Logistic regression model to predict acute uncomplicated and complicated appendicitis

Construction of a clinical prediction model for complicated appendicitis based on machine learning techniques

Acute appendicitis is a typical surgical emergency worldwide and one of the common causes of surgical acute abdomen in the elderly. Accurately diagnosing and differentiating acute appendicitis can assist clinicians in formulating a scientific and reasonable treatment plan and providing high-quality medical services for the elderly. In this study, we validated and analyzed the different performances of various machine learning models based on the analysis of clinical data, so as to construct a simple, fast, and accurate estimation method for the diagnosis of early acute appendicitis. The dataset of this paper was obtained from the medical data of elderly patients with acute appendicitis attending the First Affiliated Hospital of Anhui University of Chinese Medicine from January 2012 to January 2022, including 196 males (60.87%) and 126 females (39.13%), including 103 (31.99%) patients with complicated appendicitis and 219 (68.01%) patients with uncomplicated appendicitis. By comparing and analyzing the prediction results of the models implemented by nine different machine learning techniques (LR, CART, RF, SVM, Bayes, KNN, NN, FDA, and GBM), we found that the GBM algorithm gave the optimal results and that sensitivity, specificity, PPV, NPV, precision, recall, F1 and brier are 0.9167, 0.9739, 0.9429, 0.9613, 0.9429, 0.9167, 0.9296, and 0.05649, respectively. The GBM model prediction results are interpreted using the SHAP technology framework. Calibration and Decision curve analysis also show that the machine learning model proposed in this paper has some clinical and economic benefits. Finally, we developed the Shiny application for complicated appendicitis diagnosis to assist clinicians in quickly and effectively recognizing patients with complicated appendicitis (CA) and uncomplicated appendicitis (UA), and to formulate a more reasonable and scientific clinical plan for acute appendicitis patient population promptly.

The role of C-reactive protein/albumin ratio and prognostic nutritional index in the diagnosis of complicated acute appendicitis

Objectives

C-reactive protein (CRP) levels increase and albumin levels decrease in patients with inflammation. CRP/albumin ratio (CAR) is a new inflammation-associated prognostic indicator. The prognostic nutritional index (PNI) was described as a simple and neutral indicator of adverse outcomes not only in chronic diseases but also in acute conditions. The aim of this study was to investigate the clinical significance of the CAR and PNI value in differentiating complicated acute appendicitis (AA).

Material and Methods

We retrospectively examined the medical records of 187 patients with AA. Patients were divided into two groups according to pathological results [non-complicated (n= 161) and complicated (n= 26)]. Demographic, clinical, laboratory, and pathological data were examined and compared between the groups. Logistic regression analyses were performed to determine the independent predictors for complicated AA.

Results

Median age of the study group was 32 (23-41) years, and most of the patients were males (n= 101, 54%). Patients in the complicated AA group were significantly older compared to the patients in the non-complicated AA group [38 (32-49.5) years vs. 30 (22-41) years, p= 0.002]. The complicated AA group had significantly higher CAR level compared to the non-complicated AA group (p= 0.001). The length of hospital stay was significantly longer in the complicated AA group compared to the non-complicated AA group [2.5 (2-4.25) days vs. 1 (1-2) days, p <0.001]. Other variables (including PNI) did not significantly differ between the groups. In univariate logistic regression analysis, only age was found to be a significant variable (OR= 1.045, 95% CI= 1.016-10.74, p= 0.002), but in multiple variate logistic regression analysis, no variable was found to be significant in predicting complicated AA.

Conclusion

We concluded that CAR and PNI value are not independent predictors of complicated AA.

Validation of scoring systems for the prediction of complicated appendicitis in adults using clinical and computed tomographic findings

OBJECTIVES

The study aimed to evaluate scoring systems for predicting complicated appendicitis in adults diagnosed with acute appendicitis on computed tomography.

METHODS

Three hundred twenty-five consecutive adult patients (mean age 51.9 ± 19.6 years, 212 women) diagnosed with acute appendicitis on computed tomography were retrospectively included. Clinical and imaging findings were compared between patients with and without complicated appendicitis, and independent associations were identified. As C-reactive protein was not available for most patients, 5 out of 8 scoring systems were modified. They, and a newly proposed system, were compared via area under the receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve (AUC), Additionally, the latter was internally validated. Pairwise comparison was performed, and diagnostic performance of these scoring systems was obtained.

