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Shinjoh M, Yaginuma M, Yamaguchi Y, Tamura K, Furuichi M, Tsumura Y, Itaki R, Iqbal A, Maeda N, Narabayashi A, Kamei A, Shibata A, Yamada G, Nishida M, Kenichiro T, Chiga M, Shimoyamada M, Yoshida M, Fukushima N, Nakata Y, Fukushima H, Kawakami C, Narumi S, Sugaya N. Effectiveness of inactivated influenza vaccine in children during the 2023/24 season: The first season after relaxation of intensive COVID-19 measures. Vaccine 2024; 42:126241. [PMID: 39178768 DOI: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2024.126241] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/23/2024] [Revised: 07/28/2024] [Accepted: 08/14/2024] [Indexed: 08/26/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The annual administration of the influenza vaccine is the most effective method for preventing influenza. We have evaluated the effectiveness of the inactivated influenza vaccine in children aged 6 months to 15 years across the seasons from 2013/2014 to 2022/2023. This study aims to investigate the effectiveness of the inactivated influenza vaccine in the 2023/2024 season, the first year following the easing of strict COVID-19 measures, and possibly the last season when only the inactivated vaccine is available on the market. METHODS Adjusted vaccine effectiveness for the 2023/2024 season was assessed using a test-negative case-control design, with results based on polymerase chain reaction and rapid influenza diagnostic tests. Vaccine effectiveness was calculated by influenza type and patient hospitalization/outpatient status. RESULTS A total of 1832 children were recruited. The inactivated influenza vaccine was effective in preventing both symptomatic influenza A and B in both inpatient and outpatient settings. Overall vaccine effectiveness for influenza A was 51% (95% confidence interval [CI], 23%-69%, n = 930) in inpatient settings and 54% (95%CI, 27%-71%, n = 559) in outpatient settings. For influenza B, effectiveness was 60% (95%CI, 22%-79%, n = 859) in inpatient settings and 56% (95%CI, 26%-74%, n = 558) in outpatient settings. Analysis suggested that administering two doses enhanced effectiveness specifically against influenza B. CONCLUSIONS This is the first study to demonstrate influenza vaccine effectiveness in children after the relaxation of strict COVID-19 measures in Japan (2023/2024). We recommend the current inactivated vaccine for preventing both influenza A and B in children, with consideration for the potential use of two doses to enhance effectiveness against influenza B.
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Affiliation(s)
- Masayoshi Shinjoh
- Department of Pediatrics, Keio University School of Medicine, 35 Shinanomachi, Shinjuku-ku, Tokyo 160-8582, Japan; Division of Infectious Diseases and Infection Control, Keio University, 35 Shinanomachi, Shinjuku-ku, Tokyo 160-8582, Japan.
| | - Mizuki Yaginuma
- Department of Pediatrics, Keio University School of Medicine, 35 Shinanomachi, Shinjuku-ku, Tokyo 160-8582, Japan
| | - Yoshio Yamaguchi
- Department of Clinical Research, Department of Infection and Allergy, National Hospital Organization Tochigi Medical Center, 1-10-37 Nakatomaturi, Utsunomiya-City, Tochigi 320-8580, Japan
| | - Kazuyo Tamura
- Department of Pediatrics, Nippon Koukan Hospital, 1-2-1 Koukan-dori, Kawasaki-ku, Kawasaki-shi, Kanagawa 210-0852, Japan
| | - Munehiro Furuichi
- Department of Pediatrics, Keio University School of Medicine, 35 Shinanomachi, Shinjuku-ku, Tokyo 160-8582, Japan
| | - Yuki Tsumura
- Department of Pediatrics, Keiyu Hospital, 3-7-3 Minatomirai Nishi-ku, Yokohama-shi, Kanagawa 220-8521, Japan
| | - Ryo Itaki
- Department of Pediatrics, Tokyo Metropolitan Otsuka Hospital, 2-8-1 Minamiotsuka, Toshima-ku, Tokyo 170-8476, Japan
| | - Asef Iqbal
