Recurrence Patterns and Outcomes after Resection of Hepatocellular Carcinoma within and beyond the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer Criteria

HBx-induced upregulation of MAP1S drives hepatocellular carcinoma proliferation and migration via MAP1S/Smad/TGF-β1 loop

Hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), has a significantly higher risk of recurrence. However, the exact mechanism by which HBV prompts HCC recurrence remains largely unknown. In this study liver microarray test revealed significant upregulation of microtubule associated protein 1S (MAP1S) in metastatic HCC compared to control. MAP1S knockdown suppressed growth of HCCLM3 cells in vitro and in vivo. Mechanistically, HBV-encoded X protein (HBx) upregulates MAP1S, which enhances microtubule (MT) acetylation by promoting the degradation of histone deacetylase 6 (HDAC6), and facilitates the nuclear translocation of Smad complex, and thereby enhancing downstream TGF-β signaling. Smad complex, in turn, increases MAP1S, establishing a feedback loop of MAP1S/Smad/TGF-β1. Finally, survival analysis of 150 HBV-associated HCC patients demonstrated both increased MAP1S and decreased HDAC6 were significantly associated with shorter relapse-free survival. Collectively, this study reveals a unique mechanism whereby HBx-induced upregulation of MAP1S drives HBV-related HCC proliferation and migration through the MAP1S/Smad/TGF-β1 feedback loop. TEASER: MAP1S is a key link between HBV infection and a higher risk of metastatic recurrence of HCC.

Immunotherapy for hepatocellular carcinoma: The next evolution in expanding access to liver transplantation

Immunotherapy has revolutionised the treatment of advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). In addition, several phase III trials of immunotherapy in combination with surgical or locoregional therapies for early-to intermediate-stage HCC have recently reported positive results, and other phase III trials in the same patient population are currently in progress. As the application of immunotherapy is shifting to include patients with earlier stages of HCC, one looming question now emerges: What is the role of immunotherapy in the pre-liver transplant population? Liver transplantation is a potentially curative therapy for HCC and confers the additional advantage of restoring a normal, healthy liver. In pre-transplant patients, immunotherapy may improve downstaging success and tumour control at the cost of some immunologic risks. These include immune-related toxicities, which are particularly relevant in a uniquely vulnerable population with chronic liver disease, and the possibility of acute rejection after transplantation. Ultimately, the goal of immunotherapy in this population will be to effectively expand access to liver transplantation while preserving pre- and post-transplant outcomes. In this review, we discuss the mechanisms supporting combination immunotherapy, summarise key recent clinical data from major immunotherapy trials, and explore how immunotherapy can be applied in the neoadjuvant setting prior to liver transplantation in selected high-risk patients.

A Machine Learning Model Based on Counterfactual Theory for Treatment Decision of Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients

Purpose

To predict the efficacy of patients treated with hepatectomy and transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) based on machine learning models using clinical and radiomics features.

Patients and Methods

Patients with HCC whose first treatment was hepatectomy or TACE from June 2016 to July 2021 were collected in the retrospective cohort study. To ensure a causal effect of treatment effect and treatment modality, perfectly matched patients were obtained according to the principle of propensity score matching and used as an independent test cohort. Inverse probability of treatment weighting was used to control bias for unmatched patients, and the weighted results were used as the training cohort. Clinical characteristics were selected by univariate and multivariate analysis of cox proportional hazards regression, and radiomics features were selected using correlation analysis and random survival forest. The machine learning models (Deathhepatectomy and DeathTACE) were constructed to predict the probability of patient death after treatment (hepatectomy and TACE) by combining clinical and radiomics features, and an optimal treatment regimen was recommended. In addition, a prognostic model was constructed to predict the survival time of all patients.

Results

A total of 418 patients with HCC who received either hepatectomy (n=267, mean age, 58 years ± 11 [standard deviation]; 228 men) or TACE (n=151, mean age, 59 years ± 13 [standard deviation]; 127 men) were recruited. After constructing the machine learning models Deathhepatectomy and DeathTACE, patients were divided into the hepatectomy-preferred and TACE-preferred groups. In the hepatectomy-preferred group, hepatectomy had a significantly prolonged survival time than TACE (training cohort: P < 0.001; testing cohort: P < 0.001), and vise versa for the TACE-preferred group. In addition, the prognostic model yielded high predictive capability for overall survival.

Conclusion

The machine learning models could predict the outcomes difference between hepatectomy and TACE, and prognostic models could predict the overall survival for HCC patients.

Construction of a prognostic model for disulfidptosis-related long noncoding RNAs in R0 resected hepatocellular carcinoma and analysis of their impact on malignant behavior

BACKGROUND

Disulfidptosis is an emerging form of cellular death resulting from the binding of intracellular disulfide bonds to actin cytoskeleton proteins. This study aimed to investigate the expression and prognostic significance of hub disulfidptosis-related lncRNAs (DRLRs) in R0 resected hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) as well as their impact on the malignant behaviour of HCC cells.

METHODS

A robust signature for R0 resected HCC was constructed using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) and multivariate Cox regression and was validated in an independent internal validation cohort to predict the prognosis of R0 HCC patients. Comprehensive bioinformatics analysis was performed on the hub DRLRs (KDM4A-AS1, MKLN1-AS, and TMCC1-AS1), followed by experimental validation using quantitative real-time polymerase chain reaction (qRT‒PCR) and cellular functional assays.

RESULTS

The signature served as an independent prognostic factor applicable to R0 HCC patients across different age groups, tumour stages, and pathological characteristics. Gene Ontology (GO) and gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA) revealed hub pathways associated with this signature. The high-risk group presented an increased abundance of M0 macrophages and activated memory CD4 T cells as well as elevated macrophage and major histocompatibility complex (MHC) class I expression. High-risk R0 HCC patients also presented increased tumour immune dysfunction and exclusion scores (TIDEs), mutation frequencies, and tumour mutational burdens (TMBs). Drug sensitivity analysis revealed that high-risk patients were more responsive to drugs, including GDC0810 and osimertinib. High expression levels of the three hub DRLRs were detected in R0 HCC tissues and HCC cell lines. Functional assays revealed that the three hub DRLRs enhanced HCC cell proliferation, migration, and invasion.

CONCLUSIONS

A signature was constructed on the basis of three DRLRs, providing novel insights for personalized precision therapy in R0 HCC patients.

Development and validation of a prognostic nomogram to predict the recurrence of AFP-negative and DCP-positive hepatocellular carcinoma after curative resection

Purpose

Approximately one-third of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) cases are characterized by alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) negativity (AFP-NHCC. Among these patients, around 60% exhibit des-gamma-carboxyprothrombin (DCP) positivity, and DCP-positive patients have a poorer prognosis. As a curative treatment, recurrence after liver resection poses significant challenges to the prognosis of HCC patients. Therefore, it is necessary to determine the relevant risk factors of these patients and provide timely treatment options.

Methods

This study included 540 patients who underwent resection at Beijing You'an Hospital. 292 patients from 2014 to 2018 constituted the training cohort, while 248 patients from 2018 to 2020 constituted the validation cohort. All patients underwent routine follow-ups until December 2023. Variables were identified through Cox regression, and a nomogram was developed. The nomogram was evaluated using time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curves (ROC), calibration curves, Decision curve analysis (DCA), and Kaplan-Meier (KM) curve analysis.

Results

We found that age, tumor number, tumor size, γ-glutamyl transpeptidase (γ-GT), and prothrombin time (PT) are independent risk factors for HCC recurrence, and a nomogram was developed and validated based on this result to predict recurrence-free survival (RFS) at 1, 2, and 3 years. The performance of the nomogram was further confirmed by the ROC curve, calibration curve, and DCA, all of which showed favorable results. The KM curve analysis clearly distinguishes between two groups of people with different risks in terms of prognosis in both the training and validation sets.

Conclusion

In summary, we established and validated a novel nomogram by multivariate Cox regression analysis to predict recurrence in DCP-positive patients with AFP-NHCC after resection. The nomogram, including age, tumor number, tumor size, γ-GT, and PT, demonstrates better predictive ability for AFP-NHCC patients with DCP positive.

Conversion therapy for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma in the era of precision medicine: Current status, challenges and opportunities

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), the most prevalent malignancy of the digestive tract, is characterized by a high mortality rate and poor prognosis, primarily due to its initial diagnosis at an advanced stage that precludes any surgical intervention. Recent advancements in systemic therapies have significantly improved oncological outcomes for intermediate and advanced-stage HCC, and the combination of locoregional and systemic therapies further facilitates tumor downstaging and increases the likelihood of surgical resectability for initially unresectable cases following conversion therapies. This shift toward high conversion rates with novel, multimodal treatment approaches has become a principal pathway for prolonged survival in patients with advanced HCC. However, the field of conversion therapy for HCC is marked by controversies, including the selection of potential surgical candidates, formulation of conversion therapy regimens, determination of optimal surgical timing, and application of adjuvant therapy post-surgery. Addressing these challenges and refining clinical protocols and research in HCC conversion therapy is essential for setting the groundwork for future advancements in treatment strategies and clinical research. This narrative review comprehensively summarizes the current strategies and clinical experiences in conversion therapy for advanced-stage HCC, emphasizing the unresolved issues and the path forward in the context of precision medicine. This work not only provides a comprehensive overview of the evolving landscape of treatment modalities for conversion therapy but also paves the way for future studies and innovations in this field.

