediction of outcome in IIIB stage small-cell lung cancer

Objective

We investigated the correlation between the number of circulating tumor cells (CTCs) and whole-body metabolic tumor volume (WBMTV) measured by ¹⁸F-fluorodeoxyglucose (FDG) positron emission tomography/computed tomography (PET/CT). The aim was to evaluate the value of the incorporation of CTC number and WBMTV in the prognostic prediction of stage III small-cell lung cancer (SCLC).

Methods

One hundred and twenty-nine patients were enrolled in this study. All patients were treated with four cycles of a platinum-based regimen and concurrent chest irradiation, followed by prophylactic cranial irradiation. Blood samples for CTC analysis were obtained from 112 patients before the initiation of chemotherapy (as a baseline), after cycle 1 and after cycle 4. CTCs were measured using the CELLSEARCH^® system. The patients underwent pretreatment FDG PET/CT WBMTV, which included all malignant lesions. The Spearman rank test was used to determine the correlation among CTC counts, WBMTV and disease stage. Overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) curves were produced using the Kaplan-Meier method, and survival differences between groups were assessed by the log-rank test.

Results

The number of CTCs at baseline did not correlate with WBMTV before the initiation of therapy (P=0.241). The number of CTCs at baseline and the WBMTV before the initiation of therapy were independent relevant factors for PFS and OS. The subgroup analysis (Group A: CTC count >19.5 and a WBMTV >266.5 cm ³; Group B: CTC count >19.5 and a WBMTV ≤266.5 cm ³; Group C: CTC count ≤19.5 and a WBMTV >266.5 cm ³; Group D: CTC count ≤19.5 and a WBMTV ≤266.5 cm³) showed that the differences were statistically significant in the median PFS (Group A vs. D, P<0.001; Group Bvs. D, P=0.018; Group C vs. D, P=0.029) and in the median OS (Group A vs. D, P<0.001; Group Bvs. D, P=0.012).

Conclusions

CTC number and WBMTV are related to progression and death in patients with SCLC. The incorporation of CTC number and WBMTV scans can provide a detailed prognostic prediction for SCLC.