Prognostic effect of perioperative change of serum carcinoembryonic antigen level: a useful tool for detection of systemic recurrence in rectal cancer

Association of preoperative and recurrent serum carcinoembryonic antigen and outcome of colorectal cancer patients with metastatic relapse

Background

Seldom have the associations of preoperative CEA (p-CEA) and recurrent CEA (r-CEA) levels as well as changes in p-CEA and r-CEA with survival in patients with stage I-III colorectal cancer (CRC) who have experienced metastatic relapse, been thoroughly examined.

Methods

241 consecutive patients with stage I-III CRC who experienced metastatic relapse at Fudan University Shanghai Cancer Center (FUSCC) between January 2008 and January 2016 were investigated. The influence of p-CEA, r-CEA and CEA alteration on the overall survival (OS) and relapse-to-death survival (RDS) was evaluated. The restricted cubic spline regression model was employed to explore the optimal cut-off value of CEA.

Results

All 241 patients were categorized into four groups built on their CEA alteration patterns as follows: A, patients presenting elevated p-CEA levels but normal r-CEA levels (P-N); B, patients displaying normal levels of both p-CEA and r-CEA (N-N); C, patients exhibiting elevated levels of both p-CEA and r-CEA (P-P); D, patients with normal p-CEA levels but elevated r-CEA levels (N-P). The correlation between p-CEA and OS (P = 0.3266) and RDS (P = 0.2263) was insignificant. However, r-CEA exhibited a significant association with both OS (P = 0.0005) and RDS (P = 0.0002). Group A demonstrated the longest OS and RDS, whereas group D exhibited the poorest OS and RDS outcomes. For both OS and RDS, the CEA alteration groups served as an independent prognostic indicator. The optimal cut-off threshold for CEA was determined to be 5.1 ng/ml via the restricted cubic spline regression model.

Conclusion

r-CEA has a stronger correlation with OS and RDS in individuals with stage I-III CRC who have experienced metastatic relapse.The change between p-CEA and r-CEA could further indicate post-relapse survival, thereby facilitating the assessment of mortality risk stratification in stage I-III CRC patients experiencing metastatic relapse.

Tumor Marker Trajectories and Survival Analysis in Patients With Normal Carcinoembryonic Antigen Ranges After Colorectal Cancer Resection

BACKGROUND

Evidence regarding postoperative CEA for predicting long-term outcomes of colorectal cancer remains controversial, especially in patients with normal postoperative CEA.

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the risk difference among different postoperative CEA trajectories in patients with normal postoperative CEA after curative colorectal cancer resection.

DESIGN

This cohort study was conducted at a comprehensive cancer center and included data retrieved from a prospectively collected database between January 2006 and December 2018.

SETTINGS

Retrospective cohort study.

PATIENTS

Patients with colorectal cancer who underwent surgery for primary stage I to III colorectal adenocarcinoma were included and those with postoperative CEA >5 ng/mL were excluded.

INTERVENTIONS

Standard curative radical resection was performed.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Ten-year overall survival and disease-free survival were analyzed.

RESULTS

The study population (n = 8156) was categorized into 6 trajectories: persistent-ultralow (n = 2351), persistent-low (n = 2474), gradually decrease (n = 401), persistent-medium (n = 1727), slightly increase (n = 909), and around-upper-limit (n = 394). The median follow-up time was 7.8 years, and the median time frame in which CEA was measured to determine trajectory was 2.6 years. The persistent-ultralow group had the highest 10-year overall survival (85.1%) and disease-free survival (82.7%). The around-upper-limit group had the lowest 10-year overall survival (55.5%) and disease-free survival (53.4%). The adjusted HR trend was comparable to the crude HR of the persistent-ultralow group. Consequently, the higher initial serum CEA groups had higher HRs of overall survival and disease-free survival. The adjusted HR of overall survival was 2.96 (95% CI, 2.39-3.66) and of disease-free survival was 2.66 (95% CI, 2.18-3.69) for the around-upper-limit groups.

LIMITATIONS

Retrospective design.

CONCLUSIONS

The postoperative serum CEA trajectory is an independent factor associated with long-term outcomes. Although CEA levels were all within normal range, higher levels of postoperative serum CEA trajectory correlated with worse long-term oncological outcomes. See Video Abstract.

TRAYECTORIAS DE MARCADORES TUMORALES Y ANLISIS DE SUPERVIVENCIA EN PACIENTES CON RANGOS NORMALES DE ANTGENO CARCINOEMBRIONARIO POSTERIOR A RESECCIN DE CNCER COLORRECTAL

ANTECEDENTES:La evidencia sobre el CEA post operatorio para la predicción de los resultados a largo plazo del cáncer colorrectal sigue siendo controversial, especialmente en pacientes con CEA post quirúrgico normal.OBJETIVO:Investigar la diferencia de riesgo entre diferentes trayectorias postoperatorias del CEA en pacientes con CEA post quirúrgico normal tras la resección curativa del cáncer colorrectal.DISEÑO:Este estudio de cohorte se realizó en un centro oncológico integral e incluyó datos recuperados de una base de datos recopilada prospectivamente entre enero de 2006 y diciembre de 2018.AJUSTES:Estudio de cohorte retrospectivo.PACIENTES:Se incluyeron pacientes con el diagnostico de CCR que fueron sometidos a cirugía por adenocarcinoma colorrectal primario en estadio I-III. Se excluyeron pacientes con CEA postoperatorio >5 ng/mL.INTERVENCIONES:Se realizó una resección radical curativa estandarizada.PRINCIPALES MEDIDAS DE RESULTADO:Se analizaron la supervivencia general a diez años y la supervivencia libre de enfermedad.RESULTADOS:La población de estudio (n = 8156) fue clasificada en seis trayectorias, que incluyeron ultrabajo persistente (n = 2351), bajo persistente (n = 2474), disminución gradual (n = 401), medio persistente (n = 1727), aumento leve (n = 909) y alrededor del límite superior (n = 394). La mediana del tiempo de seguimiento fue de 7,8 años y la mediana del período de tiempo en el que el CEA fue medido para determinar la trayectoria fue de 2,6 años. El grupo ultrabajo persistente tuvo la mayor supervivencia general a 10 años (85,1 %) y supervivencia libre de enfermedad (82,7 %). El grupo alrededor del límite superior tuvo la supervivencia general a 10 años más baja (55,5 %) y la supervivencia libre de enfermedad (53,4 %). La tendencia del índice de riesgo ajustado fue comparable al índice de riesgo bruto del grupo ultrabajo persistente. En consecuencia, los grupos con CEA sérico iniciales más altos tenían índices de riesgos más altos de supervivencia general y supervivencia libre de enfermedad. Los índices de riesgos ajustados de supervivencia general/supervivencia libre de enfermedad fueron 2,96/2,66 (intervalo de confianza del 95 %: 2,39-3,66/2,18-3,69) para los grupos cercanos al límite superior.LIMITACIONES:El estudio estuvo limitado por su diseño retrospectivo.CONCLUSIONES:La trayectoria del CEA sérico postoperatorio es un factor independiente asociado con resultados a largo plazo. Aunque los niveles de CEA se encontraban todos dentro del rango normal, los niveles más altos de trayectoria del CEA en suero posoperatorio se correlacionaron con peores resultados oncológicos a largo plazo. (Traducción-Dr Osvaldo Gauto ).

Unexplained increases in serum carcinoembryonic antigen levels in colorectal cancer patients during the postoperative follow-up period: an analysis of its incidence and longitudinal pattern

BACKGROUND

Carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) monitoring facilitates the detection of recurrence in patients with colorectal cancer (CRC) after resection. False-positive CEA has been reported in CRC patients with certain comorbidities or smokers. However, limited information is currently available on the frequency of and changes in falsely elevated CEA levels in patients without these conditions.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We retrospectively examined CRC patients who underwent surgical resection at our hospital between 2001 and 2017, had no recurrence for at least five years, and were free of known factors that may increase CEA. Postoperative CEA levels were retrieved until 2 years before the last contact. For comparison, we similarly selected patients who developed recurrence after resection of CRC during the same period, and CEA levels at initial presentation, at nadir, and at the time of recurrence were reviewed. The patterns of elevated CEA (>5 ng/ml) were classified as transient, repeated, or persistent based on longitudinal changes. The relationships between CEA and carbohydrate antigen 19-9, transaminases, creatinine, and C-reactive protein were examined.

RESULTS

CEA elevation occurred in 90 (20%) out of 446 eligible patients without recurrence at least once during the mean postoperative period of 50.5 months, whereas CEA was >5 ng/ml in 117 (53%) of 221 patients when they developed recurrence. Twenty-seven patients without recurrence showed a transient elevation in CEA, 45 repeated elevations, and 18 a persistent elevation; the frequency of a high preoperative CEA level increased in this order. The majority (98%) of false elevations ranged between 5 and 15 ng/ml. CEA was not associated with other laboratory data.

CONCLUSIONS

Unexplained CEA elevations were observed in 20% of recurrence-free CRC patients after surgery, and were classified into three patterns based on longitudinal changes. A more detailed understanding of patient-specific fluctuations in CEA will prevent unnecessary imaging studies and reduce medical costs.

Long-term follow-up of HER2 overexpression in patients with rectal cancer after preoperative radiotherapy: A prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

The role of HER2 overexpression in rectal cancer is controversial.

