The Boltzmann distributions of molecular structures predict likely changes through random mutations

New folded molecular structures can only evolve after arising through mutations. This aspect is modeled using genotype-phenotype maps, which connect sequence changes through mutations to changes in molecular structures. Previous work has shown that the likelihood of appearing through mutations can differ by orders of magnitude from structure to structure and that this can affect the outcomes of evolutionary processes. Thus, we focus on the phenotypic mutation probabilities φqp, i.e., the likelihood that a random mutation changes structure p into structure q. For both RNA secondary structures and the HP protein model, we show that a simple biophysical principle can explain and predict how this likelihood depends on the new structure q: φqp is high if sequences that fold into p as the minimum-free-energy structure are likely to have q as an alternative structure with high Boltzmann frequency. This generalizes the existing concept of plastogenetic congruence from individual sequences to the entire neutral spaces of structures. Our result helps us understand why some structural changes are more likely than others, may be useful for estimating these likelihoods via sampling and makes a connection to alternative structures with high Boltzmann frequency, which could be relevant in evolutionary processes.

Random and Natural Non-Coding RNA Have Similar Structural Motif Patterns but Differ in Bulge, Loop, and Bond Counts

An important question in evolutionary biology is whether (and in what ways) genotype–phenotype (GP) map biases can influence evolutionary trajectories. Untangling the relative roles of natural selection and biases (and other factors) in shaping phenotypes can be difficult. Because the RNA secondary structure (SS) can be analyzed in detail mathematically and computationally, is biologically relevant, and a wealth of bioinformatic data are available, it offers a good model system for studying the role of bias. For quite short RNA (length L≤126), it has recently been shown that natural and random RNA types are structurally very similar, suggesting that bias strongly constrains evolutionary dynamics. Here, we extend these results with emphasis on much larger RNA with lengths up to 3000 nucleotides. By examining both abstract shapes and structural motif frequencies (i.e., the number of helices, bonds, bulges, junctions, and loops), we find that large natural and random structures are also very similar, especially when contrasted to typical structures sampled from the spaces of all possible RNA structures. Our motif frequency study yields another result, where the frequencies of different motifs can be used in machine learning algorithms to classify random and natural RNA with high accuracy, especially for longer RNA (e.g., ROC AUC 0.86 for L = 1000). The most important motifs for classification are the number of bulges, loops, and bonds. This finding may be useful in using SS to detect candidates for functional RNA within ‘junk’ DNA regions.

The simple emergence of complex molecular function

At odds with a traditional view of molecular evolution that seeks a descent-with-modification relationship between functional sequences, new functions can emerge de novo with relative ease. At early times of molecular evolution, random polymers could have sufficed for the appearance of incipient chemical activity, while the cellular environment harbours a myriad of proto-functional molecules. The emergence of function is facilitated by several mechanisms intrinsic to molecular organization, such as redundant mapping of sequences into structures, phenotypic plasticity, modularity or cooperative associations between genomic sequences. It is the availability of niches in the molecular ecology that filters new potentially functional proposals. New phenotypes and subsequent levels of molecular complexity could be attained through combinatorial explorations of currently available molecular variants. Natural selection does the rest. This article is part of the theme issue 'Emergent phenomena in complex physical and socio-technical systems: from cells to societies'.

Fast free-energy-based neutral set size estimates for the RNA genotype-phenotype map

The genotype–phenotype (GP) map of RNA secondary structure links each RNA sequence to its corresponding secondary structure. Previous research has shown that the large-scale structural properties of GP maps, such as the size of neutral sets in genotype space, can influence evolutionary outcomes. In order to use neutral set sizes, efficient and accurate computational methods are needed to compute them. Here, we propose a new method, which is based on free energy estimates and is much faster than existing sample-based methods. Moreover, this approach can give insight into the reasons behind neutral set size variations, for example, why structures with fewer stacks tend to have larger neutral set sizes. In addition, we generalize neutral set size calculations from the previously studied many-to-one framework, where each sequence folds into a single energetically preferred structure, to a fuller many-to-many framework, where several low-energy structures are included. We find that structures with high neutral sets in one framework also tend to have large neutral sets in the other framework for a range of parameters and thus the choice of GP map does not fundamentally affect which structures have the largest neutral set sizes.

