Challenging the principle of utility as a barrier for wider use of liver transplantation for hepatocellular cancer

Liver transplantation versus watchful waiting in hepatocellular carcinoma patients with complete response to bridging therapy - a retrospective observational study

Bridging therapy to prevent progression on the waiting list can result in a sustained complete response (sCR). In some patients, the liver transplantation (LT) risk might exceed those of tumor recurrence. We thus evaluated whether a watchful waiting (CR-WW) strategy could be a feasible alternative to transplantation (CR-LT). We performed a retrospective analysis of overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) of patients with a sCR (CR > 6 months). Permitted bridging included thermoablation, resection, and combinations of either with transarterial chemoembolization. Patients were divided into the intended treatment strategies CR-WW and CR-LT. 39 (18.40%) sCR patients from 212 were investigated. 22 patients were treated with a CR-LT and 17 patients a CR-WW strategy. Five-year RFS was lower in the CR-WW than in the CR-LT group [53.3% (22.1%; 77.0%) and 84.0% (57.6%; 94.7%)]. 29.4% (5/17) CR-WW patients received salvage transplantation because of recurrence. OS (5-year) was 83.9% [56.8%; 94.7%] after LT and 75.4% [39.8%; 91.7%] after WW. Our analysis shows that the intuitive decision made by our patients in agreement with their treating physicians for a watchful waiting strategy in sCR can be justified. Applied on a larger scale, this strategy could help to reduce the pressure on the donor pool.

Liver Transplantation for Extended Criteria Hepatocellular Carcinoma Using Stable Response to Locoregional Therapy and Alpha-Fetoprotein as Selection Criteria

INTRODUCTION

Current practice to only prioritize hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) that fulfill the Milan criteria (INMC) is changing, since it causes the exclusion of patients who could benefit from liver transplantation. To select patients outside MC (OUTMC) for transplantation, we implemented extended selection criteria without up-front morphometric restrictions containing surrogate parameters of tumor biology.

METHODS

OUTMC patients were considered without restrictions of morphometrics and received locoregional treatment after interdisciplinary consultation. Our dynamic selection criteria for OUTMC patients required (INMUC): (1) treatment response over (2) at least 6 months and (3) alpha-fetoprotein ≤400 ng/mL over the entire evaluation period. Patients with INMC tumors served as control and internal validation cohort.

RESULTS

31 of 170 liver transplant candidates were OUTMC. Of these, 8 dropped out. The remaining 23 patients met the selection criteria and underwent transplantation. Recurrence-free survival was higher in patients transplanted INMC compared to those OUTMC INMUC (92.2% vs. 70.8%; p = 0.026) after 5 years of follow-up. Overall survival showed no significant difference (p = 0.552). With dynamic selection of transplant candidates, recurrence could also be predicted for the INMC patients as internal validation cohort (c-index: 0.896; CI 0.588-0.981, p = 0.005).

CONCLUSION

Dynamic selection criteria for the stratification of patients with OUTMC HCCs is feasible and allows for excellent long-term results and acceptable tumor recurrence rates comparable to INMC patients.

Importance of Intraoperative Transfusions of Packed Red Blood Cells and Fresh Frozen Plasma in Liver Transplantation for Hepatocellular Cancer

BACKGROUND The impact of packed red blood cells (PRBCs) and fresh frozen plasma (FFP) transfusions in patients with hepatocellular cancer (HCC) undergoing liver transplantation has rarely been evaluated. The aim of the current study was to assess the impact of intraoperative transfusions on posttransplant outcomes. MATERIAL AND METHODS This retrospective cohort study was based on 229 HCC transplant recipients. The primary outcome measure was 5-year recurrence-free survival. Secondary outcome measures comprised overall and long-term survival at 5 years and 90-day mortality. Cox proportional hazard models and logistic regression were used to assess risk factors. RESULTS After adjustment for potential confounders, no association was found with respect to tumor recurrence for PRBCs (P=0.368) or FFP (P=0.081) transfusions. Similarly, PRBC transfusion (P=0.623) and FFP transfusion (P=0.460) had no impact on survival between 90 days and 5 years. PRBC transfusion increased the risk of 90-day mortality (P=0.005), while FFP transfusion was associated with a lower risk (P=0.036). CONCLUSIONS Intraoperative transfusions of blood products does not impair recurrence-free and long-term survival of patients with HCC undergoing liver transplantation. Intraoperative PRBC transfusion increases the risk of early mortality, whereas adequate supplementation of FFP plays a protective role.

Shadows Behind Using Simple Risk Models in Selection of Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients for Liver Transplantation

OBJECTIVE

To assess the potential influence of replacing Milan criteria with simple risk scores on outcomes of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients undergoing liver transplantation.

SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA

Several risk scores combining morphological and biological features were recently proposed for precise selection of HCC patients for transplantation.

METHODS

This retrospective study included 282 HCC liver transplant recipients. Recurrence-free survival (RFS), the primary outcome measure, was evaluated according to Metroticket 2.0 model and French AFP model with Milan criteria serving as benchmark.

RESULTS

Patients were well stratified with respect to RFS by Milan criteria, Metroticket 2.0 criteria, and AFP model cut-off ≤2 points (all P < 0.001) with c-statistics of 0.680, 0.695, and 0.681, respectively. Neither Metroticket 2.0 criteria (0.014, Z = 0.023; P = 0.509) nor AFP model (-0.014, Z = -0.021; P = 0.492) provided significant net reclassification improvement. Both patients within the Metroticket 2.0 criteria and AFP model ≤2 points exhibited heterogeneous recurrence risk, dependent upon alpha-fetoprotein (P = 0.026) and tumor number (P = 0.024), respectively. RFS of patients beyond Milan but within Metroticket 2.0 criteria (75.3%) or with AFP model ≤2 points (74.1%) was inferior to that observed for patients within Milan criteria (87.1%; P = 0.067 and P = 0.045, respectively). Corresponding microvascular invasion rates were 37.2% and 50.0%, compared with 13.6% in patients within Milan criteria (both P < 0.001). Moreover, Milan-out status was associated with significantly higher recurrence risk in subgroups within Metroticket 2.0 criteria (P = 0.021) or AFP model ≤2 points (P = 0.014).

CONCLUSION

Utilization of simple risk scores for liver transplant eligibility assessment leads to selection of patients at higher risk of posttransplant HCC recurrence.

Prognostic Relevance of a Complete Pathologic Response in Liver Transplantation for Hepatocellular Carcinoma

BACKGROUND

A complete pathologic response (CPR) after neoadjuvant treatment is reported to be associated with an exceptionally low risk of recurrence after liver transplantation for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). This study aimed to evaluate the prognostic role of CPR in liver transplantation for HCC.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study was based on 222 HCC transplant recipients. Incidence of recurrence and survival at 5 years were the primary and secondary outcome measures, respectively. Competing risk analyses were applied to evaluate recurrence incidence and its predictors. Propensity score matching was performed to compare the outcomes for patients after neoadjuvant treatment with and without CPR.

RESULTS

Neoadjuvant treatment was performed for 127 patients, 32 of whom achieved CPR (25.2%). Comparison of baseline characteristics showed that the patients with CPR were at lowest baseline recurrence risk, followed by treatment-naïve patients and patients without CPR. Adjusted for potential confounders, CPR did not have any significant effects on tumor recurrence. No significant net reclassification improvement was noted after addition of CPR to existing criteria. Neoadjuvant treatment without CPR was associated with increased risk of recurrence in subgroups within the Milan criteria (p = 0.016), with alpha-fetoprotein concentration (AFP) model not exceeding 2 points (p = 0.021) and within the Warsaw criteria (p = 0.007) compared with treatment-naïve patients who were at risk similar to those with CPR. The 5-year incidences of recurrence in propensity score-matched patients with and without CPR were respectively 14.0% and 15.9% (p = 0.661), with corresponding survival rates of 73.2% and 67.4%, respectively (p = 0.329).

CONCLUSIONS

The findings showed that CPR is not independently associated with long-term outcomes after liver transplantation for HCC.

Extremes of Liver Transplantation for Hepatocellular Carcinoma

The aim of this retrospective observational study was to evaluate outcomes of patients with extremely advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after liver transplantation. A total of 285 HCC patients after liver transplantation were screened for eligibility based on either intrahepatic dissemination (≥10 tumors) or macrovascular invasion. Tumor recurrence was the primary end-point. The study cohort comprised 26 patients. Median recurrence-free survival was 23.2 months with hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection (p = 0.038), higher AFP model score (p = 0.001), prolonged graft ischemia (p = 0.004), and younger donor age (p = 0.016) being significant risk factors. Median recurrence-free survival of HBV-negative and HBV-positive patients was 29.8 and 9.3 months, respectively (p = 0.053). In patients with macrovascular invasion, recurrence-free survival at 3 years was 46.3% with no specific predictors. Tumor size (p = 0.044), higher AFP model score (p = 0.019), prolonged graft ischemia (p = 0.016), and younger donor age (p = 0.041) were significant risk factors in patients with intrahepatic dissemination. Superior 3-year outcomes were observed in patients with intrahepatic dissemination and tumor size <3.5 cm (83.3%, p = 0.027) and HBV-negative patients with ischemia <9.7 h (85.7%, p = 0.028). In conclusion, patients with extremely advanced HCCs are remarkably heterogeneous with respect to their profile of tumor recurrence risk. This heterogeneity is largely driven by factors other than standard predictors of post-transplant HCC recurrence.