AIM

To assess the role of HER2 overexpression in the long-term prognosis of rectal cancer.

METHODS

Data from patients with locally advanced rectal cancer who underwent total mesorectal excision after short-course radiotherapy at Beijing Cancer Hospital between May 2002 and October 2005 were collected. A total of 151 tissue samples of rectal cancer were obtained using rigid proctoscopy before neoadjuvant radiotherapy, followed by immunohistochemistry and fluorescence in situ hybridisation to determine the patients’ HER2 expression status. Univariate and multivariate analyses of the associations between the clinicopathological factors and HER2 status were performed. Survival was estimated and compared using the Kaplan-Meier method based on HER2 expression status, and the differences between groups were verified using the log-rank test.

RESULTS

A total of 151 patients were enrolled in this study. A total of 27 (17.9%) patients were ultimately confirmed to be HER2-positive. The follow-up duration ranged from 9 mo to 210 mo, with a median of 134 mo. Distant metastasis and local recurrence occurred in 60 (39.7%) and 24 (15.9%) patients, respectively. HER2 positivity was significantly associated with the pre-treatment lymph node stage (pre-N) (P = 0.040), while there were no differences between HER2 status and age, sex, preoperative CEA levels (pre-CEA), T stage, and lympho-vascular invasion. In terms of prognosis, HER2 overexpression was correlated with distant metastasis (P = 0.002) rather than local recurrence (P > 0.05). The multivariate analysis demonstrated that elevated pre-CEA [P = 0.002, odds ratio (OR) = 3.277, 97.5% confidence interval (CI): 1.543-7.163], post N(+) (P = 0.022, OR = 2.437, 97.5%CI: 1.143-5.308) and HER2(+) (P = 0.003, OR = 4.222, 97.5%CI: 1.667-11.409) were risk factors for distant metastasis. The survival analysis showed that there were significant differences between rectal cancer patients in terms of disease-free survival (DFS) [hazard ratio: 1.69 (95%CI: 0.91-3.14); P = 0.048] and overall survival (OS) [1.95 (1.05-3.63); P = 0.0077].

CONCLUSION

HER2 overexpression is a potential biomarker for predicting lymph node metastasis and distant metastasis, which are associated with worse long-term DFS and OS in rectal cancer patients with locally advanced disease.

Predictors of pathologic complete response in patients with residual flat mucosal lesions after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy for locally advanced rectal cancer

OBJECTIVE

The accurate prediction of tumor response to neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) remains challenging. Few studies have investigated pathologic complete response (ypCR) prediction in patients with residual flat mucosal lesions after treatment. This study aimed to identify variables for predicting ypCR in patients with residual flat mucosal lesions after nCRT for locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC).

METHODS

Data of patients with residual flat mucosal lesions after nCRT who underwent radical resection between 2009 and 2015 were retrospectively collected from the LARC database at Peking University Cancer Hospital. Univariate and multivariate analyses of the association between clinicopathological factors and ypCR were performed, and a nomogram was constructed by incorporating the significant predictors.

RESULTS

Of the 246 patients with residual flat mucosal lesions included in the final analysis, 56 (22.8%) had ypCR. Univariate and multivariate analyses showed that pretreatment cT stage (pre-cT) ≤T2 (P=0.016), magnetic resonance tumor regression grade (MR-TRG) 1-3 (P=0.001) and residual mucosal lesion depth =0 mm (P<0.001) were associated with a higher rate of ypCR. A nomogram was developed with a concordance index (C-index) of 0.759 and the calibration curve showed that the nomogram model had good predictive consistency. The follow-up time ranged from 3.0 to 113.3 months, with a median follow-up time of 63.77 months. The multivariate Cox regression model showed that the four variables in the nomogram model were not risk factors for disease-free survival (DFS) or overall survival (OS).

CONCLUSIONS

Completely flat mucosa, early cT stage and good MR-TRG were predictive factors for ypCR instead of DFS or OS in patients with LARC with residual flat mucosal lesions after nCRT. Endoscopic mucosal re-evaluation before surgery is important, as it may contribute to decision-making and facilitate nonoperative management or organ preservation.

Combination of Geriatric Nutritional Risk Index and Carcinoembryonic Antigen to Predict the Survival of Patients With Colorectal Cancer

Background

This study explored the value of the combination of Geriatric Nutritional Risk Index (GNRI) and carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) for the prognosis assessment of CRC patients.

Methods

This study retrospectively enrolled 1,014 CRC patients who underwent surgery between 2012 and 2014. Kaplan-Meier and log-rank tests were used to compare survival differences. Cox proportional hazards regression analysis was used to assess risk factors associated with progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS). Nomograms were constructed to predict the prognosis of CRC patients. Randomized internal validation was used to confirm the predictive accuracy of the prognostic nomograms.

Results

The GNRI-CEA score was established by combining GNRI and CEA. Compared with patients with normal GNRI-CEA scores, patients with mild/moderate/severe GNRI-CEA scores had significantly lower survival (PFS, 68.99% vs. 57.75% vs. 41.34% vs. 31.36%, p < 0.001; OS, 68.99% vs. 57.75% vs. 41.34% vs. 31.36%, p < 0.001). The GNRI-CEA score is an independent factor predicting the prognosis of CRC patients. The risk of death was twofold higher in patients with low GNRI and high CEA than in those with both normal GNRI and CEA [PFS, hazard ratio (HR), 2.339; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.656–3.303; p < 0.001; OS, HR, 2.340; 95% CI, 1.645–3.329; p < 0.001]. Prognostic nomograms had good resolution and accuracy in predicting 1–5 year PFS and OS. Randomized internal validation showed that the nomograms were reliable.

Conclusion

The combination of GNRI and CEA can effectively stratify the prognosis of CRC patients. The nomogram established based on the two indices can provide a personalized reference for prognostic assessment and clinical decision-making for CRC patients.

Prognostic value of increased postoperative carcinoembryonic antigen in patients with early intestinal anastomosis leakage who underwent right hemicolectomy surgery

&lt;b&gt; Introduction:&lt;/b&gt; Anastomotic leak after colorectal surgery is a serious complication that causes significant postoperative morbidity and mortality. &lt;/br&gt;&lt;/br&gt; &lt;b&gt;Aim:&lt;/b&gt; This study aimed to investigate the predictive value of increased postoperative carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) in early intestinal anastomosis leakage in patients who underwent right hemicolectomy surgery.&lt;/br&gt;&lt;/br&gt; &lt;b&gt;Material and methods:&lt;/b&gt; In this prospective study, 535 patients who underwent right colon cancer surgery with stapled anastomosis were enrolled. A subset of 315 patients was included in the study after meeting the inclusion criteria. Preoperatively, their serum CEA levels were measured, and on postoperative days 3 and 6, the levels were measured again.&lt;/br&gt;&lt;/br&gt; &lt;b&gt;Results:&lt;/b&gt; Early AL occurred in 18 patients (5.71%). The mean SD age of patients was 65.06 11.69 years. Increased CEA level was associated with increased odds of intestinal AL among the patients after three and six days of surgery (OR after three days = 1.3; 95%CI = 1.11.5, OR after six days = 1.7 95%CI = 1.142.5). The mean CEA level significantly increased among patients with anastomose leakage (P-value &lt; 0.001). &lt;/br&gt;&lt;/br&gt; &lt;b&gt;Conclusion:&lt;/b&gt; The results showed that increasing CEA levels can be used as one of the non-invasive markers in detecting early AL in patients with right colon cancer surgery.

Irisin and Carcinoembryonic Antigen (CEA) as Potential Diagnostic Biomarkers in Gastric and Colorectal Cancers

Background

Carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) is a common gastrointestinal tumor biomarker. Irisin is adipo-myokines that has been suggested to have a potential role in cancer development. However, limited studies test irisin as biomarker in gastric and colorectal cancers. Therefore, this study aims to investigate whether CEA and irisin could be a potential diagnostic biomarker in gastric and colorectal cancer.

Methods

A case-control study consists of 90 subjects, 21 gastric cancer patients, 49 colorectal cancer patients and 20 control. Serum CEA was detected by fluorescence immunoassay (FIA) kit. Serum irisin was determined by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) kit.

Results

Serum CEA increases significantly and serum irisin decreases significantly in gastric and colorectal cancer patients. According to Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve analysis, in gastric cancer, the area under curve of CEA is 1.00 (95% CI, 1.000-1.000, p< 0.0001). The diagnostic cut-off of CEA is< 3.08 ng/ml with %100 sensitivity and 100% specificity. The area under curve of irisin is 0.94 (95% CI, 0.8177-1.000, p< 0.0001). The cut-off of irisin is> 30.2 ng/ml with %90 sensitivity and 100%, specificity. In colorectal cancer, the area under curve of CEA is 0.99 (95% CI, 0.9866-1.000, p< 0.0001) and the diagnostic value< 2.6 ng/ml with %98 sensitivity and %100 specificity. The area under curve of irisin is 0.96 (95% CI, 0.9155-1.000, p< 0.0001). The diagnostic cut-off of irisin is> 41.9 ng/ml with 88.1sensitivity and 90.5 specificity.

Conclusion

CEA and irisin could be powerful potential diagnostic biomarkers which would be use for early detection of gastric and colorectal cancers.