- Department of Pediatrics, National Hospital Organization, Saitama Hospital, 2-1 Suwa, Wako-shi, Saitama 351-0102, Japan
| | - Naonori Maeda
- Department of Pediatrics, National Hospital Organization Tokyo Medical Center, 2-5-1 Higashigaoka, Meguro-ku, Tokyo 152-8902, Japan
| | - Atsushi Narabayashi
- Department of Pediatrics, Kawasaki Municipal Hospital, 12-1 Shinkawadori, Kawasaki-ku, Kawasaki, Kanagawa 210-0013, Japan
| | - Akinobu Kamei
- Department of Pediatrics, Kawasaki Municipal Hospital, 12-1 Shinkawadori, Kawasaki-ku, Kawasaki, Kanagawa 210-0013, Japan
| | - Akimichi Shibata
- Department of Pediatrics, Japanese Red Cross Ashikaga Hospital, 284-1 Yobe-cho, Ashikaga, Tochigi 326-0843, Japan
| | - Go Yamada
- Department of Pediatrics, Ota Memorial Hospital, 455-1 Ohshimacho, Ota City, Gunma 273-8585, Japan
| | - Mitsuhiro Nishida
- Department of Pediatrics, Shizuoka City Shimizu Hospital, 1231 Miyakami, Shimizu-ku, Shizuoka-shi, Shizuoka 424-8636, Japan
| | - Tsunematsu Kenichiro
- Department of Pediatrics, Hino Municipal Hospital, 4-3-1 Tamadaira, Hino-shi, Tokyo 191-0062, Japan
| | - Michiko Chiga
- Department of Pediatrics, Tokyo Metropolitan Otsuka Hospital, 2-8-1 Minamiotsuka, Toshima-ku, Tokyo 170-8476, Japan
| | - Motoko Shimoyamada
- Department of Pediatrics, Saitama City Hospital, 2460 Mimuro, Midori-ku, Saitama-shi, Saitama 336-0911, Japan
| | - Makoto Yoshida
- Department of Pediatrics, Sano Kosei General Hospital, 1728 Horigome-chou, Sano-city, Tochigi 327-8511, Japan
| | - Naoya Fukushima
- Department of Pediatrics, Hiratsuka City Hospital, 1-19-1 Minamihara, Hiratsuka, Kanagawa 254-0065, Japan
| | - Yuji Nakata
- Department of Pediatrics, Nippon Koukan Hospital, 1-2-1 Koukan-dori, Kawasaki-ku, Kawasaki-shi, Kanagawa 210-0852, Japan
| | - Hiroyuki Fukushima
- Department of Pediatrics, Tokyo Dental College Ichikawa General Hospital, 5-11-13, Sugano Ichikawa, Chiba 272-0824, Japan
| | - Chiharu Kawakami
- National Center for Global Health and Medicine Research Institute, 1-21-1 Toyama, Shinjuku-ku, Tokyo 162-8655, Japan
| | - Satoshi Narumi
- Department of Pediatrics, Keio University School of Medicine, 35 Shinanomachi, Shinjuku-ku, Tokyo 160-8582, Japan
| | - Norio Sugaya
- Keio Pediatric Influenza Research Group, 35 Shinanomachi, Shinjuku-ku, Tokyo 160-8582, Japan
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O’Leary ST, Campbell JD, Ardura MI, Bryant KA, Caserta MT, Espinosa C, Frenck RW, Healy CM, John CC, Kourtis AP, Milstone A, Myers A, Pannaraj P, Ratner AJ, Bryant KA, Hofstetter AM, Chaparro JD, Michel JJ, Kimberlin DW, Banerjee R, Barnett ED, Lynfield R, Sawyer MH, Barton-Forbes M, Cardemil CV, Farizo KM, Kafer LM, Moore D, Okeke C, Prestel C, Patel M, Starke JR, Thompson J, Torres JP, Wharton M, Woods CR, Gibbs G. Recommendations for Prevention and Control of Influenza in Children, 2024-2025: Technical Report. Pediatrics 2024; 154:e2024068508. [PMID: 39183667 DOI: 10.1542/peds.2024-068508] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/26/2024] [Revised: 07/26/2024] [Accepted: 07/26/2024] [Indexed: 08/27/2024] Open
Abstract
This technical report accompanies the recommendations of the American Academy of Pediatrics for the routine use of influenza vaccine and antiviral medications in the prevention and treatment of influenza in children during the 2024 to 2025 season. The rationale for the American Academy of Pediatrics recommendation for annual influenza vaccination of all children without medical contraindications starting at 6 months of age is provided. Influenza vaccination is an important strategy for protecting children and the broader community against influenza. This technical report summarizes recent influenza seasons, morbidity and mortality in children, vaccine effectiveness, and vaccination coverage and provides detailed guidance on vaccine storage, administration, and implementation. The report also provides a brief background on inactivated (nonlive) and live attenuated influenza vaccines, available vaccines for the 2024-2025 influenza season, vaccination during pregnancy and breastfeeding, diagnostic testing for influenza, and antiviral medications for treatment and chemoprophylaxis. Strategies to promote vaccine uptake are emphasized.