Chip collection of hepatocellular carcinoma based on O2 heterogeneity from patient tissue

Hepatocellular carcinoma frequently recurs after surgery, necessitating personalized clinical approaches based on tumor avatar models. However, location-dependent oxygen concentrations resulting from the dual hepatic vascular supply drive the inherent heterogeneity of the tumor microenvironment, which presents challenges in developing an avatar model. In this study, tissue samples from 12 patients with hepatocellular carcinoma are cultured directly on a chip and separated based on preference of oxygen concentration. Establishing a dual gradient system with drug perfusion perpendicular to the oxygen gradient enables the simultaneous separation of cells and evaluation of drug responsiveness. The results are further cross-validated by implanting the chips into mice at various oxygen levels using a patient-derived xenograft model. Hepatocellular carcinoma cells exposed to hypoxia exhibit invasive and recurrent characteristics that mirror clinical outcomes. This chip provides valuable insights into treatment prognosis by identifying the dominant hepatocellular carcinoma type in each patient, potentially guiding personalized therapeutic interventions.

Prolonged Complete Remission Using Tislelizumab for Hepatocellular Carcinoma After Adjuvant Chemotherapy Failure: A Case Report

In recent years, there have been limited reports on the efficacy of later-line anti-programmed cell death -1 (PD-1) therapy in achieving prolonged and complete remission in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Tislelizumab, a humanized anti-PD-1 monoclonal IgG4 antibody, has shown promising results in the treatment of HCC. This report highlights the case of a patient with HCC who experienced the development of lung metastatic lesions following HCC resection and chemotherapy, but achieved a prolonged complete response (CR) after receiving tislelizumab treatment. In April 2017, a 56-year-old male diagnosed with primary HCC underwent hepatectomy and hepatic arterial infusion pump placement. Following the surgery, the patient received adjuvant hepatic arterial infusion chemotherapy (HAIC) with 4 cycles of cisplatin+5-fluorouracil (PF) regimen starting in June 2017. In May 2018, lung metastatic lesions were detected, and the patient underwent 4 cycles of oxaliplatin+leucovorin+5-fluorouracil (FOLFOX) chemotherapy. However, the disease progressed in August 2018, leading to the administration of arsenic trioxide treatment. Despite this, further progression was observed in October 2018, prompting the patient's enrollment in a clinical trial for tislelizumab therapy. Initially, the patient achieved a partial response (PR) to tislelizumab, which was followed by a CR that lasted for almost 4 years. Unfortunately, tislelizumab treatment had to be discontinued due to immune-related adverse events (AE). Subsequently, the patient received lenvatinib and maintained a CR until July 2023. Tislelizumab monotherapy, when used as a third-line treatment, has demonstrated remarkable efficacy in facilitating patients with advanced HCC to attain a durable CR.

Clinical features of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma treated with radiofrequency ablation therapy: developing a simple score to determine the need for immune-adjuvant therapy

BACKGROUND/AIM

Unresectable recurrence after curative treatments for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a life-limited event. Although the IMbrave050 trial (IM050) showed a favorable reduction in recurrence with adjuvant immune-combination chemotherapy, inclusion criteria of the radiofrequency ablation (RFA) group were lower risk than that of the resection group. This study aimed to elucidate the clinical features of patients treated with RFA, which really need adjuvant-chemotherapy.

METHODS

From 2000 to 2022, 528 patients with Child-Pugh A and HCC within the Milan criteria (MC), who met the IM050 criteria for RFA and undergone resection or RFA, were enrolled (71 years, HCV:HBV:HBV/HCV:alcohol:others = 337:44:5:53:89, multi-tumor = 138, RFA:resection = 309:219). Unresectable recurrence was defined as beyond the MC. Risk factors for recurrence beyond the MC were retrospectively evaluated.

RESULTS

Multivariate Cox-hazard analysis showed HCV-positive (HR 1.49), AFP-L3 > 10% (HR 1.75), and DCP > 100 mAU/mL (HR1.80) as significant prognostic factors for recurrence beyond the MC (each P < 0.05). Summing of positive factors (1 point for each) was used for scoring (AD-ON score), which showed increased positive rates for micro-hepatic vein invasion (score 0:1:2:3 = 0%:1.1%:6.6%:15.8%), micro-portal vein invasion (0:1:2:3 = 2.0%:12.1%:14.1%:31.6%), and poor differentiation (0:1:2:3 = 6.0%:6.7%:15.3%:15.8%) in the resection group associated with a greater score (each P < 0.01). In patients treated with RFA, those with greater AD-ON scores showed shorter time to recurrence beyond the MC, recurrence-free time, and overall survival (score 0:1:2:3 = no-estimation:97:66:23 months, 35:27:20:12 months, and 91:82:67:52 months, respectively, each P < 0.05).

CONCLUSION

HCC patients treated by RFA and with a high AD-ON score (≧2) should be considered for aggressive adjuvant-chemotherapy to prolong the period of recurrence beyond the MC.

CEMRI-Based Quantification of Intratumoral Heterogeneity for Predicting Aggressive Characteristics of Hepatocellular Carcinoma Using Habitat Analysis: Comparison and Combination of Deep Learning

RATIONALE AND OBJECTIVES

To explore both an intratumoral heterogeneity (ITH) model based on habitat analysis and a deep learning (DL) model based on contrast-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging (CEMRI) and validate its efficiency for predicting microvascular invasion (MVI) and pathological differentiation in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

METHODS

CEMRI images were retrospectively obtained from 277 HCCs in 265 patients. Habitat analysis and DL features were extracted from the CEMRI images and selected with the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator approach to develop ITH and DL models, respectively, and these robust features were then integrated to design a fusion model for predicting MVI and poorly differentiated HCC (pHCC). The predictive value of the three models was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC).

RESULTS

The training and validation sets comprised 221 HCCs and 56 HCCs, respectively. The ITH and DL models presented AUC values of (0.90 vs. 0.87) for predicting MVI in the training set, with AUC values of 0.86 and 0.83 in the validation set. The AUC values of the ITH model to predict pHCC were 0.90 and 0.86 in the two sets, respectively; they were 0.84 and 0.80 for the DL model. The fusion model yielded the best performance for predicting MVI and pHCC in the training set (AUC=0.95, 0.90) and in the validation set (AUC=0.89, 0.87), respectively.

CONCLUSION

A fusion model integrating ITH and DL features derived from CEMRI images can serve as an excellent imaging biomarker for predicting aggressive characteristics in HCC.

Surgical outcome and risk scoring to predict survival after hepatic resection for hepatocellular carcinoma with portal vein tumor thrombosis

Backgrounds/Aims

The hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) with portal vein tumor thrombosis (PVTT) is classified as the advanced stage (BCLC stage C) with extremely poor prognosis, and in current guidelines is recommended for systemic therapy. This study aimed to evaluate the surgical outcomes and long-term prognosis after hepatic resection (HR) for patients who have HCC combined with PVTT.

Methods

We retrospectively analyzed 332 patients who underwent HR for HCC with PVTT at ten tertiary referral hospitals in South Korea.

Results

The median overall and recurrence-free survival after HR were 32.4 and 8.6 months, while the 1-, 3-, and 5-year overall survival rates were 75%, 48%, and 39%, respectively. In multivariate analysis, tumor number, tumor size, AFP, PIVKA-II, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, and albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade were significant prognostic factors. The risk scoring was developed using these seven factors-tumor, inflammation and hepatic function (TIF), to predict patient prognosis. The prognosis of the patients was well stratified according to the scores (log-rank test, p < 0.001).

Conclusions

HR for patients who have HCC combined with PVTT provided favorable survival outcomes. The risk scoring was useful in predicting prognosis, and determining the appropriate treatment strategy for those patients who have HCC with PVTT.

Magnetic resonance imaging-based rim enhancement could effectually predict poor prognosis in hepatocellular carcinoma: a meta-analysis

Recent studies have initially shown that MRI-based rim enhancement associates with poor prognosis in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients, but their sample sizes are small, leading to a necessary of comprehensive analyses to make a relatively solid statement. Thus, this meta-analysis aimed to summarize the correlation between MRI-based rim enhancement and prognosis in HCC patients. Until March 2023, a literature search was conducted on Web of Science, PubMed, EMBASE, Cochrane, CNKI, Wangfang, and CQVIP databases in order to identify studies that report the correlation between MRI-based rim enhancement and the prognosis of HCC patients. MRI-based rim enhancement and prognostic data were extracted and analyzed. In our study, eight studies containing 1816 HCC patients were analyzed. Generally, the presence of MRI-based rim enhancement was related to shortened disease-free survival (DFS) [hazard ratio (HR): 2.77, 95% confidence interval (CI): 2.11-3.62, P < 0.001], and worse overall survival (OS) (HR: 5.43, 95% CI: 2.14-13.79, P < 0.001). While no other prognostic data could be retrieved. Funnel plots, Begg's test, and Egger's test all indicated that no publication bias existed; and the risk score by Newcastle-Ottawa Scale criteria ranged from 7-9 points, suggesting a generally low risk of bias. Meanwhile, the sensitivity analysis showed that the significant findings did not change by omitting each study. Then, subgroup analyses revealed that no matter stratified by tumor size, treatment option, or sample size, rim enhancement was linked with unsatisfied DFS (all P < 0.05). Conclusively, MRI-based rim enhancement could effectually estimate poor survival in HCC patients, indicating its good prognostic value.