Phenotype Bias Determines How Natural RNA Structures Occupy the Morphospace of All Possible Shapes

Morphospaces-representations of phenotypic characteristics-are often populated unevenly, leaving large parts unoccupied. Such patterns are typically ascribed to contingency, or else to natural selection disfavoring certain parts of the morphospace. The extent to which developmental bias, the tendency of certain phenotypes to preferentially appear as potential variation, also explains these patterns is hotly debated. Here we demonstrate quantitatively that developmental bias is the primary explanation for the occupation of the morphospace of RNA secondary structure (SS) shapes. Upon random mutations, some RNA SS shapes (the frequent ones) are much more likely to appear than others. By using the RNAshapes method to define coarse-grained SS classes, we can directly compare the frequencies that noncoding RNA SS shapes appear in the RNAcentral database to frequencies obtained upon a random sampling of sequences. We show that: 1) only the most frequent structures appear in nature; the vast majority of possible structures in the morphospace have not yet been explored; 2) remarkably small numbers of random sequences are needed to produce all the RNA SS shapes found in nature so far; and 3) perhaps most surprisingly, the natural frequencies are accurately predicted, over several orders of magnitude in variation, by the likelihood that structures appear upon a uniform random sampling of sequences. The ultimate cause of these patterns is not natural selection, but rather a strong phenotype bias in the RNA genotype-phenotype map, a type of developmental bias or "findability constraint," which limits evolutionary dynamics to a hugely reduced subset of structures that are easy to "find."

Insertions and deletions in the RNA sequence-structure map

Genotype-phenotype maps link genetic changes to their fitness effect and are thus an essential component of evolutionary models. The map between RNA sequences and their secondary structures is a key example and has applications in functional RNA evolution. For this map, the structural effect of substitutions is well understood, but models usually assume a constant sequence length and do not consider insertions or deletions. Here, we expand the sequence-structure map to include single nucleotide insertions and deletions by using the RNAshapes concept. To quantify the structural effect of insertions and deletions, we generalize existing definitions for robustness and non-neutral mutation probabilities. We find striking similarities between substitutions, deletions and insertions: robustness to substitutions is correlated with robustness to insertions and, for most structures, to deletions. In addition, frequent structural changes after substitutions also tend to be common for insertions and deletions. This is consistent with the connection between energetically suboptimal folds and possible structural transitions. The similarities observed hold both for genotypic and phenotypic robustness and mutation probabilities, i.e. for individual sequences and for averages over sequences with the same structure. Our results could have implications for the rate of neutral and non-neutral evolution.

From genotypes to organisms: State-of-the-art and perspectives of a cornerstone in evolutionary dynamics

Understanding how genotypes map onto phenotypes, fitness, and eventually organisms is arguably the next major missing piece in a fully predictive theory of evolution. We refer to this generally as the problem of the genotype-phenotype map. Though we are still far from achieving a complete picture of these relationships, our current understanding of simpler questions, such as the structure induced in the space of genotypes by sequences mapped to molecular structures, has revealed important facts that deeply affect the dynamical description of evolutionary processes. Empirical evidence supporting the fundamental relevance of features such as phenotypic bias is mounting as well, while the synthesis of conceptual and experimental progress leads to questioning current assumptions on the nature of evolutionary dynamics-cancer progression models or synthetic biology approaches being notable examples. This work delves with a critical and constructive attitude into our current knowledge of how genotypes map onto molecular phenotypes and organismal functions, and discusses theoretical and empirical avenues to broaden and improve this comprehension. As a final goal, this community should aim at deriving an updated picture of evolutionary processes soundly relying on the structural properties of genotype spaces, as revealed by modern techniques of molecular and functional analysis.

Populations of genetic circuits are unable to find the fittest solution in a multilevel genotype-phenotype map

The evolution of gene regulatory networks (GRNs) is of great relevance for both evolutionary and synthetic biology. Understanding the relationship between GRN structure and its function can allow us to understand the selective pressures that have shaped a given circuit. This is especially relevant when considering spatio-temporal expression patterns, where GRN models have been shown to be extremely robust and evolvable. However, previous models that studied GRN evolution did not include the evolution of protein and genetic elements that underlie GRN architecture. Here we use toyLIFE, a multilevel genotype-phenotype map, to show that not all GRNs are equally likely in genotype space and that evolution is biased to find the most common GRNs. toyLIFE rules create Boolean GRNs that, embedded in a one-dimensional tissue, develop a variety of spatio-temporal gene expression patterns. Populations of toyLIFE organisms choose the most common GRN out of a set of equally fit alternatives and, most importantly, fail to find a target pattern when it is very rare in genotype space. Indeed, we show that the probability of finding the fittest phenotype increases dramatically with its abundance in genotype space. This phenotypic bias represents a mechanism that can prevent the fixation in the population of the fittest phenotype, one that is inherent to the structure of genotype space and the genotype-phenotype map.

