Electrocardiogram ST-Segment Morphology Delineation Method Using Orthogonal Transformations

Distance-based Classification and Regression Trees for the analysis of complex predictors in health and medical research

Predicting patient outcomes based on patient characteristics and care processes is a common task in medical research. Such predictive features are often multifaceted and complex, and are usually simplified into one or more scalar variables to facilitate statistical analysis. This process, while necessary, results in a loss of important clinical detail. While this loss may be prevented by using distance-based predictive methods which better represent complex healthcare features, the statistical literature on such methods is limited, and the range of tools facilitating distance-based analysis is substantially smaller than those of other methods. Consequently, medical researchers must choose to either reduce complex predictive features to scalar variables to facilitate analysis, or instead use a limited number of distance-based predictive methods which may not fulfil the needs of the analysis problem at hand. We address this limitation by developing a Distance-Based extension of Classification and Regression Trees (DB-CART) capable of making distance-based predictions of categorical, ordinal and numeric patient outcomes. We also demonstrate how this extension is compatible with other extensions to CART, including a recently published method for predicting care trajectories in chronic disease. We demonstrate DB-CART by using it to expand upon previously published dose-response analysis of stroke rehabilitation data. Our method identified additional detail not captured by the previously published analysis, reinforcing previous conclusions. We also demonstrate how by combining DB-CART with other extensions to CART, the method is capable of making predictions about complex, multifaceted outcome data based on complex, multifaceted predictive features.

Classification of ischemic and non-ischemic cardiac events in Holter recordings based on the continuous wavelet transform

Holter recordings are widely used to detect cardiac events that occur transiently, such as ischemic events. Much effort has been made to detect early ischemia, thus preventing myocardial infarction. However, after detection, classification of ischemia has still not been fully solved. The main difficulty relies on the false positives produced because of non-ischemic events, such as changes in the heart rate, the intraventricular conduction or the cardiac electrical axis. In this work, the classification of ischemic and non-ischemic events from the long-term ST database has been improved, using novel spectral parameters based on the continuous wavelet transform (CWT) together with temporal parameters (such as ST level and slope, T wave width and peak, R wave peak, QRS complex width). This was achieved by using a nearest neighbour classifier of six neighbours. Results indicated a sensitivity and specificity of 84.1% and 92.9% between ischemic and non-ischemic events, respectively, resulting a 10% increase of the sensitivity found in the literature. Extracted features based on the CWT applied on the ECG in the frequency band 0.5-4 Hz provided a substantial improvement in classifying ischemic and non-ischemic events, when comparing with the same classifier using only temporal parameters. Graphical Abstract In this work it is improved the classification of ischemic and non-ischemic events. The main difficulty of ischemic detectors relies on the false positives produced because of non-ischemic events. After a preprocessing stage, temporal and spectral parameters are extracted from events of the Long Term ST Database. The novel parameters proposed in this work are extracted from the Continuous Wavelet Transform. A nearest Neighbor Classifier is used, obtaining a sensitivity and specificity of 84.1% and 92.9%, respectively.

Machine Learning Improves Risk Stratification After Acute Coronary Syndrome

The accurate assessment of a patient’s risk of adverse events remains a mainstay of clinical care. Commonly used risk metrics have been based on logistic regression models that incorporate aspects of the medical history, presenting signs and symptoms, and lab values. More sophisticated methods, such as Artificial Neural Networks (ANN), form an attractive platform to build risk metrics because they can easily incorporate disparate pieces of data, yielding classifiers with improved performance. Using two cohorts consisting of patients admitted with a non-ST-segment elevation acute coronary syndrome, we constructed an ANN that identifies patients at high risk of cardiovascular death (CVD). The ANN was trained and tested using patient subsets derived from a cohort containing 4395 patients (Area Under the Curve (AUC) 0.743) and validated on an independent holdout set containing 861 patients (AUC 0.767). The ANN 1-year Hazard Ratio for CVD was 3.72 (95% confidence interval 1.04–14.3) after adjusting for the TIMI Risk Score, left ventricular ejection fraction, and B-type natriuretic peptide. A unique feature of our approach is that it captures small changes in the ST segment over time that cannot be detected by visual inspection. These findings highlight the important role that ANNs can play in risk stratification.