Predicting non return to work after orthopaedic trauma: the Wallis Occupational Rehabilitation RisK (WORRK) model

Content validity testing of the INTERMED Self-Assessment in a sample of adults with rheumatoid arthritis and rheumatology healthcare providers

BACKGROUND

Care complexity can occur when patients experience health challenges simultaneously with social barriers including food and/or housing insecurity, lack of transportation or other factors that impact care and patient outcomes. People with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) may experience care complexity due to the chronicity of their condition and other biopsychosocial factors. There are few standardised instruments that measure care complexity and none that measure care complexity specifically in people with RA.

OBJECTIVES

We assessed the content validity of the INTERMEDS Self-Assessment (IMSA) instrument that measures care complexity with a sample of adults with RA and rheumatology healthcare providers (HCPs). Cognitive debriefing interviews utilising a reparative framework were conducted.

METHODS

Patient participants were recruited through two existing studies where participants agreed to be contacted about future studies. Study information was also shared through email blasts, posters and brochures at rheumatology clinic sites and trusted arthritis websites. Various rheumatology HCPs were recruited through email blasts, and divisional emails and announcements. Interviews were conducted with nine patients living with RA and five rheumatology HCPs.

RESULTS

Three main reparative themes were identified: (1) Lack of item clarity and standardisation including problems with item phrasing, inconsistency of the items and/or answer sets and noninclusive language; (2) item barrelling, where items asked about more than one issue, but only allowed a single answer choice; and (3) timeframes presented in the item or answer choices were either too long or too short, and did not fit the lived experiences of patients. Items predicting future healthcare needs were difficult to answer due to the episodic and fluctuating nature of RA.

CONCLUSIONS

Despite international use of the IMSA to measure care complexity, patients with RA and rheumatology HCPs in our setting perceived that it did not have content validity for use in RA and that revision for use in this population under a reparative framework was unfeasible. Future instrument development requires an iterative cognitive debriefing and repair process with the population of interest in the early stages to ensure content validity and comprehension.

PATIENT OR PUBLIC CONTRIBUTION

Patient and public contributions included both patient partners on the study team and people with RA who participated in the study. Patient partners were involved in study design, analysis and interpretation of the findings and manuscript preparation. Data analysis was structured according to emergent themes of the data that were grounded in patient perspectives and experiences.

Should we separately measure the pain parameter of the Constant-Murley score in patients with chronic shoulder pain?

BACKGROUND

The Constant-Murley Score (CMS) is a relatively unique shoulder assessment tool because it combines patient-reported outcomes (pain and activity), performance measurement and clinician-reported outcomes (strength and mobility). With these characteristics, the effect of patient-related psychological factors on the CMS remains debated. We aimed to investigate which parameters of the CMS are influenced by psychological factors by assessing the CMS before and after rehabilitation for chronic shoulder pain.

METHODS

This retrospective study screened all patients (18-65 years old) who were admitted for interdisciplinary rehabilitation for chronic shoulder pain (≥ 3 months) between May 2012 and December 2017. Patients with unilateral shoulder injuries were eligible. Exclusion criteria were shoulder instability, concomitant neurological injuries, complex regional pain syndrome (including Steinbrocker syndrome), heavy psychiatric issues, and missing data. The Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale, Pain Catastrophizing scale, and Tampa Scale of Kinesiophobia were administered before and after treatment. Regression models were used to estimate associations between psychological factors and the CMS.

RESULTS

We included 433 patients (88% male, mean age 47±11 years) with a median duration of symptoms of 392.2 days (interquartile range: 266.5-583.5). Rotator cuff issue was present in 71% of patients. During interdisciplinary rehabilitation, patients were followed for a mean of 33.6±7.5 days. The mean CMS at entry was 42.8 ±15.5. The mean gain in CMS after treatment was 10.6 ±10.9. Before treatment, psychological factors were significantly associated with only the pain CMS parameter: -0.37 (95% CI: -0.46 to -0.28), p <0.001. After treatment, psychological factors were associated with the evolution of the four CMS parameters: -0.12 (-0.23 to -0.01) to -0.26 (95% CI: -0.36 to -0.16), p<0.05.

CONCLUSIONS

This study raises the question of a distinct assessment of pain when assessing shoulder function with CMS in patients with chronic shoulder pain. The separation of the "pain parameter" from the overall CMS score seems illusory with this tool that is used worldwide. However, clinicians should be aware that psychological factors can negatively influence the evolution of all CMS parameters during follow-up, which argues for a biopsychosocial approach to patients with chronic shoulder pain.

