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Liu Y, Lu Y, Li W, Wang Y, Zhang Z, Yang X, Yang Y, Li R, Zhou X. Prognostic prediction of idiopathic membranous nephropathy using interpretable machine learning. Ren Fail 2023; 45:2251597. [PMID: 37724550 PMCID: PMC10512811 DOI: 10.1080/0886022x.2023.2251597] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/04/2023] [Accepted: 08/19/2023] [Indexed: 09/21/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Established prognostic models of idiopathic membranous nephropathy (IMN) were limited to traditional modeling methods and did not comprehensively consider clinical and pathological patient data. Based on the electronic medical record (EMR) system, machine learning (ML) was used to construct a risk prediction model for the prognosis of IMN. METHODS Data from 418 patients with IMN were diagnosed by renal biopsy at the Fifth Clinical Medical College of Shanxi Medical University. Fifty-nine medical features of the patients could be obtained from EMR, and prediction models were established based on five ML algorithms. The area under the curve, recall rate, accuracy, and F1 were used to evaluate and compare the performances of the models. Shapley additive explanation (SHAP) was used to explain the results of the best-performing model. RESULTS One hundred and seventeen patients (28.0%) with IMN experienced adverse events, 28 of them had compound outcomes (ESRD or double serum creatinine (SCr)), and 89 had relapsed. The gradient boosting machine (LightGBM) model had the best performance, with the highest AUC (0.892 ± 0.052, 95% CI 0.840-0.945), accuracy (0.909 ± 0.016), recall (0.741 ± 0.092), precision (0.906 ± 0.027), and F1 (0.905 ± 0.020). Recursive feature elimination with random forest and SHAP plots based on LightGBM showed that anti-phospholipase A2 receptor (anti-PLA2R), immunohistochemical immunoglobulin G4 (IHC IgG4), D-dimer (D-DIMER), triglyceride (TG), serum albumin (ALB), aspartate transaminase (AST), β2-microglobulin (BMG), SCr, and fasting plasma glucose (FPG) were important risk factors for the prognosis of IMN. Increased risk of adverse events in IMN patients was correlated with high anti-PLA2R and low IHC IgG4. CONCLUSIONS This study established a risk prediction model for the prognosis of IMN using ML based on clinical and pathological patient data. The LightGBM model may become a tool for personalized management of IMN patients.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yanqin Liu
- Big data Center for Nephropathy, The Fifth Clinical Medical College of Shanxi Medical University, Shanxi Provincial People’s Hospital, Taiyuan, China
| | - Yuanyue Lu
- Big data Center for Nephropathy, The Fifth Clinical Medical College of Shanxi Medical University, Shanxi Provincial People’s Hospital, Taiyuan, China
| | - Wangxing Li
- Big data Center for Nephropathy, The Fifth Clinical Medical College of Shanxi Medical University, Shanxi Provincial People’s Hospital, Taiyuan, China
| | - Yanru Wang
- Big data Center for Nephropathy, The Fifth Clinical Medical College of Shanxi Medical University, Shanxi Provincial People’s Hospital, Taiyuan, China
| | - Ziting Zhang
- Big data Center for Nephropathy, The Fifth Clinical Medical College of Shanxi Medical University, Shanxi Provincial People’s Hospital, Taiyuan, China
| | - Xiaoyu Yang
- Big data Center for Nephropathy, The Fifth Clinical Medical College of Shanxi Medical University, Shanxi Provincial People’s Hospital, Taiyuan, China
| | - Yuxuan Yang
- Big data Center for Nephropathy, The Fifth Clinical Medical College of Shanxi Medical University, Shanxi Provincial People’s Hospital, Taiyuan, China
| | - Rongshan Li
- Big data Center for Nephropathy, The Fifth Clinical Medical College of Shanxi Medical University, Shanxi Provincial People’s Hospital, Taiyuan, China
- Shanxi Kidney Disease Institute, Taiyuan, China
| | - Xiaoshuang Zhou
- Big data Center for Nephropathy, The Fifth Clinical Medical College of Shanxi Medical University, Shanxi Provincial People’s Hospital, Taiyuan, China
- Shanxi Kidney Disease Institute, Taiyuan, China
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Huang YC, Wen MC, Wu MJ, Tsai SF, Yu TM, Chuang YW, Huang ST, Weng SC, Chung MC, Hsu CT, Wu CY, Huang CT, Wang TJ, Chiu HF, Chen CH. Patterns of biopsy-proven renal diseases in geriatric patients: A single medical center experience. Medicine (Baltimore) 2022; 101:e31602. [PMID: 36401451 PMCID: PMC9678559 DOI: 10.1097/md.0000000000031602] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/05/2022] Open
Abstract
