Randomised trial of planned caesarean section prior to versus after 39 weeks: unscheduled deliveries and facility logistics--a secondary analysis

Timing of Elective Cesarean Section and Neonatal Outcomes in Term Singleton Deliveries: A Single-Center Experience

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to evaluate the timing of elective cesarean sections at 37 to 41 weeks from a tertiary hospital in Japan. The primary outcome was the rate of adverse neonatal outcomes, especially focusing on neonates delivered at 38 weeks of gestation.

STUDY DESIGN

The study population was drawn from singleton pregnancies delivered following planned cesarean birth at the Fukuda Hospital from 2012 to 2019. Information on deliveries was obtained from the hospital database, which contains clinical, administrative, laboratory, and operating room databases.

RESULTS

After excluding women with chronic conditions, maternal complications, indications for multiple births, or a neonate with an anomaly, 2,208 neonates remained in the analysis. Among adverse neonatal outcomes, the rate was significantly higher in neonates delivered at 37 weeks of gestation (unadjusted odds ratio [OR] = 13.22 [95% confidence interval [CI]: 6.28, 27.86], p < 0.001) or 38 weeks of gestation (unadjusted OR = 1.82 [95% CI: 1.04, 3.19], p = 0.036) compared with neonates delivered at 39 to 41 weeks. The adjusted risk of any adverse outcome was significantly higher at 380-1/7 weeks (adjusted OR = 2.40 [95% CI: 1.35, 4.30], p = 0.003) and 382-3/7 weeks (adjusted OR = 1.89 [95% CI: 1.04, 3.44], p = 0.038) compared with neonates delivered at 39 to 41 weeks, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Our findings suggest that elective cesarean sections might be best scheduled at 39 weeks or later. When considering a cesarean at 38 weeks, it appears that 384/7 weeks of gestation or later could be a preferable timing in the context of reducing neonatal risks. However, as the composite outcome includes mostly minor conditions, the clinical significance of this finding needs to be carefully interpreted.

KEY POINTS

· Timing of elective cesarean sections from 37 to 41 weeks was evaluated in a Japanese tertiary hospital.. · Neonates delivered at 37 and 38 weeks had higher adverse outcome rates compared with 39 to 41 weeks.. · Scheduling elective cesarean sections at least 384/7 weeks or later may reduce neonatal risk..

Risks of urgent cesarean delivery preceding the planned schedule: A retrospective cohort study

PURPOSE

The aim of the study was to ascertain risk factors and outcomes of elective cesarean deliveries performed urgently prior to their scheduled date.

METHODS

Women carrying a viable singleton fetus who were scheduled for elective cesarean delivery at a tertiary medical center between 2012-2020 were identified by retrospective database. Differences in maternal and neonatal parameters between those who ultimately required urgent cesarean delivery and those who underwent the procedure as scheduled were analyzed.

RESULTS

Of 4403 women who met the inclusion criteria, 559 underwent urgent cesarean delivery before the scheduled date. On multivariate analysis, factors significantly associated with a risk of transformation to an urgent cesarean delivery were chronic hypertension (aOR 1.92, 95% CI 1.30-2.83 P = 0.001), antenatal corticosteroids administration (aOR 3.26, 95% CI 2.38-4.47, P <0.001), and contraindication for vaginal delivery as the reason for elective cesarean delivery (aOR 1.67, 95% CI 1.32-2.12, P <0.001). Neonates born via urgent cesareans had an increased risk of 1-minute Apgar <7 (6% vs. 1.7%, P <0.001), intensive care unit admission (6.6% vs. 2.5%, P <0.001); their mothers were at risk of postpartum hemorrhage (5.9% vs. 3%, P = 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

The present study sheds light on the risk factors and maternal and fetal morbidities associated with elective cesarean deliveries that become urgent before the originally scheduled date. Physicians should take this information into account when planning an optimal date for elective cesarean delivery.

Optimal timing of elective repeat cesarean deliveries of term singleton pregnancies: A multicenter cross-sectional study

OBJECTIVE

Cesarean deliveries must be optimally timed to minimize their effects on mothers and neonates. This study aimed to determine the optimal timing of elective repeat cesarean deliveries to reduce the incidence of neonatal respiratory disorders and of emergent cesarean deliveries.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This multi-center, cross-sectional, retrospective analysis evaluated data on the maternal and neonatal outcomes of 856 singleton pregnancies scheduled for elective repeat cesarean deliveries at 37-39 weeks' gestation. The emergent cesarean delivery and neonatal respiratory disorder risks were analyzed according to the scheduled cesarean delivery times.

