1
|
Saygın Avşar T, Jackson L, Barton P, Jones M, McLeod H. Towards optimum smoking cessation interventions during pregnancy: a household model to explore cost-effectiveness. Addiction 2022; 117:2707-2719. [PMID: 35603912 PMCID: PMC9541394 DOI: 10.1111/add.15955] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/03/2021] [Accepted: 04/27/2022] [Indexed: 12/22/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND AIMS Previous economic evaluations of smoking cessation interventions for pregnant women are limited to single components, which do not in isolation offer sufficient potential impact to address smoking cessation targets. To inform the development of more appropriate complex interventions, we (1) describe the development of the Economics of Smoking in Pregnancy: Household (ESIP.H) model for estimating the life-time cost-effectiveness of smoking cessation interventions aimed at pregnant women and (2) use a hypothetical case study to demonstrate how ESIP.H can be used to identify the characteristics of optimum smoking cessation interventions. METHODS The hypothetical intervention was based on current evidence relating to component elements, including financial incentives, partner smoking, intensive behaviour change support, cigarettes consumption and duration of support to 12 months post-partum. ESIP.H was developed to assess the life-time health and cost impacts of multi-component interventions compared with standard National Health Service (NHS) care in England. ESIP.H considers cigarette consumption, partner smoking and some health conditions (e.g. obesity) that were not included in previous models. The Markov model's parameters were estimated based on published literature, expert judgement and evidence-based assumptions. The hypothetical intervention was evaluated from an NHS perspective. RESULTS The hypothetical intervention was associated with an incremental gain in quitters (mother and partner) at 12 months postpartum of 249 [95% confidence interval (CI) = 195-304] per 1000 pregnant smokers. Over the long-term, it had an incremental negative cost of £193 (CI = -£779 to 344) and it improved health, with a 0.50 (CI = 0.36-0.69) increase in quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) for mothers, partners and offspring, with a 100% probability of being cost-effective. CONCLUSIONS The Economics of Smoking in Pregnancy: Household model for estimating cost-effectiveness of smoking cessation interventions aimed at pregnant women found that a hypothetical smoking cessation intervention would greatly extend reach, reduce smoking and be cost-effective.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Tuba Saygın Avşar
- Department of Applied Health ResearchUniversity College LondonLondonUK
| | - Louise Jackson
- Health Economics UnitUniversity of BirminghamBirminghamUK
| | - Pelham Barton
- Health Economics UnitUniversity of BirminghamBirminghamUK
| | - Matthew Jones
- Division of Primary CareUniversity of Nottingham, NottinghamUK
| | - Hugh McLeod
- Population Health Sciences, Bristol Medical SchoolUniversity of BristolBristolUK,The National Institute for Health Research Applied Research Collaboration West (NIHR ARC West) at University Hospitals Bristol and Weston NHS Foundation TrustBristolUK
| |
Collapse
|
2
|
Li J, Xu HL, Yao BD, Li WX, Fang H, Xu DL, Zhang ZF. Environmental tobacco smoke and cancer risk, a prospective cohort study in a Chinese population. ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH 2020; 191:110015. [PMID: 32818497 DOI: 10.1016/j.envres.2020.110015] [Citation(s) in RCA: 15] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/25/2019] [Revised: 05/30/2020] [Accepted: 07/27/2020] [Indexed: 06/11/2023]
Abstract
Few prospective cohort studies have investigated associations between environmental tobacco smoke (ETS) and other cancer sites, in addition to lung cancer. We assessed these associations in a population-based prospective cohort study started from 2008 to 2011 with average of 9.1 years of follow-up, in Minhang district, Shanghai, China. The study included a total of 23,415 participants (8388 men, 15,027 women) and 205,515 person-years. Epidemiological data were collected by a standardized questionnaire including ETS exposure. Newly diagnosed patients with primary cancers and deaths were identified by record linkage system with the Shanghai Cancer Registry and Shanghai Vital Statistics. Hazard ratios (HRs) and their 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated using Cox proportional hazards regression models, adjusting for potential confounders. During the study period, a total of 1462 patients with diagnoses of primary cancers were identified. Among all participants