Pulmonary embolism severity index and simplified pulmonary embolism severity index risk scores are useful to predict mortality in Japanese patients with pulmonary embolism

The prognostic value of the MAGGIC risk score in patients with acute pulmonary embolism

OBJECTIVES

Acute pulmonary embolism (PE) is a potentially life-threatening condition characterized by the sudden blockage of the pulmonary arteries. Although the MAGGIC risk score has emerged as a valuable tool in predicting outcomes in patients with chronic heart failure, it has also been demonstrated and identified as a prognostic model in various cardiac diseases other than heart failure. In this study, we aimed to investigate the relationship between MAGGIC score and adverse outcomes in patients with PE.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A total of 302 consecutive patients diagnosed with acute PE were retrospectively included in the present study. For each patient, the MAGGIC score was calculated. The study population was divided into two groups according to the median value of MAGGIC score.

RESULTS

Patients with high MAGGIC score had a significantly higher proportion of elderly and female individuals, lower BMI, higher presence of CAD, DM, AFib, HF, HT, CKD, COPD, and ACEI/ARB and NOAC usage. Logistic regression analyses was carried out using univariate and multivariate analysis to predict the in-hospital and 30-day mortality predictors in the included PE patients. For in-hospital mortality, diastolic blood pressure, heart rate, RV dilatation, and the MAGGIC score (HR: 1.166, 95 % CI 1.077-1.263, p < 0.001) and for short-term mortality, sPESI and the MAGGIC score (HR: 1.925, 95 % CI 1.243-2.983, p:0.003) were found to be independent predictors for adverse outcomes in patients with acute PE.

CONCLUSION

Our study demonstrates that the MAGGIC score can be applied as a valuable prognostic tool for acute pulmonary embolism.

Short- and Long-Term Prognosis in Hemodynamically Stable Pulmonary Embolism With Unresectable or Metastatic Malignancies: The Role of Performance Status

BACKGROUND

The simplified Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index (sPESI) has limitations when evaluating acute pulmonary embolism (PE) in patients with concurrent malignancy. Despite its utility in predicting outcomes among cancer patients, the role of the Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group Performance Status (ECOG PS) in acute PE remains underexplored. This study aims to assess the prognostic significance of ECOG PS ≥ 3 on short- and long-term mortality in acute PE with malignancy, correlating it with the sPESI.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We retrospectively analyzed 44 hemodynamically stable acute PE patients with unresectable or metastatic malignancies ineligible for curative treatment at Kameda Medical Center, a tertiary medical facility in Japan, from April 1, 2019, to March 2, 2023. Of these patients, 16 (36.4%) had ECOG PS ≥ 3. No 30-day mortality occurred in patients with ECOG PS ≤ 2, compared to 18.8% in those with ECOG PS ≥ 3 (p = 0.04). Groups were similar in the sPESI scores, hospital-onset PE proportion, and initial treatments. Post PE diagnosis, 92.9% of ECOG PS ≤ 2 patients and 50% of ECOG PS ≥ 3 patients received chemotherapy (p = 0.002). Cox regression analysis revealed ECOG PS ≥ 3 was independently associated with increased overall survival hazard (adjusted HR = 4.0; P = 0.002).

CONCLUSIONS

ECOG PS ≥ 3 suggests a poorer short-term prognosis and independently predicts a worse long-term prognosis in hemodynamically stable acute PE patients with advanced malignancies.

Age and long-term outcomes of patients with venous thromboembolism: From the COMMAND VTE Registry

BACKGROUND

There is still a scarcity of data on the relation between age and long-term clinical outcomes of patients with venous thromboembolism (VTE).

METHODS

The COMMAND VTE Registry was a multicenter registry enrolling 3027 consecutive patients with acute symptomatic VTE in Japan between January 2010 and August 2014. We divided the entire cohort into 3 groups: patients aged <65 years (N = 1100, 36.7%), patients aged 65 ≤ and ≤ 80 years (N = 1314, 43.4%), and patients aged >80 years (N = 603, 19.9%).

RESULTS

Discontinuation of anticoagulation therapy during the follow-up period was most frequent in patients aged <65 years (44%, 38% and 33%, P < 0.001). The cumulative 5-year incidences were 12.7%, 9.8% and 7.4% for recurrent VTE, 10.8%, 12.2% and 14.9% for major bleeding, and 23.0%, 31.4%, and 38.6% for all-cause death. Adjusting for cofounders and taking into account the competing risk of all-cause death, the lower risk of patients aged >80 years, and those aged 65 ≤ and ≤ 80 years relative to those aged <65 years remained significant for recurrent VTE (65 ≤ age ≤ 80 years, HR: 0.71, 95%CI: 0.53-0.94, P = 0.02; age > 80 years, HR: 0.59, 95%CI: 0.39-0.89, P = 0.01), and the risk remained insignificant for major bleeding (65 ≤ age ≤ 80 years, HR: 1.00, 95%CI: 0.76-1.31, P = 0.98; age > 80 years, HR: 1.17, 95%CI: 0.83-1.65, P = 0.37).