Prognostic significance of the postoperative/preoperative serum CEA level ratio in patients with solitary adrenal metastasis from lung cancer

The present study aimed to evaluate the prognostic significance of the postoperative to preoperative serum carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) level ratio (CEA ratio) in patients with lung cancer with solitary metastasis of the adrenal gland after adrenalectomy. Furthermore, the optimal CEA ratio cutoff value for predicting disease-free survival (DFS) in patients with lung cancer after adrenalectomy was determined. The medical records of patients with lung cancer with isolated adrenal metastasis who underwent adrenalectomy at the National Cancer Center Hospital East (Kashiwa, Japan) between January 2013 and December 2020 were retrospectively reviewed. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis was used to segregate patients into two groups (high and low CEA groups) and the clinical prognosis for the two groups was determined. In addition, the association between the CEA ratio and clinical factors was determined. A total of 14 patients with a median age of 68 years (range, 50-75 years) were analyzed, of which 9 (64%) were males. The optimal cutoff value for the CEA ratio to predict DFS was 0.60. The high CEA ratio group (≥0.60) displayed poorer DFS and cancer-specific survival (P=0.03 and 0.02, respectively). The CEA ratio was significantly associated with the preoperative CEA level (P=0.01) and the high CEA ratio (≥0.60) group had lower preoperative CEA levels. The study suggested that the perioperative CEA ratio may be an important emerging prognostic factor for patients with lung cancer with solitary adrenal gland metastasis. As the sample size was limited, a further study with a larger cohort is required to validate the present findings.

Biomarkers in Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer: A Review

Locally advanced rectal cancers (LARC) are the subject of a rapidly evolving treatment paradigm. The critical timepoints where management decisions are required during the care of the LARC patient are: prior to the institution of any treatment, post neoadjuvant therapy and post-surgery. This article reviews the clinical, imaging, blood-based, tissue-based, and molecular biomarkers that can assist clinicians at these timepoints in the patient's management, in prognosticating for their LARC patients or in predicting responses to therapy in the multi-modality neoadjuvant treatment era.

Can normalized carcinoembryonic antigen following neoadjuvant chemoradiation predict tumour recurrence after curative resection for locally advanced rectal cancer?

AIM

The aim of this work was to evaluate whether normalized carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) following neoadjuvant chemoradiation predicts the prognosis following curative resection in locally advanced rectal cancer.

METHOD

Patients who underwent neoadjuvant chemoradiation and curative resection for locally advanced rectal cancer between 2010 and 2015 were divided into three groups: Group A (n = 119, normal-to-normal): normal CEA before and after neoadjuvant chemoradiation; Group B (n = 37, high-to-normal): elevated CEA before and normal CEA after neoadjuvant chemoradiation; Group C (n = 36, high-to-high): elevated CEA before and after neoadjuvant chemoradiation. Overall and disease-free survival were compared. Univariate and multivariate analyses identified potential predictors for recurrence.

RESULTS

One hundred and ninety two patients [median age 59 years (range 31-87), 65.1% male] were identified: 54.7% had low rectal cancer: 12.5% were clinical stage T4 and 70.3% were clinically node positive; 21.9% achieved complete pathological response; 24.5% had abdominoperineal resection (APR); and 70.3% underwent adjuvant chemotherapy following curative resection. Significantly more patients in Group C underwent APR (p = 0.0209), had advanced pathological T stage (P = 0.0065) and a higher prevalence of perineural invasion (p = 0.0042). Overall and disease-free survival were significantly higher for Group A than for Group C [hazard ratio (HR) = 4.32, 95% CI = 1.66-11.21, p = 0.0026 and HR=2.68, 95% CI = 1.33-5.40, p = 0.0057, respectively]. No significant difference was noted between Groups A and B for overall (p = 0.0591) or disease-free (p = 0.2834) survival. Another risk factor associated with recurrence and death was clinical T4 stage; nodal positivity was a risk factor only for recurrence.

CONCLUSION

Elevated CEA after neoadjuvant chemoradiation and clinical stage T4 disease were unfavourable predictors for overall and disease-free survival. Normalized CEA during neoadjuvant chemoradiation may serve as a prognosticator, although pretreatment CEA may significantly affect survival.

Prognostic value of carcinoembryonic antigen levels before and after curative surgery in colon cancer patients

Purpose

CEA is a useful tumor marker for colon cancer. The aim of this study was to investigate the prognostic value of changes in CEA levels before and after surgery in colon cancer patients who underwent radical surgery.

Methods

A total of 601 colon cancer patients who underwent radical surgery from January 2007 to December 2017 at a single institution were evaluated. Patients were categorized according to preoperative and postoperative CEA levels. We adjusted patient characteristics using propensity score matched analysis between groups and compared survival outcomes according to changes in CEA levels before and after surgery.

Results

According to the preoperative and postoperative CEA levels, patients were classified into 3 groups: group 1, ≤5 and ≤5 ng/mL, respectively (n = 407); group 2, >5 and ≤5 ng/mL, respectively (n = 127); and group 3 (>5 and >5 ng/mL, respectively (n = 67). Postoperative CEA elevation was associated with adverse clinical features. Before and after matching, the patients in group 3 showed significantly lower disease-free survival and overall survival rates compared to the patients in group 1 and group 2. In multivariate analysis, changes in CEA levels were an independent prognostic factor of overall survival (P = 0.041).

Conclusion

The changes in CEA levels before and after surgery can be a useful prognostic factor for disease-free survival and overall survival in colon cancer patients.

Prognostic value of changes in serum carcinoembryonic antigen levels for preoperative chemoradiotherapy response in locally advanced rectal cancer

BACKGROUND

Preoperative chemoradiotherapy (CRT) is a standard treatment modality for locally advanced rectal cancer. However, CRT alone cannot improve overall survival. Approximately 20% of patients with CRT-resistant tumors show disease progression. Therefore, predictive factors for treatment response are needed to identify patients who will benefit from CRT. We theorized that the prognosis may vary if patients are classified according to pre- to post-CRT changes in carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) levels.

AIM

To identify patients with locally advanced rectal cancer for preoperative chemoradiotherapy based on carcinoembryonic antigen levels.

METHODS

We retrospectively included locally advanced rectal cancer patients who underwent preoperative CRT and curative resection between 2011 and 2017. Patients were assigned to groups A, B, and C based on pre- and post-CRT serum CEA levels: Both > 5; pre > 5 and post ≤ 5; and both ≤ 5 ng/mL, respectively. We compared the response to CRT based on changes in serum CEA levels. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis was performed to determine optimal cutoff for neutrophil–lymphocyte ratio and platelet–lymphocyte ratio. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to evaluate the prognostic factors for pathologic complete response (pCR)/good response.

RESULTS

The cohort comprised 145 patients; of them, 27, 43, and 65 belonged to groups A, B, and C, respectively, according to changes in serum CEA levels before and after CRT. Pre- (P < 0.001) and post-CRT (P < 0.001) CEA levels and the ratio of down-staging (P = 0.013) were higher in Groups B and C than in Group A. The ratio of pathologic tumor regression grade 0/1 significantly differed among the groups (P = 0.003). Group C had the highest number of patients showing pCR (P < 0.001). Most patients with pCR showed pre- and post-CRT CEA levels < 5 ng/mL (P < 0.001, P = 0.008). Pre- and post-CRT CEA levels were important risk factors for pCR (OR = 18.71; 95%CI: 4.62–129.51, P < 0.001) and good response (OR = 5.07; 95%CI: 1.92–14.83, P = 0.002), respectively. Pre-CRT neutrophil–lymphocyte ratio and post-CRT T ≥ 3 stage were also prognostic factors for pCR or good response.

CONCLUSION

Pre- and post-CRT CEA levels, as well as change in CEA levels, were prognostic markers for treatment response to CRT and may facilitate treatment individualization for rectal cancer.

Development and validation of a Super learner-based model for predicting survival in Chinese Han patients with resected colorectal cancer

OBJECTIVE

Improved prognostic prediction for patients with colorectal cancer stays an important challenge. This study aimed to develop an effective prognostic model for predicting survival in resected colorectal cancer patients through the implementation of the Super learner.

METHODS

A total of 2333 patients who met the inclusion criteria were enrolled in the cohort. We used multivariate Cox regression analysis to identify significant prognostic factors and Super learner to construct prognostic models. Prediction models were internally validated by 10-fold cross-validation and externally validated with a dataset from The Cancer Genome Atlas. Discrimination and calibration were evaluated by Harrell concordence index (C-index) and calibration plots, respectively.

RESULTS

Age, T stage, N stage, histological type, tumor location, lymph-vascular invasion, preoperative carcinoembryonic antigen and sample lymph nodes were integrated into prediction models. The concordance index of Super learner-based prediction model (SLM) was 0.792 (95% confidence interval: 0.767-0.818), which is higher than that of the seventh edition American Joint Committee on Cancer TNM staging system 0.689 (95% confidence interval: 0.672-0.703) for predicting overall survival (P < 0.05). In the external validation, the concordance index of the SLM for predicting overall survival was also higher than that of tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) stage system (0.764 vs. 0.682, respectively; P < 0.001). In addition, the SLM showed good calibration properties.

CONCLUSIONS

We developed and externally validated an effective prognosis prediction model based on Super learner, which offered more reliable and accurate prognosis prediction and may be used to more accurately identify high-risk patients who need more active surveillance in patients with resected colorectal cancer.

