Previously-initiated hemodialysis as prognostic factor for in-hospital mortality in pneumonia patients with stage 5 chronic kidney disease: Retrospective database study of Japanese hospitals

Risk factors related to perioperative systemic complications and mortality in elderly patients with osteoporotic vertebral fractures-analysis of a large national inpatient database

BACKGROUND

The surgical treatment of osteoporotic vertebral fractures (OVF) is generally associated with a high risk of complications due to an aging population with osteoporosis; however, the detailed risk factors for systemic complications and mortality have not been clarified. We evaluated the risk factors for systemic complications and mortality in surgically treated OVF patients using a large national inpatient database.

METHODS

Patients over 65 years old who were diagnosed with OVF and received either anterior fusion (AF) or posterior fusion (PF), from 2012 to 2016, were extracted from the diagnosis procedure combination (DPC) database. In each of the perioperative systemic complications (+) or (-) group, and the in-hospital death (+) or (-) group, we surveyed the various risk factors related to perioperative systemic complications and in-hospital death.

RESULTS

The significant factors associated with systemic complications were older age (OR 1.38, 95% CI 1.09-1.74), a lower activity of daily living score upon admission (OR 1.52, 95%CI 1.19-1.94), atrial fibrillation (OR 2.14, 95%CI 1.25-3.65), renal failure (OR 2.29, 95%CI 1.25-4.20), and surgical procedure (AF, OR 1.73, 95%CI 1.35-2.22). The significant explanatory variables for in-hospital death were revealed to be male sex (OR 3.26, 95%CI 1.20-8.87), a lower body mass index (OR 3.97, 95%CI 1.23-12.86), unscheduled admission (OR 3.52, 95%CI 1.17-10.63), atrial fibrillation (OR 8.31, 95%CI 2.25-30.70), renal failure (OR 7.15, 95%CI 1.32-38.77), and schizophrenia (OR 8.23, 95%CI 1.66-42.02).

CONCLUSIONS

Atrial fibrillation and renal failure as preoperative comorbidities were common factors between perioperative systemic complications and mortality in elderly patients for OVF.

Developing and validating a multivariable prediction model for in-hospital mortality of pneumonia with advanced chronic kidney disease patients: a retrospective analysis using a nationwide database in Japan

BACKGROUND

The prognosis of pneumonia in patients with advanced stage chronic kidney disease (CKD) remains unimproved for years. We attempt to develop a simple and more useful scoring system for predicting in-hospital mortality for advanced CKD patients with pneumonia.

METHODS

Using the Diagnosis Procedure Combination database, we identified the in-hospital adult patients both with a record of pneumonia and stage 5 or 5D CKD as a comorbidity on admission between April 1, 2012 and March 31, 2016. Predictive variable selection was analyzed by multivariable logistic regression analysis, stepwise method, LASSO method and random forest method, and then develop a new simple scoring system seeking for highest c-statistics combination of variables in one sample data set for model development. Finally, we compared c-statistics of univariate logistic regression about new scoring system with c-statistics about "A-DROP" in the other sample data set.

RESULT

We identified 8402 patients in 707 hospitals, and the total in-hospital mortality was 11.0% (437 patients) in development data set. Seven variables were selected, which includes age (male ≥ 70 years, female ≥ 75 years), respiratory failure, orientation disturbance, low blood pressure, the need of assistance in feeding or bowel control, severe or moderate thinness and CRP 200 mg/L or extent of consolidation on chest X-ray ≥ 2/3 of one lung. The c-statistics of univariate logistic regression was 0.8017 using seven variables, while that was 0.7372 using "A-DROP" CONCLUSION: In advanced CKD patients, if we select appropriate variables for predicting in-hospital mortality, simple scoring system may have better discrimination than "A-DROP".