Association of No Evidence of Disease Activity With No Long-term Disability Progression in Multiple Sclerosis: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

Association of Disease-Modifying Treatment With Outcome in Patients With Relapsing Multiple Sclerosis and Isolated MRI Activity

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Isolated value of MRI metrics in relapsing multiple sclerosis (RMS) as a surrogate marker of response to disease-modifying treatment (DMT) and, thus, as decision criteria for DMT escalation in the absence of clinical signs of disease activity is still a matter of debate. The aim of this study was to investigate whether DMT escalation based on isolated MRI activity affects clinical outcome.

METHODS

Combining data from 5 MS centers in Austria and Switzerland, we included patients with RMS aged at least 18 years who (1) had initiated first-line, low-to-moderate-efficacy DMT (interferon β, glatiramer acetate, teriflunomide, or dimethyl fumarate) continued for ≥12 months, (2) were clinically stable (no relapses or disability progression) on DMT for 12 months, (3) had MRI at baseline and after 12 months on DMT, and (4) had available clinical follow-up for ≥2 years after the second MRI. The primary endpoint was occurrence of relapse during follow-up. The number of new T2 lesions (T2L) and DMT strategy (continuing low-/moderate-efficacy DMT vs escalating DMT) were used as covariates in regression analyses.

RESULTS

A total of 131 patients with RMS, median age of 36 (25th-75th percentiles: 29-43) years, 73% women, were included and observed over a median period of 6 (5-9) years after second MRI. Sixty-two (47%) patients had relapse. Patients who continued first-line DMT had a 3-fold increased risk of relapse given 2 new T2L (hazard ratio [HR] 3.2, lower limit [LL] of 95% CI: 1.5) and a 4-fold increased risk given ≥3 new T2L (HR 4.0, LL-CI: 2.1). Escalation of DMT lowered the risk of relapse in patients with 2 new T2L by approximately 80% (HR 0.2, upper limit [UL] of 95% CI: 1.3) and with ≥3 new T2L by 70% (HR 0.3, UL-CI: 0.8). In case of only 1 new T2L, the increased risk of relapse and the treatment effect did not reach statistical significance of 5%.

DISCUSSION

In our real-world cohort of patients clinically stable under low-to-moderate-efficacy DMT, escalation of DMT based on isolated MRI activity decreased risk of further relapse when at least 2 new T2L had occurred.

CLASSIFICATION OF EVIDENCE

This study provides Class III evidence that clinically stable patients with MS on low-/moderate-efficacy DMT with ≥3 new T2L on MRI who escalate DMT have a reduced risk of relapse and Expanded Disability Status Scale progression.

Multiple sclerosis: emerging epidemiological trends and redefining the clinical course

Multiple sclerosis is a chronic, inflammatory, and neurodegenerative disease of the central nervous system and a major cause of neurological disability in young adults. Its prevalence and incidence are increasing, and it has been estimated at over 2.8 million cases worldwide, in addition to recent trends towards a shift in MS prevalence to older ages, with peak prevalence estimates in the sixth decade of life. Although historically the relapsing and progressive phases of the disease have been considered separate clinical entities, recent evidence of progression independent of relapse activity (PIRA) has led to a reconsideration of multiple sclerosis as a continuum, in which relapsing and progressive features variably coexist from the earliest stages of the disease, challenging the traditional view of the disease course. In this Series article, we provide an overview of how the traditional description of the clinical course of MS and epidemiological trends in Europe have evolved. For this purpose, we focus on the concept of PIRA, discussing its potential as the main mechanism by which patients acquire disability, how its definition varies between studies, and ongoing research in this field. We emphasise the importance of incorporating the assessment of hidden clinical manifestations into patient management to help uncover and quantify the PIRA phenomenon and the possible implications for future changes in the clinical classification of the disease. At the same time, we provide insights into overcoming the challenges of identifying and defining PIRA and adopting a new understanding of the clinical course of MS.

Association of Levels of CSF Osteopontin With Cortical Atrophy and Disability in Early Multiple Sclerosis

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

To evaluate CSF inflammatory markers with accumulation of cortical damage as well as disease activity in patients with early relapsing-remitting MS (RRMS).

