Modeling of In-Utero and Intra-Partum Transmissions to Evaluate the Efficacy of Interventions for the Prevention of Perinatal HIV

Advancing research and development of anti-infectives for children with a focus on antiretroviral therapy: A clinical development perspective

The HIV treatment landscape for adults has progressed dramatically in recent decades; however, paediatric populations continue to experience delayed and limited access to effective and safe antiretroviral therapy options. Despite current incentive programmes, formulation research and development and approved drug dosing for children have been limited, particularly for neonates (aged <4 wk). Regulatory approval of drug formulations and dosing in children may lag behind adult approvals by years. Formulation and trial design adjustments complicate paediatric drug development, all of which are vital to accommodate for physiological differences, organ maturation, and rapid weight gain, which are most significant in the youngest children. To facilitate more rapid anti-infective drug development for paediatric populations, regulatory agencies provide guidelines that include extrapolating efficacy and safety data from relevant populations; using pharmacokinetic (PK) bridging and modelling to reduce sample sizes and limit the number of PK studies needed before efficacy analyses; and enrolling age- or weight-based cohorts in parallel rather than sequentially for clinical trials. Ensuring access to approved drugs poses an additional challenge, as uncertainty in demand leads to manufacturing and supply complexity with potentially higher costs that can be a barrier to uptake. Here we summarise challenges in drug development for children living with HIV, which are not unique to antiretrovirals. We aim to propose strategies for how model-based approaches and global partnerships can overcome some of these barriers to accelerate paediatric drug development, with particular reference to HIV, and how lessons learnt from HIV could be extended to other anti-infectives.

Temporal trend and spatial distribution of cases of mother-to-child transmission of HIV in the state of Santa Catarina, Brazil, 2007-2017: an ecological study

OBJECTIVE

To analyze the temporal trend and spatial distribution of mother-to-child HIV transmission in Santa Catarina between 2007 and 2017.

METHODS

This was a mixed ecological study with data from the Notifiable Health Conditions Information System. Linear regression was performed for time series analysis and the mean rates in the period and mean annual percentage changes in the rates of HIV-infected pregnant women were calculated, children exposed to HIV during pregnancy, and seroconversion of children exposed to HIV/AIDS during pregnancy, in addition to data geoprocessing.

RESULTS

There were 5,554 records of HIV-infected pregnant women, with a rate of 5.6 pregnant women per 1,000 live births. The mean seroconversion rate was 13.5/100,000 live births (95%CI 6.8;20.1) and it showed a falling trend (APC = -99.4%; 95%CI -99.9;-93.1). The seroconversion rate was more expressive in small towns.

CONCLUSION

The rate of HIV-infected pregnant women was stable in the period, whereas the number of children infected with HIV through mother-to-child transmission decreased.

Mother-to-Child HIV Transmission With In Utero Dolutegravir vs. Efavirenz in Botswana

BACKGROUND

A large-scale evaluation of mother-to-child transmission (MTCT) with dolutegravir (DTG)-based antiretroviral treatment (ART) has not been conducted previously.

SETTING

Botswana was the first African country to change from efavirenz (EFV)/tenofovir (TDF)/emtricitabine (FTC) to DTG/TDF/FTC first-line ART.

METHODS

From April 2015 to July 2018, the Early Infant Treatment Study offered HIV DNA testing at <96 hours of life. Maternal ART regimen was available for screened infants who could be linked to the separate Tsepamo surveillance study database. We evaluated characteristics of HIV-positive infants, and compared MTCT rates by ART regimen for linked infants.

RESULTS

Of 10,622 HIV-exposed infants screened, 42 (0.40%) were HIV-positive. In total, 5064 screened infants could be linked to the surveillance database, including 1235 (24.4%) exposed to DTG/TDF/FTC and 2411 (47.6%) exposed to EFV/TDF/FTC. MTCT was rare when either regimen was started before conception: 0/213 [0.00%, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.00% to 1.72%] on DTG, 1/1497 (0.07%, 95% CI: 0.00% to 0.37%) on EFV. MTCT was similar for women starting each ART regimen in pregnancy: 8/999 (0.80%, 95% CI: 0.35% to 1.57%) for DTG and 8/883 (0.91%, 95% CI: 0.39% to 1.78%) for EFV (risk difference 0.11%, 95% CI: -0.79% to 1.06%). Most MTCT events (4/8 with DTG, 6/9 with EFV) occurred when ART was started <90 days before delivery. Infants exposed to DTG in utero had lower baseline HIV RNA compared with other HIV-infected infants.

CONCLUSION

In utero MTCT in Botswana remains rare in the DTG era. No significant MTCT differences were observed between DTG/TDF/FTC and EFV/TDF/FTC. Risk was highest for both groups when ART was started in the third trimester.

