Predictive Ability of Academic Research Consortium for High Bleeding Risk Criteria in ST-Elevation Myocardial Infarction Patients Undergoing Primary Coronary Intervention

Organ injury and its management in heart failure: Liver, kidney, and thyroid gland dysfunction

Heart failure is hemodynamically characterized as congestion and/or end-organ hypoperfusion, and is associated with increased morbidity and mortality. Underlying pathophysiology, such as neuro-hormonal activation, exacerbates heart failure and leads to functional deterioration of other organs. We have been conducting clinical research to study the pathophysiology of heart failure and discover prognostic factors. In this review article, we report the results and implications of our clinical research on heart failure.

Impact of the Japanese Version of High Bleeding Risk Criteria on Clinical Outcomes in Patients with ST-segment Elevation Myocardial Infarction

AIMS

Bleeding complications are often observed in patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI). Although the Japanese version of the high bleeding risk criteria (J-HBR) were established, it has not been sufficiently validated in patients with STEMI. This retrospective study aims to examine whether J-HBR is associated with cardiovascular and bleeding events in patients with STEMI.

METHODS

We included 897 patients with STEMI and divided them into the J-HBR group (n=567) and the non-J-HBR group (n=330). The primary endpoint was the major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), defined as the composite of all-cause death, non-fatal myocardial infarction, ischemic stroke, and systemic embolism. Another primary endpoint was total bleeding events defined as type 3 or 5 bleeding events as defined by the Bleeding Academic Research Consortium .

RESULTS

During the median follow-up duration of 573 days, 187 MACE and 141 total bleeding events were observed. The Kaplan-Meier curves showed that MACE and total bleeding events were more frequently observed in the J-HBR group than in the non-J-HBR group (p＜0.001). Multivariate Cox hazard analysis revealed that after controlling for multiple confounding factors, the J-HBR group was significantly associated with MACE (hazard ratio [HR] 4.676, 95% confidence interval (CI) 2.936-7.448, p＜0.001) and total bleeding events (HR 6.325, 95% CI 3.376-11.851, p＜0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

J-HBR is significantly associated with MACE and total bleeding events in patients with STEMI. This study validated J-HBR as a risk marker for bleeding events and suggests J-HBR as a potential risk marker for MACE in patients with STEMI.

Performance of the Academic Research Consortium High Bleeding Risk Criteria in Patients With ST-Segment Elevation Myocardial Infarction: A Single Center Study

We assessed the ability of predicting mortality and total in-hospital bleeding and adverse outcomes by the Academic Research Consortium High Bleeding Risk (ARC-HBR) criteria in ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) patients undergoing primary percutaneous coronary intervention (pPCI). A total of 1441 STEMI patients were recruited: HBR group 354 (25%) patients and non-HBR group of 1087 (75%) patients. A total of 131 patients (9%) had a bleeding complication during hospitalization. The bleeding complications were also categorized according to other conventional bleeding scores. According to these conventional scores, all bleeding categories were associated with HBR. In univariate logistic regression analysis, female gender, diabetes mellitus, hypertension (HT) and HBR were associated with in-hospital bleeding. However, in multivariable analysis only HT (Odds Ratio [OR] 1.528, 95% CI 1.020-2.290; P = .040) and HBR (OR 1.612, 95% CI 1.075-2.428; P = .022) independently predicted total in-hospital bleeding complications. Hospital duration was longer and mortality rate was significantly higher in patients with HBR (OR 8.755, 95% CI 5.864-13.074; P < .01). The ARC-HBR criteria may predict in-hospital bleeding events and adverse outcomes in STEMI patients undergoing pPCI.