Retreatment with immunotherapy in a patient with hepatocellular carcinoma who received immune checkpoint inhibitors after primary curative treatment: a case report

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) presents a malignant pathology known for its high early recurrence rate following curative treatment, significantly impacting patient prognosis. Currently, effective strategies to mitigate early HCC recurrence remain undetermined. In this report, we document a case of HCC managed with curative radiofrequency ablation (RFA), particularly in a patient facing a high risk of early recurrence due to a substantial tumor size. In an effort to forestall recurrence, immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) were preemptively administered for 6 months post-RFA. Despite this, early recurrence ensued upon ICIs cessation. Traditionally, the approach to advanced HCC has been conservative, yet recent years have seen promising outcomes with ICIs in advanced HCC. However, research on ICIs retreatment is limited. In the short term, this patient experienced widespread metastases post-ICIs discontinuation, yet exhibited prompt regression upon ICIs reinitiation. Notably, this represents the initial documented instance of employing ICIs to forestall recurrence subsequent to curative RFA in HCC. Following ICIs discontinuation, diffuse recurrence with multiple metastases emerged, with successful resolution upon ICIs retreatment.

Hepatic Arterial Infusion Chemotherapy vs Transcatheter Arterial Chemoembolization as Adjuvant Therapy Following Surgery for MVI-Positive Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A Multicenter Propensity Score Matching Analysis

Background

Microvascular invasion (MVI) is a significant pathological feature in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), adjuvant hepatic arterial infusion chemotherapy (a-HAIC) and adjuvant transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (a-TACE), are commonly used for HCC patients with MVI. This study aims to evaluate the efficacies of two adjuvant therapies after surgical treatment for HCC, compare them, and identify the significant factors.

Methods

Clinical data from two randomized controlled trials involving HCC patients with MVI after surgical treatment were retrospectively reviewed. Propensity score matching (PSM) analysis was performed to balance baseline differences between patients who received a-HAIC or a-TACE, and control groups who underwent hepatectomy alone. Disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) rates were compared.

Results

In total of 549 patients were collected from two randomized controlled trials. Using the PSM and Kaplan-Meier method, the median DFS of the a-HAIC, a-TACE, and control groups was 63.2, 21.7, and 11.2 months (P<0.05). The a-HAIC group show significantly better 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS rates compared to the a-TACE and control groups (96.3%, 80.0%, 72.8% vs 84.4%, 57.0%, 29.8% vs 84.5%, 62.8%, 53.4%, P<0.05). But the OS rates of a-TACE and control groups showed no significant difference (P=0.279). Multivariate analysis identified a-HAIC (HR=0.449, P=0.000) and a-TACE (HR=0.633, P=0.007) as independent protective factors. For OS, a-HAIC (HR=0.388, P=0.003) was identified as an independent protective factor, too.

Conclusion

Compared to a-TACE and the control group, a-HAIC demonstrated greater benefits in preventing tumor recurrence and improving survival in HCC patients with MVI.

The aMAP score predicts long-term outcomes after resection of hepatocellular carcinoma: a multi-institutional analysis

BACKGROUND

The aMAP score is a proposed model to predict the development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) among high-risk patients with chronic hepatitis. The role of the aMAP score to predict long-term survival among patients following resection of HCC has not been determined.

METHODS

Patients undergoing resection for HCC between 2000 and 2020 were identified using a multi-institutional database. The impact of the aMAP score on long-term outcomes following HCC resection was assessed.

RESULTS

Among 1377 patients undergoing resection for HCC, a total of 972 (70.6 %) patients had a low aMAP score (≤63), whereas 405 (29.4 %) individuals had a high aMAP score (≥64). aMAP score was associated with 5-year OS in the entire cohort (low vs high aMAP score:66.5 % vs. 54.3 %, p < 0.001). aMAP score predicted 5-year OS following resection among patients with HBV-HCC (low vs. high aMAP:68.8 % vs. 55.6 %, p = 0.01) and NASH/other-HCC (64.7 % vs. 53.7, p = 0.04). aMAP score could sub-stratify 5-year OS among patients undergoing HCC resection within (low vs. high aMAP:81.5 % vs. 67.4 %, p < 0.001) and beyond (55.9 % vs. 38.8 %, p < 0.001) Milan criteria.

DISCUSSION

The aMAP score predicted postoperative outcomes following resection of HCC within and beyond Milan criteria. Apart from a surveillance tool, the aMAP score can also be used as a prognostic tool among patients undergoing resection of HCC.

Perioperative Lymphopenia is Associated with Increased Risk of Recurrence and Worse Survival Following Hepatectomy for Hepatocellular Carcinoma

INTRODUCTION

Immune dysregulation may be associated with cancer progression. We sought to investigate the prognostic value of perioperative lymphopenia on short- and long-term outcomes among patients undergoing resection of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

METHODS

Patients undergoing resection of HCC between 2000 and 2020 were identified using an international database. The incidence and impact of perioperative lymphopenia [preoperative, postoperative day (POD) 1/3/5], defined as absolute lymphocyte count (ALC) <1000/μL, on short- and long-term outcomes was assessed.

RESULTS

Among 1448 patients, median preoperative ALC was 1593/μL [interquartile range (IQR) 1208-2006]. The incidence of preoperative lymphopenia was 14.0%, and 50.2%, 45.1% and 35.6% on POD1, POD3 and POD5, respectively. Preoperative lymphopenia predicted 5-year overall survival (OS) [lymphopenia vs. no lymphopenia: 49.1% vs. 66.1%] and 5-year disease-free survival (DFS) [25.0% vs. 41.5%] (both p < 0.05). Lymphopenia on POD1 (5-year OS: 57.1% vs. 71.2%; 5-year DFS: 30.0% vs. 41.1%), POD3 (5-year OS: 57.3% vs. 68.9%; 5-year DFS: 35.4% vs. 42.7%), and POD5 (5-year OS: 53.1% vs. 66.1%; 5-year DFS: 32.8% vs. 42.3%) was associated with worse long-term outcomes (all p < 0.05). Patients with severe lymphopenia (ALC <500/μL) on POD5 had worse 5-year OS and DFS (5-year OS: 44.7% vs. 54.3% vs. 66.1%; 5-year DFS: 27.8% vs. 33.3% vs. 42.3%) [both p < 0.05], as well as higher incidence of overall (45.5% vs. 25.3% vs. 30.9%; p = 0.013) and major complications (18.2% vs. 3.4% vs. 4.5%; p < 0.001) versus individuals with moderate (ALC 500-1000/μL) or no lymphopenia following hepatectomy for HCC. After adjusting for competing risk factors, prolonged lymphopenia was independently associated with higher hazards of death [hazard ratio (HR) 1.38, 95% CI 1.11-1.72] and recurrence (HR 1.22, 95% CI 1.02-1.45).

CONCLUSION

Perioperative lymphopenia had short- and long-term prognostic implications among individuals undergoing hepatectomy for HCC.

Effect of anatomical liver resection on early postoperative recurrence in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma assessed based on a nomogram: a single-center study in China

Introduction

We aimed to investigate risk factors for early postoperative recurrence in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and determine the effect of surgical methods on early recurrence to facilitate predicting the risk of early postoperative recurrence in such patients and the selection of appropriate treatment methods.

Methods

We retrospectively analyzed clinical data concerning 428 patients with HCC who had undergone radical surgery at Mianyang Central Hospital between January 2015 and August 2022. Relevant routine preoperative auxiliary examinations and regular postoperative telephone or outpatient follow-ups were performed to identify early postoperative recurrence. Risk factors were screened, and predictive models were constructed, including patients' preoperative ancillary tests, intra- and postoperative complications, and pathology tests in relation to early recurrence. The risk of recurrence was estimated for each patient based on a prediction model, and patients were categorized into low- and high-risk recurrence groups. The effect of anatomical liver resection (AR) on early postoperative recurrence in patients with HCC in the two groups was assessed using survival analysis.

Results

In total, 353 study patients were included. Multifactorial logistic regression analysis findings suggested that tumor diameter (≥5/<5 cm, odds ratio [OR] 2.357, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.368-4.059; P = 0.002), alpha fetoprotein (≥400/<400 ng/L, OR 2.525, 95% CI 1.334-4.780; P = 0.004), tumor number (≥2/<2, OR 2.213, 95% CI 1.147-4.270; P = 0.018), microvascular invasion (positive/negative, OR 3.230, 95% CI 1.880-5.551; P < 0.001), vascular invasion (positive/negative, OR 4.472, 95% CI 1.395-14.332; P = 0.012), and alkaline phosphatase level (>125/≤125 U/L, OR 2.202, 95% CI 1.162-4.173; P = 0.016) were risk factors for early recurrence following radical HCC surgery. Model validation and evaluation showed that the area under the curve was 0.813. Hosmer-Lemeshow test results (X 2 = 1.225, P = 0.996 > 0.05), results from bootstrap self-replicated sampling of 1,000 samples, and decision curve analysis showed that the model also discriminated well, with potentially good clinical utility. Using this model, patients were stratified into low- and high-risk recurrence groups. One-year disease-free survival was compared between the two groups with different surgical approaches. Both groups benefited from AR in terms of prevention of early postoperative recurrence, with AR benefits being more pronounced and intraoperative bleeding less likely in the high-risk recurrence group.

