Current state of symptomatic aortic valve stenosis in the Japanese elderly

Comprehensive Risk Stratification of Japanese Patients With Aortic Stenosis--A Proposal of a New Risk Score From the CHART-2 Study

BACKGROUND

The risk of patients with aortic stenosis (AS) should be stratified not only by AS severity but also by comorbidities.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We aimed to develop a risk score for mortality in 412 patients with AS (pressure gradient ≥30 mmHg, mean age 74.9 years, male 52.4%) in the CHART-2 Study (n=10,219). During a 3-year follow-up, 73 (17.7%) patients died. Crude 3-year mortality of patients in New York Heart Association (NYHA) classes I, II, and III/IV was 9.5%, 16.5%, and 49.7%, respectively (P<0.001). Stepwise Cox regression analysis showed that the combination of 7 factors was the best model to predict the mortality of AS patients, who were scored according to their hazard ratios, including NYHA class III-IV (score 6), male sex (3), serum albumin level ≤4 g/dl (2), aortic peak flow ≥4.5 m/s (2), age ≥75 years (2), chronic kidney disease (2), and anemia (1). Receiver-operating characteristic analysis showed excellent association between the sum of the scores and 3-year mortality (area under the curve, 0.78). The multivariate Cox proportional hazard model demonstrated that the present risk score also well stratified the mortality risk.

CONCLUSIONS

The present study demonstrates that, in addition to the classical prognostic factors related to symptoms and AS severity, various comorbidities are associated with mortality. Thus, the present comprehensive risk score may be useful for risk stratification of AS patients.

Contemporary strategy for aortic valve stenosis in octogenarians

The number of patients with aortic stenosis (AS) has been increasing over recent decades with the longer life expectancy of the general population. AS is life-threatening without surgery and since many elderly patients have a variety of comorbid conditions, 30-40 % of those with severe AS have been denied surgery. However, recent data on standard aortic valve replacement (AVR) for octogenarians have revealed excellent outcomes, with 2.4-6.8 % early mortality and similar survival rates of octogenarians who undergo AVR vs. the general population. The reported incidences of postoperative stroke, dialysis, and pacemaker implantation were 2.4, 2.6, and 4.6 %, respectively. Transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) is the alternative therapy for patients who are not able to undergo standard AVR and it is developing rapidly. The placement of aortic transcatheter valves (PARTNER) trial showed acceptable early outcomes. The mortality rates from any cause were 3.4 % in the TAVR group and 6.5 % in the AVR group at 30 days, 24.2 and 26.8 % at 1 year, and 33.9 and 35.0 % at 2 years, respectively. Stroke rate was higher in the TAVR group than in the AVR group (3.4 vs. 1.9 %). Vascular complications and paravalvular leakage are frequent procedure-related complications, which must be addressed because they are associated with increased mortality.