Volumetric parameters of the primary tumor and whole-body tumor burden derived from baseline 18F-FDG PET/CT can predict overall survival in non-small cell lung cancer patients: initial results from a single institution

Prognostic value of combining clinical factors, 18F-FDG PET-based intensity, volumetric features, and deep learning predictor in patients with EGFR-mutated lung adenocarcinoma undergoing targeted therapies: a cross-scanner and temporal validation study

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the prognostic value of 18F-FDG PET-based intensity, volumetric features, and deep learning (DL) across different generations of PET scanners in patients with epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR)-mutated lung adenocarcinoma receiving tyrosine kinase inhibitor (TKI) treatment.

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed the pre-treatment 18F-FDG PET of 217 patients with advanced-stage lung adenocarcinoma and actionable EGFR mutations who received TKI as first-line treatment. Patients were separated into analog (n = 166) and digital (n = 51) PET cohorts. 18F-FDG PET-derived intensity, volumetric features, ResNet-50 DL of the primary tumor, and clinical variables were used to predict progression-free survival (PFS). Independent prognosticators were used to develop prediction model. Model was developed and validated in the analog and digital PET cohorts, respectively.

RESULTS

In the analog PET cohort, female sex, stage IVB status, exon 19 deletion, SUVmax, metabolic tumor volume, and positive DL prediction independently predicted PFS. The model devised from these six prognosticators significantly predicted PFS in the analog (HR = 1.319, p < 0.001) and digital PET cohorts (HR = 1.284, p = 0.001). Our model provided incremental prognostic value to staging status (c-indices = 0.738 vs. 0.558 and 0.662 vs. 0.598 in the analog and digital PET cohorts, respectively). Our model also demonstrated a significant prognostic value for overall survival (HR = 1.198, p < 0.001, c-index = 0.708 and HR = 1.256, p = 0.021, c-index = 0.664 in the analog and digital PET cohorts, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

Combining 18F-FDG PET-based intensity, volumetric features, and DL with clinical variables may improve the survival stratification in patients with advanced EGFR-mutated lung adenocarcinoma receiving TKI treatment. Implementing the prediction model across different generations of PET scanners may be feasible and facilitate tailored therapeutic strategies for these patients.

Prognostic significance of integrating total metabolic tumor volume and EGFR mutation status in patients with lung adenocarcinoma

Background

The objective of this study was to investigate the prognostic significance of total metabolic tumor volume (TMTV) derived from baseline 18F-2-fluoro-2-deoxyglucose (18F-FDG) positron emission tomography/computed tomography (PET/CT), in conjunction with epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) mutation status, among patients with lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD).

Methods

We performed a retrospective analysis on 141 patients with LUAD (74 males, 67 females, median age 67 (range 34-86)) who underwent 18F-FDG PET/CT and had their EGFR mutation status determined. Optimal cutoff points for TMTV were determined using time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curve analysis. The survival difference was compared using Cox regression analysis and Kaplan‒Meier curves.

Results

The EGFR mutant patients (n = 79, 56.0%) exhibited significantly higher 2-year progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) rates compared to those with EGFR wild-type (n = 62, 44.0%), with rates of 74.2% vs 69.2% (P = 0.029) and 86.1% vs 67.7% (P = 0.009), respectively. The optimal cutoff values of TMTV were 36.42 cm3 for PFS and 37.51 cm3 for OS. Patients with high TMTV exhibited significantly inferior 2-year PFS and OS, with rates of 22.4% and 38.1%, respectively, compared to those with low TMTV, who had rates of 85.8% and 95.0% (both P < 0.001). In both the EGFR mutant and wild-type groups, patients exhibiting high TMTV demonstrated significantly inferior 2-year PFS and OS compared to those with low TMTV. In multivariate analysis, EGFR mutation status (hazard ratio, HR, 0.41, 95% confidence interval, CI [0.18-0.94], P = 0.034) and TMTV (HR 8.08, 95% CI [2.34-28.0], P < 0.001) were independent prognostic factors of OS, whereas TMTV was also an independent prognosticator of PFS (HR 2.59, 95% CI [1.30-5.13], P = 0.007).

Conclusion

Our study demonstrates that the integration of TMTV on baseline 18F-FDG PET/CT with EGFR mutation status improves the accuracy of prognostic evaluation for patients with LUAD.