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Sposato LA, Sur NB, Katan M, Johansen MC, De Marchis GM, Caso V, Fischer U, Chaturvedi S. Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source: New Data and New Controversies on Cardiac Monitoring and Anticoagulation. Neurology 2024; 103:e209535. [PMID: 38861698 DOI: 10.1212/wnl.0000000000209535] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 06/13/2024] Open
Abstract
Embolic strokes of undetermined source (ESUS) represent 9%-25% of all ischemic strokes. Based on the suspicion that a large proportion of cardioembolic sources remain undetected among embolic stroke of undetermined source patients, it has been hypothesized that a universal approach of anticoagulation would be better than aspirin for preventing recurrent strokes. However, 4 randomized controlled trials (RCTs), with different degrees of patient selection, failed to confirm this hypothesis. In parallel, several RCTs consistently demonstrated that prolonged cardiac monitoring increased atrial fibrillation detection and anticoagulation initiation compared with usual care in patients with ESUS, and later in individuals with ischemic stroke of known cause (e.g., large or small vessel disease). However, none of these trials or subsequent meta-analyses of all available RCTs have shown a reduction in stroke recurrence associated with the use of prolonged cardiac monitoring. In this article, we review the clinical and research implications of recent RCTs of antithrombotic therapy in patients with ESUS and in high-risk populations with and without stroke, with device-detected asymptomatic atrial fibrillation.
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Affiliation(s)
- Luciano A Sposato
- From the Departments of Clinical Neurological Sciences, Epidemiology and Biostatistics, and Anatomy and Cell Biology (L.A.S.), Schulich School of Medicine and Dentistry, and Heart & Brain Laboratory (L.A.S.), Western University, London, Ontario, Canada; Department of Neurology (N.B.S.), University of Miami Miller School of Medicine, FL; Department of Neurology (M.K.), University Hospital of Basel, Switzerland; Department of Neurology (M.C.J.), The Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD; Kantonsspital St. Gallen (G.M.D.M.), Department of Neurology & Stroke Center, St. Gallen and Department of Clinical Research, University of Basel, Switzerland; Stroke Unit (V.C.), Santa Maria della Misericordia Hospital, University of Perugia, Italy; Department of Neurology (U.F.), University Hospital Basel, Switzerland; and Department of Neurology & Stroke Program (S.C.), University of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore
| | - Nicole B Sur
- From the Departments of Clinical Neurological Sciences, Epidemiology and Biostatistics, and Anatomy and Cell Biology (L.A.S.), Schulich School of Medicine and Dentistry, and Heart & Brain Laboratory (L.A.S.), Western University, London, Ontario, Canada; Department of Neurology (N.B.S.), University of Miami Miller School of Medicine, FL; Department of Neurology (M.K.), University Hospital of Basel, Switzerland; Department of Neurology (M.C.J.), The Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD; Kantonsspital St. Gallen (G.M.D.M.), Department of Neurology & Stroke Center, St. Gallen and Department of Clinical Research, University of Basel, Switzerland; Stroke Unit (V.C.), Santa Maria della Misericordia Hospital, University of Perugia, Italy; Department of Neurology (U.F.), University Hospital Basel, Switzerland; and Department of Neurology & Stroke Program (S.C.), University of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore
| | - Mira Katan
- From the Departments of Clinical Neurological Sciences, Epidemiology and Biostatistics, and Anatomy and Cell Biology (L.A.S.), Schulich School of Medicine and Dentistry, and Heart & Brain Laboratory (L.A.S.), Western University, London, Ontario, Canada; Department of Neurology (N.B.S.), University of Miami Miller School of Medicine, FL; Department of Neurology (M.K.), University Hospital of Basel, Switzerland; Department of Neurology (M.C.J.), The Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD; Kantonsspital St. Gallen (G.M.D.M.), Department of Neurology & Stroke Center, St. Gallen and Department of Clinical Research, University of Basel, Switzerland; Stroke Unit (V.C.), Santa Maria della Misericordia Hospital, University of Perugia, Italy; Department of Neurology (U.F.), University Hospital Basel, Switzerland; and Department of Neurology & Stroke Program (S.C.), University of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore
| | - Michelle C Johansen