RESULTS

One hundred twenty-seven patients (36.8%) had complicated appendicitis. Significant independent associations were found between complicated appendicitis and duration of symptoms > 12 h, appendicolith, periappendiceal fat stranding, periappendiceal fluid, and extraluminal air (p values < 0.001 to 0.037; AUCs of 0.824-0.829). AUCs of 9 scoring systems ranged from 0.692 to 0.831. Of these, modified Atema, Kim HY, and proposed scores had similarly high and non-significantly different AUCs (0.793-0.831) on pairwise comparison. Their sensitivities, specificities, and accuracies were 73.0-90.6%, 48.5-70.6%, and 64.3-72.3%, respectively. Internal validity test demonstrated high AUCs (0.826-0.844) with one of the proposed scores using odds ratio having 100% sensitivity and 100% negative predictive value.

CONCLUSIONS

Few scoring systems, including proposed ones, had high AUCs, sensitivity, and reasonable specificities, which could potentially aid in safely selecting adult patients with acute appendicitis for nonoperative management.

CRITICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT

The study suggests few scoring systems for predicting complicated appendicitis with high AUCs and reasonable sensitivities, potentially aiding in selecting patients for nonoperative management.

KEY POINTS

• The study evaluated existing and proposed new scoring systems to predict complicated appendicitis in adults with acute appendicitis on computed tomography. • Several factors were found to be significantly associated with complicated appendicitis, including duration of symptoms, appendicolith, periappendiceal fat stranding, periappendiceal fluid, and extraluminal air. • The modified Atema, Kim HY, and newly proposed scoring systems performed well, potentially aiding in nonoperative management selection.

Parsimonious clinical prediction model for the diagnosis of complicated appendicitis

Objective

To develop a logistic regression model that combines clinical and radiological parameters for prediction of complicated appendicitis.

Methods

248 patients with histologically proven uncomplicated (n = 214) and complicated (n = 34) acute appendicitis were analyzed retrospectively. All patients had undergone a presurgical abdominal and/or pelvic computed tomography (CT) scan, assessed by two radiologists. A model using univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses was developed, and the strength of association between independent predictors and complicated acute appendicitis was evaluated by adjusted odds radio. Clinical parameters were gender, age, anorexia, vomiting, duration of symptoms, right lower abdominal quadrant (RLQ) tenderness, rebound tenderness, body temperature, white blood cell (WBC) count, and neutrophil ratio. Radiological parameters were appendix diameter, appendicolith, caecal wall thickening, mesenteric lymphadenopathy, extraluminal air, abscess, fat stranding, and periappendicular fluid.

Results

Four features (body temperature＞37.2 °C, vomiting, appendicolith, and periappendiceal fluid) were included in the logistic regression model, and yielded an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.87 (95% confidence interval (CI), 0.80-0.93), sensitive of 88%, and specificity of 74%.

Conclusion

The logistic regression model makes an accurate and simple prediction of complicated appendicitis possible.

Development of a scoring model based on objective factors to predict gangrenous/perforated appendicitis

BACKGROUND

The mortality rate of gangrenous/perforated appendicitis is higher than that of uncomplicated appendicitis. However, non-operative management of such patients is ineffective. This necessitates their careful exam at presentation to identify gangrenous/perforated appendicitis and aid surgical decision-making. Therefore, this study aimed to develop a new scoring model based on objective findings to predict gangrenous/perforated appendicitis in adults.

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed 151 patients with acute appendicitis who underwent emergency surgery between January 2014 and June 2021. We performed univariate and multivariate analyses to identify independent objective predictors of gangrenous/perforated appendicitis, and a new scoring model was developed based on logistic regression coefficients for independent predictors. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis and the Hosmer-Lemeshow test were performed to assess the discrimination and calibration of the model. Finally, the scores were classified into three categories based on the probability of gangrenous/perforated appendicitis.

RESULTS

Among the 151 patients, 85 and 66 patients were diagnosed with gangrenous/perforated appendicitis and uncomplicated appendicitis, respectively. Using the multivariate analysis, C-reactive protein level, maximal outer diameter of the appendix, and presence of appendiceal fecalith were identified as independent predictors for developing gangrenous/perforated appendicitis. Our novel scoring model was developed based on three independent predictors and ranged from 0 to 3. The area under the ROC curve was 0.792 (95% confidence interval, 0.721-0.863), and the Hosmer-Lemeshow test showed a good calibration of the novel scoring model (P = 0.716). Three risk categories were classified: low, moderate, and high risk with probabilities of 30.9%, 63.8%, and 94.4%, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Our scoring model can objectively and reproducibly identify gangrenous/perforated appendicitis with good diagnostic accuracy and help in determining the degree of urgency and in making decisions about appendicitis management.