Discussion

With appropriate surgical techniques and with tumors being realistically amenable to R0 resection, AR is a potentially useful surgical procedure for preventing early recurrence after radical surgery in patients with HCC.

Evaluation of Multiple Liver Cancer Scoring Systems

Liver cancer is one of the most common malignant tumors in the world, and its incidence and mortality are increasing year by year. The prognosis of liver cancer depends on the stage of liver cancer, the treatment method, the liver function, and individual differences. The prognosis of liver cancer mainly worsens with the progression of the stage. The prediction and staging system of liver cancer prognosis plays a very important role in the outcome of liver cancer prognosis, providing some guidance for clinical practice and bringing benefits for patients. This article reports on the prediction models and staging systems that have been applied in the field of liver cancer in the past 5 years, objectively analyzes the advantages and disadvantages, applicable population of each model and staging system, and searches for other patient and clinical characteristics that need to be considered for successfully establishing a prediction model, aiming to improve the specificity, sensitivity, and accuracy of liver cancer prediction and increase the overall survival rate of liver cancer.

Expanding Indications for Surgical Resection in Hepatocellular Carcinoma: What is the Evidence?

Hepatic resection is one of the mainstays of curative therapy for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The appropriate selection of resectable candidates requires careful consideration of a multitude of factors including tumor burden (size and number of nodules, presence of vascular involvement, extrahepatic spread), patient factors (performance status, underlying liver function), and availability of other therapies (access to transplantation, interventional procedures, immunotherapies). Historically, hepatic resection for HCC has been reserved for patients with solitary tumors without vascular invasion. However, in well-selected patients HCC tumors multifocal in nature or with vascular invasion should be considered for hepatic resection.

Prognostic implications of alpha-fetoprotein and C-reactive protein elevation in hepatocellular carcinoma following resection (PACE): a large cohort study of 2770 patients

BACKGROUND

Routine clinical staging for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) incorporates liver function, general health, and tumor morphology. Further refinement of prognostic assessments and treatment decisions may benefit from the inclusion of tumor biological marker alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) and systemic inflammation indicator C-reactive protein (CRP).

METHODS

Data from a multicenter cohort of 2770 HCC patients undergoing hepatectomy were analyzed. We developed the PACE risk score (Prognostic implications of AFP and CRP Elevation) after initially assessing preoperative AFP and CRP's prognostic value. Subgroup analyzes were performed in BCLC cohorts A and B using multivariable Cox analysis to evaluate the prognostic stratification ability of the PACE risk score and its complementary utility for BCLC staging.

RESULTS

Preoperative AFP ≥ 400ng/mL and CRP ≥ 10 mg/L emerged as independent predictors of poorer prognosis in HCC patients who underwent hepatectomy, leading to the creation of the PACE risk score. PACE risk score stratified patients into low, intermediate, and high-risk groups with cumulative 5-year overall (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) rates of 59.6%/44.9%, 43.9%/38.4%, and 20.6%/18.0% respectively (all P < 0.001). Increased PACE risk scores correlated significantly with early recurrence and extrahepatic metastases frequency (all P < 0.001). The multivariable analysis identified intermediate and high-risk PACE scores as independently correlating with poor postoperative OS and RFS. Furthermore, the PACE risk score proficiently stratified the prognosis of BCLC stages A and B patients, with multivariable analyses demonstrating it as an independent prognostic determinant for both stages.

CONCLUSION

The PACE risk score serves as an effective tool for postoperative risk stratification, potentially supplementing the BCLC staging system.

Machine-Based Learning Hierarchical Cluster Analysis: Sex-Based Differences in Prognosis Following Resection of Hepatocellular Carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) may have a heterogeneous presentation, as well as different long-term outcomes following surgical resection. We sought to use machine learning to cluster patients into different prognostic groups based on preoperative characteristics.

METHODS

Patients who underwent curative-intent liver resection for HCC between 2000 and 2020 were identified from a large international multi-institutional database. A hierarchical cluster analysis was performed based on preoperative factors to characterize patterns of presentation and define disease-free survival (DFS).

RESULTS

Among 966 with HCC, 3 distinct clusters were identified: Cluster 1 (n = 160, 16.5%), Cluster 2 (n = 537, 55.6%) and Cluster 3 (n = 269, 27.8%). Cluster 1 (n = 160, 16.5%) consisted of female patients (n = 160, 100%), low inflammation-based scores, intermediate tumor burden score (TBS) (median: 4.71) and high alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) levels (median 41.3 ng/mL); Cluster 2 consisted of male individuals (n = 537, 100%), mainly with a history of HBV infection (n = 429, 79.9%), low inflammation-based scores, intermediate AFP levels (median 26.0 ng/mL) and lower TBS (median 4.49); Cluster 3 was comprised of older patients (median age 68 years) predominantly male (n = 248, 92.2%) who had low incidence of HBV/HCV infection (7.1% and 8.2%, respectively), intermediate AFP levels (median 16.8 ng/mL), high inflammation-based scores and high TBS (median 6.58). Median DFS worsened incrementally among the three different clusters with Cluster 3 having the lowest DFS (Cluster 1: median not reached; Cluster 2: 34 months, 95% CI 23.0-48.0, Cluster 3: 19 months, 95% CI 15.0-29.0, p < 0.05).

CONCLUSION

Cluster analysis classified HCC patients into three distinct prognostic groups. Cluster assignment predicted DFS following resection of HCC with the female cluster having the most favorable prognosis following HCC resection.

Atezolizumab plus bevacizumab versus active surveillance in patients with resected or ablated high-risk hepatocellular carcinoma (IMbrave050): a randomised, open-label, multicentre, phase 3 trial

BACKGROUND

No adjuvant treatment has been established for patients who remain at high risk for hepatocellular carcinoma recurrence after curative-intent resection or ablation. We aimed to assess the efficacy of adjuvant atezolizumab plus bevacizumab versus active surveillance in patients with high-risk hepatocellular carcinoma.

METHODS

In the global, open-label, phase 3 IMbrave050 study, adult patients with high-risk surgically resected or ablated hepatocellular carcinoma were recruited from 134 hospitals and medical centres in 26 countries in four WHO regions (European region, region of the Americas, South-East Asia region, and Western Pacific region). Patients were randomly assigned in a 1:1 ratio via an interactive voice-web response system using permuted blocks, using a block size of 4, to receive intravenous 1200 mg atezolizumab plus 15 mg/kg bevacizumab every 3 weeks for 17 cycles (12 months) or to active surveillance. The primary endpoint was recurrence-free survival by independent review facility assessment in the intention-to-treat population. This trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT04102098.

FINDINGS

The intention-to-treat population included 668 patients randomly assigned between Dec 31, 2019, and Nov 25, 2021, to either atezolizumab plus bevacizumab (n=334) or to active surveillance (n=334). At the prespecified interim analysis (Oct 21, 2022), median duration of follow-up was 17·4 months (IQR 13·9-22·1). Adjuvant atezolizumab plus bevacizumab was associated with significantly improved recurrence-free survival (median, not evaluable [NE]; [95% CI 22·1-NE]) compared with active surveillance (median, NE [21·4-NE]; hazard ratio, 0·72 [adjusted 95% CI 0·53-0·98]; p=0·012). Grade 3 or 4 adverse events occurred in 136 (41%) of 332 patients who received atezolizumab plus bevacizumab and 44 (13%) of 330 patients in the active surveillance group. Grade 5 adverse events occurred in six patients (2%, two of which were treatment related) in the atezolizumab plus bevacizumab group, and one patient (<1%) in the active surveillance group. Both atezolizumab and bevacizumab were discontinued because of adverse events in 29 patients (9%) who received atezolizumab plus bevacizumab.

INTERPRETATION

Among patients at high risk of hepatocellular carcinoma recurrence following curative-intent resection or ablation, recurrence-free survival was improved in those who received atezolizumab plus bevacizumab versus active surveillance. To our knowledge, IMbrave050 is the first phase 3 study of adjuvant treatment for hepatocellular carcinoma to report positive results. However, longer follow-up for both recurrence-free and overall survival is needed to assess the benefit-risk profile more fully.

FUNDING

F Hoffmann-La Roche/Genentech.

Clinical impact of sarcopenia in early-stage intrahepatic recurrent hepatocellular carcinoma: an association with impaired host immunity

PURPOSE

This study investigated the role of sarcopenia in the long-term outcomes of patients with early-stage intrahepatic recurrent hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

METHODS

The study included 136 patients with intrahepatic recurrent Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stage 0/A HCC following liver resection diagnosed between 2006 and 2020 and underwent surgery, radiofrequency ablation (RFA), or transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE). Sarcopenia was defined based on the skeletal muscle index using computed tomography at the time of recurrence, and its association with long-term outcomes was evaluated. Tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes (CD4 + , CD8 + , and CD45RO + T cells) were assayed using immunohistochemistry on specimens obtained from repeat hepatectomies, and their association with sarcopenia was evaluated.