RESULTS

The elective cesarean delivery rates were 91.0% during the first and 92.6% during the second half of the 37th week of gestation, 88.7% during the first and 82.9% during the second half of the 38th week of gestation, and 62.5% during the first and 33.3% during the second half of the 39th week of gestation. The neonatal respiratory disorder rates were 21.8% for elective cesarean deliveries during the first half of the 37th week of gestation and approximately 8% for elective cesarean deliveries during the second half of the 37th week until the first half of the 38th week of gestation. No neonatal respiratory disorders occurred among the babies delivered by elective cesarean deliveries during the 39th week of gestation.

CONCLUSION

For improved maternal and neonatal outcomes in the Asian population, it may be better to perform scheduled elective repeat cesarean deliveries from the second half of the 37th week of gestation until the 38th week of gestation following confirmation of gestational age by early first trimester ultrasonography.

Applying Precision Public Health to Prevent Preterm Birth

Preterm birth (PTB) is one of the major health-care challenges of our time. Being born too early is associated with major risks to the child with potential for serious consequences in terms of life-long disability and health-care costs. Discovering how to prevent PTB needs to be one of our greatest priorities. Recent advances have provided hope that a percentage of cases known to be related to risk factors may be amenable to prevention; but the majority of cases remain of unknown cause, and there is little chance of prevention. Applying the principle of precision public health may offer opportunities previously unavailable. Presented in this article are ideas that may improve our abilities in the fields of studying the effects of migration and of populations in transition, public health programs, tobacco control, routine measurement of length of the cervix in mid-pregnancy by ultrasound imaging, prevention of non-medically indicated late PTB, identification of pregnant women for whom treatment of vaginal infection may be of benefit, and screening by genetics and other “omics.” Opening new research in these fields, and viewing these clinical problems through a prism of precision public health, may produce benefits that will affect the lives of large numbers of people.

Timing of elective cesarean delivery at term and its impact on maternal and neonatal outcomes among Thai and other Southeast Asian pregnant women

AIM

The impact of timing of elective cesarean delivery (CD) at term on maternal and neonatal outcomes among Thai and other Southeast Asian pregnancies was investigated. The rate of spontaneous labor before the scheduled CD, as well as maternal characteristics predicting spontaneous labor, was also evaluated.

METHODS

Data on maternal and neonatal outcomes of 1221 singleton pregnancies scheduled for either an elective repeat CD or an elective primary CD at 37-40 weeks of gestation were studied. The association between maternal characteristics and the risk of spontaneous labor was evaluated by univariate and multivariate analyses.

RESULTS

There were no significant differences in severe maternal complications between performing an elective CD at 39 weeks and at the other gestational ages. Severe neonatal complications were significantly decreased when a CD was performed electively from 38 weeks onwards. A total of 503 women (41.2 %) went into spontaneous labor before the scheduled CD. Using 39 weeks as the reference group, scheduling a CD at 37 or 38 weeks decreased the risk of spontaneous labor (6.67-fold and 4.55-fold, respectively) while scheduling a CD at 40 weeks had a 2.54-fold increased risk. A history of previous CD and teenage pregnancy were also predictors of spontaneous labor; adjusted odds ratios were 14.27 and 3.93, respectively.

CONCLUSION

The timing of elective CD at term had impacts on pregnancy outcomes among Thai and other Southeast Asian women. Gestational age at scheduled CD, a previous CD and teenage pregnancy were predictors of spontaneous labor.

Maternal and neonatal outcomes after implementation of a hospital policy to limit low-risk planned caesarean deliveries before 39 weeks of gestation: an interrupted time-series analysis

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the extent to which implementing a hospital policy to limit planned caesarean deliveries before 39 weeks of gestation improved neonatal health, maternal health, and healthcare costs.

DESIGN

Retrospective cohort study.

SETTING

British Columbia Women's Hospital, Vancouver, Canada, in the period 2005-2012.

POPULATION

Women with a low-risk planned repeat caesarean delivery.

METHODS

An interrupted time series design was used to evaluate the policy to limit planned caesarean deliveries before 39 weeks of gestation, introduced on 1 April 2008.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Composite adverse neonatal health outcome (respiratory morbidity, 5-minute Apgar score of <7, neonatal intensive care unit admission, mortality), postpartum haemorrhage, obstetrical wound infection, out-of-hour deliveries, length of stay, and healthcare costs.