Identification and experimental validation of key m6A modification regulators as potential biomarkers of osteoporosis

Osteoporosis (OP) is a severe systemic bone metabolic disease that occurs worldwide. During the coronavirus pandemic, prioritization of urgent services and delay of elective care attenuated routine screening and monitoring of OP patients. There is an urgent need for novel and effective screening diagnostic biomarkers that require minimal technical and time investments. Several studies have indicated that N6-methyladenosine (m6A) regulators play essential roles in metabolic diseases, including OP. The aim of this study was to identify key m6A regulators as biomarkers of OP through gene expression data analysis and experimental verification. GSE56815 dataset was served as the training dataset for 40 women with high bone mineral density (BMD) and 40 women with low BMD. The expression levels of 14 major m6A regulators were analyzed to screen for differentially expressed m6A regulators in the two groups. The impact of m6A modification on bone metabolism microenvironment characteristics was explored, including osteoblast-related and osteoclast-related gene sets. Most m6A regulators and bone metabolism-related gene sets were dysregulated in the low-BMD samples, and their relationship was also tightly linked. In addition, consensus cluster analysis was performed, and two distinct m6A modification patterns were identified in the low-BMD samples. Subsequently, by univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses, we identified four key m6A regulators, namely, METTL16, CBLL1, FTO, and YTHDF2. We built a diagnostic model based on the four m6A regulators. CBLL1 and YTHDF2 were protective factors, whereas METTL16 and FTO were risk factors, and the ROC curve and test dataset validated that this model had moderate accuracy in distinguishing high- and low-BMD samples. Furthermore, a regulatory network was constructed of the four hub m6A regulators and 26 m6A target bone metabolism-related genes, which enhanced our understanding of the regulatory mechanisms of m6A modification in OP. Finally, the expression of the four key m6A regulators was validated in vivo and in vitro, which is consistent with the bioinformatic analysis results. Our findings identified four key m6A regulators that are essential for bone metabolism and have specific diagnostic value in OP. These modules could be used as biomarkers of OP in the future.

Risk Factors and Predictive Model for Dermatomyositis Associated with Rapidly Progressive Interstitial Lung Disease

Background

Rapidly progressive interstitial lung disease (RP-ILD) is a significant complication that determines the prognosis of dermatomyositis (DM). Early RP-ILD diagnosis can improve screening and diagnostic efficiency and provide meaningful guidance to carry out early and aggressive treatment.

Methods

A retrospective screening of 284 patients with DM was performed. Clinical and laboratory characteristics of the patients were recorded. The risk factors of RP-ILD in DM patients were screened by logistic regression (LR) and machine learning methods, and the prediction models of RP-ILD were developed by machine learning methods, namely least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO), random forest (RF), and extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost).

Results

According to the result of univariate LR, disease duration is a protective factor for RP-ILD, and ESR, CRP, anti-Ro-52 antibody and anti-MDA5 antibody are risk factors for RP-ILD. The top 10 important variables of the 3 machine learning models were intersected to obtain common important variables, and there were 5 common important variables, namely disease duration, LDH, CRP, anti-Ro-52 antibody and anti-MDA5 antibody. The AUC of LASSO, RF and XGBoost test set were 0.661, 0.667 and 0.867, respectively. We further validated the performance of these three models on validation set, and the results showed that, the AUC of LASSO, RF and XGBoost were 0.764, 0.727 and 0.909, respectively. Based on the results of the models, XGBoost is the optimal model in this study.

Conclusion

Disease duration, LDH, CRP, anti-Ro-52 antibody and anti-MDA5 antibody are vital risk factors for RP-ILD in DM. The prediction model constructed using XGBoost can be used for risk identification and early intervention in DM patients with RP-ILD and practical application.