The impact of implementing HIV prevention policies therapy and control strategy among HIV and AIDS incidence cases in Malaysia

Malaysia is faced with a high HIV/AIDS burden that poses a public health threat. We constructed and applied a compartmental model to understand the spread and control of HIV/AIDS in Malaysia. A simple model for HIV and AIDS disease that incorporates condom and uncontaminated needle-syringes interventions and addresses the relative impact of given treatment therapy for infected HIV newborns on reducing HIV and AIDS incidence is presented. We demonstrated how treatment therapy for new-born babies and the use of condoms or uncontaminated needle-syringes impact the dynamics of HIV in Malaysia. The model was calibrated to HIV and AIDS incidence data from Malaysia from 1986 to 2011. The epidemiological parameters are estimated using Bayesian inference via Markov chain Monte Carlo simulation method. The reproduction number optimal for control of the HIV/AIDS disease obtained suggests that the disease-free equilibrium was unstable during the 25 years. However, the results indicated that the use of condoms and uncontaminated needle-syringes are pivotal intervention control strategies; a comprehensive adoption of the intervention may help stop the spread of HIV disease. Treatment therapy for newborn babies is also of high value; it reduces the epidemic peak. The combined effect of condom use or uncontaminated needle-syringe is more pronounced in controlling the spread of HIV/AIDS.

Perinatal Antiretroviral Intensification to Prevent Intrapartum HIV Transmission When Antenatal Antiretroviral Therapy Is Initiated Less Than 8 Weeks Before Delivery

INTRODUCTION

Infants born to women living with HIV initiating combination antiretroviral therapy (cART) late in pregnancy are at high risk of intrapartum infection. Mother/infant perinatal antiretroviral intensification may substantially reduce this risk.

METHODS

In this single-arm Bayesian trial, pregnant women with HIV receiving standard of care antiretroviral prophylaxis in Thailand (maternal antenatal lopinavir-based cART; nonbreastfed infants 4 weeks' postnatal zidovudine) were offered "antiretroviral intensification" (labor single-dose nevirapine plus infant zidovudine-lamivudine-nevirapine for 2 weeks followed by zidovudine-lamivudine for 2 weeks) if their antenatal cART was initiated ≤8 weeks before delivery. A negative birth HIV-DNA polymerase chain reaction (PCR) followed by a confirmed positive PCR defined intrapartum transmission. Before study initiation, we modeled intrapartum transmission probabilities using data from 3738 mother/infant pairs enrolled in our previous trials in Thailand using a logistic model, with perinatal maternal/infant antiretroviral regimen and predicted viral load at delivery as main covariates. Using the characteristics of the women enrolled who received intensification, prior intrapartum transmission probabilities (credibility intervals) with/without intensification were estimated. After including the transmission data observed in the current study, the corresponding Bayesian posterior transmission probability was derived.

RESULTS

No intrapartum transmission of HIV was observed among the 88 mother/infant pairs receiving intensification. The estimated intrapartum transmission probability was 2·2% (95% credibility interval 0·5-6·1) without intensification versus 0·3% (0·0-1·6) with intensification. The probability of superiority of intensification over standard of care was 94·4%. Antiretroviral intensification appeared safe.

CONCLUSION

Mother/infant antiretroviral intensification was effective in preventing intrapartum transmission of HIV in pregnant women receiving ≤8 weeks antepartum cART.

Optimizing Clinical Trial Design to Maximize Evidence Generation in Pediatric HIV

For HIV-infected children, formulation development, pharmacokinetic (PK) data, and evaluation of early toxicity are critical for licensing new antiretroviral drugs; direct evidence of efficacy in children may not be needed if acceptable safety and PK parameters are demonstrated in children. However, it is important to address questions where adult trial data cannot be extrapolated to children. In this fast-moving area, interventions need to be tailored to resource-limited settings where most HIV-infected children live and take account of decreasing numbers of younger HIV-infected children after successful prevention of mother-to-child HIV transmission. Innovative randomized controlled trial (RCT) designs enable several questions relevant to children's treatment and care to be answered within the same study. We reflect on key considerations, and, with examples, discuss the relative merits of different RCT designs for addressing multiple scientific questions including parallel multi-arm RCTs, factorial RCTs, and cross-over RCTs. We discuss inclusion of several populations (eg, untreated and pretreated children; children and adults) in “basket” trials; incorporation of secondary randomizations after enrollment and use of nested substudies (particularly PK and formulation acceptability) within large RCTs. We review the literature on trial designs across other disease areas in pediatrics and rare diseases and discuss their relevance for addressing questions relevant to HIV-infected children; we provide an example of a Bayesian trial design in prevention of mother-to-child HIV transmission and consider this approach for future pediatric trials. Finally, we discuss the relevance of these approaches to other areas, in particular, childhood tuberculosis and hepatitis.