RESULTS

The overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) rates after initial recurrence of patients with sarcopenia were significantly lower than those without sarcopenia (p < 0.001 and p < 0.001, respectively). Multivariate analysis identified sarcopenia as an independent prognostic factor for RFS (p < 0.001). In patients without sarcopenia, surgery resulted in better RFS than RFA or TACE. Contrastingly, in patients with sarcopenia, the RFS was extremely poor regardless of the treatment type: surgery, RFA, or TACE (median RFS, 11.7, 12.7, and 10.1 months). Significantly low levels of tumor-infiltrating CD4 + , CD8 + , and CD45RO + lymphocytes were observed in patients with sarcopenia (p = 0.001, p = 0.001, and p = 0.001, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

This study suggests that patients with sarcopenia have poor RFS regardless of the treatment type for early-stage intrahepatic recurrent HCC. Impaired host immunity might be one of the underlying mechanisms.

Development of a Model including MRI Features for Predicting Advanced-stage Recurrence of Hepatocellular Carcinoma after Liver Resection

Background Identifying patients at high risk for advanced-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) recurrence after liver resection may improve patient survival. Purpose To develop a model including MRI features for predicting postoperative advanced-stage HCC recurrence. Materials and Methods This single-center, retrospective study includes consecutive adult patients who underwent preoperative contrast-enhanced MRI and curative-intent resection for early- to intermediate-stage HCC (from December 2011 to April 2021). Three radiologists evaluated 52 qualitative features on MRI scans. In the training set, Fine-Gray proportional subdistribution hazard analysis was performed to identify clinical, laboratory, imaging, pathologic, and surgical variables to include in the predictive model. In the test set, the concordance index (C-index) was computed to compare the developed model with current staging systems. The Kaplan-Meier survival curves were compared using the log-rank test. Results The study included 532 patients (median age, 54 years; IQR, 46-62 years; 465 male patients), 302 patients from the training set (median age, 54 years; IQR, 46-63 years; 265 male patients), and 128 patients from the test set (median age, 53 years; IQR, 46-63 years; 108 male patients). Advanced-stage recurrence was observed in 38 of 302 (12.6%) and 15 of 128 (11.7%) of patients from the training and test sets, respectively. Serum neutrophil count (109/L), tumor size (in centimeters), and arterial phase hyperenhancement proportion on MRI scans were associated with advanced-stage recurrence (subdistribution hazard ratio range, 1.16-3.83; 95% CI: 1.02, 7.52; P value range, <.001 to .02) and included in the predictive model. The model showed better test set prediction for advanced-stage recurrence than four staging systems (2-year C-indexes, 0.82 [95% CI: 0.74, 0.91] vs 0.63-0.68 [95% CI: 0.52, 0.82]; P value range, .001-.03). Patients at high risk for HCC recurrence (model score, ≥15 points) showed increased advanced-stage recurrence and worse all-stage recurrence-free survival (RFS), advanced-stage RFS, and overall survival than patients at low risk for HCC recurrence (P value range, <.001 to .02). Conclusion A model combining serum neutrophil count, tumor size, and arterial phase hyperenhancement proportion predicted advanced-stage HCC recurrence better than current staging systems and may identify patients at high risk. Published under a CC BY 4.0 license. Supplemental material is available for this article. See also the editorial by Tsai and Mellnick in this issue.

MicroRNAs as the critical regulators of tumor angiogenesis in liver cancer

Liver cancer is one of the most common malignancies in human digestive system. Despite the recent therapeutic methods, there is a high rate of mortality among liver cancer patients. Late diagnosis in the advanced tumor stages can be one of the main reasons for the poor prognosis in these patients. Therefore, investigating the molecular mechanisms of liver cancer can be helpful for the early stage tumor detection and treatment. Vascular expansion in liver tumors can be one of the important reasons for poor prognosis and aggressiveness. Therefore, anti-angiogenic drugs are widely used in liver cancer patients. MicroRNAs (miRNAs) have key roles in the regulation of angiogenesis in liver tumors. Due to the high stability of miRNAs in body fluids, these factors are widely used as the non-invasive diagnostic and prognostic markers in cancer patients. Regarding, the importance of angiogenesis during liver tumor growth and invasion, in the present review, we discussed the role of miRNAs in regulation of angiogenesis in these tumors. It has been reported that miRNAs mainly exert an anti-angiogenic function by regulation of tumor microenvironment, transcription factors, and signaling pathways in liver tumors. This review can be an effective step to suggest the miRNAs for the non-invasive early detection of malignant and invasive liver tumors.

Comparison of different adjuvant therapy regimen efficacies in patients with high risk of recurrence after radical resection of hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) has a high recurrence rate even after radical surgery. Postoperative adjuvant transhepatic arterial chemoembolization (PA-TACE), postoperative adjuvant hepatic arterial infusion chemotherapy (PA-HAIC), postoperative adjuvant radiotherapy (PA-RT), and postoperative adjuvant molecular targeted therapy have been demonstrated to be effective in reducing the postoperative recurrence rate. The present network meta-analysis was conducted to compare the effects of PA-TACE, PA-HAIC, PA-RT and postoperative adjuvant molecular targeted therapy on the overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) in HCC patients after radical resection and to determine the optimal treatment strategy.

METHODS

Network meta-analysis was conducted according to the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines. PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Library, and Web of Science were used to collect eligible studies up to December 25, 2022. Studies related to PA-TACE, PA-HAIC, and postoperative adjuvant molecular targeted therapy after radical HCC resection was included. The endpoints were OS and DFS, and the effect size was determined using hazard ratio with a 95% confidence interval. R software and "gemtc" package were employed to analyze the results.

RESULTS

A total of 38 studies involving 7079 patients with HCC after radical resection were ultimately enrolled to be analyzed. Four postoperative adjuvant therapy measures and two oncology indicators were evaluated. In this study, OS-related investigations validated that PA-Sorafenib and PA-RT markedly enhanced the OS rates in patients after radical resection when compared to PA-TACE and PA-HAIC. However, statistical analysis revealed no significant difference between PA-Sorafenib and PA-RT, as well as PA-TACE and PA-HAIC. In the DFS-related investigations, PA-RT demonstrated superior efficacy over PA-Sorafenib, PA-TACE, and PA-HAIC. Additionally, PA-Sorafenib displayed better efficacy than PA-TACE. Nevertheless, there was no statistical significance between PA-Sorafenib and PA-HAIC, as well as PA-TACE and PA-HAIC. We also performed a subgroup analysis of studies focusing on HCC complicated by microvascular invasion after radical resection. In terms of OS, both PA-RT and PA-Sorafenib demonstrated a noteworthy improvement over PA-TACE, whereas no statistical significance was detected between PA-RT and PA-Sorafenib. Likewise, for DFS, both PA-Sorafenib and PA-RT exhibited superior efficacy compared to PA-TACE.

CONCLUSION

In patients with HCC after radical resection and a high risk of recurrence, both PA-Sorafenib and PA-RT significantly improved OS and DFS when compared to PA-TACE and PA-HAIC. Notably, PA-RT exhibited superior efficacy over PA-Sorafenib, PA-TACE, and PA-HAIC in terms of DFS. Similarly, PA-Sorafenib appeared to be more effective than PA-TACE for DFS.

Surgical resection versus transarterial chemoembolization for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma beyond Milan criteria: prognostic role of tumor burden score

Tumor burden score (TBS) has been recently introduced to indicate the extent of tumor burden in different cancers, but its role in advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is unclear. We aimed to determine the prognostic role of TBS in patients with HCC beyond the Milan criteria receiving surgical resection (SR) or transarterial chemoembolization (TACE). A total of 1303 newly diagnosed HCC patients beyond Milan criteria receiving SR or TACE as the primary therapy were retrospectively analyzed. Independent prognostic predictors were examined by the multivariate Cox proportional hazards model. SR was associated with better overall survival compared with TACE in these patients. Multivariate Cox analysis of the entire cohort revealed that age > 66 years (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.145, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.004-1.305, p = 0.043), serum α-fetoprotein > 200 ng/mL (HR: 1.602, 95% CI: 1.402-1.831, p < 0.001), performance status 2-4 (HR: 1.316, 95% CI: 1.115-1.553, p < 0.001), medium TBS (HR: 1.225, 95% CI:1.045-1.436, p = 0.012), high TBS (HR: 1.976, 95% CI: 1.637-2.384, p < 0.001), albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade 2-3 (HR: 1.529, 95% CI: 1.342-1.743, p < 0.001), presence of vascular invasion (HR: 1.568, 95% CI: 1.354-1.816, p < 0.001), and TACE (HR: 2.396, 95% CI: 2.082-2.759, p < 0.001) were linked with decreased survival. SR consistently predicted a significantly better survival in different TBS subgroups. TBS is a feasible and independent prognostic predictor in HCC beyond the Milan criteria. SR provides better long-term outcome compared with TACE in these patients independent of TBS grade, and should be considered as the primary treatment modality in this special patient group.

Viral Status and Treatment Efficacy in Recurrent Hepatocellular Carcinoma After Primary Resection

BACKGROUND

The impact of viral background on long-term effectiveness of different treatment modalities for recurrent hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) was not fully analyzed.

METHOD

Consecutive 726 patients who developed intrahepatic recurrence after primary hepatectomy for HCC between 2008 and 2015 were retrospectively studied. Post-recurrence survival (PRS) and rerecurrence-free survival (R-RFS) and risk factors were analyzed.