Early recurrence after neoadjuvant chemoradiation therapy for locally advanced rectal cancer: Characteristics and risk factors

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVE

Some locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) patients treated with neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (CRT) prior to total mesorectal excision (TME) show early recurrence with a short disease-free interval. This is unacceptable for patients and their families, necessitating re-evaluation of the treatment process. We aimed to evaluate the risk factors and prognostic impact of early recurrence in patients who received preoperative CRT (pCRT) followed by TME for LARC.

METHODS

Of 714 patients who underwent curative resection after pCRT for LARC from January 2010 to December 2016, we included 139 who developed recurrence after resection. Patients were divided into an early recurrence group, diagnosed <12 months after primary surgery, and a late recurrence group, diagnosed ≥12 months after primary surgery.

RESULTS

Forty-nine patients experienced early recurrence and 90 experienced late recurrence. Multivariate analysis revealed that tumor regression grade (hazard ratio [HR] 2.962, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.434-6.119, P = 0.003) and positive ypN stage (HR 2.110, 95% CI 1.144-3.892, P = 0.017) correlated with early recurrence. The 5-year overall survival rates for early and late recurrences were not significantly different (P = 0.121).

CONCLUSION

In patients with early recurrence after pCRT followed by TME, tumor regression grade and ypN stage positivity were independent predictors of the early recurrence.

Prognostic impact of preoperatively elevated and postoperatively normalized carcinoembryonic antigen levels following curative resection of stage I-III rectal cancer

BACKGROUND

Preoperative and early postoperative serum carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) levels are known prognostic factors in rectal cancer. Recently, a large-scale study on colon cancer revealed that "preoperatively elevated and postoperatively normalized CEA levels" is not an indicator of poor prognosis. However, whether this hold true in rectal cancer patients is unknown. This study aimed to investigate the prognostic significance of preoperatively elevated and postoperatively normalized CEA levels in rectal cancer patients undergoing curative resection.

METHODS

Subjects were consecutive stage I-III rectal cancer patients who underwent curative resection without preoperative treatment at National Cancer Center Hospital between 2000 and 2015. Overall survival (OS) and the hazard function of recurrence or death were analyzed according to the CEA levels, as follows: normal preoperative CEA (normal group), preoperatively elevated but postoperatively normalized CEA (normalized group), and preoperatively and postoperatively elevated CEA (elevated group).

RESULTS

The normalized group (n =235) had worse OS (HR 1.49, 95% CI 1.08-2.04; P = .0142) compared to the normal group (n = 1208), and better OS compared to the elevated group (n = 47) (HR 0.53, 95% CI 0.31-0.91; P = .0208). The elevated group had the highest and earliest peak in hazard function, followed by the normalized group and the normal group, with median times to recurrence of 8.8, 15.5, and 18.5 months, respectively (P = .0223).

CONCLUSIONS

Prognosis after resection of rectal cancer was worse in patients with preoperatively elevated and postoperatively normalized CEA compared to those with normal preoperative CEA. Patients with elevated preoperative CEA might require intensive follow-up even if levels normalize after resection, especially in earlier periods, for early detection of recurrence.

Higher expression of calcineurin predicts poor prognosis in unique subtype of ovarian cancer

BACKGROUND

The role of calcineurin/NFAT signaling in ovarian cancer has been unknown. NFAT was significantly overexpressed in ovarian cancer tissues and that overexpression of NFAT was significantly associated with metastasis and poor prognosis on clinical tissue level. To investigate whether NFAT upstream protein, calcineurin (CN), affects the prognosis in various histological subtype of ovarian cancer (OC).

METHODS

The association between CN and clinical features was analyzed in 50 OC patients treated from 2007 to 2012. CN expression was examined using immunohistochemistry. We observed the association of CN expression with the prognosis in these patients.

RESULTS

CN expression was significantly increased in later-stage tumor tissue of serous carcinoma compared with those with early-stage. The expression of CN positively correlated with the serum cancer antigen 125 (CA125) level in ovarian clear-cell carcinoma and the serum alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) level in papillary serous cystadenocarcinoma. Particularly, higher CN expression in tumor tissues significantly correlated with reduced overall survival among patients with serous carcinoma. In addition, the serum cancer antigen 72-4 (CA72-4) level, serum carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) levels, pathological stage, lymph node metastasis, and chemotherapeutic resistance were identified as significant prognostic factors in ovarian clear-cell carcinoma, serous carcinoma, or papillary serous cystadenocarcinoma.

CONCLUSIONS

CN is upregulated in ovarian cancer tissues with later-stage and that the expression of CN, CA72-4, and CEA was remarkably associated with poor prognosis in unique subtype of ovarian cancer. CN levels may be investigated for use as a prognostic biomarker for risk assessment in unique subtype of OC patients.

The prognostic value of the postoperative serum CEA levels/preoperative serum CEA levels ratio in colorectal cancer patients with high preoperative serum CEA levels

Purpose

This study aimed to assess the prognostic value of the postoperative serum carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) levels/preoperative serum CEA levels ratio (CEA ratio) in colorectal cancer (CRC) patients with high preoperative serum CEA levels and to identify the optimal prognostic cutoff value.

Patients and methods

The medical records of 187 CRC patients in a single center who underwent surgery between September 2012 and September 2014 were retrospectively reviewed. CEA ratio was defined as the ratio between the postoperative serum CEA and preoperative serum CEA. The optimal cutoff values for the CEA ratio were determined by time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analyses. The Chi-square test or Fisher’s exact probability test were used to test the correlation between CEA ratio and clinicopathological characteristics. Univariate, multivariate, and subgroup Cox proportional hazards analysis were used to identify independent prognostic factors. Kaplan–Meier method was used for establishing survival curves.

Results

The median follow-up time was 62 months (range 3–88 months). The optimal CEA ratio cutoff value closely related to disease-free survival was 0.295. In the Chi-square test, the CEA ratio was associated with pN stage (p=0.003) and postoperative CEA (p<0.001). In the multivariate analysis, the CEA ratio was an independent prognostic factor for disease-free survival (p=0.003, HR 2.300 [95% CI: 1.326–3.988]) and cancer-special survival (p=0.003, HR 2.525 [95% CI: 1.381–4.614]). The CEA ratio reflected the prognosis of CRC patients more accurately than postoperative CEA levels alone, and the CEA ratio of 0.295 was more likely to reflect the prognosis than other cutoff values.

Conclusion

The CEA ratio is a simple and useful tool for further forecasting the prognosis of CRC patients with high preoperative CEA levels and may help develop strategies for the postoperative treatment of CRC patients.

A competing-risks nomogram for predicting probability of death from CRC in Chinese Han patients with Stage I-III CRC

Background

Many patients with colorectal cancer are elderly with competing comorbidities. When constructing nomogram for assessing survival, we should consider the influence of competing risk. A competing-risks nomogram was developed to estimate the probability of death due to colorectal cancer for patients after curative surgery.

Methods

A total of 2442 patients with non-metastatic colorectal cancer were included to develop competing-risks nomogram. Competing-risks nomogram were established based on the results of Fine and Gray competing-risks proportional hazards model. To maximize the accuracy of prediction, model selection was not carried out, and non-linear continuous variables were flexibly modeled with restricted cubic splines. The nomogram was internal-validated by bootstrapping, and externally validated with a separate database of 299 patients from The Cancer Genome Atlas. The performance of this model was assessed by concordance index and a calibration curve.

Results

There were 332 patients died of colorectal cancer and 46 died of other causes during the follow-up period. Age, T stage, N stage, histological type, tumor location, adjuvant chemotherapy, preoperative carcinoembryonic antigen, lymph vascular invasion, lymph node ratio and sample lymph nodes were integrated into competing-risks nomogram. The competing-risks nomogram for predicting probability of death due to colorectal cancer with a concordance index of 0.768, ameliorating the stratification provided by the seventh edition tumor-node-metastasis staging system of the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC). The concordance index for validation dataset was 0.783.

Conclusion

We developed and externally validated a competing-risks nomogram for Chinese Han patients with non-metastatic colorectal cancer, which could provide probability of death from colorectal cancer in the presence of competing risks.

CEA clearance pattern as a predictor of tumor response to neoadjuvant treatment in rectal cancer: a post-hoc analysis of FOWARC trial

BACKGROUND

The clinical factors that accurately predict the response to preoperative treatment in rectal cancer were yet unknown. The carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) clearance pattern during neoadjuvant treatment has been developed and the predictive value explored in rectal cancer patients with elevated CEA levels (> 5 ng/mL).

METHODS

The training cohort was derived from the FOWARC prospective phase III trial, and 71/483 eligible patients were included. The validation cohort consisted of 75/587 consecutive rectal cancer patients from Xiangya Hospital between 2014 and 2015. The kinetic changes in serum CEA were measured at different time points during the neoadjuvant treatment. An exponential trend line was drawn using the CEA values. The patients were categorized into two groups based on the R² value of the trend line, which indicates the correlation coefficient between the exponential graph and measured CEA values: exponential decrease group (0.9 < R² ≤ 1.0) and non-exponential decrease group (R² ≤ 0.9).

RESULTS

In multivariate analysis, the patients in the CEA exponential decrease group had significantly high adequate rate of downstaging (ypT0-2N0M0), and pathologic complete response (pCR) rates after neoadjuvant treatment in the training cohort. The predictive values of the CEA clearance pattern for tumor downstaging and pCR were further confirmed in an independent validation cohort.