Hyperbilirubinemia and Hyponatremia as Predictors of Complicated Appendicitis

Several studies have reported elevated serum bilirubin or reduced serum sodium levels in patients with complicated appendicitis (CA). This study examined the efficacy of hyperbilirubinemia, hyponatremia, and both combined in the preoperative diagnosis of CA. Patients who underwent surgery for acute appendicitis were included in this retrospective review. In total, 247 patients were included in the final analysis. Of these, 36 (14.2%) had early appendicitis, 177 (72.0%) had acute suppurative appendicitis, 32 (13.0%) had necrotizing/gangrenous acute appendicitis, and 2 (0.8%) had other types of appendicitis. The mean total bilirubin (TBIL) level was significantly higher in patients with CA than in those with uncomplicated appendicitis. Conversely, the mean serum sodium level was significantly lower in patients with CA than in those with uncomplicated appendicitis. The levels of TBIL (odds ratio: 1.098, 95% CI: 1.052–1.147) and serum sodium (odds ratio: 0.743, 95% CI: 0.646–0.855) were associated with CA. Hyponatremia combined with hyperbilirubinemia yielded significant discriminatory value for the diagnosis of CA. TBIL and serum sodium levels can be considered as adjuvant parameters in the diagnosis of perforated/necrotizing appendicitis. Although hyperbilirubinemia and hyponatremia together were better able to determine the risk of CA than either marker alone, other markers are required to definitively predict CA. Furthermore, large-scale studies are needed to confirm these findings.

Complicated appendicitis increases the hospital length of stay

Background

There are insufficient data from Saudi Arabia regarding appendectomy outcomes and hospital length of stay. Further, there is a need to compare the length of stay of Saudi patients and the literature. The purpose is to evaluate the surgical outcomes and hospital length of stay for complicated appendicitis and simple appendicitis.

Method

This is a single-center retrospective review of patients who had undergone an appendectomy between 2016 and 2018. The patients were divided into 2 groups: complicated appendicitis versus simple appendicitis.

Results

Of 449 patients who underwent appendectomy, 60 (13.4%) had complicated appendicitis. The complicated appendicitis was significantly associated with increased age, pain duration, neutrophilia, high C-reactive protein, fecalith presence, and free fluid. The incidence rate of surgical site infection was 5.8% (identified in 26 patients). Compared to simple appendicitis, complicated appendicitis was associated more with wound infection (1.8% vs 10%, respectively, P = .001), postoperative collection (1.2% vs 11.6%, respectively, P = .001), and readmission within 30 days (2.3% vs 13.4%, respectively, P = .001). By multivariate analysis, factors associated more with increased hospitalization were pain duration (hazard ratio = 2.37, 95% confidence interval = 1.09–5.16, P = .029), operative time (hazard ratio = 2.09, 95% confidence interval = 1.04–4.21, P = .038), and complicated appendicitis (hazard ratio = 6.61, 95% confidence interval = 2.67–14.21, P = .001).

Conclusion

Complicated appendicitis correlates with significant morbidity, readmission rate, and 6 times more hospital LOS than simple appendicitis. This review might help in appreciating the burden of complicated appendicitis on hospital length of stay, which needs allocating patients and planning the discharge day for hospitals with limited beds.

•

Practically one fifth of acute appendicitis will be complicated.

•

Complicated appendicitis increases conversion to open, surgical site infection, hospital length of stay, and 30-day readmission rate.

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Prolonged operation time and complicated appendicitis are independent risk factors to increase hospitalization.

Prediction of peritoneal soiling in acute appendicitis with simple clinical and laboratory data. Prospective, multicenter, cohort study of 2,645 adult patients nationwide

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

In order to facilitate the preoperative prediction of complicated appendicitis, we propose a complementary approach by selecting an endpoint defined by the intraoperative finding of peritoneal soiling (PS).

METHODS

Over a 6-month period, 38 centers (5% of all public hospitals) attending emergency general surgery patients on a 24-hour, 7-days a week basis, enrolled consecutive adult patients requiring appendectomy. Patients were stratified according to the absence or the finding of PS during the surgical procedure.

RESULTS

A total of 2645 patients were included; median age (IQR) was 35 (22-51) years, 44.3% were female. The laparoscopic approach was used in 70.8% of appendectomies. In a third of patients (31.7%), there was PS with pus around the appendix, or bowel contents, free pus, or blood in the peritoneal cavity. To develop the prediction model, 1764 patients were randomly selected for the derivation cohort and the remaining 881 patients were assigned to the validation cohort. On multivariable logistic regression analysis of all patients, two clinical variables (age, and pulse) and three laboratory variables (serum urea, serum sodium, and white blood cell count) were individually associated (P < .05) with a greater probability of having PS (Hosmer-Lemeshow chi, 1.63; P = .99; C-statistic, 0.7). Based on the multivariable regression model, both static and dynamic nomograms were developed for the prediction of PS in patients with acute appendicitis.

