Role of Allelic Imbalance in Predicting Hepatocellular Carcinoma (HCC) Recurrence Risk After Liver Transplant

Molecular Clues for Prediction of Hepatocellular Carcinoma Recurrence After Liver Transplantation

Recurrence after liver transplantation (LT) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the commonest causes of cancer-related mortality. Thus, advances in the HCC molecular features have paid researchers great attention to identifying the different risk factors that could aid in liver cancer initiation and progression for earlier prediction of post-operative HCC recurrence risk. Our review has focused on the possible molecular onco-drivers' for HCC recurrence post-LT that may represent diagnostic/prognostic tools and scoring models for the proper selection of LT candidates with HCC.

How important is the role of iterative liver direct surgery in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma for a transplant center located in an area with a low rate of deceased donation?

Introduction

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) accounts for nearly 90% of primary liver cancers, with estimates of over 1 million people affected by 2025. We aimed to explore the impacting role of an iterative surgical treatment approach in a cohort of HCC patients within the Milan criteria, associated with clinical risk factors for tumor recurrence (RHCC) after liver transplant (LT) and loco-regional therapies (LRT), as well as liver resection (LR) and/or microwave thermal ablation (MWTA).

Methods

We retrospectively analyzed our experience performed during an 8-year period between January 2013 and December 2021 in patients treated for HCC, focusing on describing the impact on preoperative end-stage liver disease severity, oncologic staging, tumor characteristics, and surgical treatments. The Cox model was used to evaluate variables that could predict relapse risks. Relapse risk curves were calculated according to the Kaplan–Meier method, and the log-rank test was used to compare them.

Results

There were 557 HCC patients treated with a first-line approach of LR and/or LRTs (n = 335) or LT (n = 222). The median age at initial transplantation was 59 versus 68 for those whose first surgical approach was LR and/or LRT. In univariate analysis with the Cox model, nodule size was the single predictor of recurrence of HCC in the posttreatment setting (HR: 1.61, 95% CI: 1.05–2.47, p = 0.030). For the LRT group, we have enlightened the following clinical characteristics as significantly associated with RHCC: hepatitis B virus infection (which has a protective role with HR: 0.34, 95% CI: 0.13–0.94, p = 0.038), number of HCC nodules (HR: 1.54, 95% CI: 1.22–1.94, p < 0.001), size of the largest nodule (HR: 1.06, 95% CI: 1.01–1.12, p = 0.023), serum bilirubin (HR: 1.57, 95% CI: 1.03–2.40, p = 0.038), and international normalized ratio (HR: 16.40, 95% CI: 2.30–118.0, p = 0.006). Among the overall 111 patients with RHCC in the LRT group, 33 were iteratively treated with further curative treatment (12 were treated with LR, two with MWTA, three with a combined LR-MWTA treatment, and 16 underwent LT). Only one of 18 recurrent patients previously treated with LT underwent LR. For these RHCC patients, multivariable analysis showed the protective roles of LT for primary RHCC after IDLS (HR: 0.06, 95% CI: 0.01–0.36, p = 0.002), of the time relapsed between the first and second IDLS treatments (HR: 0.97, 95% CI: 0.94–0.99, p = 0.044), and the impact of previous minimally invasive treatment (HR: 0.28, 95% CI: 0.08–1.00, p = 0.051).

Conclusion

The coexistence of RHCC with underlying cirrhosis increases the complexity of assessing the net health benefit of ILDS before LT. Minimally invasive surgical therapies and time to HCC relapse should be considered an outcome in randomized clinical trials because they have a relevant impact on tumor-free survival.

Clinical and Molecular-Based Approach in the Evaluation of Hepatocellular Carcinoma Recurrence after Radical Liver Resection

BACKGROUND

Hepatic resection remains the treatment of choice for patients with early-stage HCC with preserved liver function. Unfortunately, however, the majority of patients develop tumor recurrence. While several clinical factors were found to be associated with tumor recurrence, HCC pathogenesis is a complex process of accumulation of somatic genomic alterations, which leads to a huge molecular heterogeneity that has not been completely understood. The aim of this study is to complement potentially predictive clinical and pathological factors with next-generation sequencing genomic profiling and loss of heterozygosity analysis.

METHODS

124 HCC patients, who underwent a primary hepatic resection from January 2016 to December 2019, were recruited for this study. Next-generation sequencing (NGS) analysis and allelic imbalance assessment in a case-control subgroup analysis were performed. A time-to-recurrence analysis was performed as well by means of Kaplan-Meier estimators.