The elderly population is expanding rapidly, and that has become a major healthcare burden in terms of chronic kidney disease. The distribution patterns of kidney diseases in these elderly patients remain largely unclear. Here, we compared biopsy-based renal disease patterns between elderly and nonelderly patients. We performed a single-center, retrospective study (1992-2008) on biopsy-proven renal diseases to compare results between geriatric patients (age ≥ 65 years; n = 254) and nongeriatric patients (18 ≤ age < 65 years; n = 2592). Renal pathology was interpreted by pathologists based on light microscopy, immunofluorescence, and electron microscopy. The ages of the geriatric and nongeriatric groups were 71.8 ± 4.5 (65.1-87.3) and 39.7 ± 17.6 (18-64.9) years, respectively, and 74% and 41% of them, respectively, were men. In the geriatric group, the most frequent diagnosis was membranous nephropathy (46.1%), followed by minimal change disease/focal segmental glomerulosclerosis (16.9%), diabetic nephropathy (8.3%), hypertensive nephrosclerosis (7.5%), and IgA nephropathy (5.9%). The geriatric group had more membranous nephropathy and less lupus nephritis and IgA nephropathy than the nongeriatric group. Furthermore, the 5-year survival rate of the geriatric group was significantly low. Our results demonstrated the different distributions of renal biopsy patterns in geriatric patients diagnosed with acute or chronic progressive kidney injury and proteinuria through renal biopsy.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yung-Chieh Huang
- Division of Nephrology, Department of Internal Medicine, Taichung Veterans General Hospital, Taichung, Taiwan
- Department of Pediatrics, Taichung Veterans General Hospital, Taichung, Taiwan
| | - Mei-Chin Wen
- Department of Pathology, Taichung Veterans General Hospital, Taichung, Taiwan
| | - Ming-Ju Wu
- Division of Nephrology, Department of Internal Medicine, Taichung Veterans General Hospital, Taichung, Taiwan
- School of Medicine, China Medical University, Taichung, Taiwan
- School of Medicine, Chung Shan Medical University, Taichung, Taiwan
- Institute of Clinical Medicine, School of Medicine, National Yang Ming Chiao Tung University, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Shang-Feng Tsai
- Division of Nephrology, Department of Internal Medicine, Taichung Veterans General Hospital, Taichung, Taiwan
- Institute of Clinical Medicine, School of Medicine, National Yang Ming Chiao Tung University, Taipei, Taiwan
- Center for Geriatrics and Gerontology, Taichung Veterans General Hospital, Taichung, Taiwan
| | - Tung-Min Yu
- Division of Nephrology, Department of Internal Medicine, Taichung Veterans General Hospital, Taichung, Taiwan
- School of Medicine, China Medical University, Taichung, Taiwan
| | - Ya-Wen Chuang
- Division of Nephrology, Department of Internal Medicine, Taichung Veterans General Hospital, Taichung, Taiwan
- School of Medicine, China Medical University, Taichung, Taiwan
| | - Shih-Ting Huang
- Division of Nephrology, Department of Internal Medicine, Taichung Veterans General Hospital, Taichung, Taiwan
- School of Medicine, China Medical University, Taichung, Taiwan
| | - Shuo-Chun Weng
- Division of Nephrology, Department of Internal Medicine, Taichung Veterans General Hospital, Taichung, Taiwan
- Institute of Clinical Medicine, School of Medicine, National Yang Ming Chiao Tung University, Taipei, Taiwan
- Center for Geriatrics and Gerontology, Taichung Veterans General Hospital, Taichung, Taiwan
| | - Mu-Chi Chung
- Division of Nephrology, Department of Internal Medicine, Taichung Veterans General Hospital, Taichung, Taiwan
- Ph.D. Program in Transplational Medicine, National Chung Hsing University, Taichung, Taiwan
| | - Chia-Tien Hsu
- Division of Nephrology, Department of Internal Medicine, Taichung Veterans General Hospital, Taichung, Taiwan
| | - Chun-Yi Wu
- Division of Nephrology, Department of Internal Medicine, Taichung Veterans General Hospital, Taichung, Taiwan
| | - Chun-Te Huang
- Division of Nephrology, Department of Internal Medicine, Taichung Veterans General Hospital, Taichung, Taiwan
| | - Tsai-Jung Wang
- Division of Nephrology, Department of Internal Medicine, Taichung Veterans General Hospital, Taichung, Taiwan
| | - Hsien-Fu Chiu
- Division of Nephrology, Department of Internal Medicine, Taichung Veterans General Hospital, Taichung, Taiwan
| | - Cheng-Hsu Chen
- Division of Nephrology, Department of Internal Medicine, Taichung Veterans General Hospital, Taichung, Taiwan
- School of Medicine, China Medical University, Taichung, Taiwan
- Ph.D. Program in Transplational Medicine, National Chung Hsing University, Taichung, Taiwan
- Department of Life Science, Tunghai University, Taichung, Taiwan
- College of Medicine, National Chung Hsing University, Taichung, Taiwan
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Native kidney biopsies in older adults: disease spectrum, long-term kidney and patient survival and safety. Int Urol Nephrol 2022; 54:2365-2373. [DOI: 10.1007/s11255-022-03143-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/04/2021] [Accepted: 01/30/2022] [Indexed: 11/26/2022]
