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Sugimoto M, Takagi T, Suzuki T, Shimizu H, Shibukawa G, Nakajima Y, Takeda Y, Noguchi Y, Kobayashi R, Imamura H, Asama H, Konno N, Waragai Y, Akatsuka H, Suzuki R, Hikichi T, Ohira H. A new preprocedural predictive risk model for post-endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography pancreatitis: The SuPER model. eLife 2025; 13:RP101604. [PMID: 39819489 PMCID: PMC11741517 DOI: 10.7554/elife.101604] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/19/2025] Open
Abstract
Background Post-endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) pancreatitis (PEP) is a severe and deadly adverse event following ERCP. The ideal method for predicting PEP risk before ERCP has yet to be identified. We aimed to establish a simple PEP risk score model (SuPER model: Support for PEP Reduction) that can be applied before ERCP. Methods This multicenter study enrolled 2074 patients who underwent ERCP. Among them, 1037 patients each were randomly assigned to the development and validation cohorts. In the development cohort, the risk score model for predicting PEP was established via logistic regression analysis. In the validation cohort, the performance of the model was assessed. Results In the development cohort, five PEP risk factors that could be identified before ERCP were extracted and assigned weights according to their respective regression coefficients: -2 points for pancreatic calcification, 1 point for female sex, and 2 points for intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm, a native papilla of Vater, or the pancreatic duct procedures (treated as 'planned pancreatic duct procedures' for calculating the score before ERCP). The PEP occurrence rate was 0% among low-risk patients (≤0 points), 5.5% among moderate-risk patients (1-3 points), and 20.2% among high-risk patients (4-7 points). In the validation cohort, the C statistic of the risk score model was 0.71 (95% CI 0.64-0.78), which was considered acceptable. The PEP risk classification (low, moderate, and high) was a significant predictive factor for PEP that was independent of intraprocedural PEP risk factors (precut sphincterotomy and inadvertent pancreatic duct cannulation) (OR 4.2, 95% CI 2.8-6.3; p<0.01). Conclusions The PEP risk score allows an estimation of the risk of PEP prior to ERCP, regardless of whether the patient has undergone pancreatic duct procedures. This simple risk model, consisting of only five items, may aid in predicting and explaining the risk of PEP before ERCP and in preventing PEP by allowing selection of the appropriate expert endoscopist and useful PEP prophylaxes. Funding No external funding was received for this work.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mitsuru Sugimoto
- Department of Gastroenterology, Fukushima Medical University, School of MedicineFukushimaJapan
| | - Tadayuki Takagi
- Department of Gastroenterology, Fukushima Medical University, School of MedicineFukushimaJapan
| | - Tomohiro Suzuki
- Department of Gastroenterology, Fukushima Rosai HospitalIwakiJapan
| | - Hiroshi Shimizu
- Department of Gastroenterology, Fukushima Rosai HospitalIwakiJapan
| | - Goro Shibukawa
- Department of Gastroenterology, Aizu Medical Center, Fukushima Medical UniversityAizuJapan
| | - Yuki Nakajima
- Department of Gastroenterology, Aizu Medical Center, Fukushima Medical UniversityAizuJapan
| | - Yutaro Takeda
- Department of Gastroenterology, Ohta Nishinouchi HospitalKoriyamaJapan
| | - Yuki Noguchi
- Department of Gastroenterology, Ohta Nishinouchi HospitalKoriyamaJapan
| | - Reiko Kobayashi
- Department of Gastroenterology, Ohta Nishinouchi HospitalKoriyamaJapan
| | - Hidemichi Imamura
- Department of Gastroenterology, Ohta Nishinouchi HospitalKoriyamaJapan
| | - Hiroyuki Asama
- Department of Gastroenterology, Fukushima Redcross HospitalFukushimaJapan
| | - Naoki Konno
- Department of Gastroenterology, Fukushima Redcross HospitalFukushimaJapan
| | - Yuichi Waragai
- Department of Gastroenterology, Soma General HospitalSomaJapan
| | - Hidenobu Akatsuka
- Department of Gastroenterology, Saiseikai Fukushima General HospitalFukushimaJapan
| | - Rei Suzuki
- Department of Gastroenterology, Fukushima Medical University, School of MedicineFukushimaJapan