and non-smokers, ETS was associated with an increased risk of all smoking-related cancers (all: adjusted HR: 1.23, 95% CI: 1.05-1.43 and non-smokers: 1.24, 1.02-1.49), lung cancer (1.29, 0.98-1.71 and 1.27, 0.91-1.77), and stomach cancer (1.86, 1.21-2.85 and 1.75, 1.05-2.91), respectively. Furthermore, associations for lung and stomach cancers were the strongest among non-smoking females. The joint effects of both ETS and active smoking were strongest for all cancers, all smoking-related cancers, lung cancer, and stomach cancer. No clear interactions were observed. These results suggest that ETS exposure may increase the risk of smoking-related cancers in a Chinese population. Further studies on the relationship between ETS exposure and specific cancer sites are warranted to replicate our findings.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Jun Li
- Department of Non-Communicable Diseases Prevention and Control, Shanghai Minhang Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Shanghai, 201101, China; Department of Epidemiology, Fielding School of Public Health, University of California, Los Angeles, CA, 90095, USA
| | - Hui-Lin Xu
- Department of Non-Communicable Diseases Prevention and Control, Shanghai Minhang Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Shanghai, 201101, China
| | - Bao-Dong Yao
- Department of Non-Communicable Diseases Prevention and Control, Shanghai Minhang Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Shanghai, 201101, China
| | - Wei-Xi Li
- Department of Non-Communicable Diseases Prevention and Control, Shanghai Minhang Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Shanghai, 201101, China
| | - Hong Fang
- Department of Non-Communicable Diseases Prevention and Control, Shanghai Minhang Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Shanghai, 201101, China
| | - Dong-Li Xu
- Department of Non-Communicable Diseases Prevention and Control, Shanghai Minhang Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Shanghai, 201101, China.
| | - Zuo-Feng Zhang
- Department of Epidemiology, Fielding School of Public Health, University of California, Los Angeles, CA, 90095, USA.
| |
Collapse
|
3
|
Hamling JS, Coombs KJ, Lee PN. Misclassification of smoking habits: An updated review of the literature. World J Meta-Anal 2019; 7:31-50. [DOI: 10.13105/wjma.v7.i2.31] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/27/2018] [Revised: 01/21/2019] [Accepted: 01/21/2019] [Indexed: 02/06/2023] Open
|
4
|
Lee PN. Improving the conduct of meta-analyses of observational studies. World J Meta-Anal 2018; 6:21-28. [DOI: 10.13105/wjma.v6.i3.21] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/07/2018] [Revised: 07/16/2018] [Accepted: 08/04/2018] [Indexed: 02/06/2023] Open
|
5
|
Ni X, Xu N, Wang Q. Meta-Analysis and Systematic Review in Environmental Tobacco Smoke Risk of Female Lung Cancer by Research Type. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH 2018; 15:E1348. [PMID: 29954105 PMCID: PMC6068922 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph15071348] [Citation(s) in RCA: 19] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/06/2018] [Revised: 06/23/2018] [Accepted: 06/25/2018] [Indexed: 12/14/2022]
Abstract
More than 50% of women worldwide are exposed to Environmental Tobacco Smoke (ETS). The impact of ETS on lung cancer remains unclear. Cohort studies since the late 1990s have provided new evidence of female lung cancer risk due to ETS. The objective of this meta-analysis and systematic review was to analyze the association of ETS with female lung cancer risk from 1997 to 2017, organised based on research design. According to our applied inclusion and exclusion criteria, 41 published studies were included. The relative risk (RR) from the cohort studies or odds ratio (OR) from case-control studies were extracted to calculate the pooled risks based on the type of study. The summary risks of ETS were further explored with the modulators of ETS exposure sources and doses. The pooled risks of lung cancer in non-smoking women exposed to ETS were 1.35 (95% CI: 1.17⁻1.56), 1.17 (95% CI: 0.94⁻1.44), and 1.33 (95% CI: 1.17⁻1.51) for case-control studies, cohort studies, and both types of studies, respectively. The summary RR estimate of the cohort studies was not statistically significant, but the RR increased with increasing doses of ETS exposure (p trend < 0.05). Based on the results of this study, ETS might be an important risk factor of female lung cancer in non-smokers.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Xue Ni
- National Institute of Environmental Health, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, No. 29 Nanwei Road, Beijing 100050, China.