External validity of the PRECISE-DAPT score in patients undergoing PCI: a systematic review and meta-analysis

AIMS

To summarize the totality of evidence validating the Predicting Bleeding Complications in Patients Undergoing Stent Implantation and Subsequent Dual Antiplatelet Therapy (PRECISE-DAPT) score, ascertaining its aggregate discrimination and validation power in multiple population subsets.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We searched electronic databases from 2017 (PRECISE-DAPT proposal) up to March 2023 for studies that reported the occurrence of out-of-hospital bleedings according to the PRECISE-DAPT score in patients receiving DAPT following percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). Pooled odds ratios (OR) with 95% confidence interval (CI) were used as summary statistics and were calculated using a random-effects model. Primary and secondary endpoints were the occurrence of any and major bleeding, respectively. A total of 21 studies and 67 283 patients were included; 24.7% of patients (N = 16 603) were at high bleeding risk (PRECISE-DAPT score ≥25), and when compared to those at low bleeding risk, they experienced a significantly higher rate of any out-of-hospital bleeding (OR: 2.71; 95% CI: 2.24-3.29; P-value <0.001) and major bleedings (OR: 3.51; 95% CI: 2.71-4.55; P-value <0.001). Pooling data on c-stat whenever available, the PRECISE-DAPT score showed a moderate discriminative power in predicting major bleeding events at 1 year (pooled c-stat: 0.71; 95% CI: 0.64-0.77).

CONCLUSION

This systematic review and meta-analysis confirms the external validity of the PRECISE-DAPT score in predicting out-of-hospital bleeding outcomes in patients on DAPT following PCI. The moderate discriminative ability highlights the need for future improved risk prediction tools in the field.

Temporal variations in ischemic and bleeding event risks after acute coronary syndrome during dual antiplatelet therapy

BACKGROUND

This study estimates the temporal risk variations of ischemic and bleeding events during dual antiplatelet therapy (DAPT) among patients stratified according to the Academic Research Consortium for High Bleeding Risk (ARC-HBR) criteria, suggesting the optimal period for DAPT after acute coronary syndrome (ACS).

METHODS

A total of 1264 ACS patients receiving either clopidogrel or prasugrel with aspirin were classified by ARC-HBR; HBR (n = 574) and non-HBR groups (n = 690). This study was designed as a multicenter observation to evaluate the primary endpoints of ischemic, including cardiovascular death, myocardial infarction, or ischemic stroke, and bleeding events, defined as Bleeding Academic Research Consortium type 3/5. The temporal risk variations were estimated using the Cox hazard and Royston-Parmar models.

RESULTS

Ischemic and bleeding events were observed in 9.4% and 7.4%, respectively, during an average observation period of 313 days. The HBR group had a higher incidence of both events than the non-HBR group (15.3% vs. 4.5%, P < 0.01 for ischemic; 11.9% vs. 3.8%, P < 0.01 for bleeding). The estimated risk curves for both events revealed peaks and steep declines in the first few days, followed by constant declines. The peak of risk was higher for bleeding than for ischemic events, but this relationship reversed early, with ischemic events displaying a higher risk in both the HBR and non-HBR groups until at least 60 days.

CONCLUSIONS

A 60-day period of DAPT is appropriate to balance the risks of adverse events after ACS, regardless of ARC-HBR criteria.

Comparison between ticagrelor and clopidogrel in myocardial infarction patients with high bleeding risk

AIMS

Ticagrelor is associated with a lower risk of ischemic events than clopidogrel. However, it is uncertain whether the benefits of more intensive anti-ischemic therapy outweigh the risks of major bleeding in patients who have a high bleeding risk (HBR). Therefore, this study compared ticagrelor and clopidogrel in myocardial infarction (MI) patients with HBR.

METHODS AND RESULTS

This study included all patients enrolled in the SWEDEHEART registry who were discharged with dual antiplatelet therapy using ticagrelor or clopidogrel following MI between 2010 and 2017. High bleeding risk was defined as a PRECISE-DAPT score ≥25. Information on ischemic events, major bleeding, and mortality was obtained from national registries, with 365 days of follow-up. Additional outcomes include major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), a composite of MI, stroke and all-cause mortality, and net adverse clinical events (NACE), a composite of MACE and bleeding. This study included 25 042 HBR patients, of whom 11 848 were treated with ticagrelor. Ticagrelor was associated with a lower risk of MI, stroke, and MACE, but a higher risk of bleeding compared to clopidogrel. There were no significant differences in mortality and NACE. Additionally, when examining the relationship between antiplatelet therapy and bleeding risk in 69 040 MI patients, we found no statistically significant interactions between the PRECISE-DAPT score and treatment effect.