| | - Takuto Hikichi
- Department of Endoscopy, Fukushima Medical University HospitalFukushimaJapan
| | - Hiromasa Ohira
- Department of Gastroenterology, Fukushima Medical University, School of MedicineFukushimaJapan
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Samanta A, Vadlapudi SS, Srivastava A, Mohindra S, Sen Sarma M, Poddar U, Saraswat VA, Mishra P. Risk Factors for Post-Endoscopic Retrograde Cholangio-Pancreatography Pancreatitis in Children With Chronic Pancreatitis and Its Prediction Using 4-Hour Postprocedure Serum Amylase and Lipase Levels. Pancreas 2024; 53:e247-e253. [PMID: 38227737 DOI: 10.1097/mpa.0000000000002296] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/18/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Post-endoscopic retrograde cholangio-pancreatography pancreatitis (PEP) is seen in 3% to 16% of children undergoing therapeutic endoscopic retrograde cholangio-pancreatography (ERCP). We evaluated the risk factors of PEP and utility of 4-hour post-ERCP amylase and lipase for early prediction of PEP in children with chronic pancreatitis (CP). MATERIALS AND METHODS Thirty children with CP (boys 20, 14.3 [interquartile range, 9.3-16] years) who underwent 62 ERCP procedures were studied. Clinical and procedural details with outcome were noted. Serum amylase and lipase were measured before, 4 hours, and 24 hours after ERCP. Multivariate analysis was done to identify risk factors for PEP. Cutoff scores of 4-hour amylase and lipase were identified. RESULTS PEP occurred in 14.5% (9/62) of ERCP procedures (mild, 8; moderate, 1) with no mortality. On univariate analysis, endoscopic sphincterotomy ( P = 0.04), difficult cannulation ( P = 0.004), and prior PEP ( P = 0.036) were risk factors, while prior ERCP ( P = 0.04) was protective. Difficult cannulation (odds ratio, 5.83; 95% confidence interval, 1.329-25.592) was the independent risk factor on multivariate analysis overall and for first ERCP session alone. Amylase >3.3 times upper limit of normal (ULN) and lipase of >5 times ULN at 4 hours had best sensitivity and specificity for diagnosis of PEP. All cases with PEP were symptomatic by 6 hours and none had amylase/lipase <3 ULN at 4 hours. Amylase/lipase of <3 ULN at 4 hours could exclude PEP with good sensitivity (100%) and specificity (76% and 81%, respectively). CONCLUSIONS PEP occurred in 14.5% of procedures in children with CP, with difficult cannulation being the independent risk factor. Asymptomatic patients with 4-hour amylase/lipase <3 times ULN can be safely discharged.
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | | | | | | | - Ujjal Poddar
- From the Departments of Pediatric Gastroenterology
| | | | - Prabhakar Mishra
- Biostatistics and Health Informatics, Sanjay Gandhi Postgraduate Institute of Medical Sciences, Lucknow, India
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Kumar A, Sondhi P. A closer look at universal prophylactic rectal NSAIDs in prevention of post-ERCP pancreatitis. Indian J Gastroenterol 2023; 42:311-314. [PMID: 37314683 DOI: 10.1007/s12664-023-01404-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 06/15/2023]
Affiliation(s)
- Ajay Kumar
- BLK Max Institute of Digestive and Liver Diseases, New Delhi, 110 005, India.
| | - Pulkit Sondhi
- BLK Max Institute of Digestive and Liver Diseases, New Delhi, 110 005, India
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An Insight on Pharmacological and Mechanical Preventive Measures of Post-ERCP PANCREATITIS (PEP)—A Review. GASTROENTEROLOGY INSIGHTS 2022. [DOI: 10.3390/gastroent13040038] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/12/2022] Open
Abstract
Pancreatitis is the most common complication following endoscopic retrograde cholangio-pancreatography (ERCP). With the progress of research in many drugs and technologies, promising efficacy has been achieved in preventing post-ERCP pancreatitis (PEP). Recently, combined prevention has received more attention in order to further reduce the incidence of PEP. However, there is no review about the combined prevention of PEP. This review summarizes the medication and ERCP techniques that are used to prevent PEP and emphasizes that appropriate combination prevention approaches should be based on risk stratification.
