Remote testing of vitamin D levels across the UK MS population-A case control study

Vitamin D genetic risk scores in multiple sclerosis

BACKGROUND

Low serum 25(OH)D₃ (vD) is an environmental risk factor for multiple sclerosis (MS). Lower vD levels during early disease may be associated with long-term disability. Determinants of serum vD levels in healthy individuals include supplementation behaviour and genetic factors. These determinants have been less well studied in people with MS (pwMS).

METHODS

We developed a vD-weighted genetic risk score (GRS) and validated this in 373,357 UK Biobank participants without MS. We measured serum 25(OH)D₃ and genotyped six vD-associated SNPs (rs12785878, rs10741657, rs17216707, rs10745742, rs8018720, rs2282679) in a cohort of pwMS (n = 315) with age and geographically matched controls (n = 232). We then assessed predictors of serum vD concentration in this cohort.

RESULTS

The GRS was strongly associated with vD status in the Biobank cohort (p < 2 × 10^-16). vD supplementation, having MS, lower BMI, increased age and supplementation dose were associated with higher vD levels (false discovery rate, FDR < 5%). In multivariable models adjusting for supplementation, BMI, age, sex, and MS status, the GRS was strongly associated with vD level (p = 0.004), but not in those who supplemented (p = 0.47).

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings suggest that vD supplementation is the major determinant of vD level in pwMS, with genetic determinants playing a far smaller role.

Association of Vitamin D Polygenic Risk Scores and Disease Outcome in People With Multiple Sclerosis

Background and Objectives

Observational studies suggest low levels of 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25[OH]D) may be associated with increased disease activity in people with multiple sclerosis (PwMS). Large-scale genome-wide association studies (GWAS) suggest 25(OH)D levels are partly genetically determined. The resultant polygenic scores (PGSs) could serve as a proxy for 25(OH)D levels, minimizing potential confounding and reverse causation in analyses with outcomes. Herein, we assess the association of genetically determined 25(OH)D and disease outcomes in MS.

Methods

We generated 25(OH)D PGS for 1,924 PwMS with available genotyping data pooled from 3 studies: the CombiRx trial (n = 575), Johns Hopkins MS Center (n = 1,152), and Immune-Mediated Inflammatory Diseases study (n = 197). 25(OH)D-PGS were derived using summary statistics (p < 5 × 10−8) from a large GWAS including 485,762 individuals with circulating 25(OH)D levels measured. We included clinical and imaging outcomes: Expanded disability status scale (EDSS), timed 25-foot walk (T25FW), nine-hole peg test (9HPT), radiologic activity, and optical coherence tomography-derived ganglion cell inner plexiform layer (GCIPL) thickness. A subset (n = 935) had measured circulating 25(OH)D levels. We fitted multivariable models based on the outcome of interest and pooled results across studies using random effects meta-analysis. Sensitivity analyses included a modifiedpvalue threshold for inclusion in the PGS (5 × 10−5) and applying Mendelian randomization (MR) rather than using PGS.

Results

Initial analyses demonstrated a positive association between generated 25(OH)D-PGS and circulating 25(OH)D levels (per 1SD increase in 25[OH]D PGS: 3.08%, 95% CI: 1.77%, 4.42%;p= 4.33e-06; R2= 2.24%). In analyses with outcomes, we did not observe an association between 25(OH)D-PGS and relapse rate (per 1SD increase in 25[OH]D-PGS: 0.98; 95% CI: 0.87–1.10), EDSS worsening (per 1SD: 1.05; 95% CI: 0.87–1.28), change in T25FW (per 1SD: 0.07%; 95% CI: −0.34 to 0.49), or change in 9HPT (per 1SD: 0.09%; 95% CI: −0.15 to 0.33). 25(OH)D-PGS was not associated with new lesion accrual, lesion volume or other imaging-based outcomes (whole brain, gray, white matter volume loss or GCIPL thinning). The results were similarly null in analyses using otherpvalue thresholds or those applying MR.

Discussion

Genetically determined lower 25(OH)D levels were not associated with worse disease outcomes in PwMS and raises questions about the plausibility of a treatment effect of vitamin D in established MS.