Six Externally Validated Prognostic Models Have Potential Clinical Value to Predict Patient Health Outcomes in the Rehabilitation of Musculoskeletal Conditions: A Systematic Review

OBJECTIVE

The purpose of this systematic review was to identify and appraise externally validated prognostic models to predict a patient's health outcomes relevant to physical rehabilitation of musculoskeletal (MSK) conditions.

METHODS

We systematically reviewed 8 databases and reported our findings according to Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analysis 2020. An information specialist designed a search strategy to identify externally validated prognostic models for MSK conditions. Paired reviewers independently screened the title, abstract, and full text and conducted data extraction. We extracted characteristics of included studies (eg, country and study design), prognostic models (eg, performance measures and type of model) and predicted clinical outcomes (eg, pain and disability). We assessed the risk of bias and concerns of applicability using the prediction model risk of bias assessment tool. We proposed and used a 5-step method to determine which prognostic models were clinically valuable.

RESULTS

We found 4896 citations, read 300 full-text articles, and included 46 papers (37 distinct models). Prognostic models were externally validated for the spine, upper limb, lower limb conditions, and MSK trauma, injuries, and pain. All studies presented a high risk of bias. Half of the models showed low concerns for applicability. Reporting of calibration and discrimination performance measures was often lacking. We found 6 externally validated models with adequate measures, which could be deemed clinically valuable [ie, (1) STart Back Screening Tool, (2) Wallis Occupational Rehabilitation RisK model, (3) Da Silva model, (4) PICKUP model, (5) Schellingerhout rule, and (6) Keene model]. Despite having a high risk of bias, which is mostly explained by the very conservative properties of the PROBAST tool, the 6 models remain clinically relevant.

CONCLUSION

We found 6 externally validated prognostic models developed to predict patients' health outcomes that were clinically relevant to the physical rehabilitation of MSK conditions.

IMPACT

Our results provide clinicians with externally validated prognostic models to help them better predict patients' clinical outcomes and facilitate personalized treatment plans. Incorporating clinically valuable prognostic models could inherently improve the value of care provided by physical therapists.

Clinic follow-up of orthopaedic trauma patients during and after the post-surgical global period: a retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Insurance status is important as medical expenses may decrease the likelihood of follow-up after musculoskeletal trauma, especially for low-income populations. However, it is unknown what insurance factors are associated with follow-up care. In this study, we assessed the association between insurance plan benefits, the end of the post-surgical global period, and follow-up after musculoskeletal injury.

METHODS

This is a retrospective cohort study of 394 patients with isolated extremity fractures who were treated at three level-I trauma centers over four months in 2018. Paired t-tests were utilized to assess the likelihood of follow-up in relation to the 90-day post-surgical global period. Regression analysis was used to assess factors associated with the likelihood of follow-up. Supervised machine learning algorithms were used to develop predictive models of follow-up after the post-surgical global period.

RESULTS

Our final analysis included 328 patients. Likelihood of follow-up did not significantly change while within the post-surgical global period. When comparing follow-up within and outside of the post-surgical global period, there was a 20.1% decrease in follow-up between the 6-weeks and 6-month time points (68.3% versus 48.2%, respectively; p < 0.0001). Medicaid insurance compared to Medicare (OR 0.27, 95% confidence interval (CI) = [0.09, 0.84], p = 0.02) was a predictor of decreased likelihood of follow-up at 6-months post-operatively.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study demonstrates a statistically significant decrease in follow-up for orthopaedic trauma patients after the post-surgical global period, particularly for patients with Medicaid or Private insurance.

Mastering Prognostic Tools: An Opportunity to Enhance Personalized Care and to Optimize Clinical Outcomes in Physical Therapy

