Ethnic-specific reference range affects the efficacy of quadruple test as a universal screening for Down syndrome in a developing country

Economic evaluation of prenatal screening for fetal aneuploidies in Thailand

Historically, there has been a lack of cost-effectiveness data regarding the inclusion of universal non-invasive prenatal testing (NIPT) for trisomy 21, 18, and 13 in the benefit package of the Universal Health Coverage (UHC) in Thailand. Therefore, this study aimed to perform the cost-benefit analysis of prenatal screening tests and calculate the budget impact that would result from the implementation of a universal NIPT program. A decision-tree model was employed to evaluate cost and benefit of different prenatal chromosomal abnormalities screenings: 1) first-trimester screening (FTS), 2) NIPT, and 3) definitive diagnostic (amniocentesis). The comparison was made between these screenings and no screening in three groups of pregnant women: all ages, < 35 years, and ≥ 35 years. The analysis was conducted from societal and governmental perspectives. The costs comprised direct medical, direct non-medical, and indirect costs, while the benefit was cost-avoidance associated with caring for children with trisomy and the loss of productivity for caregivers. Parameter uncertainties were evaluated through one-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses. From a governmental perspective, all three methods were found to be cost-beneficial. Among them, FTS was identified as the most cost-beneficial, especially for pregnant women aged ≥ 35 years. From a societal perspective, the definitive diagnostic test was not cost-effective, but the other two screening tests were. The most sensitive parameters for FTS and NIPT strategies were the productivity loss of caregivers and the incidence of trisomy 21. Our study suggested that NIPT was the most cost-effective strategy in Thailand, if the cost was reduced to 47 USD. This evidence-based information can serve as a crucial resource for policymakers when making informed decisions regarding the allocation of resources for prenatal care in Thailand and similar context.

Performance of Serum Quad Test in Screening for Fetal Down Syndrome in a Large-Scale Unselected Population in a Developing Country

Objective: To assess the effectiveness of Quad test in the detection of Down syndrome (DS) in routine practice among a large-scale population and to compare the effectiveness of Quad test based on the Western reference model (WM) and that based on Thai reference model (TM). Methods: Quad test was performed on 42,769 pregnancies at 14-21 weeks. The fetal risk of DS derived from Quad test was automatically computed based on WM and used in evaluating the effectiveness. Also, the fetal risk was calculated based on the TM. Results: Of 39,740 women with complete follow-ups including 74 fetuses with DS, with WM, the detection and false positive rates were 81.1% and 7.2%, respectively, whereas the detection and false positive rates with TM were 87.8%, and 6.8%, respectively. According to ROC curves, the performance of Quad test based on TM was slightly but significantly better than that based on WM (AUC of 0.959 vs. 0.940, p = 0.001). Conclusion: Quad test is highly effective in service settings and suitable for developing countries and the effectiveness is even higher when based on ethnicity-specific reference model.

Study on the Effect of B-Ultrasound NT Scan in Early Pregnancy Combined with Serum Screening in Early and Middle Pregnancy for Down Syndrome

Objective

Down syndrome (DS), also known as trisomy 21 syndrome, is a common and most harmful congenital chromosomal genetic disease. This study is aimed at exploring the effect of B-ultrasound NT scan in early pregnancy combined with serum screening in early and middle pregnancy for Down syndrome.

Methods

A total of 168 pregnant women who were diagnosed and treated in the obstetric clinic of our hospital from January 2019 to December 2021 were selected as the research objects. B-ultrasound NT scanning and serum detection in the early and middle trimester of pregnancy were performed, respectively. The accuracy of single detection and combined detection was analyzed and compared with the results of amniotic fluid cell chromosome examination as the gold standard.

Results

There were 4 cases of DS and 165 cases of non-DS. The serum PAPP-A, AFP, and UE levels in DS group were lower than those in non-DS group. β-HCG level and NT value were higher than those in non-DS group (all p < 0.05). Among 168 pregnant women, 5 cases were diagnosed as abnormal by ultrasonography, and 1 case was diagnosed as normal. By serological test, 20 cases with high risk of DS were diagnosed in 4 cases, and 148 cases with low risk of DS were diagnosed in 2 cases. Among 168 cases examined by serology combined with ultrasound, 10 cases with high risk of DS were found, and 4 cases were diagnosed; 158 cases had low risk of DS, and 0 cases were diagnosed. The negative predictive value, specificity, and coincidence rate of DS screening by the three methods were higher, and the positive predictive value and coincidence rate of combined screening were the highest (p < 0.05). The screening risk of Down syndrome was correlated with pregnancy outcome. The abnormal pregnancy rate in high-risk group was significantly higher than that in low-risk group, and the difference was statistically significant (p < 0.05). ROC curve showed that the sensitivity, specificity, and AUC of the combined detection were greater than those of serology and NT.

Conclusion

The application of B-ultrasound NT scan in early pregnancy combined with early and mid-term serum comprehensive screening in the screening of Down's infants is helpful to improve the diagnostic coincidence rate and reduce the occurrence of misdiagnosis.

Utility of fetal facial markers on a second trimester genetic sonogram in screening for Down syndrome in a high-risk Thai population

Background

To establish the reference ranges and evaluate the efficacy of the fetal facial sonomarkers prenasal thickness (PT), nasal bone length (NBL), PT/NBL ratio and NBL/PT ratio for Down syndrome screening in the second trimester of high-risk pregnancies using two-dimensional (2D) ultrasound.

Methods

A prospective study was done in Thai pregnant women at high risk for structural and chromosomal abnormalities between May 2018 and May 2019. The main exclusion criteria were any fetal anatomical anomaly detected on ultrasonography or postpartum examination, abnormal chromosome or syndrome other than Down syndrome. Ultrasounds were performed in 375 pregnant women at 14 to 22 weeks’ gestation and the fetal facial parameters were analyzed. Down syndrome results were confirmed by karyotyping. The reference ranges of these facial ultrasound markers were constructed based on the data of our population. The Down syndrome screening performance using these facial ultrasound markers was evaluated.

Results

In total, 340 euploid fetuses and 11 fetuses with Down syndrome met the inclusion criteria. The PT, NBL, and PT/NBL ratios in the euploid fetuses gradually increased with gestation progression while the NBL/PT ratio gradually decreased between 14–22 weeks’ gestation. The NBL, PT/NBL ratio, and NBL/PT ratio all had 100% sensitivity and PT had 91% sensitivity. These facial markers had 100% negative predictive value for Down syndrome screening in the second trimester. The Bland–Altman analysis showed the intra- and inter-observer variations of PT and NBL had high intraclass correlation coefficients (ICC) in both operators, with ICCs of 0.98 and 0.99 and inter-observer ICCs of 0.99 for both operators.

Conclusion

The facial ultrasound markers are very useful for second trimester Down syndrome screening in our population. These facial ultrasound markers were easily identifiable and highly consistent either intra- or inter-operator by using widely-available 2D ultrasound. However, the reference ranges for these markers need to be constructed based on individual populations.

Trial registration

Registration number: REC 61–029-12–3. Date of registration: 18 May 2018.