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O’Leary ST, Campbell JD, Ardura MI, Banerjee R, Bryant KA, Caserta MT, Frenck RW, Gerber JS, John CC, Kourtis AP, Myers A, Pannaraj P, Ratner AJ, Shah SS, Bryant KA, Hofstetter AM, Chaparro JD, Michel JJ, Kimberlin DW, Barnett ED, Lynfield R, Sawyer MH, Bernstein HH, Cardemil CV, Farizo KM, Kafer LM, Kim D, López Medina E, Moore D, Panagiotakopoulos L, Romero JR, Sauvé L, Starke JR, Thompson J, Wharton M, Woods CR, Frantz JM, Gibbs G. Recommendations for Prevention and Control of Influenza in Children, 2023-2024. Pediatrics 2023; 152:e2023063773. [PMID: 37641884 DOI: 10.1542/peds.2023-063773] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 07/28/2023] [Indexed: 08/31/2023] Open
Abstract
This technical report accompanies the recommendations of the American Academy of Pediatrics for the routine use of influenza vaccine and antiviral medications in the prevention and treatment of influenza in children during the 2023-2024 season. The rationale for the American Academy of Pediatrics recommendation for annual influenza vaccination of all children without medical contraindications starting at 6 months of age is provided. Influenza vaccination is an important strategy for protecting children and the broader community against influenza. This technical report summarizes recent influenza seasons, morbidity and mortality in children, vaccine effectiveness, and vaccination coverage, and provides detailed guidance on vaccine storage, administration, and implementation. The report also provides a brief background on inactivated and live-attenuated influenza vaccines, available vaccines this season, vaccination during pregnancy and breastfeeding, diagnostic testing for influenza, and antiviral medications for treatment and chemoprophylaxis. Strategies to promote vaccine uptake are emphasized.
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Abstract
This technical report accompanies the recommendations of the American Academy of Pediatrics for the routine use of influenza vaccine and antiviral medications in the prevention and treatment of influenza in children during the 2022 to 2023 season. The American Academy of Pediatrics recommends annual influenza vaccination of all children without medical contraindications starting at 6 months of age. Influenza vaccination is an important strategy for protecting children and the broader community as well as reducing the overall burden of respiratory illnesses when other viruses, including severe acute respiratory syndrome-coronavirus 2, are cocirculating. This technical report summarizes recent influenza seasons, morbidity and mortality in children, vaccine effectiveness, and vaccination coverage, and provides detailed guidance on storage, administration, and implementation. The report also provides a brief background on inactivated and live attenuated influenza vaccine recommendations, vaccination during pregnancy and breastfeeding, diagnostic testing, and antiviral medications for treatment and chemoprophylaxis. Updated information is provided about the 2021 to 2022 influenza season, influenza immunization rates, the effectiveness of influenza vaccination on hospitalization and mortality, available vaccines, guidance for patients with history of severe allergic reactions to prior influenza vaccinations, and strategies to promote vaccine uptake.