In health care, clinical decision making is typically based on diagnostic findings. Rehabilitation clinicians commonly rely on pathoanatomical diagnoses to guide treatment and define prognosis. Targeting prognostic factors is a promising way for rehabilitation clinicians to enhance treatment decision-making processes, personalize rehabilitation approaches, and ultimately improve patient outcomes. This can be achieved by using prognostic tools that provide accurate estimates of the probability of future outcomes for a patient in clinical practice. Most literature reviews of prognostic tools in rehabilitation have focused on prescriptive clinical prediction rules. These studies highlight notable methodological issues and conclude that these tools are neither valid nor useful for clinical practice. This has raised the need to open the scope of research to understand what makes a quality prognostic tool that can be used in clinical practice. Methodological guidance in prognosis research has emerged in the last decade, encompassing exploratory studies on the development of prognosis and prognostic models. Methodological rigor is essential to develop prognostic tools, because only prognostic models developed and validated through a rigorous methodological process should guide clinical decision making. This Perspective argues that rehabilitation clinicians need to master the identification and use of prognostic tools to enhance their capacity to provide personalized rehabilitation. It is time for prognosis research to look for prognostic models that were developed and validated following a comprehensive process before being simplified into suitable tools for clinical practice. New models, or rigorous validation of current models, are needed. The approach discussed in this Perspective offers a promising way to overcome the limitations of most models and provide clinicians with quality tools for personalized rehabilitation approaches.

IMPACT

Prognostic research can be applied to clinical rehabilitation; this Perspective proposes solutions to develop high-quality prognostic models to optimize patient outcomes.

Systematic Review of Biopsychosocial Prognostic Factors for Return to Work After Acute Orthopedic Trauma: A 2020 Update

OBJECTIVE

To provide updated evidence on prognostic factors for return to work (RTW) in the early and late phases after acute orthopedic trauma from a biopsychosocial perspective.

METHODS

A systematic review of articles indexed in the MEDLINE, CINAHL, and Embase databases between 2010 and 2020 was performed. The inclusion criteria were cohort studies of employed populations sustaining acute orthopedic trauma with follow-up data on RTW. Biopsychosocial prognostic factors for RTW must be reported in the multiple regression models and divided into early (≤ 6 months) and late phases (> 6 months) postinjury. Two reviewers performed study selection, assessed the risk of bias and quality using the Quality in Prognosis Studies (QUIPS) tool and the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale (NOS), and extracted data independently.

RESULTS

Thirty articles were included with a follow-up period of 1-58 months. Based on the QUIPS tool, 7 studies (23%) were considered to have a low risk of bias, and 21 studies (70%) were considered to have a moderate risk of bias. Based on the NOS, the quality was high in 87% of the included studies. The RTW rates ranged from 22% to 74% in the early phase and from 44% to 94% in the late phase. In the early phase, strong evidence was found for injury severity. In the late phase, strong evidence was found for age, injury severity, level of pain, self-efficacy, educational level, blue-collar work, and compensation status; moderate evidence was found for recovery expectations and physical workload. There was limited or inconsistent evidence for the other factors.

CONCLUSION

Based on the levels of evidence, injury severity should be considered as one of the key barriers to RTW in the early and late phases postinjury. This finding underlines the need for serious injury prevention efforts. Our results also emphasize the multifaceted actions of the biopsychosocial model to facilitate RTW: promoting policies for older injured workers, improving access to medical and rehabilitation facilities, and adapting physical workload. Multiple other factors are likely important but require additional high-quality studies to assess their role in the RTW process.

Development and validation of a short version of the French Hand Function Sort questionnaire in vocational rehabilitation

BACKGROUND

The Hand Function Sort (HFS) is a pictorial self-administered questionnaire with 62 items. It is a valid and reliable scale focused on the physical function of the upper limbs. It is used to predict the return to work.

OBJECTIVES

We aimed to develop and validate a short version of the French version of the HFS (HFS-F) to simplify its use in clinical practice.

METHODS

We included patients with upper-limb chronic pain hospitalised for vocational rehabilitation from 2012 to 2019. Vocational rehabilitation aims to improve the autonomy of patients to regain their previous working capacity. The 62 items of the HFS-F were analysed in terms of patient and expert assessments, floor/ceiling effect, item-to-total correlation, principal component analysis, and Rasch analysis. A short HFS-F was developed. Thereafter, we assessed its internal consistency, test-retest reliability, criterion validity with the full-length HFS-F, construct validity with different scales (Disabilities of the Arm, Shoulder, and Hand [DASH]; Brief Pain Inventory [BPI]; Hospital Anxiety and Depression [HAD]), standard error of measurement (SEM), and minimal detectable change (MDC).