CONCLUSIONS

The CEA clearance pattern was an independent predictor of tumor response to neoadjuvant treatment in patients with rectal cancer. It might serve as an adjunct in the assessment of complete clinical response and guide individualized treatment strategies.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

NCT01211210.

Prognostic Role of Carcinoembryonic Antigen Level after Preoperative Chemoradiotherapy in Patients with Rectal Cancer

BACKGROUND

The prognostic role of post-chemoradiotherapy (CRT) carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) level is not clear. We evaluated the prognostic significance of post-CRT CEA level in patients with rectal cancer after preoperative CRT.

METHODS

We reviewed 659 consecutive patients who underwent preoperative CRT and total mesorectal excision for non-metastatic rectal cancer. Patients were categorized into two groups according to post-CRT serum CEA level: low CEA (< 5 ng/mL) and high CEA (≥ 5 ng/mL).

RESULTS

Median post-CRT CEA level was 1.7 ng/mL (range, 0.1-207.0). A high post-CRT level was significantly associated with ypStage, ypT category, tumor regression grade, and pre-CRT CEA level. The 5-year overall survival rate of the 659 patients was 87.8% with a median follow-up period of 57.0 months (range, 1.4-176.4). When the post-CRT CEA groups were divided into groups according to pre-CRT CEA level, the 5-year overall survival rates were significantly different (P < 0.001 and P = 0.001, respectively). Post-CRT CEA level was an independent prognostic factor for overall survival. Multivariate analysis revealed that operation method, differentiation, perineural invasion, postoperative chemotherapy, tumor regression grade, and post-CRT CEA level were independent prognostic factors for overall survival.

CONCLUSION

The level of serum CEA after preoperative CRT was an independent prognostic factor for overall survival in patients with rectal cancer.

Development and validation of a nomogram for predicting survival in Chinese han patients with resected colorectal cancer

BACKGROUND

Estimates of survival after curative colorectal cancer (CRC) surgery are the basis of patient care and treatment planning. A nomogram is a useful tool for individualized cancer prognosis.

METHODS

A total of 2450 patients with nonmetastatic CRC were included to develop a nomogram. Prognostic factors were identified and integrated by the Cox proportional hazards model. Then, we developed and validated a prognostic nomogram. The performance of this model was assessed by the concordance index (C-index) and a calibration curve. The nomogram was internally validated by bootstrapping and externally validated with a separate database of 299 patients from The Cancer Genome Atlas.

RESULTS

Age, T stage, N stage, histological type, tumor location, lymph-vascular invasion, preoperative carcinoembryonic antigen, and sample lymph nodes were integrated into the nomogram. The C-index of the nomogram for predicting overall survival was higher than that of the seventh edition American Joint Committee on Cancer TNM staging system (training data set, 0.76 vs 0.68, respectively; P < 0.001; validation data set, 0.78 vs 0.69, respectively; P = 0.003).

CONCLUSION

We developed a prognostic nomogram for patients with nonmetastatic CRC, which could provide a more individualized outcome prognostication than that afforded by the TNM staging system by using common clinicopathologic factors.

Clinical Significance of Serum Carcinoembryonic Antigen and Carbohydrate Antigen 19-9 Levels Before Surgery and During Postoperative Follow-Up in Colorectal Cancer

Objective:

Carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) and carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) are the most common colorectal cancer markers. We aimed to identify the appropriate clinical conditions for measuring serum CEA and CA19-9 levels before surgery and during follow-up.

Methods:

This study included 1275 colorectal cancer patients who were divided into 3 groups according to preoperative CEA levels (group A, ≤5 ng/mL; group B, &gt;5–≤11 ng/mL; group C, &gt;11 ng/mL). Each group was subdivided into 2 groups according to preoperative CA19-9 levels (cutoff level: ≤37 U/mL). Recurrence and survival rates were analyzed.

Results:

Recurrence rate, disease-free survival after curative surgery, and prognosis were significantly worse in group A and B patients with high CA19-9 levels. At recurrence, CEA levels showed a greater increase in group B and C patients; CA19-9 levels increased in group A patients with high CA19-9 levels. At recurrence, high serum CA19-9 levels were observed in group A patients with high preoperative serum CA19-9 levels, even if the serum CEA level did not increase. Preoperative CA19-9 levels could predict recurrence and prognosis in groups A and B.

Conclusion:

Periodic CA19-9 determination is useful for monitoring recurrence among group A patients with high CA19-9 levels.

Perioperative Serum Carcinoembryonic Antigen Ratio Is a Prognostic Indicator in Patients With Stage II Colorectal Cancer

Purpose

The aim of this study was to evaluate whether the perioperative carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) ratio could be used as a determinant for adjuvant therapy after curative surgery in stage II colorectal cancer.

Methods

Data for 119 patients with stage II colorectal cancer who underwent radical surgery between 2010 and 2013 were collected. The perioperative CEA ratio was defined as the postoperative/preoperative serum CEA level, and the patients were grouped according to their perioperative CEA ratios: high ratio (≥0.5) and low ratio (<0.5). Overall survival rates were calculated, and their prognostic significances were analyzed.

Results

The overall survival rates of the high and the low perioperative CEA groups were 68.2% and 86.8%, respectively (P = 0.033). In patients with normal preoperative CEA levels (<5 ng/mL), the high perioperative CEA ratio group showed a worse survival rate than the low perioperative CEA ratio group (71.7% vs. 100.0%, P = 0.007). In patients with high preoperative CEA levels (≥5 ng/mL), the high perioperative CEA ratio group showed a worse survival rate than the low perioperative CEA ratio group (33.3% vs. 75.0%, P = 0.036). In the multivariate analysis, perioperative CEA ratio (P = 0.046), age (P = 0.034), and venous invasion (P = 0.015) were independent prognostic factors for survival.

Conclusion

The perioperative CEA ratio is a prognostic indicator for stage II colorectal cancer. Patients with normal preoperative serum CEA levels might also be considered for adjuvant therapy if their perioperative CEA ratios are higher than 0.5.

Relations of Changes in Serum Carcinoembryonic Antigen Levels before and after Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy and after Surgery to Histologic Response and Outcomes in Patients with Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer

OBJECTIVES

The histologic response to neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) has been intimately related to outcomes in locally advanced rectal cancer. Serum carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) levels change after nCRT and after surgery as compared with before nCRT.

METHODS

The subjects were 149 patients with locally advanced rectal cancer who received nCRT between 2005 and 2013. The patients were divided into 4 groups according to the serum CEA levels: group 1, 55 patients with negative serum CEA levels before nCRT; group 2, 41 patients with positive serum CEA levels before nCRT that became negative after nCRT; group 3, 37 patients with positive serum CEA levels after nCRT that became negative after surgery; and group 4, 16 patients with positive serum CEA levels after nCRT as well as after surgery.

RESULTS

Pathological complete response, T downstaging, and tumor shrinkage were significantly higher in group 1 than in other groups. Disease-free survival was significantly poorer in group 4. The lack of a decrease in the serum CEA level in group 4 was most likely attributed to the persistence of micrometastases outside the resection field.

CONCLUSIONS

Changes in serum CEA levels measured before nCRT, after nCRT, and after surgery can be used to reliably predict the histologic response to nCRT and outcomes.

Design, expression and evaluation of novel chimeric protein constructed from colorectal tumor-associated antigen

There were 134,000 new diagnosis and 49,000 deaths in 2016 due to colorectal cancer. Similar to most cancers, early diagnosis increases the chance of successful treatment. Detection of tumor-associated antigens or the immune response against such markers is one of the most common methods of diagnosis. In that regard, we aimed to design and express a chimeric protein from the most common tumor-associated antigens in colorectal cancer and assess its ability to detect the immune response in comparison with the parental tumor-associated antigens in patient's sera. Through bioinformatics approaches a chimeric protein from carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) and carbohydrate antigen 19.9 (CA19-9) was designed and expressed in E. coli (BL21DE3). Proper folding, expression levels and immune reactivity were assessed by western blot, ELISA and immunohistochemistry. Recombinant proteins functionality and immune reactivity were confirmed by ELISA and Western blot. Results showed that recombinant CEA, recombinant CA19.9 and chimeric protein of CEA- CA19.9 have strong reactivity with antibodies in the sera of colorectal cancer patients, whereas no reactivity was seen with the sera of healthy volunteers. Significantly stronger immune reactivity was seen with the chimeric protein than each of the CEA or CA19.9 alone. Overall, it was concluded that the designed recombinant proteins in this study could be used to detect autoantibodies produced against the colorectal tumor-associated antigens. The chimeric CEA-CA19.9 protein shows a stronger reactivity with the sera antibodies of colorectal cancer patients that CEA or CA19.9 alone.

Time to lowest postoperative carcinoembryonic antigen level is predictive on survival outcome in rectal cancer

This study was to investigate whether the time to the lowest postoperative CEA can predict cancer survival. We enrolled 155 rectal cancer patients in this retrospective and longitudinal cohort study. Deepness of response (DpR) of CEA refers to the relative change of the lowest postoperative CEA level from baseline, and time to DpR (TTDpR) refers to the time from surgery to the lowest postoperative CEA level. The median of TTDpR and DpR was 4.5 (range, 3.0-18.0) weeks and -67% (range, -99% to 114%) respectively. Patients with TTDpR </ = 4.5 weeks had better 3-year DFS (81.4% vs. 76.2%; P = 0.059) and OS (95.8% vs. 87.9%; P = 0.047) rate than patients with TTDpR >4.5 weeks. Using TTDpR as a continuous variable, the HR of DFS and OS was 1.13 (95% CI 1.06-1.22, P = 0.001) and 1.17 (95% CI 1.07-1.29, P = 0.001) respectively. On multivariate analysis, the predictive value of prolonged TTDpR remained [adjusted HRs: 1.12 (95% CI 1.03-1.21, P = 0.006) and 1.17 (95% CI 1.06-1.28, P = 0.001)]. These findings remained significant in patients with normal preoperative CEA. Our results showed prolonged TTDpR of CEA independently predicted unfavorable survival outcomes, regardless of whether preoperative CEA was elevated or not.