RESULTS

After a median follow-up period of 56 months, the 5-year PRS rates of the patients who underwent rehepatectomy, radiofrequency ablation (RFA), and transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) were 79.4%, 83.0%, and 54.6%, respectively. The treatment benefit for PRS was consistently observed in patients with hepatitis B virus (HBV) and non-B, non-C subgroups, but not hepatitis C virus (HCV). For patients with late recurrence of HCC, R-RFS was superior in HBV subgroup and HCV subgroup which received antiviral treatment (compared to naïve HCV subgroup). Survival difference triaged by viral status was lost in the counterpart with early recurrence. Overall, RFA improved PRS and R-RFS in patients receiving antiviral treatment.

CONCLUSION

To achieve long-term survival after HCC recurrence, rehepatectomy and RFA were comparably effective, particularly among those with HBV. Antiviral treatment complemented survivals of patients with HCV after RFA, particularly in late first recurrence.

Contrast enhanced ultrasound combined with serology predicts hepatocellular carcinoma recurrence: a retrospective observation cohort study

Objectives

To construct a novel model based on contrast-enhanced ultrasound (CEUS) and serological biomarkers to predict the early recurrence (ER) of primary hepatocellular carcinoma within 2 years after hepatectomy.

Methods

A total of 466 patients who underwent CEUS and curative resection between 2016.1.1 and 2019.1.1 were retrospectively recruited from one institution. The training and testing cohorts comprised 326 and 140 patients, respectively. Data on general characteristics, CEUS Liver Imaging Reporting and Data System (LI-RADS) parameters, and serological were collected. Univariate analysis and multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression model were used to evaluate the independent prognostic factors for tumor recurrence, and the Contrast-enhanced Ultrasound Serological (CEUSS) model was constructed. Different models were compared using prediction error and time-dependent area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). The CEUSS model's performances in ER prediction were assessed.

Results

The baseline data of the training and testing cohorts were equal. LI-RADS category, α-fetoprotein level, tumor maximum diameter, total bilirubin level, starting time, iso-time, and enhancement pattern were independent hazards, and their hazards ratios were 1.417, 1.309, 1.133, 1.036, 0.883, 0.985, and 0.70, respectively. The AUCs of CEUSS, BCLC,TNM, and CNLC were 0.706, 0.641, 0.647, and 0.636, respectively, in the training cohort and 0.680, 0.583, 0.607, and 0.597, respectively, in the testing cohort. The prediction errors of CEUSS, BCLC, TNM, and CNLC were 0.202, 0.205, 0.205, and 0.200, respectively, in the training cohort and 0.204, 0.221, 0.219, and 0.211, respectively, in the testing cohort.

Conclusions

The CEUSS model can accurately and individually predict ER before surgery and may represent a new tool for individualized treatment.

Development and Validation of an α-Fetoprotein Tumor Burden Score Model to Predict Postrecurrence Survival among Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma

BACKGROUND

The purpose of this study is to establish a prognostic model to predict postrecurrence survival (PRS) probability after initial resection of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

STUDY DESIGN

Patients with recurrent HCC after curative resection were identified through a multicenter consortium (training cohort, TC); data were from a separate institution were used as validation cohort (VC). The α-fetoprotein (AFP) tumor burden score (ATS) was defined as the distance from the origin on a 3-dimensional Cartesian coordinate system that incorporated 3 variables: largest tumor diameter ( x axis), number of tumors ( y axis), and ln AFP ( z axis). ATS was calculated using the Pythagorean theorem: ATS 2 = (largest tumor diameter) 2 + (number of tumors) 2 + (ln AFP) 2 , where ATS d and ATS r represent ATS at the time of initial diagnosis and at the time of recurrence, respectively. The final model was ATS m = ATS d + 4 × ATS r . Predictive performance and discrimination of the ATS model were evaluated and compared with traditional staging systems.

RESULTS

The ATS model demonstrated strong predictive performance of PRS in both the TC (area under the curve [AUC] 0.70) and VC (AUC 0.71). An ATS-based nomogram was able to stratify patients accurately into low- and high-risk categories relative to PRS (TC: ATS m ≤ 27, 74.9 months vs. ATS m ≥ 28, 23.3 months; VC: ATS m ≤ 27, 59.4 months vs. ATS m ≥ 28, 15.1 months; both p < 0.001). The ATS model predicted PRS among patients undergoing curative or noncurative treatment of HCC recurrence (both p < 0.05). Of note, the ATS model outperformed the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC), China Liver Cancer (CNLC), and American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging systems relative to 1-, 2-, 3-, 4- and 5-year PRS (AUC 0.70, vs. BCLC, AUC 0.50, vs. CNLC, AUC 0.54, vs. AJCC, AUC 0.51).

CONCLUSIONS

The ATS model had excellent prognostic discriminatory power to stratify patients relative to PRS.

Understanding the causes of recurrent HCC after liver resection and radiofrequency ablation

INTRODUCTION

Surgical resection and radiofrequency ablation are preferred options for early-stage disease, with 5-year recurrence rates as high as 70% when patients are treated according to guidelines. With increasing availability of therapeutic options, including but not limited to, immune-checkpoint inhibitors (ICI), tyrosine kinase inhibitors, antiangiogenics, and adoptive cell therapies, understanding the causes of recurrence and identifying its predictors should be priorities in the hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) research agenda.

AREAS COVERED

Current knowledge of HCC predictors of recurrence is reviewed, and recent insights about its underlying mechanisms are presented. In addition, results from recent clinical trials investigating treatment combinations are critically appraised.

EXPERT OPINION

HCC recurrence is either due to progressive growth of microscopic residual disease, or to de novo cancer development in the context of a diseased liver, each occurring in an early (<2years) vs. late (≥2 years) fashion. Collectively, morphological, proteomic, and transcriptomic data suggest vascular invasion and angiogenesis as key drivers of HCC recurrence. Agents aimed at blocking either of these two hallmarks should be prioritized at the moment of early-stage HCC clinical trial design. Emerging results from clinical trials testing ICI in early-stage HCC underscore the importance of defining the best treatment sequence and the most appropriate combination strategies. Lastly, as different responses to systemic therapies are increasingly defined according to the HCC etiology, patient enrolment into clinical trials should take into account the biological characteristics of their inherent disease.

Surgical resection for large hepatocellular carcinoma and those beyond BCLC: systematic review with proposed management algorithm

BACKGROUND

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) accounts for the sixth most common cancer and ranks third in mortality worldwide with inhomogeneity in terms of resection for advanced-stage disease.

METHODS

A systematic review of published literature using the PubMed, Medline, and Google Scholar databases from 1995 to 2020 was conducted to identify studies that reported outcomes of resection for solitary HCC > 10 cm, BCLC B/C, and multinodular HCC. Our aim was to assess overall survival for resection, identify poor prognostic factors, and to compare it to trans-arterial chemotherapy (TACE) where data was available.

RESULTS

Eighty-nine articles were included after a complete database search in the systematic review as per our predefined criteria. Analysis revealed a 5-year overall survival of 33.5% for resection of HCC > 10 cm, 41.7% for BCLC B, 23.3% for BCLC C, and 36.6% for multinodular HCC. Peri-operative mortality ranged from 0 to 6.9%. Studies comparing resection versus TACE for BCLC B/C had a survival of 40% versus 17%, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Our systematic review justifies hepatic resection wherever feasible for hepatocellular carcinomas > 10 cm, BCLC B, BCLC C, and multinodular tumors. In addition, we identified and proposed an algorithm with five poor prognostic criteria in this group of patients who may benefit from adjuvant TACE.

Liver resection for large and huge hepatocellular carcinoma: Predictors of failure, recurrence patterns, and prognoses

BACKGROUND

Characteristic symptoms and signs are often absent in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). As a result, many patients are not diagnosed until their tumors have grown to large (> 5cm) or huge sizes (> 10cm). Liver resection has traditionally been reserved for patients with small HCC, but more recently it is being used for patients with large and huge tumors. The aim of this study was to determine risk predictors of recurrence, patterns of recurrence, and survival rates for large and huge HCC patients who underwent curative liver resection.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We retrospectively identified a subgroup of patients who underwent liver resection for HCC with diameters 5 cm or larger. Overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) rates were calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were performed to investigate potential risk factors for recurrence and death.

RESULTS

Among 897 patients, the median follow-up was 48 (range, 5-140) months. The 1-, 3-, and 5-year RFS rates were 51.6%, 36.1%, and 30.1%, respectively, and OS rates were 80.2%, 55.4%, and 47.7%, respectively. Significant independent predictors of recurrence were preoperative satellite nodule (HR = 2.25; 95% CI, 1.17-4.31; p = .02), preoperative AFP levels above 400 ng/ml (HR = 1.23; 95% CI, 1.04-1.45; p = .01), resection margins of 1 cm or less (HR = 1.21; 95% CI, 1.00-1.46; p = .047), cirrhosis (HR = 2.64; 95% CI, 2.13-3.28; p < .001), and microvascular invasion (HR = 1.71; 95% CI, 1.45-2.20; p < .001). All of these except narrow resection margin were also independent risk factors of OS.

CONCLUSIONS

Hepatic resection for patients with large and huge HCC without hepatic vascular invasion, extrahepatic metastases, or severe chronic liver disease results in acceptable long-term outcomes.