- From the Departments of Clinical Neurological Sciences, Epidemiology and Biostatistics, and Anatomy and Cell Biology (L.A.S.), Schulich School of Medicine and Dentistry, and Heart & Brain Laboratory (L.A.S.), Western University, London, Ontario, Canada; Department of Neurology (N.B.S.), University of Miami Miller School of Medicine, FL; Department of Neurology (M.K.), University Hospital of Basel, Switzerland; Department of Neurology (M.C.J.), The Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD; Kantonsspital St. Gallen (G.M.D.M.), Department of Neurology & Stroke Center, St. Gallen and Department of Clinical Research, University of Basel, Switzerland; Stroke Unit (V.C.), Santa Maria della Misericordia Hospital, University of Perugia, Italy; Department of Neurology (U.F.), University Hospital Basel, Switzerland; and Department of Neurology & Stroke Program (S.C.), University of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore
| | - Gian Marco De Marchis
- From the Departments of Clinical Neurological Sciences, Epidemiology and Biostatistics, and Anatomy and Cell Biology (L.A.S.), Schulich School of Medicine and Dentistry, and Heart & Brain Laboratory (L.A.S.), Western University, London, Ontario, Canada; Department of Neurology (N.B.S.), University of Miami Miller School of Medicine, FL; Department of Neurology (M.K.), University Hospital of Basel, Switzerland; Department of Neurology (M.C.J.), The Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD; Kantonsspital St. Gallen (G.M.D.M.), Department of Neurology & Stroke Center, St. Gallen and Department of Clinical Research, University of Basel, Switzerland; Stroke Unit (V.C.), Santa Maria della Misericordia Hospital, University of Perugia, Italy; Department of Neurology (U.F.), University Hospital Basel, Switzerland; and Department of Neurology & Stroke Program (S.C.), University of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore
| | - Valeria Caso
- From the Departments of Clinical Neurological Sciences, Epidemiology and Biostatistics, and Anatomy and Cell Biology (L.A.S.), Schulich School of Medicine and Dentistry, and Heart & Brain Laboratory (L.A.S.), Western University, London, Ontario, Canada; Department of Neurology (N.B.S.), University of Miami Miller School of Medicine, FL; Department of Neurology (M.K.), University Hospital of Basel, Switzerland; Department of Neurology (M.C.J.), The Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD; Kantonsspital St. Gallen (G.M.D.M.), Department of Neurology & Stroke Center, St. Gallen and Department of Clinical Research, University of Basel, Switzerland; Stroke Unit (V.C.), Santa Maria della Misericordia Hospital, University of Perugia, Italy; Department of Neurology (U.F.), University Hospital Basel, Switzerland; and Department of Neurology & Stroke Program (S.C.), University of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore
| | - Urs Fischer
- From the Departments of Clinical Neurological Sciences, Epidemiology and Biostatistics, and Anatomy and Cell Biology (L.A.S.), Schulich School of Medicine and Dentistry, and Heart & Brain Laboratory (L.A.S.), Western University, London, Ontario, Canada; Department of Neurology (N.B.S.), University of Miami Miller School of Medicine, FL; Department of Neurology (M.K.), University Hospital of Basel, Switzerland; Department of Neurology (M.C.J.), The Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD; Kantonsspital St. Gallen (G.M.D.M.), Department of Neurology & Stroke Center, St. Gallen and Department of Clinical Research, University of Basel, Switzerland; Stroke Unit (V.C.), Santa Maria della Misericordia Hospital, University of Perugia, Italy; Department of Neurology (U.F.), University Hospital Basel, Switzerland; and Department of Neurology & Stroke Program (S.C.), University of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore
| | - Seemant Chaturvedi
- From the Departments of Clinical Neurological Sciences, Epidemiology and Biostatistics, and Anatomy and Cell Biology (L.A.S.), Schulich School of Medicine and Dentistry, and Heart & Brain Laboratory (L.A.S.), Western University, London, Ontario, Canada; Department of Neurology (N.B.S.), University of Miami Miller School of Medicine, FL; Department of Neurology (M.K.), University Hospital of Basel, Switzerland; Department of Neurology (M.C.J.), The Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD; Kantonsspital St. Gallen (G.M.D.M.), Department of Neurology & Stroke Center, St. Gallen and Department of Clinical Research, University of Basel, Switzerland; Stroke Unit (V.C.), Santa Maria della Misericordia Hospital, University of Perugia, Italy; Department of Neurology (U.F.), University Hospital Basel, Switzerland; and Department of Neurology & Stroke Program (S.C.), University of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore
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Ratajczak-Tretel B, Lambert AT, Al-Ani R, Arntzen K, Bakkejord GK, Bekkeseth HMO, Bjerkeli V, Eldøen G, Gulsvik AK, Halvorsen B, Høie GA, Ihle-Hansen H, Ihle-Hansen H, Ingebrigtsen S, Kremer C, Krogseth SB, Kruuse C, Kurz M, Nakstad I, Novotny V, Næss H, Qazi R, Rezaj MK, Rørholt DM, Steffensen LH, Sømark J, Tobro H, Truelsen TC, Wassvik L, Ægidius KL, Atar D, Aamodt AH. Prediction of underlying atrial fibrillation in patients with a cryptogenic stroke: results from the NOR-FIB Study. J Neurol 2023:10.1007/s00415-023-11680-8. [PMID: 37162578 DOI: 10.1007/s00415-023-11680-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/04/2023] [Accepted: 03/19/2023] [Indexed: 05/11/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Atrial fibrillation (AF) detection and treatment are key elements to reduce recurrence risk in cryptogenic stroke (CS) with underlying arrhythmia. The purpose of the present study was to assess the predictors of AF in CS and the utility of existing AF-predicting scores in The Nordic Atrial Fibrillation and Stroke (NOR-FIB) Study. METHOD The NOR-FIB study was an international prospective observational multicenter study designed to detect and quantify AF in CS and cryptogenic transient ischaemic attack (TIA) patients monitored by the insertable cardiac monitor (ICM), and to identify AF-predicting biomarkers. The utility of the following AF-predicting scores was tested: AS5F, Brown ESUS-AF, CHA2DS2-VASc, CHASE-LESS, HATCH, HAVOC, STAF and SURF. RESULTS In univariate analyses increasing age, hypertension, left ventricle hypertrophy, dyslipidaemia, antiarrhythmic drugs usage, valvular heart disease, and neuroimaging findings of stroke due to intracranial vessel occlusions and previous ischemic lesions were associated with a higher likelihood of detected AF. In multivariate analysis, age was the only independent predictor of AF. All the AF-predicting scores showed significantly higher score levels for AF than non-AF patients. The STAF and the SURF scores provided the highest sensitivity and negative predictive values, while the AS5F and SURF reached an area under the receiver operating curve (AUC) > 0.7. CONCLUSION Clinical risk scores may guide a personalized evaluation approach in CS patients. Increasing awareness of the usage of available AF-predicting scores may optimize the arrhythmia detection pathway in stroke units.
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Affiliation(s)
- B Ratajczak-Tretel
- Department of Neurology, Østfold Hospital Trust, Grålum, Norway
- Institute of Clinical Medicine, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway
| | - A Tancin Lambert
- Department of Neurology, Østfold Hospital Trust, Grålum, Norway
- Institute of Clinical Medicine, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway
| | - R Al-Ani
- Department of Cardiology, Østfold Hospital Trust, Grålum, Norway
| | - K Arntzen
- Department for Neurology, Nordlandssykehuset, Bodø, Norway
| | - G K Bakkejord
- Department for Neurology, Nordlandssykehuset, Bodø, Norway
| | - H M O Bekkeseth
- Department of Neurology, Innlandet Hospital Trust, Lillehammer Hospital, Lillehammer, Norway
| | - V Bjerkeli
- Research Institute of Internal Medicine, Oslo University Hospital, Oslo, Norway
| | - G Eldøen
- Department of Neurology, Molde Hospital, Molde, Norway
| | - A K Gulsvik
- Department of Internal Medicine, Diakonhjemmet Hospital, Oslo, Norway
| | - B Halvorsen
- Research Institute of Internal Medicine, Oslo University Hospital, Oslo, Norway
| | - G A Høie
- Department of Cardiology, Østfold Hospital Trust, Grålum, Norway
| | - H Ihle-Hansen
- Stroke Unit, Oslo University Hospital, Ullevål, Oslo, Norway
| | - H Ihle-Hansen
- Department of Internal Medicine, Vestre Viken Hospital Trust, Bærum Hospital, Gjettum, Norway
| | - S Ingebrigtsen
- Department of Neurology, University Hospital of North Norway, Tromsø, Norway
| | - C Kremer
- Department of Neurology, Skåne University Hospital, Malmö, Sweden
- Department of Clinical Sciences, Lund University, Lund, Sweden
| | - S B Krogseth
- Department of Neurology, Vestfold Hospital, Tønsberg, Norway
| | - C Kruuse
- Department of Neurology, Herlev Gentofte Hospital, Herlev, Denmark
| | - M Kurz
- Department of Neurology, Stavanger University Hospital, Stavanger, Norway
| | - I Nakstad
- Department of Neurology, Vestre Viken Hospital Trust, Drammen Hospital, Drammen, Norway
| | - V Novotny
- Department of Neurology, Haukeland University Hospital, Bergen, Norway
| | - H Næss
- Department of Neurology, Haukeland University Hospital, Bergen, Norway
| | - R Qazi
- Department of Internal Medicine, Diakonhjemmet Hospital, Oslo, Norway
| | - M K Rezaj
- Department of Neurology, Stavanger University Hospital, Stavanger, Norway
| | - D M Rørholt
- Department of Neurology, Molde Hospital, Molde, Norway
| | - L H Steffensen
- Department of Neurology, University Hospital of North Norway, Tromsø, Norway
| | - J Sømark
- Department of Neurology, Innlandet Hospital Trust, Lillehammer Hospital, Lillehammer, Norway
| | - H Tobro
- Department of Neurology, Telemark Hospital, Skien, Norway
| | - T C Truelsen
- Department of Neurology, Rigshospitalet University Hospital, Copenhagen, Denmark
| | - L Wassvik
- Department of Neurology, Bispebjerg University Hospital, Copenhagen, Denmark
| | - K L Ægidius
- Department of Neurology, Bispebjerg University Hospital, Copenhagen, Denmark
| | - D Atar
- Institute of Clinical Medicine, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway
- Department of Cardiology, Oslo University Hospital, Ullevål, Oslo, Norway
| | - Anne Hege Aamodt
- Department of Neurology, Oslo University Hospital, Rikshospitalet, Oslo, Norway.