Can serum dynamics of carcinoembryonic antigen level during neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy in rectal cancer predict tumor response and recurrence? A multi-institutional retrospective study

PURPOSE

We evaluate whether the change of carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) level before and after preoperative chemoradiotherapy (CRT) in rectal cancer affects tumor response and recurrence or not.

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed 1447 rectal cancer patients who underwent preoperative CRT followed by curative surgery. All patients received preoperative radiotherapy of 50.4 Gy in 28 fractions with 5-fluorouracil or capecitabine. Total mesorectal excision was performed 4 to 8 weeks after preoperative CRT. CEA levels were checked before and after CRT. Clinical and pathologic factors were analyzed for tumor response and recurrence.

RESULTS

Post-CRT CEA level (cutoff value, 2.5 ng/mL) was not a significant factor for tumor response on the multivariate analysis (p = 0.095). Patients were categorized according to the pre- and post-CRT CEA level (group A: pre-CRT CEA ≤5 ng/mL; group B: pre-CRT CEA >5 ng/mL and post-CRT CEA ≤2.5 ng/mL; group C: pre-CRT CEA >5 ng/mL and post-CRT CEA >2.5 ng/mL). The relapse-free survival (RFS) at 5 years was significantly higher in group A than in groups B and C (82.6 vs. 73.7 % vs. 72.2 %, p < 0.001). The overall survival (OS) at 5 years was significantly higher in group A than in groups B and C (90.1 vs. 84.4 % vs. 83.4 %, p < 0.001). However, there is no significant difference for RFS and OS between groups B and C (all, p > 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Decline of elevated CEA level (>5 ng/mL) during preoperative chemoradiotherapy has no significant effect on tumor response and recurrence in rectal cancer.

Prognosis Can Be Predicted More Accurately Using Pre- and Postchemoradiotherapy Carcinoembryonic Antigen Levels Compared to Only Prechemoradiotherapy Carcinoembryonic Antigen Level in Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer Patients Who Received Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy

We aimed to evaluate the prognostic value of a change in the carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) level during neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer. A total of 110 patients with clinical T3/T4 or node-positive disease underwent nCRT and curative total mesorectal resection from February 2006 to December 2013. Serum CEA level was measured before nCRT, after nCRT, and then again after surgery. A cut-off value for CEA level to predict prognosis was determined using the maximally selected log-rank test. According to the test, patients were classified into 3 groups, based on their CEA levels (Group A: pre-CRT CEA ≤3.2; Group B: pre-CRT CEA level >3.2 and post-CRT CEA ≤2.8; and Group C: pre-CRT CEA >3.2 and post-CRT CEA >2.8). The median follow-up time was 31.1 months. The 3-year disease-free survival (DFS) rates of Group A and Group B were similar, while Group C showed a significantly lower 3-year DFS rate (82.5% vs. 89.5% vs. 55.1%, respectively, P = 0.001). Other clinicopathological factors that showed statistical significance on univariate analysis were pre-CRT CEA, post-CRT CEA, tumor distance from the anal verge, surgery type, downstage, pathologic N stage, margin status and perineural invasion. The CEA group (P = 0.001) and tumor distance from the anal verge (P = 0.044) were significant prognostic factors for DFS on multivariate analysis. Post-CRT CEA level may be a useful prognostic factor in patients whose prognosis cannot be predicted exactly by pre-CRT CEA levels alone in the neoadjuvant treatment era. Combined pre-CRT CEA and post-CRT CEA levels enable us to predict prognosis more accurately and determine treatment and follow-up policies. Further large-scale studies are necessary to validate the prognostic value of CEA levels.

Rectal cancer with complete clinical response after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy, surgery, or "watch and wait"

PURPOSE

The purpose of this study was to compare the outcomes of patients treated with chemoradiotherapy with a complete clinical response followed by either a "watch and wait" strategy or a total mesorectal excision.

METHODS

This was an observational retrospective study from a single institute. Patients with locally advanced rectal cancer following chemoradiotherapy with a complete clinical response from January 1, 2007 to December 31, 2014 were included.

RESULTS

The study population consisted of 18 patients who opted for a "watch and wait" policy and 26 patients who underwent radical surgery after achieving a complete clinical response. Patients had no documented treatment complications under the watch and wait policy, while 13 patients who underwent radical surgery experienced significant morbidity. There were two local recurrences in the watch and wait group; both were treated with salvage resection and had no associated mortality. In the radical surgery group, 1 patient showed an incomplete pathologic response (ypT0N1), and the remaining 25 patients showed complete pathologic responses; 1 had a distant recurrence, which was managed non-operatively, and 2 patients died of unrelated causes. The 5-year overall survival rate and median disease-free survival time were 100% and 69.78 months in the watch and wait group and 92.30% and 89.04 months in the radical surgery group.

CONCLUSIONS

A watch and wait policy avoids the morbidity associated with radical surgery and preserves oncologic outcomes in our retrospective study from a single institute. It could be considered a therapeutic option in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer following chemoradiotherapy with a complete clinical response.

CEA in evaluation of adnexal mass: retrospective cohort analysis and review of the literature

BACKGROUND

The aim of this study was to estimate the diagnostic accuracy of serum carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) levels in conjunction with Ca125 in the triage of adnexal masses.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study was carried out in 495 patients referred to the Gynecology Department at Carmel Medical Center due to adnexal mass, between 2005 and 2012. All patients underwent surgery with histopathologically confirmed diagnosis and preoperative measurements of serum Ca125 and CEA. For each marker, sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value and risk ratio were calculated.

RESULTS

Combination of CEA with Ca125, compared with Ca125 levels alone, yielded a nonsignificant effect on sensitivity (87.4% vs. 88.9%, respectively, p = 0.64) and specificity (79.3% vs. 74.3%, p = 0.18) in differentiating malignant from benign adnexal masses. CEA levels were higher in mucinous histological types, but were not helpful in detection of borderline tumors. Significantly higher CEA (21.4 ± 53.6 vs. 3.2 ± 11.9 ng/mL, p = 0.0002) and lower Ca125 values (103.9 ± 84.9 vs. 796 ± 1,331.5 U/mL, p = 0.0338) were demonstrated in the 17 metastatic cases compared with 181 primary ovarian malignancies.

CONCLUSIONS

The combination of the tumor markers CEA and Ca125 did not contribute significantly to the detection of malignant adnexal masses compared with Ca125 alone. As our results suggest that higher CEA levels could be useful in differentiating metastatic tumors from primary ovarian malignancy and in diagnosis of mucinous histology, this issue should be investigated in large, well-designed, prospective cohort trials.

Predictors of Pathologic Complete Response in Rectal Cancer Patients Undergoing Total Mesorectal Excision After Preoperative Chemoradiation

Preoperative chemoradiotherapy (CRT) is the standard of care for patients with stage II and III rectal cancer. This strategy leads to pathologic complete response (pCR) in a significant number of patients. Factors predictive of pCR are currently being extensively investigated. The aim of this study was to analyze clinical factors that might be predictive of pCR.This study was a retrospective analysis of rectal cancer patients from January 2004 through December 2012. A total of 332 stage II and III patients with middle and low rectal cancer (≤10 cm) who received CRT and underwent curative total mesorectal excision were eligible. The median radiation dose was 50.4 Gy, and 72.6% of patients received infusional 5-fluorouracil with leucovorin, whereas 19.6% of patients received TS-1 with irinotecan, and 7.8% of patients received xeloda only. Pathologic complete response was confirmed by using pathologic specimens and analyzed based on predictive clinical factors.Among the 332 patients, 27.4% (n = 91) achieved pCR. Age, sex, body mass index, clinical T and N stages, tumor differentiation, the chemotherapy agent for CRT, and the time interval between CRT and surgery did not differ between the pCR and non-pCR groups. Carcinoembryogenic antigen (CEA) levels before CRT were 4.61 ± 7.38 ng/mL in the pCR group and 10.49 ± 23.83 ng/mL in the non-pCR group (P = 0.035). Post-CRT CEA levels were 1.4 ± 1.07 ng/mL in the pCR group and 2.16 ± 2.8 ng/mL in the non-pCR group (P = 0.014), and the proportion of middle rectal cancer patients was higher in pCR group (54.9%, P = 0.028). The results from multivariate logistic regression analysis indicated that higher tumor location (odds ratio 2.151; P = 0.003) and low post-CRT CEA level (odds ratio 0.789; P = 0.04) were independent predictive factors for pCR.Tumor location and post-CRT CEA level were predictive factors in pCR for rectal cancer patients. Therefore, these factors may be important determinants in achieving pCR, and may also be used to predict oncologic outcomes.

