Efficient, nonparametric removal of noise and recovery of probability distributions from time series using nonlinear-correlation functions: Photon and photon-counting noise

A preceding paper [M. Dhar, J. A. Dickinson, and M. A. Berg, J. Chem. Phys. 159, 054110 (2023)] shows how to remove additive noise from an experimental time series, allowing both the equilibrium distribution of the system and its Green's function to be recovered. The approach is based on nonlinear-correlation functions and is fully nonparametric: no initial model of the system or of the noise is needed. However, single-molecule spectroscopy often produces time series with either photon or photon-counting noise. Unlike additive noise, photon noise is signal-size correlated and quantized. Photon counting adds the potential for bias. This paper extends noise-corrected-correlation methods to these cases and tests them on synthetic datasets. Neither signal-size correlation nor quantization is a significant complication. Analysis of the sampling error yields guidelines for the data quality needed to recover the properties of a system with a given complexity. We show that bias in photon-counting data can be corrected, even at the high count rates needed to optimize the time resolution. Using all these results, we discuss the factors that limit the time resolution of single-molecule spectroscopy and the conditions that would be needed to push measurements into the submicrosecond region.

Increasing the accuracy of single-molecule data analysis using tMAVEN

Time-dependent single-molecule experiments contain rich kinetic information about the functional dynamics of biomolecules. A key step in extracting this information is the application of kinetic models, such as hidden Markov models (HMMs), which characterize the molecular mechanism governing the experimental system. Unfortunately, researchers rarely know the physicochemical details of this molecular mechanism a priori, which raises questions about how to select the most appropriate kinetic model for a given single-molecule data set and what consequences arise if the wrong model is chosen. To address these questions, we have developed and used time-series modeling, analysis, and visualization environment (tMAVEN), a comprehensive, open-source, and extensible software platform. tMAVEN can perform each step of the single-molecule analysis pipeline, from preprocessing to kinetic modeling to plotting, and has been designed to enable the analysis of a single-molecule data set with multiple types of kinetic models. Using tMAVEN, we have systematically investigated mismatches between kinetic models and molecular mechanisms by analyzing simulated examples of prototypical single-molecule data sets exhibiting common experimental complications, such as molecular heterogeneity, with a series of different types of HMMs. Our results show that no single kinetic modeling strategy is mathematically appropriate for all experimental contexts. Indeed, HMMs only correctly capture the underlying molecular mechanism in the simplest of cases. As such, researchers must modify HMMs using physicochemical principles to avoid the risk of missing the significant biological and biophysical insights into molecular heterogeneity that their experiments provide. By enabling the facile, side-by-side application of multiple types of kinetic models to individual single-molecule data sets, tMAVEN allows researchers to carefully tailor their modeling approach to match the complexity of the underlying biomolecular dynamics and increase the accuracy of their single-molecule data analyses.

Biophysical Models of PAR Cluster Transport by Cortical Flow in C. elegans Early Embryogenesis

The clustering of membrane-bound proteins facilitates their transport by cortical actin flow in early Caenorhabditis elegans embryo cell polarity. PAR-3 clustering is critical for this process, yet the biophysical processes that couple protein clusters to cortical flow remain unknown. We develop a discrete, stochastic agent-based model of protein clustering and test four hypothetical models for how clusters may interact with the flow. Results show that the canonical way to assess transport characteristics from single-particle tracking data used thus far in this area, the Péclet number, is insufficient to distinguish these hypotheses and that all models can account for transport characteristics quantified by this measure. However, using this model, we demonstrate that these different cluster-cortex interactions may be distinguished using a different metric, namely the scalar projection of cluster displacement on to the flow displacement vector. Our results thus provide a testable way to use existing single-particle tracking data to test how endogenous protein clusters may interact with the cortical flow to localize during polarity establishment. To facilitate this investigation, we also develop both improved simulation and semi-analytic methodologies to quantify motion summary statistics (e.g., Péclet number and scalar projection) for these stochastic models as a function of biophysical parameters.

Bayesian Inference: The Comprehensive Approach to Analyzing Single-Molecule Experiments

Biophysics experiments performed at single-molecule resolution provide exceptional insight into the structural details and dynamic behavior of biological systems. However, extracting this information from the corresponding experimental data unequivocally requires applying a biophysical model. In this review, we discuss how to use probability theory to apply these models to single-molecule data. Many current single-molecule data analysis methods apply parts of probability theory, sometimes unknowingly, and thus miss out on the full set of benefits provided by this self-consistent framework. The full application of probability theory involves a process called Bayesian inference that fully accounts for the uncertainties inherent to single-molecule experiments. Additionally, using Bayesian inference provides a scientifically rigorous method of incorporating information from multiple experiments into a single analysis and finding the best biophysical model for an experiment without the risk of overfitting the data. These benefits make the Bayesian approach ideal for analyzing any type of single-molecule experiment.