RESULTS

Six experts were consulted, 34 patients were interviewed, and 629 questionnaires were analysed. Among the items, 25 were selected after the final round with the six experts. The internal consistency and test-retest reliability were excellent (Cronbach α=0.95, intraclass correlation coefficient=0.92, 95% confidence interval [95% CI] 0.87 to 0.95). The correlation coefficient between scores of the short and full-length HFS-F was 0.841 (95% CI: 0.752 to 0.897, P<10-4), and those between the short HFS-F score and the DASH, BPI, HAD-Anxiety, and HAD-Depression scores were -0.816 (95% CI: -0.714 to -0.881, P<10-4), -0.529 (95% CI: -0.338 to -0.674, P<10-4), -0.451 (95% CI: -0.244 to 0.614, P=0.0001), and -0.360 (95% CI: -0.140 to -0.542, P=0.0018), respectively. The SEM and MDC values were estimated at 6/100 and 17/100, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

A short version of the HFS-F was developed and validated. We named this questionnaire the 25 HFS-F.

Altered BDNF Methylation in Patients with Chronic Musculoskeletal Pain and High Biopsychosocial Complexity

Purpose

The INTERMED instrument, which was developed to measure patient's biopsychosocial (BPS) complexity, represents a powerful diagnostic and therapeutic tool. Epigenetic changes are the interface between signals from the environment and genetic modifications, affecting gene expression, in particular, by DNA methylation of CpG dinucleotides in promotor regions of the corresponding genes. The brain-derived neurotrophic factor (BDNF) gene plays a crucial role in the central sensitization (CS) of pain. In this study, we hypothesized that chronic pain modifies the methylation levels of the BDNF gene in a manner that is interconnected with the BPS status.

Patients and Methods

Fifty-eight chronic musculoskeletal pain patients (CMSP) were enrolled in the study. DNA was extracted from blood samples, the methylation levels of 13 CpG sites in the BDNF promoter were measured by pyrosequencing, and association studies with various patient parameters and the INTERMED scores were performed.

Results

Interestingly, a negative correlation (-0.40) was found between the total INTERMED scores and the average CpG methylation values of the BDNF gene, but no correlation was observed with the severity of pain, degree of anxiety, depression, or kinesiophobia and catastrophism. Moreover, the association was independent of age, sex and level of comorbidities.

Conclusion

This result shows that CMSP, in association with its biopsychosocial context, epigenetically decreases the degree of methylation of the BDNF promoter and should therefore increase the level of BDNF transcription. It also suggests a role of the INTERMED tool to detect a relationship between the BPS complexity and the epigenetic control of a target gene. The possible upregulation of BDNF expression might be, at least in part, the signal for chronic pain-induced central sensitization (CS). This could partly explain why patients with a higher level of complexity feel more pain than those with lower complexity.

The socioeconomic impact of orthopaedic trauma: A systematic review and meta-analysis

The overall objective of this study was to determine the patient-level socioeconomic impact resulting from orthopaedic trauma in the available literature. The MEDLINE, Embase, and Scopus databases were searched in December 2019. Studies were eligible for inclusion if more than 75% of the study population sustained an appendicular fracture due to an acute trauma, the mean age was 18 through 65 years, and the study included a socioeconomic outcome, defined as a measure of income, employment status, or educational status. Two independent reviewers performed data extraction and quality assessment. Pooled estimates of the socioeconomic outcome measures were calculated using random-effects models with inverse variance weighting. Two-hundred-five studies met the eligibility criteria. These studies utilized five different socioeconomic outcomes, including return to work (n = 119), absenteeism days from work (n = 104), productivity loss (n = 11), income loss (n = 11), and new unemployment (n = 10). Pooled estimates for return to work remained relatively consistent across the 6-, 12-, and 24-month timepoint estimates of 58.7%, 67.7%, and 60.9%, respectively. The pooled estimate for mean days absent from work was 102.3 days (95% CI: 94.8–109.8). Thirteen-percent had lost employment at one-year post-injury (95% CI: 4.8–30.7). Tremendous heterogeneity (I²>89%) was observed for all pooled socioeconomic outcomes. These results suggest that orthopaedic injury can have a substantial impact on the patient’s socioeconomic well-being, which may negatively affect a person’s psychological wellbeing and happiness. However, socioeconomic recovery following injury can be very nuanced, and using only a single socioeconomic outcome yields inherent bias. Informative and accurate socioeconomic outcome assessment requires a multifaceted approach and further standardization.

The Personal Financial Burden Associated with Musculoskeletal Trauma

BACKGROUND

Little is known about the effect of orthopaedic trauma on the financial health of patients. We hypothesized that some patients who sustain musculoskeletal trauma experience considerable financial hardship during treatment, and we also assessed for factors associated with increased personal financial burden.

