Recurrence Prediction by Circulating Tumor DNA in the Patient with Colorectal Liver Metastases After Hepatectomy: A Prospective Biomarker Study

Pre-hepatectomy dynamic circulating tumor DNA to predict pathologic response to preoperative chemotherapy and post-hepatectomy recurrence in patients with colorectal liver metastases

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the predictive value of pre-hepatectomy dynamic circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) on pathologic response to preoperative chemotherapy and recurrence after liver resection for colorectal liver metastases (CRLM).

BACKGROUND

Pathologic response is a predictor of clinical outcomes for patients undergoing hepatectomy for CRLM. Postoperative ctDNA has been proven to be sensitive for recurrence detection. However, few studies investigate the impact of pre-hepatectomy ctDNA on pathologic response and recurrence.

METHODS

Patients with potential resectable CRLM underwent preoperative chemotherapy and hepatectomy between 2018 and 2021 was considered for inclusion. Plasma ctDNA was collected before and after preoperative chemotherapy. Pathologic response was analyzed for all patients after liver resection. Recurrence free survival was compared between patients with different ctDNA status and different pathologic response. The relation between ctDNA and pathologic response was also analyzed.

RESULTS

A total of 114 patients were included. ctDNA was detectable in 108 of 114 patients (94.7%) before chemotherapy, in 56 of 114 patients (49.1%) after chemotherapy. Patients with ctDNA positive at baseline and negative after chemotherapy had significantly longer RFS (median RFS 17 vs 7 months, p = 0.001) and HRFS (median HRFS unreached vs 8 months, p < 0.001) than those with ctDNA persistently positive after chemotherapy. Two patients (1.6%) had a pathologic complete response and 56 patients (45.2%) had a pathologic major response. Post-chemotherapy ctDNA- was associated with improved major pathologic response (53.4% vs 32.1%, p = 0.011). In the multivariable analysis, ctDNA- after chemotherapy (HR 0.51, 95% CI 0.28-0.93), major pathologic response (HR 0.34, 95% CI 0.19-0.62) and surgery combined with radiofrequency ablation (HR 2.62, 95% CI 1.38-5.00) were independently associated with RFS (all p < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Pre-hepatectomy dynamic monitoring of ctDNA could predict pathologic response to preoperative chemotherapy and post-hepatectomy recurrence in CRLM patients. Negative ctDNA after preoperative chemotherapy was associated with better tumor regression grade and recurrence-free survival, which might be used to guide pre-hepatectomy chemotherapy and predict prognosis.

Preoperative chemotherapy in upfront resectable colorectal liver metastases: New elements for an old dilemma?

The use of preoperative or "neoadjuvant" chemotherapy (NAC) has long been controversial for resectable colorectal liver metastases (CRLM). The European Society of Medical Oncology (ESMO) 2023 guidelines on metastatic colorectal cancer (CRC) indicate a combination of surgical/technical and oncologic/prognostic criteria as the two determinants for allocating patients to NAC or upfront hepatectomy. However, surgical and technical criteria have evolved, and oncologic prognostic criteria date from the pre-modern chemotherapy era and lack prospective validation. The traditional literature is interpreted as not supporting the use of NAC because several studies fail to demonstrate a benefit in overall survival (OS) compared to upfront surgery; however, OS may not be the most appropriate endpoint to consider. Moreover, the commonly quoted studies against NAC contain many limitations that may explain why NAC failed to demonstrate its value. The query of the recent literature focused primarily on other aspects than OS, such as surgical technique, the impact of side effects of chemotherapy, the histological growth pattern of metastases, or the detection of circulating tumor DNA, shows data that support a more widespread use of NAC. These should prompt a critical reappraisal of the use of NAC, leading to a more precise selection of patients who could benefit from it.

Circulating Tumor DNA Profiling in Liver Transplant for Hepatocellular Carcinoma, Cholangiocarcinoma, and Colorectal Liver Metastases: A Programmatic Proof of Concept

INTRODUCTION

Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) is emerging as a promising, non-invasive diagnostic and surveillance biomarker in solid organ malignancy. However, its utility before and after liver transplant (LT) for patients with primary and secondary liver cancers is still underexplored.

METHODS

Patients undergoing LT for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), cholangiocarcinoma (CCA), and colorectal liver metastases (CRLM) with ctDNA testing were included. CtDNA testing was conducted pre-transplant, post-transplant, or both (sequential) from 11/2019 to 09/2023 using Guardant360, Guardant Reveal, and Guardant360 CDx.

RESULTS

21 patients with HCC (n = 9, 43%), CRLM (n = 8, 38%), CCA (n = 3, 14%), and mixed HCC/CCA (n = 1, 5%) were included in the study. The median follow-up time was 15 months (range: 1-124). The median time from pre-operative testing to surgery was 3 months (IQR: 1-4; range: 0-5), and from surgery to post-operative testing, it was 9 months (IQR: 2-22; range: 0.4-112). A total of 13 (62%) patients had pre-transplant testing, with 8 (62%) having ctDNA detected (ctDNA+) and 5 (32%) not having ctDNA detected (ctDNA-). A total of 18 (86%) patients had post-transplant testing, 11 (61%) of whom were ctDNA+ and 7 (33%) of whom were ctDNA-. The absolute recurrence rates were 50% (n = 5) in those who were ctDNA+ vs. 25% (n = 1) in those who were ctDNA- in the post-transplant setting, though this difference was not statistically significant (p = 0.367). Six (29%) patients (HCC = 3, CCA = 1, CRLM = 2) experienced recurrence with a median recurrence-free survival of 14 (IQR: 6-40) months. Four of these patients had positive post-transplant ctDNA collected following diagnosis of recurrence, while one patient had positive post-transplant ctDNA collected preceding recurrence. A total of 10 (48%) patients had sequential ctDNA testing, of whom n = 5 (50%) achieved ctDNA clearance (+/-). The remainder were ctDNA+/+ (n = 3, 30%), ctDNA-/- (n = 1, 10%), and ctDNA-/+ (n = 1, 11%). Three (30%) patients showed the acquisition of new genomic alterations following transplant, all without recurrence. Overall, the median tumor mutation burden (TMB) decreased from 1.23 mut/Mb pre-transplant to 0.00 mut/Mb post-transplant.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with ctDNA positivity experienced recurrence at a higher rate than the ctDNA- patients, indicating the potential role of ctDNA in predicting recurrence after curative-intent transplant. Based on sequential testing, LT has the potential to clear ctDNA, demonstrating the capability of LT in the treatment of systemic disease. Transplant providers should be aware of the potential of donor-derived cell-free DNA and improved approaches are necessary to address such concerns.