Liver Fibrosis Indices for the Prediction of Mortality in Korean Subjects: A 16-Year Prospective Cohort Study

Non-invasive biomarkers prognostic of decompensation events in NASH cirrhosis: a systematic literature review

Liver cirrhosis due to nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) is a life-threatening condition with increasing incidence world-wide. Although its symptoms are unspecific, it can lead to decompensation events such as ascites, hepatic encephalopathy, variceal hemorrhage, and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). In addition, an increased risk for cardiovascular events has been demonstrated in patients with NASH. Pharmacological treatments for NASH cirrhosis are not yet available, one of the reasons being the lack in surrogate endpoints available in clinical trials of NASH cirrhosis. The feasibility of non-invasive prognostic biomarkers makes them interesting candidates as possible surrogate endpoints if their change following treatment would result in better outcomes for patients in future clinical trials of NASH cirrhosis. In this systematic literature review, a summary of the available literature on the prognostic performance of non-invasive biomarkers in terms of cardiovascular events, liver-related events, and mortality is outlined. Due to the scarcity of data specific for NASH cirrhosis, this review includes studies on NAFLD whose evaluation focuses on cirrhosis. Our search strategy identified the following non-invasive biomarkers with prognostic value in studies of NASH patients: NAFLD fibrosis score (NFS), Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4), aspartate aminotransferase (AST) to platelet ratio index (APRI), enhanced liver fibrosis (ELF™), BARD (BMI, AST/ALT (alanine aminotransferase) ratio, diabetes), Hepamet Fibrosis Score (HFS), liver enzymes (AST + ALT), alpha-fetoprotein, platelet count, neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR), Lysyl oxidase-like (LOXL) 2, miR-122, liver stiffness, MEFIB (liver stiffness measured with magnetic resonance elastography (MRE) + FIB-4), and PNPLA3 GG genotype. The aim of the present systematic literature review is to provide the reader with a summary of the non-invasive biomarkers with prognostic value in NASH cirrhosis and give an evaluation of their utility as treatment monitoring biomarkers in future clinical trials.

Predictive value of the Framingham steatosis index for cardiovascular risk: a nationwide population-based cohort study

Background

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is common and is associated with cardiovascular (CV) disease and mortality. The Framingham steatosis index (FSI) was recently proposed as a diagnostic marker of NAFLD and was calculated from age, body mass index, triglyceride, aspartate aminotransferase, alanine aminotransferase, diabetes history, and hypertension status. We aimed to evaluate the predictive ability of FSI for CV risk using a large-scale population dataset from the Korean National Health Insurance Service-National Health Screening Cohort (NHIS-HEALS).

Methods

Among 514,866 individuals in the NHIS-HEALS, we excluded those who died, had a history of admission due to a CV event, and were heavy drinkers. The final study cohort comprised 283,427 participants. We employed both unadjusted and covariate-adjusted models in Cox proportional hazards regression analyses to determine the association between FSI and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs), CV events, and CV mortality.

Results

During a median follow-up of 5.9 years, we documented 9,674, 8,798, and 1,602 cases of MACEs, CV events, and CV mortality, respectively. The incidence of MACEs was 1.28%, 2.99%, 3.94%, and 4.82% in the first to fourth quartiles of FSI, respectively. The adjusted hazard ratios (95% confidence interval) for MACEs gradually and significantly increased with the FSI quartiles [1.302 (1.215-1.395) in Q2, 1.487 (1.390-1.590) in Q3, and 1.792 (1.680-1.911) in Q4], following an adjustment for conventional CV risk factors, including age, sex, smoking, drinking, physical activities, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, estimated glomerular filtration rate, and waist circumference. Participants in the higher quartiles of FSI exhibited a noteworthy increase in the occurrence of CV event. However, upon adjusting for relevant risk factors, the association between FSI and CV mortality did not reach statistical significance.

Conclusion

Our study suggests that the FSI, which is a surrogate marker of NAFLD, has a prognostic value for detecting individuals at higher risk of CV events.

Association of liver fibrosis biomarkers with overall and CVD mortality in the Korean population: The Dong-gu study

This study evaluated the associations of liver fibrosis biomarkers [non-alcoholic fatty liver disease fibrosis score (NFS), fibrosis-4 (FIB-4), aspartate aminotransferase/platelet ratio index (APRI), and BARD score] with mortality in Korean adults aged ≥50 years. We analyzed 7,702 subjects who participated in Dong-gu Study. The associations of liber fibrosis biomarkers with mortality were investigated using Cox proportional hazards models. Overall mortality increased with increasing NFS level [adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) 4.3, 95% confidence interval (CI) 3.3-5.5 for high risk vs. low risk], increasing FIB-4 level (aHR 3.5, 95% CI 2.9-4.4 for high risk vs. low risk), and increasing APRI level (aHR 3.5, 95% CI 2.1-5.8 for high risk vs. low risk) but not with BARD score. The Harrell's concordance index for overall mortality for the NFS and FIB-4 was greater than that for the APRI and BARD score. In conclusion, NFS, FIB-4, and APRI showed a significant relationship with the overall mortality, and NFS and FIB-4 showed a significant relationship with the CVD mortality after adjustment for covariates. In addition, the NFS and FIB-4 were more predictive of overall mortality than the APRI and BARD score in Korean adults aged ≥50 years.