METHODS

We surveyed 236 of 393 consecutive patients who were approached at 1 of 2 American College of Surgeons level-I trauma centers between 2016 and 2017 following the completion of treatment for a musculoskeletal injury (60% response rate). Two validated measures (financial burden composite score and dichotomized worry score) were used to assess the financial hardship that patients experienced with the injury.

RESULTS

There were 236 participants in the study, the mean age was 56.3 years (range, 19 to 94 years), and 48.7% of patients were male. Of the 236 patients, 97.9% had medical insurance, yet the mean financial burden composite score (and standard deviation) was 2.4 ± 2.2 (0 indicated low and 6 indicated high). In this study, 25.0% of patients had high levels of worry about financial problems that resulted from the injury. Fifty-four percent of patients used their savings to pay for their care, and 23% of patients borrowed money or took out a loan. Twenty-three percent of patients missed payment on other bills. Fifty-seven percent of patients were required to cut expenses in general. Patients with higher composite financial burden scores had a significantly increased likelihood of high financial worry (odds ratio [OR], 1.8 [95% confidence interval (CI), 1.5 to 2.2]; p < 0.001). Factors associated with increased financial hardship were high-deductible health plan insurance (coefficient, 0.3 [95% CI, 0.002 to 0.528]; p = 0.048), Medicaid insurance (coefficient, 0.6 [95% CI, 0.342 to 0.863]; p < 0.001), failure to complete high school (coefficient, 0.475 [95% CI, 0.033 to 0.918]; p = 0.035), increased number of surgical procedures (coefficient, 0.067 [95% CI, 0.005 to 0.129]; p = 0.035), and prior medical or student loans (coefficient, 0.769 [95% CI, 0.523 to 1.016]; p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Despite a high rate of insurance, patients with orthopaedic trauma in our study had high rates of worry and financial distress. Asking about financial hardship may help to identify those patients with a higher personal financial burden and may promote allocation of additional social support and services.

Avoidance, pacing, or persistence in multidisciplinary functional rehabilitation for chronic musculoskeletal pain: An observational study with cross-sectional and longitudinal analyses

Background

Three main activity patterns have been distinguished in describing chronic pain (avoidance, pacing and persistence). However, their influence on patient outcomes remains a question of debate. This observational study aimed to measure the associations between the avoidance, pacing, and persistence (labelled overdoing) scales of the Patterns of Activity Measure–Pain (POAM-P), self-reported outcomes (pain-interference, depression, functional ability), and observational outcomes (walking, lifting test, physical fitness).

Methods

We conducted an observational study with cross-sectional and longitudinal analyses. The data were collected prospectively before and after treatment, which was a 5-week functional rehabilitation including vocational aspects. In addition to self-reported and observational outcomes, patients were asked if they thought they would be able to return to work at 6 months. Analyses were conducted with treatment effect sizes, correlations, and multiple regression models.

Results

In this sample (891 patients), we found on average small to moderate improvements for pain-interference and observational outcomes (Cohen’s d: 0.37 to 0.64). According to the multivariable models, overdoing was associated with most of the beneficial psychosocial and observational outcomes (β -0.13 to 0.17; all p<0.01). Avoidance was related to negative psychosocial outcomes before treatment (β -0.09 to 0.17; all p<0.015). Pacing, which had moderate correlation with avoidance (r = 0.46), was not associated with most of the outcomes. The feeling that the goal of returning to work was attainable was associated with lower avoidance scores (adjusted OR 0.97; p = 0.024).

Conclusions

The overdoing POAM-P scale probably measures a task-contingent persistence, which appears appropriate in the setting of this study. Persistent behavior was indeed related to small or moderate positive biopsychosocial outcomes, before and after treatment. Moreover feeling able to return to work was related to lower avoidance. Further studies should test the efficacy of motivational strategies that may promote functional task-contingent persistence and reduce avoidance of painful tasks.