Prevention of mother-to-child transmission (PMTCT) of HIV: a review of the achievements and challenges in Burkina-Faso

BACKGROUND

Burkina-Faso's HIV/AIDS program is one of the most successful in Africa, with a declining HIV prevalence and treatment outcomes that rival those of developed countries. Prevention of mother-to-child transmission (PMTCT) guidelines in Burkina-Faso, initiated in the year 2000, were revised in 2004, 2006 and 2010. The guideline document has since undergone several stages of improvement, largely based on recommendations from WHO, with adaptations by local experts in the field. Option B+ adopted since August 2014 in Burkina-Faso has enabled maintenance of mothers on longer treatment and increasing their survival and that of their children. Through this review, we describe the achievements and challenges of HIV PMTCT programs in Burkina-Faso.

AIMS OF STUDY

This study had the following objectives: 1) describing the historical perspective of PMTCT implementation in Burkina-Faso; 2) presenting the effectiveness of interventions at improving PMTCT service delivery and promoting retention of mothers and babies in care; and 3) determining the impact of male partner involvement on PMTCT in Burkina-Faso.

METHODOLOGY

A literature search was conducted in PubMed and Google. Search terms included the following keywords: "HIV testing"; "prevention"; "mother"; "child"; "male partner"; "counseling"; "involvement"; "participation"; and the grouped terms "PMTCT and partners"; "VCT"; "barriers and/or factors"; "Male involvement in PMTCT"; and "Burkina-Faso". Data collection took place from May to October 2015. The search was limited to articles published between January 2002 and December 2015. UNICEF and UNAIDS web sites were also used to find relevant abstracts and documents.

RESULTS

Studies have revealed that with PMTCT, HIV transmission rate moved from 10.4% in 2006 to 0% in 2015. The PMTCT program remains the best way to care for HIV-infected pregnant women and their babies. The current PMTCT policy is based on evidence that male partner involvement is associated with women's completion of PMTCT.

CONCLUSION

This study shows that the reduction in mother to child transmission of HIV in Burkina-Faso over the years is mainly due to the improvement of PMTCT programs. Efforts still need to be made about the involvement of male partners.

Viral and antiretroviral dynamics in HIV mother-to-child transmission fluids (VADICT) – Protocol and data analysis plan for a cohort study

Background: Pregnancy and polymorphisms in drug disposition genes alter the clearance of key antiretrovirals used as part of regimens for prevention of mother-to-child transmission of HIV (PMTCT). The clinical significance of these in women initiating therapy late in pregnancy has not been investigated. The primary objective of the Viral and Antiretroviral Dynamics in HIV Mother-To-Child Transmission Fluids (VADICT) study is to investigate viral and antiretroviral dynamics in matrices associated with mother-to-child transmission (MTCT) (plasma, genital fluid and breastmilk) in women (stratified by CYP2B6 genotypes) who initiate antiretroviral therapy (ART) before or early in pregnancy versus late in pregnancy or early postpartum. Methods: A cohort of HIV-1 infected women who initiated ART containing 600 mg efavirenz before or early in pregnancy (n = 120), during the third trimester (n = 60), or early postpartum (n = 60) will be studied.  Eligible patients will be recruited from four hospitals in Benue State, North Central Nigeria and followed until the end of breastfeeding. Procedures at follow up visits will include sample collection for drug quantification and HIV-1 RNA and DNA in plasma, genital fluid and breastmilk; adherence monitoring; and newborn and infant assessment. Using newborn exposure to maternal efavirenz at birth for validation, prenatal pharmacogenetics of efavirenz will be explored using physiologically-based pharmacokinetic modelling. Three integrated methods will be used to monitor patterns and correlates of adherence across pregnancy and the breastfeeding period. A population pharmacokinetic-pharmacodynamic model will be developed to describe the observed data and simulate what to expect in women initiating ART containing 400 mg efavirenz (recently approved for non-pregnant adults) late in pregnancy or early postpartum. Discussion: This study will help in understanding residual MTCT in women receiving ART and reasons for the rise in MTCT risk during the breastfeeding period. Trial registration: ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT03284645 (15/09/2017)

Optimizing Research to Speed Up Availability of Pediatric Antiretroviral Drugs and Formulations

Globally 1.8 million children are living with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV), yet only 51% of those eligible actually start treatment. Research and development (R&D) for pediatric antiretrovirals (ARVs) is a lengthy process and lags considerably behind drug development in adults. Providing safe, effective, and well-tolerated drugs for children remains critical to ensuring scale-up globally. We review current approaches to R&D for pediatric ARVs and suggest innovations to enable simplified, faster, and more comprehensive strategies to develop optimal formulations. Several approaches could be adopted, including focusing on a limited number of prioritized formulations and strengthening existing partnerships to ensure that pediatric investigation plans are developed early in the drug development process. Simplified and more efficient mechanisms to undertake R&D need to be put in place, and financing mechanisms must be made more sustainable. Lessons learned from HIV should be shared to support progress in developing pediatric formulations for other diseases, including tuberculosis and viral hepatitis.