| | - Ning Xu
- National Institute of Environmental Health, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, No. 29 Nanwei Road, Beijing 100050, China.
| | - Qiang Wang
- National Institute of Environmental Health, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, No. 29 Nanwei Road, Beijing 100050, China.
| |
Collapse
|
6
|
Lee PN, Forey BA, Thornton AJ, Coombs KJ. The relationship of cigarette smoking in Japan to lung cancer, COPD, ischemic heart disease and stroke: A systematic review. F1000Res 2018; 7:204. [PMID: 30800285 PMCID: PMC6367657 DOI: 10.12688/f1000research.14002.1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 17] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 02/14/2018] [Indexed: 02/06/2023] Open
Abstract
Background: To present up-to-date meta-analyses of evidence from Japan relating smoking to major smoking-related diseases. Methods: We restricted attention to lung cancer, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), ischemic heart disease (IHD) and stroke, considering relative risks (RRs) for current and ex-smokers relative to never smokers. Evidence by amount smoked and time quit was also considered. For IHD and stroke only, studies had to provide age-adjusted RRs, with age-specific results considered. For each disease we extended earlier published databases to include more recent studies. Meta-analyses were conducted, with random-effects RRs and tests of heterogeneity presented. Results: Of 40 studies, 26 reported results for lung cancer and 7 to 9 for each other disease. For current smoking, RRs (95%CIs) were lung cancer 3.59 (3.25-3.96), COPD 3.57 (2.72-4.70), IHD 2.21 (1.96-2.50) and stroke 1.40 (1.25-1.57). Ex-smoking RRs were lower. Data for lung cancer and IHD showed a clear tendency for RRs to rise with increasing amount smoked and decrease with increasing time quit. Dose-response data were unavailable for COPD and unclear for stroke, where the association was weaker. Conclusions: Compared to studies in other Asian and Western countries, current smoking RRs were quite similar for IHD and stroke. The comparison is not clear for COPD, where the Japanese data, mainly from cross-sectional studies, is limited. For lung cancer, the RRs are similar to those in other Asian countries, but substantially lower than in Western countries. Explanations for this are unclear, but less accurate reporting of smoking by Japanese may contribute to the difference.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Peter N. Lee
- P.N. Lee Statistics and Computing Ltd., Sutton, SM2 5DA, UK
| | | | | | | |
Collapse
|
7
|
Lee PN, Forey BA, Coombs KJ, Hamling JS, Thornton AJ. Epidemiological evidence relating environmental smoke to COPD in lifelong non-smokers: a systematic review. F1000Res 2018. [PMID: 32089819 DOI: 10.12688/f1000research.13887.1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/03/2023] Open
Abstract
Background: Some evidence suggests environmental tobacco smoke (ETS) might cause chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). We reviewed available epidemiological data in never smokers. Methods: We identified epidemiological studies providing estimates of relative risk (RR) with 95% confidence interval (CI) for various ETS exposure indices. Confounder-adjusted RRs for COPD were extracted, or derived using standard methods. Meta-analyses were conducted for each exposure index, with tests for heterogeneity and publication bias. For the main index (spouse ever smoked or nearest equivalent), analyses investigated variation in RR by location, publication period, study type, sex, diagnosis, study size, confounder adjustment, never smoker definition, and exposure index definition. Results: Twenty-eight relevant studies