Prognostic Effect of Pretreatment Serum Carcinoembryonic Antigen Level: A Useful Tool for Prediction of Distant Metastasis in Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer Following Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy and Total Mesorectal Excision

Many studies have reported the prognostic value of pretreatment serum carcinoembryonic antigen (pre-CEA) levels on colorectal cancer outcomes. However, controversy remains concerning the significance of pre-CEA levels in patients with rectal cancer treated with neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (CRT). Our aim in this study was to investigate the prognostic role of the pre-CEA level in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer undergoing neoadjuvant CRT followed by total mesorectal excision (TME).A total of 419 patients with stages II and III rectal cancer treated with neoadjuvant CRT followed by TME with available pre-CEA data were included. The outcomes studied were 5-year local recurrence-free survival (LRFS), distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS), and disease-free survival (DFS). Optimal pre-CEA cutoff values to predict DMFS were determined based on current smoking history.The median pre-CEA level of smokers was 3.8 ng/mL, and that of nonsmokers was 2.8 ng/mL (P < 0.01). Pre-CEA levels of 6.6 ng/mL for nonsmokers and 11.4 ng/mL for smokers were determined to best separate patients on the basis of time to distant metastasis by using log-rank statistics. The pre-CEA level was associated with DMFS (hazard ratio = 1.743, 95% confidence interval = 1.129-2.690, P = 0.01). The pre-CEA level was not associated with LRFS or DFS.The pre-CEA level appears to be a significant preoperative prognostic factor. Moreover, it is as valuable as any known pathologic factor. Future studies evaluating oncologic outcomes should take into consideration the pre-CEA level.

Utility of postoperative CEA for surveillance of recurrence after resection of primary colorectal cancer

INTRODUCTION

To evaluate the usefulness of postoperative CEA levels in the surveillance of colorectal cancer patients.

METHODS

Over a 56 month period a total of 569 patients with measured CEA levels underwent curative resection for colorectal cancer. The median follow up was 40 months, during which period recurrence occurred in 149. Serum CEA levels were measured at 6 monthly intervals starting from 3 months post resection. ROC was used to calculate the optimum cut-off of CEA (5 ng/ml).

RESULTS

Postoperative elevation of CEA levels were more frequent in patients with an aggressive primary colorectal cancer (grade, T stage and nodal disease; p < 0.05). In patients found to have colorectal recurrence, a significantly higher proportion of patients were resectable in the group with a non-elevated CEA (diagnosed by CT with PET imaging p < 0.05). The median interval between CEA elevation and diagnosis of recurrence (diagnostic interval) was 4 weeks. CEA elevation led to a change in the routine surveillance program by bringing imaging forward by 2 months. CEA levels were a significant predictor of survival following resection of colorectal primary (CEA ≤5-38 months, CEA >5-27 months; p < 0.05). CEA (p < 0.05) retained its significance on multivariate analysis along with the T stage (p < 0.05).

CONCLUSION

CEA is a predictor of recurrence, resectability and survival following resection of colorectal cancer. Furthermore, an elevated CEA has a short diagnostic interval (4 weeks) for detecting recurrent disease and therefore should mandate adjustment of the routine surveillance program with the next planned imaging being brought forward (2 months).

Clinicopathologic features and oncologic outcomes of colorectal cancer patients with extremely high carcinoembryonic antigen

PURPOSE

The aim of this study is to investigate the clinicopathologic features and oncologic outcomes of colorectal cancer patients with extremely elevated (≥50 ng/mL) preoperative serum carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) levels.

METHODS

We enrolled 756 primary colorectal cancer patients with elevated preoperative CEA levels (≥5 ng/mL) who underwent surgery between 2004 and 2010 and compared clinicopathologic features according to preoperative CEA levels of 5-50 ng/mL (n = 676) and ≥50 ng/mL (n = 80). The impact of extremely elevated CEA on overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) was analyzed using Kaplan-Meier analysis and the Cox proportional hazards model.

RESULTS

The median follow-up period was 43 months (range, 0-121). Patients with preoperative CEA ≥50 ng/mL demonstrated higher rates of advanced T stage (97.3 vs. 88.6%, p = 0.016) and distant metastasis (33.8 vs. 17.9%, p = 0.002), but not lymph node metastasis (54.1 vs. 52.2%, p = 0.807). The 5-year OS rate was 69.1%, and the 3-year DFS rate of curatively resected patients (n = 641; 84.8%) was 68.9%. In multivariate analysis, preoperative CEA ≥50 ng/mL, as well as age, N stage, vascular invasion, perineural invasion, post/preoperative CEA ratio ≥0.32, and palliative resection, was an independent predictor of OS. However, for patients treated with curative resection, preoperative CEA ≥50 ng/mL was not significantly associated with DFS or OS (p = 0.053 and 0.157, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

Colorectal cancer patients with extremely elevated (≥50 ng/mL) preoperative CEA had advanced disease more frequently but comparable oncologic outcomes if curative resection was performed.

Carcinoembryonic antigen levels in the peripheral and mesenteric venous blood of patients with rectal carcinoma

CONTEXT

The serum carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) is an important prognostic factor in colorectal cancer, however the rectum presents different routes of venous drainage, stating that the level of CEA in peripheral and mesenteric rectal tumors may be different, depending on the location of the tumor in the rectal segment.

OBJECTIVE

The goal of this study was to evaluate the relationship between the peripheral and mesenteric venous levels of CEA and the association between these levels and the tumour location in the rectums of patients successfully operated on for rectal carcinoma.

METHODS

Thirty-two patients who were surgically treated for rectal carcinoma were divided into patients with tumours located in the upper rectum (n = 11) or lower rectum (n = 21). The CEA values were assessed by electrochemiluminescence immunoassay. Serum and mesenteric CEA levels were associated with the tumour anatomopathological characteristics: location, histological type, cellular differentiation grade, depth of invasion into the rectal wall, angiolymphatic invasion, tumour, node, and metastasis staging; and the CEA index (≤1.0 or ≥1.0 ng /mL).

RESULTS

Analysis of the serum CEA values using clinical and anatomopathological parameters revealed no significant association with tumour location, histological type, cellular differentiation grade, depth of invasion into the intestinal wall, and tumour, node, and metastasis staging. The mesenteric CEA levels were significantly associated with the tumour location (P = 0.01). The CEA values in the mesenteric venous blood and the presence of angiolymphatic invasion (P = 0.047) were significantly different. A significant relationship was found between the CEA index value and the rectal tumour location (P = 0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

The CEA levels were higher in the mesenteric vein in tumours located in the upper rectum and in the presence of angiolymphatic invasion. CEA drainage from lower rectum adenocarcinomas preferentially occurs through the systemic pathway.

CEA and CA 19-9 are still valuable markers for the prognosis of colorectal and gastric cancer patients

BACKGROUND

The purpose of this study was to assess the predictive effect of preoperative CEA and CA 19-9 levels on the prognosis of colorectal and gastric cancer patients.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

CEA and CA 19-9 were evaluated preoperatively in patients undergoing surgery for colorectal cancer (n=116) and gastric cancer (n=49). Patients with CEA levels <5 ng/mL were classified as CEA Group 1, 5-30 ng/mL as CEA Group 2 and >30 ng/ mL were classified as CEA Group 3. Similarly the patients with a CA 19-9 level <35 U/mL were classified as CA 19-9 Group 1, with 35-100 U/mL as Group 2 and with >100 U/mL as Group and 3. TNM stages and histologic grades were noted according to histopathological reports. Patients with a TNM grade 0 or 1 were classified as Group A, TNM grade 2 patients constituted Group B and TNM grade 3 and 4 patients constituted Group C. Demographic characteristics, tumor locations and blood types of the patients were all recorded and these data were compared with the preoperative CEA and CA19-9 values.

RESULTS

A significant correlation between CA 19-9 levels (>100 U/mL) and TNM stage (in advanced stages) was determined. We also determined a significant correlation between TNM stages and positive vlaues for both CEA and CA 19-9 in colorectal and gastric cancer patients. In comparison between CEA and CA 19-9 levels and age, gender, tumor location, ABO blood group, and tumor histologic grade, no significant correlation was found.

CONCLUSIONS

Positive levels of both CEA and CA 19-9 can be considered to indicate an advanced stage in colorectal and gastric cancer patients.

Impact of the post/preoperative serum CEA ratio on the survival of patients with rectal cancer

PURPOSE

This study demonstrated the usefulness of the post/preoperative serum carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) ratio as a predictor of survival after surgery for stage III rectal cancer patients.

METHODS

One hundred and four patients with stage III rectal cancer who underwent surgery between 1991 and 2000 were enrolled. The ratio of the postoperative serum CEA value divided by the preoperative serum CEA value was defined as post/preoperative serum CEA ratio, and the patients were separated into two groups: post/preoperative serum CEA ratio ≤ 1 (n = 86) and >1 (n = 18).

RESULTS

The multivariate analyses demonstrated that the intraoperative blood loss, lack of a sphincter-saving procedure and a post/preoperative serum CEA ratio >1 were independent factors predicting a poor prognosis for the overall and disease-free survival. The overall and disease-free survival rates among patients with a high preoperative serum CEA level (>5 ng/ml) or patients with a high postoperative serum CEA (>5 ng/ml) were longer in patients with a post/preoperative serum CEA ratio ≤ 1, in comparison to those with a post/preoperative serum CEA ratio >1. Liver metastasis was observed more frequently in patients with a post/preoperative serum CEA ratio >1.