METHODS

CSF levels of osteopontin (OPN) and 66 inflammatory markers were assessed using an immune-assay multiplex technique in 107 patients with RRMS (82 F/25 M, mean age 35.7 ± 11.8 years). All patients underwent regular clinical assessment and yearly 3T MRI scans for 2 years while 39 patients had a 4-year follow-up. White matter lesion number and volume, cortical lesions (CLs) and volume, and global cortical thickness (CTh) were evaluated together with the 'no evidence of disease activity' (NEDA-3) status, defined by no relapses, no disability worsening, and no MRI activity, including CLs.

RESULTS

The random forest algorithm selected OPN, CXCL13, TWEAK, TNF, IL19, sCD30, sTNFR1, IL35, IL16, and sCD163 as significantly associated with changes in global CTh. OPN and CXCL13 were most related to accumulation of atrophy after 2 and 4 years. In a multivariate linear regression model on CSF markers, OPN (p < 0.001), CXCL13 (p = 0.001), and sTNFR1 (p = 0.024) were increased in those patients with accumulating atrophy (adjusted R-squared 0.615). The 10 markers were added in a model that included all clinical, demographic, and MRI variables: OPN (p = 0.002) and IL19 (p = 0.022) levels were confirmed to be significantly increased in patients developing more CTh change over the follow-up (adjusted R-squared 0.619). CXCL13 and OPN also revealed the best association with NEDA-3 after 2 years, with OPN significantly linked to disability accumulation (OR 2.468 [1.46-5.034], p = 0.004) at the multivariate logistic regression model.

DISCUSSION

These data confirm and expand our knowledge on the prognostic role of the CSF inflammatory profile in predicting changes in cortical pathology and disease activity in early MS. The data emphasize a crucial role of OPN.

Treatment Monitoring in Multiple Sclerosis - Efficacy and Safety

Magnetic resonance imaging is the most sensitive method for detecting inflammatory activity in multiple sclerosis, particularly in the brain where it reveals subclinical inflammation. Established MRI markers include contrast-enhancing lesions and active T2 lesions. Recent promising markers like slowly expanding lesions and phase rim lesions are being explored for monitoring chronic inflammation, but require further validation for clinical use. Volumetric and quantitative MRI techniques are currently limited to clinical trials and are not yet recommended for routine clinical use. Additionally, MRI is crucial for detecting complications from disease-modifying treatments and for implementing MRI-based pharmacovigilance strategies, such as in patients treated with natalizumab.

Adult and pediatric relapsing multiple sclerosis phase II and phase III trial design and their primary end points: A systematic review

No systematic review of trial designs in patients with relapsing multiple sclerosis (RMS) was reported. This systematic review was conducted on the trial designs and primary end points (PEs) of phase II and III trials intended to modify the natural course of the disease in patients with RMS. The purpose of the study is to explore trends/topics and discussion points in clinical trial design and PE, comparing them to regulatory guidelines and expert recommendations. Three trial registration systems, ClinicalTrials.gov, the EU Clinical Trials Register, and the Japan Registry of Clinical Trials, were used and 60 trials were evaluated. The dominant clinical trial design was a randomized controlled parallel-arms trial and other details were as follows: in adult phase III confirmatory trials (n = 32), active-controlled double-blind trial (DBT) (53%) and active-controlled open-label assessor-masking trial (16%); in adult phase II dose-finding trials (n = 9), placebo- and active-controlled DBT (44%), placebo-controlled DBT (22%), and placebo-controlled add-on DBT (22%); and in pediatric phase III confirmatory trials (n = 8), active-controlled DBT (38%) and active-controlled open-label non-masking trial (25%). The most common PEs were as follows: in adult confirmatory trials, annual relapse rate (ARR) (56%) and no evidence of disease activity-3 (NEDA-3) (13%); in adult dose-finding trials, the cumulative number of T1 gadolinium-enhancing lesions (56%), combined unique active lesions (22%), and overall disability response score (22%); and in pediatric confirmatory trials, ARR (38%) and time to first relapse (25%). It was suggested that some parts of the regulatory guidelines and expert recommendations need to be revised.