were identified; nine European or Middle Eastern, nine Asian, eight American and two from multiple countries. Five were prospective, seven case-control and 16 cross-sectional. The COPD definition involved death or hospitalisation in seven studies, GOLD stage 1+ criteria in twelve, and other definitions in nine. For the main index, random-effects meta-analysis of 33 heterogeneous (p<0.001) estimates gave a RR of 1.20 (95%CI 1.08-1.34). Higher estimates for females (1.59,1.16-2.19, n=11) than males (1.29,0.94-1.76, n=7) or sexes combined (1.10,0.99-1.22, n=15 where sex-specific not available), and lower estimates for studies of 150+ cases (1.08,0.97-1.20, n=13) partly explained the heterogeneity. Estimates were higher for Asian studies (1.34,1.08-1.67, n=10), case-control studies (1.55,1.04-2.32, n=8), and COPD mortality or hospitalisation (1.40,1.12-1.74, n=11). Some increase was seen for severer COPD (1.29,1.10-1.52, n=7). Dose-response evidence was heterogeneous. Evidence for childhood (0.88,0.72-1.07, n=2) and workplace (1.12,0.77-1.64, n=4) exposure was limited, but an increase was seen for overall adulthood exposure (1.20,1.03-1.39, n=17). We discuss study weaknesses that may bias estimation of the association of COPD with ETS. Conclusions: Although the evidence suggests ETS increases COPD, study weaknesses and absence of well-designed large studies precludes reliable inference of causality. More definitive evidence is required.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Peter N Lee
- P.N. Lee Statistics and Computing Ltd, Sutton, Surrey, SM2 5DA, UK
| | - Barbara A Forey
- P.N. Lee Statistics and Computing Ltd, Sutton, Surrey, SM2 5DA, UK
| | | | - Jan S Hamling
- P.N. Lee Statistics and Computing Ltd, Sutton, Surrey, SM2 5DA, UK
| | - Alison J Thornton
- Independent Consultant in Statistics, Okehampton, Devon, EX20 1SG, UK
| |
Collapse
|
8
|
Lee PN, Forey BA, Coombs KJ, Hamling JS, Thornton AJ. Epidemiological evidence relating environmental smoke to COPD in lifelong non-smokers: a systematic review. F1000Res 2018; 7:146. [PMID: 32089819 PMCID: PMC6953425 DOI: 10.12688/f1000research.13887.3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 01/31/2018] [Indexed: 01/01/2023] Open
Abstract
Background: Some evidence suggests environmental tobacco smoke (ETS) might cause chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). We reviewed available epidemiological data in never smokers. Methods: We identified epidemiological studies providing estimates of relative risk (RR) with 95% confidence interval (CI) for various ETS exposure indices. Confounder-adjusted RRs for COPD were extracted, or derived using standard methods. Meta-analyses were conducted for each exposure index, with tests for heterogeneity and publication bias. For the main index (spouse ever smoked or nearest equivalent), analyses investigated variation in RR by location, publication period, study type, sex, diagnosis, study size, confounder adjustment, never smoker definition, and exposure index definition. Results: Twenty-eight relevant studies were identified; nine European or Middle Eastern, nine Asian, eight American and two from multiple countries. Five were prospective, seven case-control and 16 cross-sectional. The COPD definition involved death or hospitalisation in seven studies, GOLD stage 1+ criteria in twelve, and other definitions in nine. For the main index, random-effects meta-analysis of 33 heterogeneous (p<0.001) estimates gave a RR of 1.20 (95%CI 1.08-1.34). Higher estimates for females (1.59,1.16-2.19, n=11) than males (1.29,0.94-1.76, n=7) or sexes combined (1.10,0.99-1.22, n=15 where sex-specific not available), and lower estimates for studies of 150+ cases (1.08,0.97-1.20, n=13) partly explained the heterogeneity. Estimates were higher for Asian studies (1.34,1.08-1.67, n=10), case-control studies (1.55,1.04-2.32, n=8), and COPD mortality or hospitalisation (1.40,1.12-1.74, n=11). Some increase was seen for severer COPD (1.29,1.10-1.52, n=7). Dose-response evidence was heterogeneous. Evidence for childhood (0.88,0.72-1.07, n=2) and workplace (1.12,0.77-1.64, n=4) exposure was limited, but an increase was seen for overall adulthood exposure (1.20,1.03-1.39, n=17). We discuss study weaknesses that may bias estimation of the association of COPD with ETS. Conclusions: Although the evidence suggests ETS increases COPD, study weaknesses and absence of well-designed large studies precludes reliable inference of causality. More definitive evidence is required.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Peter N. Lee
- P.N. Lee Statistics and Computing Ltd, Sutton, Surrey, SM2 5DA, UK
| | - Barbara A. Forey
- P.N. Lee Statistics and Computing Ltd, Sutton, Surrey, SM2 5DA, UK
| | | | - Jan S. Hamling
- P.N. Lee Statistics and Computing Ltd, Sutton, Surrey, SM2 5DA, UK
| | | |
Collapse
|
9
|
Li L, Ho SSH, Chow JC, Watson JG, Lee FSC, Cui L, Gao Y, Dai W, Ho KF, Huang Y, Cao J. Characterization and health risk assessment of PM 2.5-bound organics inside and outside of Chinese smoking lounges. CHEMOSPHERE 2017; 186:438-445. [PMID: 28806671 DOI: 10.1016/j.chemosphere.2017.08.006] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/07/2017] [Revised: 07/28/2017] [Accepted: 08/03/2017] [Indexed: 06/07/2023]
Abstract
PM2.5 samples were collected at six indoor public places that contained dedicated smoking lounges. Samples were taken in the smoking lounges, at two indoor locations outside of the lounges, and in outdoor air near the venues. Organic carbon (OC), elemental carbon (EC), and non-polar organic compounds including polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs), n-alkanes (n-C16 to n-C40), iso/anteiso-alkanes (C29 to C33), hopanes and phthalate esters (PAEs) were quantified. Average PM2.5 levels of 170.2 ± 85.9 μg/m3 in the lounges exceeded limits of 25 μg/m3 set by World Health Organization (WHO); these levels were 5.4 and 3.9 times higher than those indoors and outdoors, respectively. High ratios of OC to PM2.5, OC to EC, and PAHs diagnostic ratios in the lounges indicated contributions from environmental tobacco smoke (ETS). The maximum carbon number (Cmax) and carbon preference indices (CPI) for n-alkanes showed ETS transport from the enclosed lounges to nearby indoor non-smoking areas. Iso/anteiso-alkanes in the lounges were 876.5 ng/m3, ∼80 times higher than outdoor levels. 17α(H)-21β(H),30-norhopane and 17α(H)-21β(H),(22R)-homohopane were much higher in the lounges than outdoor air, but they cannot be directly attributed to ETS. Estimated carcinogenic risks of PAHs in the lounges exceeded the acceptable level of 10- 6.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Lijuan Li
- Key Lab of Aerosol Chemistry & Physics, Institute of Earth Environment, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Xi'an, China; State Key Lab of Loess and Quaternary Geology (SKLLQG), Institute of Earth Environment, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Xi'an, China; University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China
| | - Steven Sai Hang Ho
- Key Lab of Aerosol Chemistry & Physics, Institute of Earth Environment, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Xi'an, China; State Key Lab of Loess and Quaternary Geology (SKLLQG), Institute of Earth Environment, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Xi'an, China; Division of Atmospheric Sciences, Desert Research Institute, Reno, NV, USA.
