Effects of raster terrain representation on GIS shortest path analysis

Impacts of seasonal flooding on geographical access to maternal healthcare in the Barotse Floodplain, Zambia

BACKGROUND

Seasonal floods pose a commonly-recognised barrier to women's access to maternal services, resulting in increased morbidity and mortality. Despite their importance, previous GIS models of healthcare access have not adequately accounted for floods. This study developed new methodologies for incorporating flood depths, velocities, and extents produced with a flood model into network- and raster-based health access models. The methodologies were applied to the Barotse Floodplain to assess flood impact on women's walking access to maternal services and vehicular emergency referrals for a monthly basis between October 2017 and October 2018.

METHODS

Information on health facilities were acquired from the Ministry of Health. Population density data on women of reproductive age were obtained from the High Resolution Settlement Layer. Roads were a fusion of OpenStreetMap and data manually delineated from satellite imagery. Monthly information on floodwater depth and velocity were obtained from a flood model for 13-months. Referral driving times between delivery sites and EmOC were calculated with network analysis. Walking times to the nearest maternal services were calculated using a cost-distance algorithm.

RESULTS

The changing distribution of floodwaters impacted the ability of women to reach maternal services. At the peak of the dry season (October 2017), 55%, 19%, and 24% of women had walking access within 2-hrs to their nearest delivery site, EmOC location, and maternity waiting shelter (MWS) respectively. By the flood peak, this dropped to 29%, 14%, and 16%. Complete inaccessibility became stark with 65%, 76%, and 74% unable to access any delivery site, EmOC, and MWS respectively. The percentage of women that could be referred by vehicle to EmOC from a delivery site within an hour also declined from 65% in October 2017 to 23% in March 2018.

CONCLUSIONS

Flooding greatly impacted health access, with impacts varying monthly as the floodwave progressed. Additional validation and application to other regions is still needed, however our first results suggest the use of a hydrodynamic model permits a more detailed representation of floodwater impact and there is great potential for generating predictive models which will be necessary to consider climate change impacts on future health access.

Determination of Point-to-Point 3D Routing Algorithm Using LiDAR Data for Noise Prediction

Urban planning, noise propagation modelling, viewshed analysis, etc., require determination of routes or supply lines for propagation. A point-to-point routing algorithm is required to determine the best routes for the propagation of noise levels from source to destination. Various optimization algorithms are present in the literature to determine the shortest route, e.g., Dijkstra, Ant-Colony algorithms, etc. However, these algorithms primarily work over 2D maps and multiple routes. The shortest route determination in 3D from unlabeled data (e.g., precise LiDAR terrain point cloud) is very challenging. The prediction of noise data for a place necessitates extraction of all possible principal routes between every source of noise and its destination, e.g., direct route, the route over the top of the building (or obstruction), routes around the sides of the building, and the reflected routes. It is thus required to develop an algorithm that will determine all the possible routes for propagation, using LiDAR data. The algorithm uses the novel cutting plane technique customized to work with LiDAR data to extract all the principal routes between every pair of noise source and destination. Terrain parameters are determined from routes for modeling. The terrain parameters, and noise data when integrated with a sophisticated noise model give an accurate prediction of noise for a place. The novel point-to-point routing algorithm is developed using LiDAR data of the RGIPT campus. All the shortest routes were tested for their spatial accuracy and efficacy to predict the noise levels accurately. Various routes are found to be accurate within ±9 cm, while predicted noise levels are found to be accurate within ±6 dBA at an instantaneous scale. The novel accurate 3D routing algorithm can improve the other urban applications too.