Impact of a non-return-to-work prognostic model (WORRK) on allocation to rehabilitation clinical pathways: A single centre parallel group randomised trial

INTRODUCTION

Stratified medicine might allow improvement of patient outcomes while keeping costs stable or even diminishing them. Our objective was to measure if a prediction model, developed to predict non-return to work (nRTW) after orthopaedic trauma, improves the allocation to various vocational pathways for use in clinical practice.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Randomised-controlled trial on vocational inpatients after orthopaedic trauma (n = 280). In the intervention group, nRTW risk (estimated using the WORRK tool) was given to the clinician team before allocation of vocational pathways, while in the control group it was not. Three pathways were available: simple, coaching and evaluation (EP). Accompanying indications for interpretation of the nRTW risk were given. The primary outcome was the proportion of patients allocated to the EP. The secondary outcome was patients' and clinicians' satisfaction.

RESULTS

450 patients were assessed for eligibility, 280 included, 139 randomized to the control group (mean age 42.3years) and 141 to the intervention group (43.2years). The two groups had a similar risk profile. The patients in the intervention group were more often referred to the EP compared to the control group, but not statistically significantly more (risk ratio 1.31 [95% CI 0.70-2.46]). The number needed to treat was 30. When considering patients transferred to different pathways during rehabilitation, more patients from the intervention group were transferred to the EP over the course of the rehabilitation, increasing the risk ratio to 1.57 [95% CI 0.89 to 2.74].

DISCUSSION

The knowledge of the risk of nRTW has an influence, that is not however statistically significant and is without clinical importance as previously defined by our own power calculations (based on a 15% increase in referral to EP in the intervention group compared to the control group), on clinical decision making with regards to the allocation of patients to different physical and vocational rehabilitation programs after orthopaedic trauma. This influence is less than what was expected, possibly due to insufficient directive guidelines accompanying the WORRK model, or because clinicians associate less hours of therapy (as with certain rehabilitation programs) to disadvantaging the patient. These findings do, however, support the multi-factorial aspect of clinician decision-making.

[Not Available]

Zusammenfassung. Reha-Forschung ist die Methode, um die Wirkung der diversen Interventionen, die in der Rehabilitation angewendet werden, zu testen. Um dieses anspruchsvolle Ziel zu erreichen, ist die muskuloskelettale Rehabilitation auf Grundlagenforschung, klinische Forschung und Versorgungsforschung angewiesen. Die Rehabilitationsforschung in der Schweiz sieht sich jedoch mit grossen Herausforderungen und mehreren Barrieren konfrontiert. Insgesamt lässt sich feststellen, dass es keine kohärenten und schweizweit akzeptierten Standards für die systematische Integration aktueller Forschungsergebnisse in die konkrete Reha-Praxis gibt. Als anwendungsbezogenen Handlungsbedarf in der Reha-Forschung in der Schweiz schlagen die Autoren u.a. die Entwicklung einer nationalen Agenda für Reha-Forschung und die Bildung von nationalen Forschungsnetzwerken unter Einbezug der Grundversorger, der Hochschulen, der Rehakliniken und Patientenorganisationen vor.

A Return-to-Work Prognostic Model for Orthopaedic Trauma Patients (WORRK) Updated for Use at 3, 12 and 24 Months

Purpose Updating the Wallis Occupational Rehabilitation Risk (WORRK) model formula, predicting non-return to work (nRTW) at different time points (3 and 12 months) than in the validation study (2 years). Methods Secondary analysis of two samples was carried out (following orthopaedic trauma), including work status, the first at 3 months (428 patients) and the second at 12 months (431 patients) after discharge from rehabilitation. We used calibration (agreement between predicted probabilities and observed frequencies) and discrimination (area under the receiver operating characteristics curve) to assess performance of the model after fitting it in the new sample, then calculated the probabilities of nRTW based on the coefficients from the 2-year prediction. Finally, the intercepts were updated for both 3- and 12-month prediction models (re-calibration was necessary for the adjustment of these probabilities) and performance re-evaluated. Results Patient characteristics were similar in all samples (mean age 43 in both groups; 86% male at 3 months, 84% male at 12 months). The proportion of nRTW at 3 months was 63.8% and 53.4% at 12 months (50.36% at 2 years). Performance of the original WORRK for both 3- and 12-month prediction showed an AUC of 0.73, while statistically significant miscalibration was found for both time points (p < 0.001). After the updating of the intercept, calibration was improved and did not show significant miscalibration (p = 0.458 and 0.341). The AUC stayed at 0.73. Conclusion The WORRK model was successfully adapted by changing the intercept for 3- and 12-month prediction of nRTW, now available for use in clinical practice.