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Influenza vaccine effectiveness against hospitalization during the 2018/2019 season among older persons aged ≥ 75 years in Japan: The LIFE-VENUS Study. Vaccine 2022; 40:5023-5029. [PMID: 35851488 DOI: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2022.07.002] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/04/2022] [Revised: 06/19/2022] [Accepted: 07/01/2022] [Indexed: 11/24/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Older persons are recommended to receive annual influenza vaccinations due to their increased susceptibility to influenza infections and related complications. Routine assessments of influenza vaccine effectiveness (IVE) in older persons may help to improve vaccine development and vaccination strategies, but there is a lack of consistent epidemiological data from Japan. This study aimed to evaluate IVE against hospitalization during the 2018/2019 season among older persons aged ≥ 75 years in Japan. METHODS This cohort study was conducted using insurance claims data and vaccination records provided by the Longevity Improvement & Fair Evidence - Vaccine Effectiveness, Networking, and Universal Safety (LIFE-VENUS) Study. The study cohort comprised older persons aged ≥ 75 years residing in an urban municipality in Japan. Vaccinated participants were identified through vaccination records from October 2018 to January 2019, and were matched with unvaccinated participants using a 1:1 ratio. The IVE against hospitalization was calculated as (1-hazard ratio) × 100% while adjusting for covariates such as age, sex, comorbidities, previous vaccinations, and care needs levels. RESULTS We analyzed 30,881 vaccinated participants matched with 30,881 unvaccinated participants. Among these, 587 (1.9%) vaccinated participants and 644 (2.1%) unvaccinated participants were hospitalized during the 2018/2019 season. The adjusted IVE against hospitalization was estimated to be 28.9% (16.6-39.4%). CONCLUSIONS The influenza vaccine for the 2018/2019 season showed moderate effectiveness among older persons in Japan. The LIFE-VENUS Study represents a potential platform for the continued monitoring of IVE among the older Japanese population.
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Shinjoh M, Furuichi M, Kobayashi H, Yamaguchi Y, Maeda N, Yaginuma M, Kobayashi K, Nogayama T, Chiga M, Oshima M, Kuramochi Y, Yamada G, Narabayashi A, Ookawara I, Nishida M, Tsunematsu K, Kamimaki I, Shimoyamada M, Yoshida M, Shibata A, Nakata Y, Taguchi N, Mitamura K, Takahashi T. Trends in effectiveness of inactivated influenza vaccine in children by age groups in seven seasons immediately before the COVID-19 era. Vaccine 2022; 40:3018-3026. [PMID: 35450780 PMCID: PMC8995322 DOI: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2022.04.033] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/05/2021] [Revised: 03/08/2022] [Accepted: 04/07/2022] [Indexed: 11/16/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND We have reported the vaccine effectiveness of inactivated influenza vaccine in children aged 6 months to 15 years between the 2013/14 and 2018/19 seasons. Younger (6-11 months) and older (6-15 years old) children tended to have lower vaccine effectiveness. The purpose of this study is to investigate whether the recent vaccine can be recommended to all age groups. METHODS The overall adjusted vaccine effectiveness was assessed from the 2013/14 until the 2020/21 season using a test-negative case-control design based on rapid influenza diagnostic test results. Vaccine effectiveness was calculated by influenza type and by age group (6-11 months, 1-2, 3-5, 6-12, and 13-15 years old) with adjustments including influenza seasons. RESULTS A total of 29,400 children (9347, 4435, and 15,618 for influenza A and B, and test-negatives, respectively) were enrolled. The overall vaccine effectiveness against influenza A, A(H1N1)pdm09, and B was significant (44% [95% confidence interval (CI), 41-47], 63% [95 %CI, 51-72], and 37% [95 %CI, 32-42], respectively). The vaccine was significantly effective against influenza A and B, except among children 6 to 11 months against influenza B. The age group with the highest vaccine effectiveness was 1 to 2 years old with both influenza A and B (60% [95 %CI, 55-65] and 52% [95 %CI, 41-61], respectively). Analysis for the 2020/21 season was not performed because no cases were reported. CONCLUSIONS This is the first report showing influenza vaccine effectiveness by age group in children for several seasons, including immediately before the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) era. The fact that significant vaccine effectiveness was observed in nearly every age group and every season shows that the recent vaccine can still be recommended to children for the upcoming influenza seasons, during and after the COVID-19 era.