CONCLUSIONS

We observed no difference in NACE when comparing ticagrelor and clopidogrel in HBR patients. Moreover, we found no statistically significant interactions between bleeding risk and the comparative effectiveness of clopidogrel and ticagrelor in a larger population of MI patients.

Validation of the ARC-HBR criteria in 68,874 patients undergoing PCI: A systematic review and meta-analysis

The Academic Research Consortium High Bleeding Risk (ARC-HBR) criteria aims to stratify patients undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) and are now recommended by international guidelines to stratify bleeding risk in clinical practice. We searched electronic databases from 2019 (ARC-HBR proposal) up to February 2021 for studies that reported the occurrence of major bleedings according to ARC-HBR status in patients undergoing PCI and pooled them as relative risk (RR) in a random-effect analysis. Only studies that reported events according to the number of times the ARC-HBR definition was met were included in a sensitivity analysis and RR for each stratum was calculated. Nine studies and 68,874 subjects were included in our analysis; 39.2% of them were at HBR and they had a significantly higher risk of major bleedings (RR: 2.70; 95% CI: 2.35-3.10; p<0.0001). The ARC-HBR definition also had a moderate discriminative power (pooled c-stat: 0.69; 95% CI: 0.61-0.75) while calibration was suboptimal with a tendency toward underpredicting bleeding events (pooled observed:expected ratio: 1.47; 95% CI: 0.82-2.60). Our sensitivity analysis included 5 studies and 46,712 patients and confirmed the incremental, additive power of the ARC-HBR when it is met multiple times. Finally, among baseline characteristics explored, only presenting with an acute coronary syndrome had a significant impact on the ARC-HBR predictive ability. The ARC-HBR definition is a useful clinical tool, but with a tendency towards underpredicting major bleedings and its predictive ability might be optimized by including the number of times the definition is met.

B-type natriuretic peptide is associated with the occurrence of bleeding events in heart failure patients with a history of coronary artery disease

BACKGROUND

Bleeding risk in heart failure (HF) patients with coronary artery disease (CAD) has not yet been fully investigated.

METHODS

We analyzed the data of 677 patients with a previous history of CAD who were hospitalized for HF. The patients were divided into three groups based on the tertiles of B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) levels: Low, Middle, and High BNP groups (n = 225, 226, and 226, respectively). The primary endpoint was post-discharge bleeding events, which was defined as hemorrhagic stroke and gastrointestinal bleeding.

RESULTS

The High BNP group was the oldest (Low, Middle, High, 67.0, 74.0, and 75.0 years, respectively; p < 0.001), showed the lowest left ventricular ejection fraction (56.0%, 50.7%, and 40.3%, respectively; p < 0.001), and contained more patients at high bleeding risk (HBR) defined by the simplified version of the Academic Research Consortium for High Bleeding Risk (ARC-HBR) definition (65.3%, 85.4%, and 93.8%, respectively, p < 0.001). Kaplan-Meier analysis demonstrated that post-discharge bleeding events occurred most frequently in the High BNP group (log-rank p = 0.008). In the Cox proportional hazard analysis, compared to the Low BNP group as a reference, the High BNP group was independently associated with bleeding events after adjustment for age, sex, simplified ARC-HBR definition, and left ventricular ejection fraction (hazard ratio 3.208, 95% confidence interval 1.078-9.544, p = 0.036).

CONCLUSIONS

High BNP is associated with bleeding events in HF patients with a history of CAD.

Validation of the academic research consortium high bleeding risk criteria in patients undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention: A systematic review and meta-analysis of 10 studies and 67,862 patients

BACKGROUND

To assess the performance of the Academic Research Consortium High Bleeding Risk (ARC-HBR) criteria in stratifying the risk of bleeding and ischaemic events after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI).

METHODS

MEDLINE, COCHRANE, Web of Sciences, and SCOPUS were searched for studies aimed at validating the ARC-HBR criteria in patients treated with PCI. The primary outcome measure of this meta-analysis was major bleeding.