The Role of Ablative Techniques in the Management of Hepatocellular Carcinoma: Indications and Outcomes

The management of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains complex and will continue to rely on the multidisciplinary input of hepatologists, surgeons, radiologists, oncologists and radiotherapists. With the appropriate staging of patients and selection of suitable treatments, the outcomes for HCC are improving. Surgical treatments encompassing both liver resection and orthotopic liver transplantation (OLT) are the definitive curative-intent options. However, patient suitability, as well as organ availability, pose essential limitations. Consequently, non-surgical options, such as ablative techniques, play an increasingly important role, especially in small HCCs, where overall and disease-free survival can be comparable to surgical resection. Ablative techniques are globally recommended in recognised classification systems, showing increasingly promising results. Recent technical refinements, as well as the emerging use of robotic assistance, may expand the treatment paradigm to achieve improved oncological results. At present, in very early stage and early stage unresectable disease, percutaneous thermal ablation is considered the treatment of choice. Owing to their different features, various ablative techniques, including radiofrequency ablation, microwave ablation, cryotherapy ablation and irreversible electroporation, have been shown to confer different comparative advantages and applicability. We herein review the role of available ablative techniques in the current complex multidisciplinary management of HCC, with a main focus on the indications and outcomes, and discuss future perspectives.

TAC score better predicts survival than the BCLC following resection of hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Heterogeneity in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) still exists within the Barcelona clinic liver cancer (BCLC) subcategories. We developed a simple model to better discriminate and predict prognosis following resection.

METHODS

Patients who underwent curative-intent resection for HCC were identified from a multi-institutional database. Predictive factors of survival were identified to develop TAC (tumor burden score [TBS], alpha-fetoprotein [AFP], Child-Pugh CP]) score.

RESULTS

Among 1435 patients, median TBS was 5.1 (interquartile range [IQR]: 3.2-8.1), median AFP was 18.3 ng/ml (IQR 4.0-362.5), and 1391 (96.9%) patients were classified as CP-A. Factors associated with overall survival (OS) included TBS (low: referent; medium: HR 2.26, 95% CI: 1.73-2.96; high: HR = 3.35, 95% CI: 2.22-5.07), AFP (<400 ng/ml: referent; >400 ng/ml: HR = 1.56, 95% CI: 1.27-1.92), and CP (A: referent; B: HR = 1.81, 95% CI: 1.12-2.92) (all p < 0.05). A simplified risk score demonstrated superior concordance index, Akaike information criteria, homogeneity, and area under the curve versus BCLC (0.620 vs. 0.541; 5484.655 vs. 5536.454; 60.099 vs. 16.194; 0.62 vs. 0.55, respectively), and further stratified patients within BCLC groups relative to OS (BCLC 0, very low: 86.8%, low: 47.8%) (BCLC A, very low: 79.7%, low: 68.1%, medium: 52.5%, high: 35.6%) (BCLC B, low: 59.8%, medium: 43.7%, high: N/A).

CONCLUSION

TAC is a simple, holistic score that consistently outperformed BCLC relative to discrimination power and prognostication following resection of HCC.

Multiple Pretransplant Treatments for Patients Without Pathological Complete Response may Worsen Posttransplant Outcomes in Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Liver transplant (LT) candidates with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) often receive cancer treatment before transplant. We investigated the impact of pre-transplant treatment for HCC on the risk of posttransplant recurrence.

METHODS

Adult HCC patients with LT at our institution between 2013 and 2020 were included. The impact of pre-LT cancer treatments on the cumulative recurrence was evaluated, using the Gray and Fine-Gray methods adjusted for confounding factors. Outcomes were considered in two ways: 1) by pathologically complete response (pCR) status within patients received pre-LT treatment; and 2) within patients without pCR, grouped by pre-LT treatment as A) none; B) one treatment; C) multiple treatments.

RESULTS

The sample included 179 patients, of whom 151 (84%) received pretreatment and 42 (28% of treated) demonstrated pCR. Overall, 22 (12%) patients experienced recurrence. The 5-year cumulative post-LT recurrence rate was significantly lower in patients with pCR than those without pCR (4.8% vs. 19.2%, P = 0.03). In bivariable analyses, pCR significantly decreased risk of recurrence. Among the 137 patients without pCR (viable HCC in the explant), 28 (20%) had no pretreatment (A), 70 (52%) had one treatment (B), and 39 (20%) had multiple treatments (C). Patients in Group C had higher 5-year recurrence rates than those in A or B (39.6% vs. 8.2%, 6.5%, P = 0.004 and P < 0.001, respectively). In bivariable analyses, multiple treatments was significantly associated with recurrence.

CONCLUSIONS

pCR is a favorable prognostic factor after LT. When pCR was not achieved by pre-LT treatment, the number of treatments might be associated with post-LT oncological prognosis.

Prediction of 3-year recurrence rate of hepatocellular carcinoma after resection based on contrast-enhanced CT: a single-centre study

OBJECTIVE

We present a new artificial intelligence-powered method to predict 3-year hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) recurrence by analysing the radiomic profile of contrast-enhanced CT (CECT) images that was validated in patient cohorts.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study of 224 HCC patients with follow-up for at least 3 years was performed at a single centre from 2012 to 2019. Two groups of radiomic signatures were extracted from the arterial and portal venous phases of pre-operative CECT. Then, the radiological model (RM), deep learning-based radiomics model (DLRM), and clinical & deep learning-based radiomics model (CDLRM) were established and validated in the area under curve (AUC), calibration curve, and clinical decision curve.

RESULTS

Comparison of the clinical baseline variables between the non-recurrence (n = 109) and recurrence group (n = 115), three clinical independent factors (Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer staging, microvascular invasion, and α-fetoprotein) were incorporated into DLRM for the CDLRM construction. Among the 30 radiomic features most crucial to the 3 year recurrence rate, the selection from deep learning-based radiomics (DLR) features depends on CECT. through the Gini index. In most cases, CDLRM has shown superior accuracy and distinguished performance than DLRM and RM, with the 0.98 AUC in the training cohorts and 0.83 in the testing.

CONCLUSION

This study proposed that DLR-based CDLRM construction would be allowed for the predictive utility of 3-year recurrence outcomes of HCCs, providing high-risk patients with an effective and non-invasive method to possess extra clinical intervention.

ADVANCES IN KNOWLEDGE

This study has highlighted the predictive value of DLR in the 3-year recurrence rate of HCC.

Alpha-Fetoprotein Combined with Radiographic Tumor Burden Score to Predict Overall Survival after Liver Resection in Hepatocellular Carcinoma

We evaluated whether combining the radiographic tumor burden score (TBS) and alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) level could be used to stratify overall survival (OS) among hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients after liver resection (LR). Patients who underwent LR for Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage 0, A, or B HCC between 2011 and 2018 were enrolled. TBS scores were calculated using the following equation: TBS2 = (largest tumor size (in cm))2 + (tumor number)2. Among 743 patients, 193 (26.0%) patients had a low TBS (<2.6), 474 (63.8%) had a moderate TBS (2.6-7.9), and 75 (10.1%) had a high TBS (>7.9). Those with a TBS ≤ 7.9 and AFP < 400 ng/mL had a significantly better OS than those with a TBS > 7.9 and an AFP < 400 ng/mL (p = 0.003) or ≥ 400 ng/mL (p < 0.001). A multivariate analysis using TBS ≤ 7.9 and AFP < 400 ng/mL as the reference values showed that a TBS > 7.9 and an AFP < 400 ng/mL (hazard ratio (HR): 2.063; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.175-3.623; p = 0.012) or ≥ 400 ng/mL (HR: 6.570; 95% CI: 3.684-11.719; p < 0.001) were independent predictors of OS. In conclusion, combining radiographic TBSs and AFP levels could stratify OS among HCC patients undergoing LR.

Interval dynamics of transplantability for hepatocellular carcinoma after primary curative resection: risk factors for nontransplantable recurrence

BACKGROUND

To investigate the changes in transplantability between primary and recurrent Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after hepatic resection (HR) and the risk factors for nontransplantable recurrence (NTR).

METHODS

Consecutive 3122 patients who received HR for primary HCC between 2001 and 2019 were analyzed for changes in transplantability. Predictors of survival and NTR were evaluated using a competing risk analysis.

RESULTS

After a median follow-up of 78.3 months, the 5-year overall survival rate was 82.6%. Also, 58.2% of them developed recurrence after a median of 45.6 months. Recurrence occurred in 1205 and 611 patients with primary transplantable and nontransplantable HCC, respectively, of whom 26.1% and 63.2%, respectively, had NTR. Tumor diameter >3 cm [subdistribution hazard ratios (95% CI), 2.00 (1.62-2.48)], major resection [1.20 (1.00-1.43)], pathological grade >2 [1.28 (1.07-1.52)], microvascular invasion [1.74 (1.45-2.08)], and early recurrence (<1 year) [9.22 (7.83-10.87)] were associated with NTR. The overall transplantable pool increased from 72.3% to 77.5%.

CONCLUSION

Microvascular invasion and early recurrence were risk factors for NTR. Nonetheless, the transplantable pool increased after HR, 41.8% of the patients had no recurrence and may not require liver transplantation. If the patient's liver function is acceptable, HR should be considered the treatment of choice for HCC.