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B Cells in Primary Membranous Nephropathy: Escape from Immune Tolerance and Implications for Patient Management. Int J Mol Sci 2021; 22:ijms222413560. [PMID: 34948358 PMCID: PMC8708506 DOI: 10.3390/ijms222413560] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/29/2021] [Revised: 12/13/2021] [Accepted: 12/14/2021] [Indexed: 12/03/2022] Open
Abstract
Membranous nephropathy (MN) is an important cause of nephrotic syndrome and chronic kidney disease (CKD) in adults. The pathogenic significance of B cells in MN is increasingly recognized, especially following the discovery of various autoantibodies that target specific podocytic antigens and the promising treatment responses seen with B cell depleting therapies. The presence of autoreactive B cells and autoantibodies that bind to antigens on podocyte surfaces are characteristic features of MN, and are the result of breaches in central and peripheral tolerance of B lymphocytes. These perturbations in B cell tolerance include altered B lymphocyte subsets, dysregulation of genes that govern immunoglobulin production, aberrant somatic hypermutation and co-stimulatory signalling, abnormal expression of B cell-related cytokines, and increased B cell infiltrates and organized tertiary lymphoid structures within the kidneys. An understanding of the role of B cell tolerance and homeostasis may have important implications for patient management in MN, as conventional immunosuppressive treatments and novel B cell-targeted therapies show distinct effects on proliferation, differentiation and reconstitution in different B cell subsets. Circulating B lymphocytes and related cytokines may serve as potential biomarkers for treatment selection, monitoring of therapeutic response and prediction of disease relapse. These recent advances in the understanding of B cell tolerance in MN have provided greater insight into its immunopathogenesis and potential novel strategies for disease monitoring and treatment.
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Dong L, Wei W, Han M, Xu G. Utility of non-HDL-C in predicting proteinuria remission of idiopathic membranous nephropathy: a retrospective cohort study. Lipids Health Dis 2021; 20:122. [PMID: 34587945 PMCID: PMC8482680 DOI: 10.1186/s12944-021-01558-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/22/2021] [Accepted: 09/14/2021] [Indexed: 11/10/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Idiopathic membranous nephropathy (IMN) may have various clinical outcomes. Hyperlipidemia is quite common in IMN. However, the utility of the lipid profile in predicting outcomes remains unknown. This study aimed to explore the correlation between hyperlipidemia and proteinuria remission in IMN. Methods 256 patients who diagnosed with IMN confirmed by renal biopsy in Wuhan Tongji Hospital from January 2016 to October 2020 were included in this study. The end point was defined as a combination of partial and complete remission. Cox proportional-hazards regression analysis and Kaplan–Meier curve were applied to assess the prognostic value of the lipid profile for proteinuria remission. Results A total of 153 (59.8%) patients achieved remission and 103 (40.2%) did not. The levels of total cholesterol, low-density lipoprotein, and non-high-density lipoprotein were significantly lower in the remission group than in the non-remission group. Non-high-density lipoprotein level revealed the strongest correlation with proteinuria (Spearman’s rho = 0.42; P < 0.001). The multivariate analysis demonstrated that serum total cholesterol [hazard ratio (HR): 0.883; 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.813–0.958; P = 0.003] and non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HR: 0.892; 95% CI: 0.820–0.970; P = 0.007) levels were independent markers to predict proteinuria remission in IMN. Conclusions Among the lipid profile, the non-high-density lipoprotein level exhibited the strongest correlation with proteinuria in IMN. Moreover, elevated serum cholesterol and non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol concentrations at baseline predicted probability of proteinuria non-remission in IMN.
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Affiliation(s)
- Lei Dong
- Department of Nephrology, Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, No. 1095 Jiefang Avenue, Wuhan, D-430030, Hubei, China
| | - Wang Wei
- Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, No. 1095 Jiefang Avenue, Wuhan, D-430030, Hubei, China
| | - Min Han
- Department of Nephrology, Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, No. 1095 Jiefang Avenue, Wuhan, D-430030, Hubei, China.
| | - Gang Xu
- Department of Nephrology, Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, No. 1095 Jiefang Avenue, Wuhan, D-430030, Hubei, China.