Real-world experience of teriflunomide in relapsing multiple sclerosis: paramagnetic rim lesions may play a role

Objectives

The aims of this study were to report the effectiveness and safety of teriflunomide in Chinese patients with relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) and to explore the association of paramagnetic rim lesion (PRL) burden with patient outcome in the context of teriflunomide treatment and the impact of teriflunomide on PRL burden.

Methods

This is a prospective observational study. A total of 100 RRMS patients treated with teriflunomide ≥3 months were included in analyzing drug persistence and safety. Among them, 96 patients treated ≥6 months were included in assessing drug effectiveness in aspects of no evidence of disease activity (NEDA) 3. The number and total volume of PRL were calculated in 76 patients with baseline susceptibility-weighted imaging (SWI), and their association with NEDA3 failure during teriflunomide treatment was investigated.

Results

Over a treatment period of 19.7 (3.1-51.7) months, teriflunomide reduced annualized relapse rate (ARR) from 1.1 ± 0.8 to 0.3 ± 0.5, and Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) scores remained stable. At month 24, the NEDA3% and drug persistence rate were 43.8% and 65.1%, respectively. In patients with a baseline SWI, 81.6% had at least 1 PRL, and 42.1% had ≥4 PRLs. The total volume of PRL per patient was 0.3 (0.0-11.5) mL, accounting for 2.3% (0.0%-49.0%) of the total T2 lesion volume. Baseline PRL number ≥ 4 (OR = 4.24, p = 0.009), younger onset age (OR = 0.94, p = 0.039), and frequent relapses in initial 2 years of disease (OR = 13.40, p = 0.026) were associated with NEDA3 failure. The PRL number and volume were not reduced (p = 0.343 and 0.051) after teriflunomide treatment for more than 24 months. No new safety concerns were identified in this study.

Conclusion

Teriflunomide is effective in reducing ARR in Chinese patients with RRMS. Patients with less PRL burden, less frequent relapses, and relatively older age are likely to benefit more from teriflunomide, indicating that PRL might be a valuable measurement to inform clinical treatment decision.

No Evidence of Disease Activity (NEDA) as a Clinical Assessment Tool for Multiple Sclerosis: Clinician and Patient Perspectives [Narrative Review]

The emergence of high-efficacy therapies for multiple sclerosis (MS), which target inflammation more effectively than traditional disease-modifying therapies, has led to a shift in MS management towards achieving the outcome assessment known as no evidence of disease activity (NEDA). The most common NEDA definition, termed NEDA-3, is a composite of three related measures of disease activity: no clinical relapses, no disability progression, and no radiological activity. NEDA has been frequently used as a composite endpoint in clinical trials, but there is growing interest in its use as an assessment tool to help patients and healthcare professionals navigate treatment decisions in the clinic. Raising awareness about NEDA may therefore help patients and clinicians make more informed decisions around MS management and improve overall MS care. This review aims to explore the potential utility of NEDA as a clinical decision-making tool and treatment target by summarizing the literature on its current use in the context of the expanding treatment landscape. We identify current challenges to the use of NEDA in clinical practice and detail the proposed amendments, such as the inclusion of alternative outcomes and biomarkers, to broaden the clinical information captured by NEDA. These themes are further illustrated with the real-life perspectives and experiences of our two patient authors with MS. This review is intended to be an educational resource to support discussions between clinicians and patients on this evolving approach to MS-specialized care.

Effectiveness of teriflunomide on No Evidence of Disease Activity and cognition in relapsing remitting multiple sclerosis: results of the NEDA3PLUS study

BACKGROUND

Cognitive impairment (CI) is a prevalent and debilitating manifestation of multiple sclerosis (MS); however, it is not included in the widely used concept of No Evidence of Disease Activity (NEDA-3). We expanded the NEDA-3 concept to NEDA-3 + by encompassing CI assessed through the Symbol Digit Modality Test (SDMT) and evaluated the effect of teriflunomide on NEDA3 + in patients treated in a real-world setting. The value of NEDA-3 + in predicting disability progression was also assessed.

METHODS

This 96-weeks observational study enrolled patients already on treatment with teriflunomide for ≥ 24 weeks. The predictiveness of NEDA-3 and NEDA-3 + at 48 weeks on the change in motor disability at 96 weeks was compared through a two-sided McNemar test.