The mRECIST Classification Provides Insight into Tumor Biology for Patients With Hepatocellular Carcinoma Awaiting Liver Transplantation

With recent changes in United Network for Organ Sharing policy, patients in the United States with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) are likely to spend more time on the liver transplantation (LT) waiting list. The increasing wait time will allow for an opportunity to assess tumor biology prior to LT. Modified Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (mRECIST) paradigm provides such a framework for this assessment, and yet little is understood of its utility as it would apply for patients listed for LT in the United States. Through a collaboration between the University of California, San Francisco, and the Mayo Clinic, Jacksonville, Florida, the experience of 772 patients listed for LT were retrospectively reviewed to study the impact of immediate mRECIST classification following locoregional therapy (LRT) on pre- and post-LT outcomes. Patients who had progression of disease (PD; n = 72), failed to respond to LRT (n = 89) at any time point, or did not achieve radiologic complete response (CR; n = 224) were all at significant risk for wait-list dropout (odds ratio [OR] = 12.11, 4.81, and 2.48; respectively). CR identified a cohort of patients who were at a reduced risk for wait-list dropout. However, 24.9% eventually required further intervention while waiting for transplant, and as many as 82.4% were found to have residual HCC on explant pathology. Failure to respond to LRT was associated with increased risk for recurrence (OR = 3.00) more so than PD (OR = 1.36), suggesting that despite PD, patients who eventually can respond to LRT may represent favorable candidates for LT. In conclusion, for patients awaiting LT, the mRECIST assessment provides critical guidance for patient management. Although PD portends a poor prognosis, our findings suggest that further aggressive LRT should be pursued because a response to LRT may yield acceptable results for patients awaiting LT as well as after LT.

Sarcopenia as a predictor of post-transplant tumor recurrence after living donor liver transplantation for hepatocellular carcinoma beyond the Milan criteria

To evaluate the association between sarcopenia and tumor recurrence after living donor liver transplantation (LDLT) in patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), we analyzed 92 males who underwent LDLT for treating HCC beyond the Milan criteria. Sarcopenia was defined when the height-normalized psoas muscle thickness was <15.5 mm/m at the L3 vertebra level on computed tomography based on an optimum stratification method using the Gray’s test statistic. Survival analysis was performed with death as a competing risk event. The primary outcome was post-transplant HCC recurrence. The median follow-up time was 36 months. There was a 9% increase in recurrence risk per unit decrease in height-normalized psoas muscle thickness. Twenty-six (36.1%) of 72 sarcopenic recipients developed HCC recurrence, whereas only one (5.0%) of 20 non-sarcopenic recipients developed HCC recurrence. Recurrence risk was greater in sarcopenic patients in univariable analysis (hazard ratio [HR] = 8.06 [1.06–16.70], p = 0.044) and in multivariable analysis (HR = 9.49 [1.18–76.32], p = 0.034). Greater alpha-fetoprotein and microvascular invasion were also identified as independent risk factors. Incorporation of sarcopenia improved the model fitness and prediction power of the estimation model. In conclusion, sarcopenia appears to be one of the important host factors modulating tumor recurrence risk after LDLT for advanced HCC.

Accuracy of Computed Tomography in the Assessment of Milan Criteria in Liver Transplantation for Hepatocellular Carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Despite worldwide debate on optimal selection of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) for liver transplantation, the Milan criteria remain the benchmark for comparisons. Moreover, morphologic tumor features are universally considered important in pretransplant patient evaluation. The aim of this study was to establish the diagnostic accuracy of multiphasic computed tomography (CT) in assessing HCC burden before liver transplantation with special reference to Milan criteria fulfillment.

METHODS

This retrospective study was based on a data from 27 HCC patients after liver transplantation with available CT performed within 30 days pretransplant. CT results were compared with explant pathology with respect to Milan criteria fulfillment, tumor number, and diameter of the largest tumor.

RESULTS

Out of 19 patients within the Milan criteria on CT, 3 fell beyond the criteria on explant pathology with a gross underestimation rate of 15.8%. Out of 8 patients beyond the Milan criteria on CT, 3 were within the criteria on explant pathology with a gross overestimation rate of 37.5%. Regarding tumor number, CT was accurate only in 14 patients (51.9%), while overestimation and underestimation occurred in 5 (18.5%) and 8 (29.6%) patients, respectively. Overestimation and underestimation of largest tumor size by at least 1 cm occurred in 4 (14.8%) and 7 (25.9%) patients, respectively.

DISCUSSION

Multiphasic CT is associated with a remarkable risk of both under- and overestimation of HCC burden before transplantation. Transplant eligibility should not be solely based on CT results.