Using small samples to estimate neutral component size and robustness in the genotype-phenotype map of RNA secondary structure

In genotype-phenotype (GP) maps, the genotypes that map to the same phenotype are usually not randomly distributed across the space of genotypes, but instead are predominantly connected through one-point mutations, forming network components that are commonly referred to as neutral components (NCs). Because of their impact on evolutionary processes, the characteristics of these NCs, like their size or robustness, have been studied extensively. Here, we introduce a framework that allows the estimation of NC size and robustness in the GP map of RNA secondary structure. The advantage of this framework is that it only requires small samples of genotypes and their local environment, which also allows experimental realizations. We verify our framework by applying it to the exhaustively analysable GP map of RNA sequence length L = 15, and benchmark it against an existing method by applying it to longer, naturally occurring functional non-coding RNA sequences. Although it is specific to the RNA secondary structure GP map in the first place, our framework can probably be transferred and adapted to other sequence-to-structure GP maps.

Recombination and mutational robustness in neutral fitness landscapes

Mutational robustness quantifies the effect of random mutations on fitness. When mutational robustness is high, most mutations do not change fitness or have only a minor effect on it. From the point of view of fitness landscapes, robust genotypes form neutral networks of almost equal fitness. Using deterministic population models it has been shown that selection favors genotypes inside such networks, which results in increased mutational robustness. Here we demonstrate that this effect is massively enhanced by recombination. Our results are based on a detailed analysis of mesa-shaped fitness landscapes, where we derive precise expressions for the dependence of the robustness on the landscape parameters for recombining and non-recombining populations. In addition, we carry out numerical simulations on different types of random holey landscapes as well as on an empirical fitness landscape. We show that the mutational robustness of a genotype generally correlates with its recombination weight, a new measure that quantifies the likelihood for the genotype to arise from recombination. We argue that the favorable effect of recombination on mutational robustness is a highly universal feature that may have played an important role in the emergence and maintenance of mechanisms of genetic exchange.

Parsimonious Scenario for the Emergence of Viroid-Like Replicons De Novo

Viroids are small, non-coding, circular RNA molecules that infect plants. Different hypotheses for their evolutionary origin have been put forward, such as an early emergence in a precellular RNA World or several de novo independent evolutionary origins in plants. Here, we discuss the plausibility of de novo emergence of viroid-like replicons by giving theoretical support to the likelihood of different steps along a parsimonious evolutionary pathway. While Avsunviroidae-like structures are relatively easy to obtain through evolution of a population of random RNA sequences of fixed length, rod-like structures typical of Pospiviroidae are difficult to fix. Using different quantitative approaches, we evaluated the likelihood that RNA sequences fold into a rod-like structure and bear specific sequence motifs facilitating interactions with other molecules, e.g., RNA polymerases, RNases, and ligases. By means of numerical simulations, we show that circular RNA replicons analogous to Pospiviroidae emerge if evolution is seeded with minimal circular RNAs that grow through the gradual addition of nucleotides. Further, these rod-like replicons often maintain their structure if independent functional modules are acquired that impose selective constraints. The evolutionary scenario we propose here is consistent with the structural and biochemical properties of viroids described to date.

Degeneracy and genetic assimilation in RNA evolution

BACKGROUND

The neutral theory of Motoo Kimura stipulates that evolution is mostly driven by neutral mutations. However adaptive pressure eventually leads to changes in phenotype that involve non-neutral mutations. The relation between neutrality and adaptation has been studied in the context of RNA before and here we further study transitional mutations in the context of degenerate (plastic) RNA sequences and genetic assimilation. We propose quasineutral mutations, i.e. mutations which preserve an element of the phenotype set, as minimal mutations and study their properties. We also propose a general probabilistic interpretation of genetic assimilation and specialize it to the Boltzmann ensemble of RNA sequences.

RESULTS

We show that degenerate sequences i.e. sequences with more than one structure at the MFE level have the highest evolvability among all sequences and are central to evolutionary innovation. Degenerate sequences also tend to cluster together in the sequence space. The selective pressure in an evolutionary simulation causes the population to move towards regions with more degenerate sequences, i.e. regions at the intersection of different neutral networks, and this causes the number of such sequences to increase well beyond the average percentage of degenerate sequences in the sequence space. We also observe that evolution by quasineutral mutations tends to conserve the number of base pairs in structures and thereby maintains structural integrity even in the presence of pressure to the contrary.

CONCLUSIONS

We conclude that degenerate RNA sequences play a major role in evolutionary adaptation.