RESULTS

Between 2005 and 2008, 60% (1204/2021) of low-risk planned caesarean deliveries were performed before 39 weeks of gestation. After the introduction of the policy, the proportion of planned caesareans dropped by 20 percentage points (adjusted risk difference of 20 fewer cases per 100 deliveries; 95% CI -25.8, -14.3) to 41% (1033/2518). The policy had no detectable impact on adverse neonatal outcomes (2.2 excess cases per 100; 95% CI -0.4, 4.8), maternal complications, or healthcare costs, but increased the risk of out-of-hours delivery from 16.2 to 21.1% (adjusted risk difference 6.3 per 100; 95% CI 1.6, 10.9).

CONCLUSIONS

We found little evidence that a hospital policy to limit planned caesareans before 39 weeks of gestation reduced adverse neonatal outcomes. Hospital administrators intending to introduce such policies should anticipate, and plan for, modest increases in out-of-hours and emergency-timing.

Strategies to prevent preterm birth

After several decades of research, we now have evidence that at least six interventions are suitable for immediate use in contemporary clinical practice within high-resource settings and can be expected to safely reduce the rate of preterm birth. These interventions involve strategies to prevent non-medically indicated late preterm birth; use of maternal progesterone supplementation; surgical closure of the cervix with cerclage; prevention of exposure of pregnant women to cigarette smoke; judicious use of fertility treatments; and dedicated preterm birth prevention clinics. Quantification of the extent of success is difficult to predict and will be dependent on other clinical, cultural, societal, and economic factors operating in each environment. Further success can be anticipated in the coming years as other research discoveries are translated into clinical practice, including new approaches to treating intra-uterine infection, improvements in maternal nutrition, and lifestyle modifications to ameliorate maternal stress. The widespread use of human papillomavirus vaccination in girls and young women will decrease the need for surgical interventions on the cervix and can be expected to further reduce the risk of early birth. Together, this array of clinical interventions, each based on a substantial body of evidence, is likely to reduce rates of preterm birth and prevent death and disability in large numbers of children. The process begins with an acceptance that early birth is not an inevitable and natural feature of human reproduction. Preventative strategies are now available and need to be applied. The best outcomes may come from developing integrated strategies designed specifically for each health-care environment.

Does a Caesarean section increase the time to a second live birth? A register-based cohort study

STUDY QUESTION

Does a primary Caesarean section influence the rate of, and time to, subsequent live birth compared with vaginal delivery?

SUMMARY ANSWER

Caesarean section was associated with a reduction in the rate of subsequent live birth, particularly among elective and maternal-requested Caesareans indicating maternal choice plays a role.

WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADY

Several studies have examined the relationship between Caesarean section and subsequent birth rate with conflicting results primarily due to poor epidemiological methods.

STUDY DESIGN, SIZE, DURATION

This Danish population register-based cohort study covered the period from 1982 to 2010 (N = 832 996).

PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS, SETTING, METHODS

All women with index live births were followed until their subsequent live birth or censored (maternal death, emigration or study end) using Cox regression models.

MAIN RESULTS AND THE ROLE OF CHANCE

In all 577 830 (69%) women had a subsequent live birth. Women with any type of Caesarean had a reduced rate of subsequent live birth (hazard ratio [HR] 0.86, 95% confidence intervals [CI] 0.85, 0.87) compared with spontaneous vaginal delivery. This effect was consistent when analyses were stratified by type of Caesarean: emergency (HR 0.87, 95% CI 0.86, 0.88), elective (HR 0.83, 95% CI 0.82, 0.84) and maternal-requested (HR 0.61, 95% CI 0.57, 0.66) and in the extensive sub-analyses performed.

LIMITATIONS, REASONS FOR CAUTION

Lack of biological data to measure a woman's fertility is a major limitation of the current study. Unmeasured confounding and limited availability of data (maternal BMI, smoking, access to fertility services and maternal-requested Caesarean section) as well as changes in maternity care over time may also influence the findings.

WIDER IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGS

This is the largest study to date and shows that Caesarean section is most likely not causally related to a reduction in fertility. Maternal choice to delay or avoid childbirth is the most plausible explanation. Our findings are generalizable to other middle- to high-income countries; however, cross country variations in Caesarean section rates and social or cultural differences are acknowledged.

STUDY FUNDING/COMPETING INTERESTS

Funding was provided by the National Perinatal Epidemiology Centre, Cork, Ireland and conducted as part of the Health Research Board PhD Scholars programme in Health Services Research (Grant No. PHD/2007/16). L.C.K. is a Science Foundation Ireland Principal Investigator (08/IN.1/B2083) and the Director of the SFI funded Centre, INFANT (12/RC/2272). The authors have no competing interests to declare.