RESULTS

The full analysis set (n = 128; 38% treatment naïve) featured relatively low level of disability (baseline EDSS = 1.97 ± 1.33). NEDA-3 and NEDA-3 + statuses were achieved by 82.8% and 64.8% of patients, respectively at 48 weeks vs. baseline, and by 57.0% and 49.2% of patients, respectively at 96 weeks vs. baseline. All patients except one were free of disability progression at Week 96, and NEDA-3 and NEDA-3 + were equally predictive. Most patients were free of relapse (87.5%), disability progression (94.5%) and new MRI activity (67.2%) comparing 96 weeks with baseline. SDMT scores were stable in patients with baseline score ˃35 and improved significantly in those with baseline score ≤ 35. Treatment persistence was high (81.0% at Week 96).

CONCLUSION

Teriflunomide confirmed its real-world efficacy and was found to have a potentially beneficial effect on cognition.

Improving the efficiency of clinical trials in multiple sclerosis

BACKGROUND

Phase 3 clinical trials for disease-modifying therapies in relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) have utilized a limited number of conventional designs with a high degree of success. However, these designs limit the types of questions that can be addressed, and the time and cost required. Moreover, trials involving people with progressive multiple sclerosis (MS) have been less successful.

OBJECTIVE

The objective of this paper is to discuss complex innovative trial designs, intermediate and composite outcomes and to improve the efficiency of trial design in MS and broaden questions that can be addressed, particularly as applied to progressive MS.

METHODS

We held an international workshop with experts in clinical trial design.

RESULTS

Recommendations include increasing the use of complex innovative designs, developing biomarkers to enrich progressive MS trial populations, prioritize intermediate outcomes for further development that target therapeutic mechanisms of action other than peripherally mediated inflammation, investigate acceptability to people with MS of data linkage for studying long-term outcomes of clinical trials, use Bayesian designs to potentially reduce sample sizes required for pediatric trials, and provide sustained funding for platform trials and registries that can support pragmatic trials.

CONCLUSION

Novel trial designs and further development of intermediate outcomes may improve clinical trial efficiency in MS and address novel therapeutic questions.

Association of NEDA-4 With No Long-term Disability Progression in Multiple Sclerosis and Comparison With NEDA-3: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

Background and Objectives

No evidence of disease activity (NEDA)-4 has been suggested as a treatment target for disease-modifying therapy (DMT) in relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS). However, the ability of NEDA-4 to discriminate long-term outcomes in MS and how its performance compares with NEDA-3 remain uncertain. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to evaluate (1) the association between NEDA-4 and no long-term disability progression in MS and (2) the comparative performance of NEDA-3 and NEDA-4 in predicting no long-term disability progression.

Methods

English-language abstracts and manuscripts were systematically searched in MEDLINE, Embase, and the Cochrane databases from January 2006 to November 2021 and reviewed independently by 2 investigators. We selected studies that assessed NEDA-4 at 1 or 2 years after DMT start and had at least 4 years of follow-up for determination of no confirmed disability progression. We conducted a meta-analysis using random-effects model to determine the pooled odds ratio (OR) for no disability progression with NEDA-4 vs EDA-4. For the comparative analysis, we selected studies that evaluated both NEDA-3 and NEDA-4 with at least 4 years of follow-up and examined the difference in the association of NEDA-3 and NEDA-4 with no disability progression.

Results

Five studies of 1,000 patients (3 interferon beta and 2 fingolimod) met inclusion criteria for both objectives. The median duration of follow-up was 6 years (interquartile range: 4–6 years). The prevalence of NEDA-4 ranged from 4.2% to 13.9% on interferon beta therapy and 24.9% to 25.1% on fingolimod therapy. The pooled OR for no long-term confirmed disability progression with NEDA-4 vs EDA-4 was 2.14 (95% confidence interval: 1.36–3.37; I² = 0). We did not observe any significant difference between NEDA-4 and NEDA-3 in the comparative analyses.

Discussion

In patients with RRMS, NEDA-4 at 1–2 years was associated with 2 times higher odds of no long-term disability progression, at 6 years compared with EDA-4, but offered no advantage over NEDA-3.