Predictive factors for the benefit of perioperative FOLFOX for resectable liver metastasis in colorectal cancer patients (EORTC Intergroup Trial 40983)

OBJECTIVE

In EORTC study 40983, perioperative FOLFOX increased progression-free survival (PFS) compared with surgery alone for patients with initially 1 to 4 resectable liver metastases from colorectal cancer (CRC). We conducted an exploratory retrospective analysis to identify baseline factors possibly predictive for a benefit of perioperative FOLFOX on PFS.

METHODS

The analysis was based on 237 events from 342 eligible patients. Cox proportional hazards regression models with a significance level of 0.1 were used to build up univariate and multivariate models.

RESULTS

After adjustment for identified prognostic factors, moderately (5.1-30 ng/mL) and highly (>30 ng/mL) elevated carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) serum levels were both predictive for the benefit of perioperative chemotherapy (interaction P = 0.07; hazard ratio [HR] = 0.58 and HR = 0.52 for treatment benefit). For patients with moderately or highly elevated CEA (>5 ng/mL), the 3-year PFS was 35% with perioperative chemotherapy compared to 20% with surgery alone. Performance status (PS) 0 and BMI lower than 30 were also predictive for the benefit of perioperative chemotherapy (interaction P = 0.04 and P = 0.02). However, the number of patients with PS 1 and BMI 30 or higher were limited. The benefit of perioperative therapy was not influenced by the number of metastatic lesions (1 vs 2-4, interaction HR = 0.98).

CONCLUSIONS

Perioperative FOLFOX seems to benefit in particular patients with resectable liver metastases from CRC when CEA is elevated and when PS is unaffected, regardless of the number of metastatic lesions.ClinicalTrials.gov number NCT00006479.

Presurgical chemotherapy in patients being considered for liver resection

The liver is a frequent site of metastatic disease for colorectal cancer patients. Approximately 15% of patients have liver metastases at diagnosis and another 50% develop metastatic disease to the liver over the course of their disease. Advances in systemic chemotherapy and surgical techniques for hepatic resection have led to longer survival times for these patients. There is no doubt that unresectable patients benefit from systemic chemotherapy. For patients who have resectable disease, the timing of chemotherapy is still not clear. This review addresses the pros and cons of presurgical chemotherapy. The benefits of preoperative chemotherapy include decreasing tumor size, controlling micrometastatic disease, assessing activity of chemotherapy, improving chemotherapy tolerance, and perhaps allowing some prediction of the success of liver resection. The risks for presurgical chemotherapy include liver toxicity, the risk for progression or growth of new sites, secondary splenomegaly, selection of resistant clones, and the possibility of leaving behind active tumor that is no longer seen because of a complete radiographic response. The challenge for the future is to develop a multidisciplinary team approach that can design the best treatment plan for patients with liver metastases.