RESULTS

Cumulative number of HCC recurrences were 26 (21%) and 32 (26%), respectively, one and two years after surgery. Kaplan-Meier estimates for the probability of recurrence amounted to 37% (95% C.I.: 24-47) and to 51% (95% C.I.: 35-62), after one and two years, respectively. Multivariable analysis identified as independent predictors of HCC recurrence: hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection (HR: 1.96, 95%C.I.: 0.91-4.24, p = 0.085), serum bilirubin levels (HR: 5.32, 95%C.I.: 2.07-13.69, p = 0.001), number of nodules (HR: 1.63, 95%C.I.: 1.12-2.38, p = 0.011) and size of the larger nodule (HR: 1.11, 95%C.I.: 1.03-1.18, p = 0.004). Time-to-recurrence analysis showed that loss of heterozygosity in the PTEN loci (involved in the PI3K/AKT/mTOR signaling pathway) was significantly associated with a lower risk of HCC recurrence (HR: 0.35, 95%C.I.: 0.13-0.93, p = 0.036).

CONCLUSIONS

multiple alterations of cancer genes are associated with HCC progression. In particular, the evidence of a specific AI mutation presented in 20 patients seemed to have a protective effect on the risk of HCC recurrence.

Role of Molecular Biomarkers in Liver Transplantation for Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Patient selection and organ allocation for liver transplantation (LT) in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) relies predominantly on clinical parameters, such as tumor burden (ie, radiological imaging). Patients transplanted within Milan criteria have outstanding outcomes with a 5- and 10-year survival of 70% and 55%, respectively. Tumor recurrence after transplantion is rare in these patients (10%); however, treatment options upon recurrence are generally limited, and outcomes are poor. There are also several studies showing how a subgroup of patients with tumors outside the Milan criteria might achieve comparable outcomes to patients within Milan criteria. In other words, the size and number of tumor nodules does not always reflect tumor biology, which could be better captured using molecular proxies for cancer aggressiveness. Over the last decade, we have significantly improved our understanding of the molecular landscape of early stage HCC. This includes the development of molecular classification, identification of prognostic and mutational signatures, and potential mechanisms of hepatocarcinogenesis. Some molecular markers have already proven useful to predict tumor-related outcomes in HCC patients after LT. Most of these analyses are limited to tissue-derived biomarkers, which limits their implementation in clinical practice because tissue biopsy is not required for HCC diagnosis. Minimally invasive alternative tools, such as liquid biopsy, are being increasingly explored and could help to individualize risk stratification for patients with HCC who will benefit from LT despite being outside the accepted clinical criteria.

Impact of margin status on long-term results of liver resection for hepatocellular carcinoma: single-center time-to-recurrence analysis

Occult metastasis from the initial tumor and a de novo second primary hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) were recognized as the main causes for the onset of early and late HCC recurrence, after liver resection (LR). This study aims to compare the time to recurrence after LR for HCC in which a margin ≤ 1 mm or > 1 mm was achieved. A single-center retrospective study involving 256 patients was conducted from June 2005 to June 2019. HCC patients resected with a radical surgical approach were investigated and stratified into groups A (resection margins ≤ 1 mm) and B (> 1 mm), as measured on final pathologic assessment. Kaplan-Meier estimators were used to estimate the probability of recurrence, and the log-rank test was used to compare groups. Uni- and multivariable (stepwise) Cox regression models were used to assess the effect of several HCC pathological characteristics. Twenty patients were excluded for the presence of microscopic tumor invasion at pathologic analysis (R1); 236 patients underwent radical (R0) LR, and were included in the study and divided into group A (n = 61, 26%), and group B (n = 175, 74%). No differences between the two groups were detected regarding: epidemiology, tumor characteristics, type of LR, and follow-up. The estimated probability of recurrence for group A and group B at 12 and 24 months was 27% and 38%, and, 33% and 46%, respectively. Univariate and multivariable Cox regression model estimates showed that tumor grading (HR 2.1, 95% CI 1.2-3.4, p = 0.006), number of nodules (HR 1.2, 95% CI 1.0-1.4, p = 0.015), and extension of the resection (HR 1.8, 95% CI 1.0-1.1, p = 0.047) were independent risk factors for HCC recurrence, with no significant effect of margin status on time to recurrence. A R0 approach that considers a margin of resection > 1 mm does not improve the likelihood of HCC recurrence. Otherwise, our experience confirms that biologic tumor characteristics are the principal factors predictive of local and systemic recurrence.