| | - Judith C Chow
- Division of Atmospheric Sciences, Desert Research Institute, Reno, NV, USA
| | - John G Watson
- Division of Atmospheric Sciences, Desert Research Institute, Reno, NV, USA
| | - Frank S C Lee
- Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hung Hom, Hong Kong, China
| | - Long Cui
- Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hung Hom, Hong Kong, China
| | - Yuan Gao
- Department of Civil Engineering, The Chu Hai College of Higher Education, Castle Peak Bay, Hong Kong, China
| | - Wenting Dai
- Key Lab of Aerosol Chemistry & Physics, Institute of Earth Environment, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Xi'an, China; State Key Lab of Loess and Quaternary Geology (SKLLQG), Institute of Earth Environment, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Xi'an, China
| | - Kin Fai Ho
- The Jockey Club School of Public Health and Primary Care, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China
| | - Yu Huang
- Key Lab of Aerosol Chemistry & Physics, Institute of Earth Environment, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Xi'an, China; State Key Lab of Loess and Quaternary Geology (SKLLQG), Institute of Earth Environment, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Xi'an, China
| | - Junji Cao
- Key Lab of Aerosol Chemistry & Physics, Institute of Earth Environment, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Xi'an, China; State Key Lab of Loess and Quaternary Geology (SKLLQG), Institute of Earth Environment, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Xi'an, China.
| |
Collapse
|
10
|
Lee PN, Forey BA, Hamling JS, Thornton AJ. Environmental tobacco smoke exposure and heart disease: A systematic review. World J Meta-Anal 2017; 5:14. [DOI: 10.13105/wjma.v5.i2.14] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/06/2016] [Revised: 01/10/2017] [Accepted: 03/02/2017] [Indexed: 02/05/2023] Open
|
11
|
Lee PN, Thornton AJ, Forey BA, Hamling JS. Environmental Tobacco Smoke Exposure and Risk of Stroke in Never Smokers: An Updated Review with Meta-Analysis. J Stroke Cerebrovasc Dis 2017; 26:204-216. [PMID: 27765554 DOI: 10.1016/j.jstrokecerebrovasdis.2016.09.011] [Citation(s) in RCA: 28] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/07/2016] [Revised: 08/09/2016] [Accepted: 09/12/2016] [Indexed: 02/07/2023] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVES The study aimed to review the epidemiological evidence relating environmental tobacco smoke exposure to stroke in never smokers. METHODS The study is similar to our review in 2006, with searches extended to March 2016. RESULTS Twelve further studies were identified. A total of 28 studies varied considerably in design, exposure indices used, and disease definition. Based on 39 sex-specific estimates and the exposure index current spousal exposure (or nearest equivalent), the meta-analysis gave an overall fixed-effect relative risk estimate of 1.23 (95% confidence interval: 1.16-1.31), with significant (P < .05) heterogeneity. There was no significant heterogeneity by sex, continent, fatality, disease end point, or degree of adjustment for potential confounding factors. Relative risks were less elevated in prospective studies (1.15, 1.06-1.24) than in case-control studies (1.44, 1.22-1.60) or cross-sectional studies (1.40, 1.21-1.61). They also varied by publication year, but with no trend. A significant increase was not seen in studies that excluded smokers of any tobacco (1.07, .97-1.17), but was seen for studies that included pipe- or cigar-only smokers, occasional smokers, or long-term former smokers. No elevation was seen for hemorrhagic stroke. Relative risk estimates were similar using ever rather than current exposure, or total rather than spousal exposure. Eleven studies provided dose-response estimates, the combined relative risk for the highest exposure level being 1.56 (1.37-1.79). Many studies have evident weaknesses, recall bias, and particularly publication bias being major concerns. CONCLUSIONS Although other reviewers inferred a causal relationship, we consider the evidence does not conclusively demonstrate this. We repeat our call for publication of data from existing large prospective studies.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Peter N Lee
- PN Lee Statistics and Computing Ltd, Sutton, Surrey, United Kingdom.
| | | | - Barbara A Forey
- PN Lee Statistics and Computing Ltd, Sutton, Surrey, United Kingdom
| | - Jan S Hamling
- PN Lee Statistics and Computing Ltd, Sutton, Surrey, United Kingdom
| |
Collapse
|