CONCLUSIONS

The entry of simple clinical and laboratory variables in the dynamic nomogram may be useful in guiding the initial management of patients with acute appendicitis in resource-limited settings.

Predictive scoring systems to differentiate between simple and complex appendicitis in children (PRE-APP study)

BACKGROUND

Several clinical prediction rules have been developed for preoperative differentiation between simple and complex appendicitis in children, as potential treatment strategies differ. This study aimed to externally validate applicable clinical prediction rules that could be used to differentiate between simple and complex appendicitis in children.

METHODS

Potential clinical prediction rules were identified by a scoping review of the literature. Clinical prediction rules applicable in our daily practice were subsequently externally validated in a multicenter historical cohort consisting of 1 tertiary center and 1 large teaching hospital. All children (<18 years old) with histopathologically confirmed acute appendicitis between 2013 and 2020 were included. Test results of clinical prediction rules were compared to the gold standard of either simple or complex appendicitis consisting of predefined perioperative and histopathological criteria. Areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves were determined for the selected clinical prediction rules. Areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve >0.7 were considered acceptable and potentially useful.

RESULTS

In total, 31 clinical prediction rules were identified, of which 12 could be evaluated in our cohort consisting of 550 children. The main reason to exclude clinical prediction rules was the use of variables that were not routinely measured in our cohort. In our cohort, 208/550 (38%) were diagnosed with complex appendicitis according to the gold standard. Clinical prediction rules with areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve >0.7 were: Gorter (0.81), Bogaard (0.79), Bröker (0.79), Graham (0.77), Hansson (0.76), BADCF (0.76), and Eddama (0.75).

CONCLUSION

In this study, clinical prediction rules consisting of a combination of clinical and objective variables had the highest discriminative ability. External validation showed that 7 clinical prediction rules were potentially useful. Integration of these clinical prediction rules in daily practice is proposed to guide decision making regarding treatment strategies.

Predictive ability of CT findings in the differentiation of complicated and uncomplicated appendicitis: a retrospective investigation of 201 patients undergone appendectomy at initial admission

BACKGROUND

Paradigm shift toward nonoperative management (NOM) of adult appendicitis has made computed tomography (CT) more important than ever, particularly in differentiating complicated from uncomplicated disease. Complete surgical and pathological data of appendicitis in a place where appendectomy at initial admission is a standard of care would allow retrospective review of preoperative CT for performance and predictive ability in identifying those that may benefit from NOM in the future.

RESULTS

The study included 201 CT scans of consecutive adult patients who presented for appendectomy at initial admission with pathologically confirmed acute appendicitis. Complicated appendicitis referred to gangrene or perforation on pathological or operative findings. The overall CT sensitivity, specificity and accuracy for differentiation of complicated from uncomplicated appendicitis were 87.2%, 75.7% and 81.1%, respectively. The most sensitive CT findings of complicated appendicitis were mucosal enhancement defect (83.2%; 95% CI 74.1-90.0) and moderate-to-severe periappendiceal fat stranding (96.8%; 95% CI 91.1-99.3), both independently predictive of complicated appendicitis with adjusted odds ratios (ORs) of 4.62 (95% CI 1.86-11.51) and 4.41 (95% CI 1.06-18.29), respectively. Phlegmon, fluid collection, extraluminal appendicolith, periappendiceal air and small bowel dilatation had specificity of 98.1-100%. Intraluminal appendicoliths were found more frequently in complicated appendicitis (52.6% vs. 22.6%) but not predictive for this diagnosis. Independent clinical predictors of complicated appendicitis were lack of pain migration (OR 2.06), neutrophilia ≥ 82% (OR (2.87) and symptoms ≥ 24 h (OR 5.84).

CONCLUSIONS

CT findings were highly accurate in differentiating complicated from uncomplicated appendicitis among patients undergone appendectomy at initial admission.

Implementation of an Enhanced Recovery After Surgery (ERAS) protocol for acute complicated and uncomplicated appendicitis

BACKGROUND

Enhanced Recovery After Surgery (ERAS) protocols are well-documented logistic programs in elective surgery but it is still uncertain whether ERAS can benefit emergency patients, because of significant challenges facing its application to emergency surgery. The aim of this study was to evaluate the implementation of an ERAS protocol for patients with acute appendicitis (AA), both complicated and uncomplicated.

