Weighing Evidence from Mendelian Randomization-Early-Life Obesity as a Causal Factor in Multiple Sclerosis?

Genetically Determined Levels of mTOR-Dependent Circulating Proteins and Risk of Multiple Sclerosis

BACKGROUND

Results from observational studies indicate an association between circulating levels of mammalian target of rapamycin (mTOR)-dependent circulating proteins and the risk of multiple sclerosis (MS). However, a causal association has not been fully elucidated. Mendelian randomization (MR) is used to overcome limitations inherent to observational studies, assess the causal association, and minimize bias due to confounding and reverse causation.

METHODS

To explore the causal association between seven mTOR-dependent proteins (AKT, RP-S6K, eIF4E-BP, eIF4A, eIF4E, eIF4G, and PKC-α) and MS, we obtained summary statistics from the genome-wide association study (GWAS) meta-analysis of the International Multiple Sclerosis Genetics Consortium (47,429 patients and 68,374 controls) and the INTERVAL study (genetic associations with 2994 plasma proteins from 3301 healthy individuals). MR analyses were conducted using inverse variance weighted, weighted median estimator, and MR-Egger regression methods/models. Sensitivity analyses were performed to ensure the reliability of the findings. Single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) that are independent (r² < 0.01) and strongly associated to minerals (p < 1e^-5) were selected as instrumental variables.

RESULTS

The results of the MR analyses revealed that among the seven mTOR-dependent proteins selected for study, the circulating level of PKC-α (odds ratio [OR] 0.90, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.82-0.98; P = 0.017) and RP-S6K (OR 1.12, 95% CI 1.00-1.25; P = 0.045) were associated with MS risk and that there was no sign of pleiotropy or heterogeneity. PKC-α was negatively related to MS, while RP-S6K was positively related to MS. No significant causation was found between the other proteins studied (AKT, eIF4E-BP, eIF4A, eIF4E, eIF4G) and MS.

CONCLUSION

Molecules in the mTOR signaling pathway may bidirectionally regulate the occurrence and development of MS. PKC-α is a protective factor, while RP-S6K is a risk factor. Further explorations of pathways underlying the association between mTOR-dependent proteins and MS are required. PKC-α and RP-S6K might be used as future therapeutic targets for screening high-risk individuals and potentially improving opportunities for targeted prevention strategies.

Early-Life Factors and Risk of Multiple Sclerosis: An MR-EWAS

BACKGROUND

Although several risk factors are associated with multiple sclerosis (MS) in adulthood, evidence for risk factors acting from birth to adolescence is scarce.

METHODS

We conceived a 2-step study design, where signals from an Environment-Wide Association Study are prioritized for follow-up in a Mendelian Randomization study (MR-EWAS), to examine the association of early-life factors with risk of MS. The EWAS was conducted in UK Biobank, where we agnostically selected all the available risk factors acting from the perinatal period until the adolescence, including perinatal factors, anthropometric characteristics during childhood, male and female sexual factors, and skin phenotypic characteristics. We prioritized statistically significant risk factors to perform a 2-sample MR study using publicly available summary-level genetic data. We also calculated the power of the 2-step MR-EWAS approach under several scenarios and compared it against a 1-step hypothesis-free MR approach to detect risk factors of MS.

RESULTS

In the EWAS, an increase per 1 year in age at menarche was associated with a lower risk of MS (OR = 0.93; 95% CI: 0.90-0.96) and a plumper than average body size at the age of 10 was associated with a higher risk of MS (OR = 1.42; 95% CI: 1.24-1.61). Individuals getting very tanned or moderately tanned were at higher risk of MS compared with individuals that never tan or get mildly to occasionally tanned (OR = 0.86; 95% CI: 0.79-0.94). The MR analysis supported the association of age at menarche and childhood body mass index (BMI) without presence of pleiotropic effects. In the multivariable MR analysis, the association of age at menarche was not statistically significant after adjusting for childhood BMI. The MR analysis for ease of tanning did not reveal a statistically significant association. In multiple scenarios, the power of MR-EWAS approach was larger than the power of a hypothesis-free MR approach.

CONCLUSIONS

We introduced the MR-EWAS, a 2-step approach that is more powerful compared with the hypothesis-free MR approach under certain scenarios, to test potential causal signals. Our comprehensive assessment of early-life risk factors of MS highlighted a potential causal role of early menarche and elevated childhood BMI for risk of MS.