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Affiliation(s)
- Masayoshi Shinjoh
- Department of Pediatrics, Keio University School of Medicine, 35 Shinanomachi, Shinjuku-ku, Tokyo 160-8582, Japan; Department of Infectious Diseases, Keio University School of Medicine, 35 Shinanomachi, Shinjuku-ku, Tokyo 160-8582, Japan.
| | - Munehiro Furuichi
- Department of Pediatrics, Keio University School of Medicine, 35 Shinanomachi, Shinjuku-ku, Tokyo 160-8582, Japan.
| | - Hisato Kobayashi
- Department of Pediatrics, Keio University School of Medicine, 35 Shinanomachi, Shinjuku-ku, Tokyo 160-8582, Japan.
| | - Yoshio Yamaguchi
- Department of Clinical Research, Department of Infection and Allergy, National Hospital Organization Tochigi Medical Center, 1-10-37 Nakatomaturi, Utsunomiya-City, Tochigi 320-8580, Japan.
| | - Naonori Maeda
- Department of Pediatrics, National Hospital Organization Tokyo Medical Center, 2-5-1, Higashigaoka, Meguro-ku, Tokyo 152-8902, Japan.
| | - Mizuki Yaginuma
- Department of Pediatrics, Keio University School of Medicine, 35 Shinanomachi, Shinjuku-ku, Tokyo 160-8582, Japan; Department of Pediatrics, Hiratsuka City Hospital, 1-19-1 Minamihara, Hiratsuka, Kanagawa 254-0065, Japan.
| | - Ken Kobayashi
- Department of Pediatrics, Yokohama Municipal Citizen's Hospital, 1-1 Mitsuzawanishimachi, Kanagawa-ku, Yokohama 221-0855, Kanagawa, Japan.
| | - Taisuke Nogayama
- Department of Pediatrics, Hiratsuka City Hospital, 1-19-1 Minamihara, Hiratsuka, Kanagawa 254-0065, Japan.
| | - Michiko Chiga
- Department of Pediatrics, Tokyo Metropolitan Ohtsuka Hospital, 2-8-1 Minamiohtsuka, Toshima-ku, Tokyo 170-8476, Japan.
| | - Mio Oshima
- Department of Pediatrics, Tokyo Metropolitan Ohtsuka Hospital, 2-8-1 Minamiohtsuka, Toshima-ku, Tokyo 170-8476, Japan.
| | - Yuu Kuramochi
- Department of Pediatrics, Ota Memorial Hospital, 455-1 Ohshimacho, Ota City, Gunma 273-8585, Japan.
| | - Go Yamada
- Department of Pediatrics, Tokyo Dental College Ichikawa General Hospital, 5-11-13 Sugano, Ichikawa-shi, Chiba 272-8513, Japan; Department of Pediatrics, Kawasaki Municipal Hospital, 12-1 Shinkawadori, Kawasaki-ku, Kawasaki, Kanagawa 210-0013, Japan.
| | - Atsushi Narabayashi
- Department of Pediatrics, Kawasaki Municipal Hospital, 12-1 Shinkawadori, Kawasaki-ku, Kawasaki, Kanagawa 210-0013, Japan.