Researching Complex and Multi-Level Workplace Factors Affecting Disability and Prolonged Sickness Absence

Purpose There is growing research evidence that workplace factors influence disability outcomes, but these variables reflect a variety of stakeholder perspectives, measurement tools, and methodologies. The goal of this article is to summarize existing research of workplace factors in relation to disability, compare this with employer discourse in the grey literature, and recommend future research priorities. Methods The authors participated in a year-long collaboration that ultimately led to an invited 3-day conference, "Improving Research of Employer Practices to Prevent Disability, held October 14-16, 2015, in Hopkinton, Massachusetts, USA. The collaboration included a topical review of the literature, group conference calls to identify key areas and challenges, drafting of initial documents, review of industry publications, and a conference presentation that included feedback from peer researchers and a question/answer session with a special panel of knowledge experts with direct employer experience. Results Predominant factors in the scientific literature were categorized as physical or psychosocial job demands, work organization and support, and workplace beliefs and attitudes. Employees experiencing musculoskeletal disorders in large organizations were the most frequently studied population. Research varied with respect to the basic unit of assessment (e.g., worker, supervisor, policy level) and whether assessments should be based on worker perceptions, written policies, or observable practices. The grey literature suggested that employers focus primarily on defining roles and responsibilities, standardizing management tools and procedures, being prompt and proactive, and attending to the individualized needs of workers. Industry publications reflected a high reliance of employers on a strict biomedical model in contrast to the more psychosocial framework that appears to guide research designs. Conclusion Assessing workplace factors at multiple levels, within small and medium-sized organizations, and at a more granular level may help to clarify generalizable concepts of organizational support that can be translated to specific employer strategies involving personnel, tools, and practices.

Clinician and Patient-reported Outcomes Are Associated With Psychological Factors in Patients With Chronic Shoulder Pain

BACKGROUND

Validated clinician outcome scores are considered less associated with psychosocial factors than patient-reported outcome measurements (PROMs). This belief may lead to misconceptions if both instruments are related to similar factors.

QUESTIONS

We asked: In patients with chronic shoulder pain, what biopsychosocial factors are associated (1) with PROMs, and (2) with clinician-rated outcome measurements?

METHODS

All new patients between the ages of 18 and 65 with chronic shoulder pain from a unilateral shoulder injury admitted to a Swiss rehabilitation teaching hospital between May 2012 and January 2015 were screened for potential contributing biopsychosocial factors. During the study period, 314 patients were screened, and after applying prespecified criteria, 158 patients were evaluated. The median symptom duration was 9 months (interquartile range, 5.5-15 months), and 72% of the patients (114 patients) had rotator cuff tears, most of which were work injuries (59%, 93 patients) and were followed for a mean of 31.6 days (SD, 7.5 days). Exclusion criteria were concomitant injuries in another location, major or minor upper limb neuropathy, and inability to understand the validated available versions of PROMs. The PROMs were the DASH, the Brief Pain Inventory, and the Patient Global Impression of Change, before and after treatment (physiotherapy, cognitive therapy and vocational training). The Constant-Murley score was used as a clinician-rated outcome measurement. Statistical models were used to estimate associations between biopsychosocial factors and outcomes.

RESULTS

Greater disability on the DASH was associated with psychological factors (Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale, Pain Catastrophizing Scale combined coefficient, 0.64; 95% CI, 0.25-1.03; p = 0.002) and social factors (language, professional qualification combined coefficient, -6.15; 95% CI, -11.09 to -1.22; p = 0.015). Greater pain on the Brief Pain Inventory was associated with psychological factors (Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale, Pain Catastrophizing Scale combined coefficient, 0.076; 95% CI, 0.021-0.13; p = 0.006). Poorer impression of change was associated with psychological factors (Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale, Pain Catastrophizing Scale, Tampa Scale of Kinesiophobia coefficient, 0.93; 95% CI, 0.87-0.99; p = 0.026) and social factors (education, language, and professional qualification coefficient, 6.67; 95% CI, 2.77-16.10; p < 0.001). Worse clinician-rated outcome was associated only with psychological factors (Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale (depression only), Pain Catastrophizing Scale, Tampa Scale of Kinesiophobia combined coefficient, -0.35; 95% CI, -0.58 to -0.12; p = 0.003).

CONCLUSIONS

Depressive symptoms and catastrophizing appear to be key factors influencing PROMs and clinician-rated outcomes. This study suggests revisiting the Constant-Murley score.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

Level III, prognostic study.