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Autoimmune-mediated renal disease and hypertension. Clin Sci (Lond) 2021; 135:2165-2196. [PMID: 34533582 DOI: 10.1042/cs20200955] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/17/2021] [Revised: 08/20/2021] [Accepted: 09/06/2021] [Indexed: 12/18/2022]
Abstract
Hypertension is a major risk factor for cardiovascular disease, chronic kidney disease (CKD), and mortality. Troublingly, hypertension is highly prevalent in patients with autoimmune renal disease and hastens renal functional decline. Although progress has been made over the past two decades in understanding the inflammatory contributions to essential hypertension more broadly, the mechanisms active in autoimmune-mediated renal diseases remain grossly understudied. This Review provides an overview of the pathogenesis of each of the major autoimmune diseases affecting the kidney that are associated with hypertension, and describes the current state of knowledge regarding hypertension in these diseases and their management. Specifically, discussion focuses on Systemic Lupus Erythematosus (SLE) and Lupus Nephritis (LN), Immunoglobulin A (IgA) Nephropathy, Idiopathic Membranous Nephropathy (IMN), Anti-Neutrophil Cytoplasmic Antibody (ANCA)-associated glomerulonephritis, and Thrombotic Thrombocytopenic Purpura (TTP). A summary of disease-specific animal models found to exhibit hypertension is also included to highlight opportunities for much needed further investigation of underlying mechanisms and novel therapeutic approaches.
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Wu F, Zhang Y, Cui W, Dong Y, Geng Y, Liu C, Li Z, Xie Y, Cai X, Shang J, Xiao J, Zhao Z. Development and validation of a discrimination model between primary PLA2R-negative membranous nephropathy and minimal change disease confirmed by renal biopsy. Sci Rep 2021; 11:18064. [PMID: 34508140 PMCID: PMC8433159 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-021-97517-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/11/2021] [Accepted: 08/25/2021] [Indexed: 11/09/2022] Open
Abstract
Membranous nephropathy (MN) and minimal change disease (MCD) are two common causes leading to nephrotic syndrome (NS). They have similar clinical features but different treatment strategies and prognoses. M-type phospholipase A2 receptor (PLA2R) is considered as a specific marker of membranous nephropathy. However, its sensitivity is only about 70%. Therefore, there is a lack of effective and noninvasive tools to distinguish PLA2R-negative MN and MCD patients without renal biopsy. A total 949 patients who were pathologically diagnosed as idiopathic MN or MCD were enrolled in this study, including 805 idiopathic MN and 144 MCD. Based on the basic information and laboratory examination of 200 PLA2R-negative MN and 144 MCD, we used a univariate and multivariate logistic regression to select the relevant variables and develop a discrimination model. A novel model including age, albumin, urea, high density lipoprotein, C3 levels and red blood cell count was established for PLA2R-negative MN and MCD. The discrimination model has great differential capability (with an AUC of 0.904 in training group and an AUC of 0.886 in test group) and calibration capability. When testing in all 949 patients, our model also showed good discrimination ability for all idiopathic MN and MCD.
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Affiliation(s)
- Feng Wu
- Department of Nephrology, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhengzhou University, No. 1, East Jianshe Road, Zhengzhou, 450052, Henan, People's Republic of China
| | - Yiding Zhang
- Department of Nephrology, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhengzhou University, No. 1, East Jianshe Road, Zhengzhou, 450052, Henan, People's Republic of China
| | - Wen Cui
- Department of Nephrology, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhengzhou University, No. 1, East Jianshe Road, Zhengzhou, 450052, Henan, People's Republic of China
| | - Yijun Dong
- Department of Nephrology, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhengzhou University, No. 1, East Jianshe Road, Zhengzhou, 450052, Henan, People's Republic of China
| | - Yingyang Geng
- Department of Nephrology, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhengzhou University, No. 1, East Jianshe Road, Zhengzhou, 450052, Henan, People's Republic of China
| | - Changhao Liu
- Department of Nephrology, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhengzhou University, No. 1, East Jianshe Road, Zhengzhou, 450052, Henan, People's Republic of China
| | - Zemeng Li
- Department of Nephrology, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhengzhou University, No. 1, East Jianshe Road, Zhengzhou, 450052, Henan, People's Republic of China
| | - Yandong Xie
- Department of Nephrology, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhengzhou University, No. 1, East Jianshe Road, Zhengzhou, 450052, Henan, People's Republic of China
| | - Xiaojing Cai
- Department of Nephrology, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhengzhou University, No. 1, East Jianshe Road, Zhengzhou, 450052, Henan, People's Republic of China
| | - Jin Shang
- Department of Nephrology, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhengzhou University, No. 1, East Jianshe Road, Zhengzhou, 450052, Henan, People's Republic of China.
| | - Jing Xiao
- Department of Nephrology, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhengzhou University, No. 1, East Jianshe Road, Zhengzhou, 450052, Henan, People's Republic of China.
| | - Zhanzheng Zhao
- Department of Nephrology, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhengzhou University, No. 1, East Jianshe Road, Zhengzhou, 450052, Henan, People's Republic of China.
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