Application of hazard functions to investigate recurrence after curative-intent resection for hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Defining patterns and risk of recurrence can help inform surveillance strategies and patient counselling. We sought to characterize peak hazard rates (pHR) and peak time of recurrence among patients who underwent resection of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

METHODS

1434 patients who underwent curative-intent resection of HCC were identified from a multi-institutional database. Hazard, patterns, and peak rates of recurrence were characterized.

RESULTS

The overall hazard of recurrence peaked at 2.4 months (pHR: 0.0384), yet varied markedly. The incidence of recurrence increased with Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stage 0 (29%), A (54%), and B (64%). While the hazard function curve for BCLC 0 patients was relatively flat (pHR: <0.0177), BCLC A patients recurred with a peak at 2.4 months (pHR: 0.0365). Patients with BCLC B had a bimodal recurrence with a peak rate at 4.2 months (pHR: 0.0565) and another at 22.8 months. The incidence of recurrence also varied according to AFP level (≤400 ng/mL: 52.6% vs. >400 ng/mL: 36.3%) and Tumor Burden Score (low: 73.7% vs. medium: 50.6% vs. high: 24.2%) (both p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

Recurrence hazard rates for HCC varied substantially relative to both time and intensity/peak rates. TBS and AFP markedly impacted patterns of hazard risk of recurrence.

Variations in Textbook Oncologic Outcomes After Curative-Intent Resection: Early Versus Intermediate Hepatocellular Carcinoma Based on Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer Criteria and Child-Pugh Classification

BACKGROUND

The impact of early versus intermediate hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) on short-term "optimal" outcomes remains ill-defined. This study sought to define the incidence of textbook oncologic outcomes (TOO), as well as to identify factors associated with TOO among patients with early versus intermediate HCC.

METHODS

Patients who underwent curative-intent liver resection for HCC (1998-2020) were identified from a multi-institutional database. Textbook oncologic outcome (TOO) was defined as negative surgical margins, no return to the operating room, no extended hospital stay, no severe complications, and no 90-day mortality or readmission. Patients were stratified as early HCC (BCLC 0 or BCLC A/Child-Pugh A) or intermediate HCC (BCLC A/Child-Pugh B or BCLC B). Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to assess factors associated with TOO.

RESULTS

Among 1383 patients, the overall incidence of TOO was 69.0%. Patients with intermediate HCC were less likely to achieve a TOO (early [71.6 %] vs. intermediate [60.1%]; p < 0.001). On multivariate analysis, factors associated with decreased odds of a TOO were high tumor burden (odds ratio [OR], 0.57; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.33-1.00), high aspartate transaminase-platelet ratio index (APRI) (OR, 0.46; 95% CI, 0.30-0.70), Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) greater than 3 (OR, 0.67; 95% CI, 0.49-0.91), major liver resection (OR, 0.68; 95% CI, 0.52-0.90), and intermediate HCC (OR, 0.68; 95% CI, 0.50-0.93) (all p < 0.05). Notably, although high APRI, CCI greater than 3, and major liver resection contributed to lower odds of a TOO in early HCC, the only factor that adversely impacted TOO in intermediate HCC was high tumor burden.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with intermediate HCC and early HCC patients with liver dysfunction, comorbidities, or an extensive resection were less likely to achieve an "optimal" postoperative outcome.

Novel Computed-Tomography-Based Transformer Models for the Noninvasive Prediction of PD-1 in Pre-Operative Settings

The expression status of programmed cell death protein 1 (PD-1) in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is associated with the checkpoint blockade treatment responses of PD-1/PD-L1. Thus, accurately and preoperatively identifying the status of PD-1 has great clinical implications for constructing personalized treatment strategies. To investigate the preoperative predictive value of the transformer-based model for identifying the status of PD-1 expression, 93 HCC patients with 75 training cohorts (2859 images) and 18 testing cohorts (670 images) were included. We propose a transformer-based network architecture, ResTransNet, that efficiently employs convolutional neural networks (CNNs) and self-attention mechanisms to automatically acquire a persuasive feature to obtain a prediction score using a nonlinear classifier. The area under the curve, receiver operating characteristic curve, and decision curves were applied to evaluate the prediction model's performance. Then, Kaplan-Meier survival analyses were applied to evaluate the overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) in PD-1-positive and PD-1-negative patients. The proposed transformer-based model obtained an accuracy of 88.2% with a sensitivity of 88.5%, a specificity of 88.9%, and an area under the curve of 91.1% in the testing cohort.

CT radiomics combined with clinical variables for predicting the overall survival of hepatocellular carcinoma patients after hepatectomy

PURPOSE

To establish a model for assessing the overall survival (OS) of the hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients after hepatectomy based on the clinical and radiomics features.

METHODS

This study recruited a total of 267 patients with HCC, which were randomly divided into the training (N = 188) and validation (N = 79) cohorts. In the training cohort, radiomic features were selected with the intra-reader and inter-reader correlation coefficient (ICC), Spearman's correlation coefficient, and the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO). The radiomics signatures were built by COX regression analysis and compared the predictive potential in the different phases (arterial, portal, and double-phase) and regions of interest (tumor, peritumor 3 mm, peritumor 5 mm). A clinical-radiomics model (CR model) was established by combining the radiomics signatures and clinical risk factors. The validation cohort was used to validate the proposed models.

RESULTS

A total of 267 patients 86 (45.74%) and 37 (46.84%) patients died in the training and validation cohorts, respectively. Among all the radiomics signatures, those based on the tumor and peritumor (5 mm) (AP-TP5-Signature) showed the best prognostic potential (training cohort 1-3 years AUC:0.774-0.837; validation cohort 1-3 years AUC:0.754-0.810). The CR model showed better discrimination, calibration, and clinical applicability as compared to the clinical model and radiomics features. In addition, the CR model could perform risk-stratification and also allowed for significant discrimination between the Kaplan-Meier curves in most of the subgroups.

CONCLUSIONS

The CR model could predict the OS of the HCC patients after hepatectomy.

Tumor Burden Score and Serum Alpha-fetoprotein Subclassify Intermediate-Stage Hepatocellular Carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Resection of Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) intermediate-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains controversial. While not recommended by the BCLC algorithm, some patients may indeed benefit from hepatectomy. We sought to identify that subset of patients who might derive long-term survival benefit from resection.

METHODS

Intermediate-stage HCC patients who underwent curative-intent resection were identified from an international multi-institutional database. Factors associated with long-term prognosis were identified using multivariate analysis and a risk score was developed and assessed.

RESULTS

Among 194 patients, most individuals had two tumors (n = 123, 63.4%) with a median size of 6.0 cm (IQR, 4.0-8.4) for a median tumor burden score (TBS) of 6.5 (IQR, 5.0-9.1); median alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) was 23.9 ng/mL (IQR, 5.0-503.2), and median overall survival (OS) was 69 months (IAR, 60.7-77.3). Factors associated with OS included AFP (referent ≤ 20 ng/mL, > 20 ng/mL: HR 1.78 95%CI, 1.09-2.89) and TBS (referent TBS ≤ 8.0, TBS > 8.0: HR 1.72 95%CI, 1.07-2.75). While 71 (36.6%) patients had neither risk factor, 79 (40.7%) and 44 (22.7%) had 1 or 2, respectively. A simplified score stratified patients relative to recurrence-free survival (RFS) (0: 33.6% vs. 1: 18.0% vs. 2: 14.7%) (AUC 0.60) and recurrence time (i.e., < 6 months after surgery) (0: 21.3% vs. 1: 43.1% vs. 2: 68.6%) (AUC 0.69) (both p < 0.001). Of note, a higher score was also associated with incrementally worse 5-year OS (0: 68.1% vs. 1: 61.0% vs. 2: 29.9%) (AUC 0.62) (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

Long-term OS and RFS outcomes varied considerably. Using a simple risk score, patients with low AFP and low TBS were identified as the subset of individuals most likely to benefit from resection.

Surgical Resection Is Superior to TACE in the Treatment of HCC in a Well Selected Cohort of BCLC-B Elderly Patients-A Retrospective Observational Study

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) usually develops in cirrhotic liver, with high recurrence rates. However, considering its increasing detection in non-cirrhotic liver, the choice of treatment assumes particular relevance. This study aimed to investigate outcomes of patients among BCLC stages and enrolled for surgical resection (SR) according to a more complex evaluation, to establish its safety and efficacy. A total of 186 selected HCC patients (median age 73.2 yrs), submitted to SR between January 2005 and January 2021, were retrospectively analyzed. Of which, 166 were staged 0, A, B according to the BCLC system, while 20 with a single large tumor (>5 cm) were classified as stage AB. No perioperative mortality was recorded; complications occurred in 48 (25.80%) patients, and all but two were Clavien−Dindo grade I−II. Median follow-up was 9.2 years. Subsequently, 162 recurrent patients (87,1%) were selected for new treatments. Comparable overall survival rates (OS) were observed at 1, 3, 5, and 10 years in 0, A, B and AB stages (p = 0.2). Eventually, the BCLC-B group was matched to 40 BCLC-B patients treated (2015-2021) with TACE. Significant differences in baseline characteristics (p <0.0001) and in OS were observed at 1 and 3 years (p <0.0001); a significant difference was also observed in oncological outcomes, in terms of the absence, residual, or relapse of disease (p <0.05). Surgery might be a valid treatment in HCC for patients affected by chronic liver disease in a condition of compensation, up to BCLC-B stage. Surgical indication for liver resection in case of HCC should be extensively revised.