CONCLUSIONS

The post/preoperative serum CEA ratio may be a predictor of the prognosis after surgery for stage III rectal cancer patients.

Future directions for monitoring treatment response in colorectal cancer

Treatment of advanced colon and rectal cancer has significantly evolved with the introduction of neoadjuvant chemoradiation therapy so much that, along with more effective chemotherapy regimens, surgery has been considered unnecessary among some institutions for select patients. The tumor response to these treatments has also improved and ultimately has been shown to have a direct effect on prognosis. Yet, the best way to monitor that response, whether clinically, radiologically, or with laboratory findings, remains controversial. The authors' aim is to briefly review the options available and, more importantly, examine emerging and future options to assist in monitoring treatment response in cases of locally advanced rectal cancer and metastatic colon cancer.

CEA - a predictor for pathologic complete response after neoadjuvant therapy for rectal cancer

BACKGROUND

Preoperative chemoradiation therapy in patients with rectal cancer results in pathologic complete response in approximately 10% to 30% of patients. Accurate predictive factors for obtaining pathologic complete response would likely influence the selection of patients best treated by chemoradiation therapy as the primary treatment without radical surgery.

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to evaluate the impact of tumor size, stage, location, circumferential extent, patient characteristics, and pretreatment CEA levels on the development of pathologic complete response after chemoradiation therapy.

DESIGN

This study is a retrospective review.

SETTINGS AND PATIENTS

Five hundred thirty patients treated with preoperative chemoradiation therapy and radical surgery for rectal adenocarcinoma between 1998 and 2011 were identified. A total of 469 patients remained after excluding patients with a history of pelvic radiation (n = 2), previous transanal endoscopic microsurgery or polypectomy of the primary lesion (n = 15), concurrent malignant tumor (n = 14), and no information about pre- or posttreatment T stage in the chart (n = 30). Preoperative CEA levels were available for 267 patients (57%).

INTERVENTIONS

Preoperative chemoradiation therapy and total mesorectal excision were performed in patients with rectal cancer.

MAIN OUTCOME

The primary outcome measured was pathologic complete response.

RESULTS

: Ninety-six patients (20%) were found to have a pathologic complete response in the operative specimen. Low pretreatment CEA (3.4 vs 9.6 ng/mL; p = 0.008) and smaller mean tumor size (4.2 vs 4.7 cm; p = 0.02) were significantly associated with pathologic complete response. Low CEA levels and interruption in chemoradiation therapy were significant predictors of pathologic complete response in the multivariate analysis. When stratifying for smoking status, low CEA level was significantly associated with pathologic complete response only in the group of nonsmokers (p = 0.02).

LIMITATIONS

This study was limited by its retrospective design, missing CEA values, and lack of tumor regression grade assessment.

CONCLUSIONS

We demonstrated an association between low pretreatment CEA levels, interruption in chemoradiation therapy, and pathologic complete response in patients treated with neoadjuvant chemoradiation therapy for locally advanced rectal cancer. The predictive value of CEA in smokers can be limited, and further studies are needed to evaluate the impact of smoking on the predictive value of CEA levels for pathologic complete response in rectal cancer.

Prognostic significance of the decreased rate of perioperative serum carcinoembryonic antigen level in the patients with colon cancer after a curative resection

Purpose

The serum level of carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) is a clinical prognostic factor in the follow-up evaluation of patients with colon cancer. We aimed to evaluate the prognostic significance of the rate of decrease of the perioperative serum CEA level in patients with colon cancer after a curative resection.

Methods

A total of 605 patients who underwent a curative resection for colon cancer between January 2000 and December 2007 were enrolled retrospectively. The rate of decrease was calculated using the following equation: ([preoperative CEA - postoperative CEA]/[preoperative CEA] ×100).

Results

In the group with a preoperative serum CEA level of >5 ng/mL, the normalized group with a postoperative serum CEA level of ≤5 ng/mL showed a better overall survival (OS) rate and disease-free survival (DFS) rate than those of the non-normalized group (P ≤ 0.0001). The "cutoff values" of the rate of decrease in the perioperative serum CEA that determined the OS and the DFS were 48.9% and 50.8%, respectively. In the multivariate analysis of preoperative serum CEA levels >5 ng/mL, the prognostic factors for the OS and the DFS were the cutoff value (P < 0.0001) and the pN stage (P < 0.0001).

Conclusion

A rate of decrease of more than 50% in the perioperative serum CEA level, as well as the normalization of the postoperative serum CEA level, may be useful factors for determining a prognosis for colon cancer patients with high preoperative CEA levels.

Individualized Cutoff Value of the Preoperative Carcinoembryonic Antigen Level is Necessary for Optimal Use as a Prognostic Marker

Purpose

Carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) is an important prognostic marker in colorectal cancer (CRC). However, in some stages, it does not work. We performed this study to find a way in which preoperative CEA could be used as a constant prognostic marker in harmony with the TNM staging system.

Methods

Preoperative CEA levels and recurrences in CRC were surveyed. The distribution of CEA levels and the recurrences in each TNM stage of CRC were analyzed. An optimal cutoff value for each TNM stage was calculated and tested for validity as a prognostic marker within the TNM staging system.

Results

The conventional cutoff value of CEA (5 ng/mL) was an independent prognostic factor on the whole. However, when evaluated in subgroups, it was not a prognostic factor in stage I or stage III of N2. A subgroup analysis according to TNM stage revealed different CEA distributions and recurrence rates corresponding to different CEA ranges. The mean CEA levels were higher in advanced stages. In addition, the recurrence rates of corresponding CEA ranges were higher in advanced stages. Optimal cutoff values from the receiver operating characteristic curves were 7.4, 5.5, and 4.5 ng/mL for TNM stage I, II, and III, respectively. Those for N0, N1, and N2 stages were 5.5, 4.8, and 3.5 ng/mL, respectively. The 5-year disease-free survivals were significantly different according to these cutoff values for each TNM and N stage. The multivariate analysis confirmed the new cutoff values to be more efficient in discriminating the prognosis in the subgroups of the TNM stages.

Conclusion

Individualized cutoff values of the preoperative CEA level are a more practical prognostic marker following and in harmony with the TNM staging system.

Clinical significance of serial serum carcinoembryonic antigen values for treating rectal cancer with preoperative chemoradiotherapy

Purpose

Preoperative chemoradiotherapy is now widely accepted to treat rectal cancer; however, the prognosis for rectal cancer patients during and after chemoradiotherapy must be determined. The aim of this study was to evaluate the serial serum carcinoembryonic antigen (s-CEA) samples in patients with rectal cancer who underwent radical surgery after concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CRT).

Methods

This study evaluated 236 patients with rectal cancer who received preoperative CRT followed by curative surgery between June 2005 and June 2010. We measured the patient's s-CEA levels pre-CRT, post-CRT and post-surgery. Patients were classified into four groups according to their s-CEA concentrations (group 1, high, high, high; group 2, high, high, normal; group 3, high, normal, normal; group 4, normal, normal, normal). We analyzed the clinicopathologic factors and the outcomes among these groups.

Results

Of the 236 patients, 12 were in group 1, 31 were in group 2, 67 were in group 3, and 126 were in group 4. The 3-year disease-free survival rate in group 1 was poorer than those in group 3 (P = 0.007) and group 4 (P < 0.001). In a univariate analysis, type of surgery, clinical N stage, pathologic T or N stage, lymphovascular invasion, perineural invasion, and CEA group were prognostic factors. A multivariate analysis revealed that type of surgery, pathologic T stage, and lymphovascular invasion were independent prognostic factors; however, no statistical significance was associated with the CEA group.

Conclusion

High pre-CRT, post-CRT, and post-surgery s-CEA levels in patients with rectal cancer were associated with high rates of systemic recurrence and poor survival. Therefore, patients with sustained high s-CEA levels during CRT require careful monitoring after surgery.

Elevated preoperative CEA is associated with worse survival in stage I-III rectal cancer patients

Background:

The objective of this investigation was to assess whether preoperative carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) level is an independent predictor of overall survival in rectal cancer patients.

Methods:

All patients (n=504) undergoing a resection for stage I–III rectal cancer at the Kantonsspital St Gallen were included into a database between 1991 and 2008. The impact of preoperative CEA level on overall survival was assessed using risk-adjusted Cox proportional hazard regression models and propensity score methods.

Results:

In risk-adjusted Cox proportional hazard regression analyses, preoperative CEA level (hazard ratio (HR): 1.98, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.36–2.90, P<0.001), distance from anal verge (<5 cm: HR: 1.93, 95% CI: 1.11–3.37; P=0.039), older age (HR: 1.07, 95% CI: 1.05–1.09; P<0.001), lower body mass index (HR: 0.94, 95% CI: 0.89–0.98; P=0.006), advanced tumour stage (stage II HR: 1.41, 95% CI: 0.85–2.32; stage III HR: 2.08, 95% CI: 1.31–3.31; P=0.004), R 1 resection (HR: 5.65, 95% CI: 1.59–20.1; P=0.005) and chronic kidney disease (HR: 2.28, 95% CI: 1.03–5.04; P=0.049) were all predictors for poor overall survival.

Conclusion:

This is one of the first investigations based on a large cohort of exclusively rectal cancer patients demonstrating that preoperative CEA level is a strong predictor of decreased overall survival. Preoperative CEA should be used as a prognostic factor in the preoperative assessment of rectal cancer patients.