- Department of Neuromedicine and Movement Science, Norwegian University of Science and Technology (NTNU), Trondheim, Norway.
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Hsieh CY, Kao HM, Sung KL, Sposato LA, Sung SF, Lin SJ. Validation of Risk Scores for Predicting Atrial Fibrillation Detected After Stroke Based on an Electronic Medical Record Algorithm: A Registry-Claims-Electronic Medical Record Linked Data Study. Front Cardiovasc Med 2022; 9:888240. [PMID: 35571191 PMCID: PMC9098928 DOI: 10.3389/fcvm.2022.888240] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/02/2022] [Accepted: 04/11/2022] [Indexed: 11/30/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Poststroke atrial fibrillation (AF) screening aids decisions regarding the optimal secondary prevention strategies in patients with acute ischemic stroke (AIS). We used an electronic medical record (EMR) algorithm to identify AF in a cohort of AIS patients, which were used to validate eight risk scores for predicting AF detected after stroke (AFDAS). Methods We used linked data between a hospital stroke registry and a deidentified database including EMRs and administrative claims data. EMR algorithms were constructed to identify AF using diagnostic and medication codes as well as free clinical text. Based on the optimal EMR algorithm, the incidence rate of AFDAS was estimated. The predictive performance of 8 risk scores including AS5F, C2HEST, CHADS2, CHA2DS2-VASc, CHASE-LESS, HATCH, HAVOC, and Re-CHARGE-AF scores, were compared using the C-index, net reclassification improvement, integrated discrimination improvement, calibration curve, and decision curve analysis. Results The algorithm that defines AF as any positive mention of AF-related keywords in electrocardiography or echocardiography reports, or presence of diagnostic codes of AF was used to identify AF. Among the 5,412 AIS patients without known AF at stroke admission, the incidence rate of AFDAS was 84.5 per 1,000 person-year. The CHASE-LESS and AS5F scores were well calibrated and showed comparable C-indices (0.741 versus 0.730, p = 0.223), which were significantly higher than the other risk scores. Conclusion The CHASE-LESS and AS5F scores demonstrated adequate discrimination and calibration for predicting AFDAS. Both simple risk scores may help select patients for intensive AF monitoring.
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Affiliation(s)
- Cheng-Yang Hsieh
- Department of Neurology, Tainan Sin Lau Hospital, Tainan City, Taiwan
- School of Pharmacy, Institute of Clinical Pharmacy and Pharmaceutical Sciences, College of Medicine, National Cheng Kung University, Tainan City, Taiwan
| | - Hsuan-Min Kao
- Division of Geriatrics, Department of Internal Medicine, Ditmanson Medical Foundation Chia-Yi Christian Hospital, Chiayi City, Taiwan
| | - Kuan-Lin Sung
- School of Medicine, National Taiwan University, Taipei City, Taiwan
| | - Luciano A. Sposato
- Department of Clinical Neurological Sciences, Schulich School of Medicine and Dentistry, Western University, London, ON, Canada
- Heart & Brain Laboratory, Western University, London, ON, Canada
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics and Anatomy and Cell Biology, Schulich School of Medicine and Dentistry, Western University, London, ON, Canada
- Robarts Research Institute, Western University, London, ON, Canada
- Lawson Health Research Institute, London, ON, Canada
| | - Sheng-Feng Sung
- Division of Neurology, Department of Internal Medicine, Ditmanson Medical Foundation Chia-Yi Christian Hospital, Chiayi City, Taiwan
- Department of Nursing, Min-Hwei Junior College of Health Care Management, Tainan City, Taiwan
- *Correspondence: Sheng-Feng Sung, ;
| | - Swu-Jane Lin
- Department of Pharmacy Systems, Outcomes and Policy, College of Pharmacy, University of Illinois at Chicago, Chicago, IL, United States
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