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Cooling the papilla with ice water in preventing post-ERCP pancreatitis (ice water challenge study). Surg Endosc 2022; 36:6002-6006. [PMID: 34977992 DOI: 10.1007/s00464-021-08924-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/05/2021] [Accepted: 11/21/2021] [Indexed: 12/15/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The most common adverse event of endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) is post-ERCP pancreatitis (PEP). The aim of this study was to investigate the efficacy of cooling the papilla with iced water to reduce PEP. PATIENTS AND METHODS Between December 2018 and July 2019, 100 consecutive patients with native papilla undergoing ERCP were prospectively enrolled in this study. In all patients, iced water was injected endoscopically toward the papilla via the working channel at the end of ERCP. The results were compared with 100 previous cases with native papilla that underwent ERCP under the same conditions without papilla cooling. RESULTS Although the difference was not significant, the incidence of PEP tended to be lower in the study group (4%) than in the control group (11%) (p = 0.060). In addition, the incidence of PEP was significantly reduced in patients who underwent biliary sphincterotomy (p = 0.033). All cases of PEP were mild. CONCLUSIONS Cooling the papilla with iced water injection, which is safe, easy, and cheap might reduce PEP.
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Ishizaki Y, Sugimoto M, Takagi T, Suzuki R, Konno N, Asama H, Sato Y, Irie H, Okubo Y, Nakamura J, Takasumi M, Hashimoto M, Kato T, Kobashi R, Hikichi T, Ohira H. Spontaneous disappearance of common bile duct stones following the insertion of a new dumbbell-shaped, covered self-expandable metallic stent in a patient with benign biliary stricture. Clin Case Rep 2021; 9:e04093. [PMID: 34026137 PMCID: PMC8122123 DOI: 10.1002/ccr3.4093] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/10/2021] [Revised: 03/04/2021] [Accepted: 03/13/2021] [Indexed: 11/11/2022] Open
Abstract
The new dumbbell-shaped, covered self-expanding metallic stent can efficiently remove the choledocholiths in cases with common bile duct (CBD) strictures; moreover, it may potentially prevent a positional displacement and contribute to the better improvement of the CBD stricture.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yuto Ishizaki
- Department of Gastroenterology, School of MedicineFukushima Medical UniversityFukushimaJapan
| | - Mitsuru Sugimoto
- Department of Gastroenterology, School of MedicineFukushima Medical UniversityFukushimaJapan
| | - Tadayuki Takagi
- Department of Gastroenterology, School of MedicineFukushima Medical UniversityFukushimaJapan
| | - Rei Suzuki
- Department of Gastroenterology, School of MedicineFukushima Medical UniversityFukushimaJapan
| | - Naoki Konno
- Department of Gastroenterology, School of MedicineFukushima Medical UniversityFukushimaJapan
| | - Hiroyuki Asama
- Department of Gastroenterology, School of MedicineFukushima Medical UniversityFukushimaJapan
| | - Yuki Sato
- Department of Gastroenterology, School of MedicineFukushima Medical UniversityFukushimaJapan
| | - Hiroki Irie
- Department of Gastroenterology, School of MedicineFukushima Medical UniversityFukushimaJapan
| | - Yoshinori Okubo
- Department of Gastroenterology, School of MedicineFukushima Medical UniversityFukushimaJapan
- Department of EndoscopyFukushima Medical University HospitalFukushimaJapan
| | - Jun Nakamura
- Department of Gastroenterology, School of MedicineFukushima Medical UniversityFukushimaJapan
- Department of EndoscopyFukushima Medical University HospitalFukushimaJapan
| | - Mika Takasumi
- Department of Gastroenterology, School of MedicineFukushima Medical UniversityFukushimaJapan
| | - Minami Hashimoto
- Department of Gastroenterology, School of MedicineFukushima Medical UniversityFukushimaJapan
- Department of EndoscopyFukushima Medical University HospitalFukushimaJapan
| | - Tsunetaka Kato
- Department of Gastroenterology, School of MedicineFukushima Medical UniversityFukushimaJapan
- Department of EndoscopyFukushima Medical University HospitalFukushimaJapan