CONCLUSIONS

In the current real-world VTE registry, there was no significant difference in the risk of major bleeding depending on different age groups, while younger patients showed an excess risk for recurrent VTE compared with older patients.

Additive prognostic value of serum calcium to the ESC risk stratification in patients with acute pulmonary embolism

BACKGROUND

Hypocalcemia has been shown to be involved in the adverse outcomes of acute pulmonary embolism (APE). We aimed to determine the incremental value of adding hypocalcemia, defined as serum calcium level ≤ 2.12 mmol/L, on top of the European Society of Cardiology (ESC) prognostic algorithm, for the prediction of in-hospital mortality in APE patients, which in turn could lead to the optimization of APE management.

METHODS

This study was conducted at West China Hospital of Sichuan University from January 2016 to December 2019. Patients with APE were retrospectively analyzed and divided into 2 groups based on serum calcium levels. Associations between hypocalcemia and adverse outcomes were assessed by Cox analysis. The accuracy of risk stratification for in-hospital mortality was assessed with the addition of serum calcium to the current ESC prognostic algorithm.

RESULTS

Among 803 patients diagnosed with APE, 338 (42.1%) patients had serum calcium levels ≤ 2.12 mmol/L. Hypocalcemia was significantly associated with higher in-hospital and 2-year all-cause mortality compared to the control group. The addition of serum calcium to ESC risk stratification enhanced net reclassification improvement. Low-risk group with serum calcium level > 2.12 mmol/L had a 0% mortality rate, improving the negative predictive value up to 100%, while high-risk group with serum calcium level ≤ 2.12 mmol/L indicated a higher mortality of 25%.

CONCLUSION

Our study identified serum calcium as a novel predictor of mortality in patients with APE. In the future, serum calcium may be added to the commonly used ESC prognostic algorithm for better risk stratification of patients suffering from APE.

Assessment of Renal Dysfunction Improves the Simplified Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index (sPESI) for Risk Stratification in Patients with Acute Pulmonary Embolism

Background: Whereas the major strength of the simplified pulmonary embolism severity index (sPESI) lies in ruling out an adverse outcome in patients with sPESI of 0, the accuracy of sPESI ≥ 1 in risk assessment remains questionable. In acute pulmonary embolism (APE), the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) can be viewed as an integrate marker reflecting not only previous chronic kidney disease (CKD) damage but also comorbid conditions and hemodynamic disturbances associated with APE. We sought to determine whether renal dysfunction assessment by eGFR improves the sPESI score risk stratification in patients with APE. Methods: 678 consecutive patients with APE were prospectively enrolled. Renal dysfunction (RD) at diagnosis of APE was defined by eGFR < 60 mL/min/1.73 m² and acute kidney injury (AKI) by elevation of creatinine level >25% during in-hospital stay. Results: RD was observed in 26.9% of the cohort. AKI occurred in 18.8%. A stepwise increase in 30-day mortality, cardiovascular mortality and overall mortality was evident with declining renal function. Multivariate analysis identified RD and CRP (C-reactive protein) level but not sPESI score as independent predictors of 30-day mortality. AKI, 30-day mortality, overall mortality, and cardiovascular mortality were at their highest level in patients with eGFR < 60 mL/min/1.73 m² and sPESI ≥1. Conclusion: in patients with APE, the addition of RD to the sPESI score identifies a specific subset of patients at very high mortality.

Postoperative Acute Pulmonary Embolism Following Pulmonary Resections

Postoperative acute pulmonary embolism after pulmonary resections is highly fatal complication. Many literatures have documented cancer to be the highest risk factor for acute pulmonary embolism after pulmonary resections. Early diagnosis of acute pulmonary embolism is highly recommended and computed tomographic pulmonary angiography is the gold standard in diagnosis of acute pulmonary embolism. Anticoagulants and thrombolytic therapy have shown a great success in treatment of acute pulmonary embolism. Surgical therapies (embolectomy and inferior vena cava filter replacement) proved to be lifesaving but many literatures favored medical therapy as the first choice. Prophylaxis pre and post operation is highly recommended, because there were statistical significant results in different studies which supported the use of prophylaxis in prevention of acute pulmonary embolism. Having reviewed satisfactory number of literatures, it is suggested that thoroughly preoperative assessment of patient conditions, determining their risk factors complicating to pulmonary embolism and the use of appropriate prophylaxis measures are the key options to the successful minimization or eradication of acute pulmonary embolism after lung resections.