| | - Ichiro Ookawara
- Department of Pediatrics, Japanese Red Cross Shizuoka Hospital, 8-2 Outemachi, Aoi-ku, Shizuoka 420-0853, Japan.
| | - Mitsuhiro Nishida
- Department of Pediatrics, Shizuoka City Shimizu Hospital, 1231 Miyakami, Shimizu-ku, Shizuoka-shi, Shizuoka 424-8636, Japan.
| | - Kenichiro Tsunematsu
- Department of Pediatrics, Hino Municipal Hospital, 4-3-1 Tamadaira, Hino-shi, Tokyo 191-0061, Japan.
| | - Isamu Kamimaki
- Department of Pediatrics, National Hospital Organization, Saitama Hospital, 2-1 Suwa, Wako-shi, Saitama 351-0102, Japan.
| | - Motoko Shimoyamada
- Department of Pediatrics, Saitama City Hospital, 2460 Mimuro, Midori-ku, Saitama-shi, Saitama 336-0911, Japan.
| | - Makoto Yoshida
- Department of Pediatrics, Sano Kosei General Hospital, 1728 Horigome-chou, Sano-city, Tochigi 327-8511, Japan.
| | - Akimichi Shibata
- Department of Pediatrics, Japanese Red Cross Ashikaga Hospital, 284-1 Yobe-cho, Ashikaga, Tochigi 326-0843, Japan.
| | - Yuji Nakata
- Department of Pediatrics, Nippon Koukan Hospital, 1-2-1Koukan-Dori, Kawasaki, Kanagawa 210-0852, Japan.
| | - Nobuhiko Taguchi
- Department of Pediatrics, Keiyu Hospital, 3-7-3 Minatomirai, Nishi-ku, Yokohama, Kanagawa 220-8581, Japan.
| | - Keiko Mitamura
- Department of Pediatrics, Eiju General Hospital, 2-23-16 Higashiueno, Taito-ku, Tokyo 110-8645, Japan.
| | - Takao Takahashi
- Department of Pediatrics, Keio University School of Medicine, 35 Shinanomachi, Shinjuku-ku, Tokyo 160-8582, Japan.
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Shinjoh M, Furuichi M, Narabayashi A, Kamei A, Yoshida N, Takahashi T. Risk factors in pediatric hospitalization for influenza A and B during the seven seasons immediately before the COVID-19 era in Japan. J Infect Chemother 2021; 27:1735-1742. [PMID: 34454832 DOI: 10.1016/j.jiac.2021.08.020] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/27/2021] [Revised: 08/10/2021] [Accepted: 08/19/2021] [Indexed: 01/23/2023]
Abstract
INTRODUCTION The risk factors in pediatric influenza immediately before the COVID-19 era are not well understood. This study aims to evaluate the risk factors for hospitalization in pediatric influenza A and B for the recent seasons. METHODS Children with a fever of ≥38 °C and laboratory-confirmed influenza at 20 hospitals in outpatient settings in Japan in the 2013/14 to 2019/20 seasons were retrospectively reviewed. Possible risk factors, including gender, age, comorbidities, nursery school or kindergarten attendance, earlier diagnosis, no immunization, lower regional temperature, earlier season, and period of onset, were evaluated using binary logistic regression methods. RESULTS A total of 13,040 (type A, 8861; B, 4179) children were evaluated. Significant risk factors (p < 0.05) in multivariate analyses were young age, lower regional temperature, earlier season, respiratory illness (adjusted odds ratio [aOR]:2.76, 95% confidence interval [CI]:1.84-4.13), abnormal behavior and/or unusual speech (aOR:2.78, 95% CI:1.61-4.80), and seizures at onset (aOR:16.8, 95% CI:12.1-23.3) for influenza A; and young age, lower regional temperature, respiratory illness (aOR:1.99, 95% CI:1.00-3.95), history of febrile seizures (aOR:1.73, 95% CI:1.01-2.99), and seizures at onset (aOR:9.74, 95% CI:5.44-17.4) for influenza B. CONCLUSIONS In addition to previously known factors, including young age, seizures, and respiratory illness, abnormal behavior and/or unusual speech and lower regional temperature are new factors. Negative immunization status was not a risk factor for hospitalization. A better understanding of risk factors may help improve the determination of indications for hospitalization during the future co-circulation of influenza and COVID-19.