| | - Ryoichiro Kobashi
- Department of Gastroenterology, School of MedicineFukushima Medical UniversityFukushimaJapan
| | - Takuto Hikichi
- Department of Gastroenterology, School of MedicineFukushima Medical UniversityFukushimaJapan
- Department of EndoscopyFukushima Medical University HospitalFukushimaJapan
| | - Hiromasa Ohira
- Department of Gastroenterology, School of MedicineFukushima Medical UniversityFukushimaJapan
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Sperna Weiland CJ, Engels MML, Poen AC, Bhalla A, Venneman NG, van Hooft JE, Bruno MJ, Verdonk RC, Fockens P, Drenth JPH, van Geenen EJM, for the Dutch Pancreatitis Study Group. Increased Use of Prophylactic Measures in Preventing Post-Endoscopic Retrograde Cholangiopancreatography Pancreatitis. Dig Dis Sci 2021; 66:4457-4466. [PMID: 33630216 PMCID: PMC8589790 DOI: 10.1007/s10620-020-06796-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/12/2020] [Accepted: 12/15/2020] [Indexed: 12/13/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs), pancreatic duct stenting, and intensive intravenous hydration have been proven to prevent post-endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) pancreatitis. Trial participation and guideline changes demanded an assessment of the clinical practice of post-ERCP pancreatitis prophylaxis. AIMS The surveys aim to identify points of improvement to inform and educate ERCPists about current evidence-based practice. METHODS Two anonymous surveys were conducted among Dutch gastroenterologists in 2013 (n = 408) and 2020 (n = 575) for longitudinal views and attitudes pertaining to post-ERCP pancreatitis prophylaxis and recognition of post-ERCP pancreatitis risk factors. RESULTS In 2013 and 2020, respectively, 121 and 109 ERCPists responded. In the 2013 survey, 98% of them utilized NSAID prophylaxis and 62% pancreatic duct stent prophylaxis in specific cases. In the 2020 survey, the use of NSAIDs (100%), pancreatic duct stents (78%), and intensive intravenous hydration (33%) increased among ERCPists. NSAID prophylaxis was the preferred prophylactic measure for all risk factors in the 2020 survey, except for ampullectomy, pancreatic duct contrast injection, and pancreatic duct cannulation, for which NSAID prophylaxis and pancreatic duct stent combined was equally favored or preferred. CONCLUSION Rectal NSAIDs are the most applied post-ERCP pancreatitis prophylaxis in the Netherlands, followed by pancreatic duct stents and intensive intravenous hydration. Additionally, there is reason to believe that recent guideline updates and active research participation have led to increased prophylaxis implementation.
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Affiliation(s)
- Christina J. Sperna Weiland
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Radboudumc, Nijmegen, The Netherlands ,Department of Research and Development, St. Antonius Ziekenhuis, Nieuwegein, The Netherlands
| | - Megan M. L. Engels
- Department of Research and Development, St. Antonius Ziekenhuis, Nieuwegein, The Netherlands
| | - Alexander C. Poen
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Isala Clinics, Zwolle, The Netherlands
| | - Abha Bhalla
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Hagaziekenhuis, The Hague, The Netherlands
| | - Niels G. Venneman
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Medisch Spectrum Twente, Enschede, The Netherlands
| | - Jeanin E. van Hooft
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Leiden University Medical Centre, Leiden, The Netherlands
| | - Marco J. Bruno
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Erasmus Medical Centre, Rotterdam, The Netherlands
| | - Robert C. Verdonk
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, St. Antonius Ziekenhuis, Nieuwegein, The Netherlands
| | - Paul Fockens
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Amsterdam Gastroenterology Endocrinology Metabolism, Amsterdam UMC, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands
| | - Joost P. H. Drenth
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Radboudumc, Nijmegen, The Netherlands
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