METHODS

A prospective observational study was performed at two university hospitals in Spain, between January 2012 and December 2019. Inclusion criteria were patients with diagnosis of AA, undergoing appendectomy following an ERAS protocol of perioperative care. The different items of the ERAS protocol were recorded and their implementation was separately evaluated. Analyzed variables also included postoperative complications, hospital stay and readmission rate. Levels of acute phase reactants were assessed as predictors of implementation for the ERAS protocol.

RESULTS

Eight hundred fifty patients were included; 498 males (58.5%) and 302 females (41.5%), with a mean age of 34.95 ± 17 years. The implementation of all the items of the protocol was achieved in 770 patients (90.6%), 86.8% of patients with complicated AA and 93.1% of patients with uncomplicated AA (p = 0.02). Higher preoperative C-reactive protein (CRP) levels were significantly associated with the impossibility of implementing all the items of the ERAS protocol (p < 0.001), establishing a cut-off point at CRP = 13.5 mg/dl.

CONCLUSIONS

The implementation of ERAS protocols is safe and feasible in patients with AA. Although the implementation rate of all the items is lower in patients with complicated AA, it can be completed in 86.8% of these patients. CRP levels over 13.5 mg/dl are predictors of difficulties in the implementation of all the items of ERAS protocols.

Predictive Efficacy of Delta Neutrophil Index in Diagnosis of Acute and Complicated Appendicitis

Background

The delta neutrophil index has been accepted as an inflammatory marker, especially in sepsis. This study aimed to evaluate the effectiveness of the delta neutrophil index in predicting acute and complicated appendicitis.

Methods

Patients aged 18 years and over who underwent appendectomy were reviewed. The demographic features, pathology results, and the delta neutrophil index, leukocyte, and C-reactive protein levels were evaluated. According to the pathology results, the patients were grouped as those having a normal appendix or acute appendicitis.

Results

In this study, 74 (8.1%) of the patients had a normal appendix, and 718 (86.1%) were diagnosed with simple appendicitis, and 116 (13.9%) with complicated appendicitis. In the acute appendicitis group, the leukocyte value and delta neutrophil index were found to be statistically significantly higher than in the normal appendix group. Age, C-reactive protein, and the delta neutrophil index ​​were statistically significantly higher in the complicated appendicitis group. In the receiver operating characteristic curve analysis for the prediction of acute appendicitis, the area under the curve values for leukocyte and the delta neutrophil index were calculated as 0.780 and 0.741, respectively. In predicting complicated appendicitis, the area under the curve of the delta neutrophil index and C-reactive protein were 0.671 and 0.709, respectively.

Conclusion

The delta neutrophil index was more significant than leukocyte values in diagnosing acute and complicated appendicitis. We consider that the delta neutrophil index ​​is an effective and reliable parameter in diagnosing acute appendicitis and differentiating simple/complicated appendicitis, especially when combined with the analysis of leukocyte and C-reactive protein.

Did the COVID-19 Pandemic Cause a Delay in the Diagnosis of Acute Appendicitis?

BACKGROUND

Appendectomy for acute appendicitis remains one of the most common surgical procedures. This study aims to assess the clinical presentation and delays in diagnosing acute appendicitis during the COVID-19 pandemic.

METHODS

We evaluated data of all adult patients who underwent an appendectomy at our hospital between June 1, 2019 and June 1, 2020. Demographic data, admission type to the emergency room, radiological findings, pathological findings, and hospitalization time were noted. Patients were divided into four groups of 3-month periods, pre (Groups 5, 4, 3, 2) and during the pandemic (Group 1). Hospitalization time and perforation status of each group were compared. The hospital admission type and their effect on perforation were also evaluated.

RESULTS

Two hundred and fourteen patients were included; 135 patients were male, and 57 were female. The median age was 39 years. In Group 1 (pandemic period), 28.8% of patients were referred to us from pandemic hospitals. The median hospitalization time was 7.3 h before pandemics (Group 2-5), 5 h in the pandemic period (Group 1). Perforation rates were 27.8% in Group 1, 23.3% in Group 2, 16.3% in Group 3, 14.0% in Group 4, and 18.6% in Group 5 (0 = 0.58). There was no difference in the patients in Group 1 in the rate of perforated appendicitis in patients who were referred from other pandemic hospitals (29.4) and those admitted via our own emergency room (16.6%) (p = 0.27) during the pandemic period.

CONCLUSION

We did not observe any clear increase in the diagnosis of perforated appendicitis during the pandemic period, even in patients who were transferred from other hospitals.