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Affiliation(s)
- Masayoshi Shinjoh
- Department of Pediatrics, Keio University School of Medicine, 35 Shinanomachi, Shinjuku-ku, Tokyo, 160-8582, Japan.
| | - Munehiro Furuichi
- Department of Pediatrics, Keio University School of Medicine, 35 Shinanomachi, Shinjuku-ku, Tokyo, 160-8582, Japan.
| | - Atsushi Narabayashi
- Department of Pediatrics, Kawasaki Municipal Hospital, 12-1 Shinkawa-dori, Kawasaki-ku, Kawasaki City, Kanagawa, 210-0013, Japan.
| | - Akinobu Kamei
- Department of Pediatrics, Yokohama Municipal Citizen's Hospital, 1-1 Mitsuzawa Nishimachi, Kanagawa-ku, Yokohama, Kanagawa, 221-0855, Japan.
| | - Naoko Yoshida
- Department of Tropical Medicine and Parasitology, Faculty of Medicine, Juntendo University, 2-1-1 Hongo, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo, 113-8421, Japan.
| | - Takao Takahashi
- Department of Pediatrics, Keio University School of Medicine, 35 Shinanomachi, Shinjuku-ku, Tokyo, 160-8582, Japan.
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Katsuki M, Matsuo M. Relationship Between Medical Questionnaire and Influenza Rapid Test Positivity: Subjective Pretest Probability, "I Think I Have Influenza," Contributes to the Positivity Rate. Cureus 2021; 13:e16679. [PMID: 34462700 PMCID: PMC8390973 DOI: 10.7759/cureus.16679] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 07/28/2021] [Indexed: 11/16/2022] Open
Abstract
Introduction Rapid influenza diagnostic tests (RIDTs) are considered essential for determining when to start influenza treatment using anti-influenza drugs, but their accuracy is about 70%. Under the COVID-19 pandemic, we hope to refrain from performing unnecessary RIDTs considering droplet infection of COVID-19 and influenza. We re-examined the medical questionnaire's importance and its relationship to the positivity of RIDTs. Then we built a positivity prediction model for RIDTs using automated artificial intelligence (AI). Methods We retrospectively investigated 96 patients who underwent RIDTs at the outpatient department from December 2019 to March 2020. We used a questionnaire sheet with 24 items before conducting RIDTs. The factors associated with the positivity of RIDTs were statistically analyzed. We then used an automated AI framework to produce the positivity prediction model using the 24 items, sex, and age, with five-fold cross-validation. Results Of the 47 women and 49 men (median age was 39 years), 56 patients were RIDT positive with influenza A. The AI-based model using 26 variables had an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.980. The stronger variables are subjective pretest probability, which is a numerically described score ranging from 0% to 100% of "I think I have influenza," cough, past hours after the onset, muscle pain, and maximum body temperature in order. Conclusion We easily built the RIDT positivity prediction model using automated AI. Its AUC was satisfactory, and it suggested the importance of a detailed medical interview. Both the univariate analysis and AI-based model suggested that subjective pretest probability, "I think I have influenza," might be useful.
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Affiliation(s)
- Masahito Katsuki
- Department of Neurosurgery, Itoigawa General Hospital, Itoigawa, JPN
| | - Mitsuhiro Matsuo
- Department of Internal Medicine, Itoigawa General Hospital, Itoigawa, JPN
- Department of Anesthesiology, Graduate School of Medicine and Pharmaceutical Sciences, University of Toyama, Toyama, JPN
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