RESULTS

The analysis included 10 studies encompassing 67,862 patients undergoing PCI; the HBR definition was fulfilled in 44.7% of the cases. The risk of major bleeding was significantly higher in HBR vs. Non-HBR group (RR, 2.56, 95% CI 2.28-2.89). The average C-statistic was 0.64 (95% CI 0.60-0.68), indicating modest discrimination. The risk of intracranial hemorrhage, gastrointestinal bleeding, fatal bleeding, ischaemic stroke, cardiac death and all-cause death was higher in HBR vs. Non-HBR group. Despite a higher incidence of myocardial infarction and stent thrombosis in patients deemed at HBR, the rate of target lesion revascularization was comparable between groups (RR, 1.01, 95% CI 0.88-1.16). The mean effect size for the cumulative incidence of major bleeding exceeded the HBR cut-off value of 4% for all major criteria except one, and for two out of six minor criteria, namely age ≥ 75 years and moderate CKD.

CONCLUSION

The ARC-HBR definition identifies patients at higher risk of major bleeding and other adverse cardiovascular events after PCI. Almost all major criteria, but also two of the minor criteria, were individually associated with rates of major bleeding above 4% thus fulfilling the definition of major HBR criteria.

Simplified Academic Research Consortium for High Bleeding Risk (ARC-HBR) Definition Predicts Bleeding Events in Patients With Heart Failure

BACKGROUND

It has recently been reported that the simplified Academic Research Consortium for High Bleeding Risk (ARC-HBR) definition, which excludes 6 rare criteria, is comparable to the original ARC-HBR definition in predicting major bleeding in patients with coronary artery disease (CAD) who undergo percutaneous coronary intervention. In this study, we investigated whether the simplified ARC-HBR definition could be applied to patients with heart failure (HF) to identify those at high bleeding risk (HBR).Methods and Results:In all, 2,437 patients hospitalized for HF were enrolled in this study. Patients were divided into 2 groups based on the simplified ARC-HBR definition: those at HBR (n=2,026; 83.1%) and those not (non-HBR group; n=411; 16.9%). The HBR group was older (72.0 vs. 61.0 years; P<0.001) and had a lower prevalence of CAD (31.1% vs. 36.5%; P=0.034) than the non-HBR group. Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that post-discharge bleeding events defined as hemorrhagic stroke or gastrointestinal bleeding were more frequent in the HBR than non-HBR group (log-rank P<0.001). The simplified ARC-HBR definition accurately predicted bleeding events (Fine-Gray model; hazard ratio 2.777, 95% confidence interval 1.464-5.270, P=0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

The simplified ARC-HBR definition predicts a high risk of bleeding events in patients with HF.

Relationship between in-hospital event rates and high bleeding risk score in patients undergoing primary percutaneous coronary intervention for acute myocardial infarction

Academic Research Consortium for High Bleeding Risk (ARC-HBR) was defined as a criterion for predicting the risk of bleeding in patients who undergo percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). Major bleeding is related to in-hospital mortality. However, few studies examining the HBR criteria in patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI) have been reported. We analyzed the relationship between HBR criteria in AMI patients and in-hospital events. This study was a single-center retrospective study that included 781 patients who underwent PCI for ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) and non-ST-elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI) from January 2010 to December 2018. Patients were classified into the HBR group (n = 309, 39.6%) and non-HBR group (n = 472, 60.4%) and investigated. The primary endpoint was the incidence of in-hospital mortality, major bleeding, recurrent MI, and stroke. As a secondary endpoint, a multivariate analysis of cases of in-hospital death was performed to identify predictors of in-hospital mortality. As the primary outcome, the rate of all events in the HBR group was significantly higher than that in the non-HBR group (29.1% vs. 11.2%, p < 0.001). Among the individual events, the rates of major bleeding (11.3% vs. 3.8%, p < 0.001) and in-hospital mortality (16.2% vs. 4.2%, p < 0.001) were significantly higher in the HBR group. Regarding the secondary outcome, the overall in-hospital mortality rate was 9.0%. The multivariate analysis revealed that ejection fraction < 40%, HBR, Killip 4, and left main trunk lesion were significant predictors of in-hospital mortality. In conclusion, the HBR criteria were associated with in-hospital events in AMI patients who underwent primary PCI.