Predictors of unfavorable responses to therapy in rifampicin-sensitive pulmonary tuberculosis using an integrated approach of radiological presentation and sputum mycobacterial burden

Construction and Validation of a Nomogram to Identify the Risk of Cavitation in Pulmonary Tuberculosis

Background

The present study aimed to construct and validate a nomogram based on clinical metrics to identify CPTB.

Patients and Methods

The present study retrospectively recruited pulmonary tuberculosis (PTB) patients admitted to Jiashan County First People's Hospital in China from November 2018 to September 2023. PTB patients were classified into the CPTB group and the non-CPTB group based on chest computed tomography findings, and were randomly allocated to the training set (70%) and the validation cohort (30%). The training set and validation set were used to establish and validate nomogram, respectively. Multivariate logistic regression analysis (MLSA) was used to identify the independent risk factors for CPTB in patients with PTB. Statistically significant variables in the MLSA were then used to construct a nomogram predicting CPTB in patients with PTB. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, calibration curve analysis (CCA), and decision curve analysis (DCA) were used for the evaluation of the nomogram.

Results

A total of 293 PTB patients, including 208 in the training set (85 CPTB) and 85 in the validation set (33 CPTB\), were included in this study. Stepwise MLSA showed that sputum smear (≥2+), smoking(yes), glycosylated hemoglobin A1c(HbA1c), hemoglobin (HB), and systemic inflammatory response index (SIRI) were independent risk factors for the development of cavitation in patients with PTB. The nomogram identifying the high-risk CPTB patients was successfully established and showed a strong predictive capacity, with area under the curves (AUCs) of 0.875 (95% CI:0.806-0.909) and 0.848 (95% CI:0.751-0.946) in the training set and validation set respectively. In addition, the CCA and DCA corroborated the nomogram's high level of accuracy and clinical applicability within both the training and validation sets.

Conclusion

The constructed nomogram, consisting of sputum smear positivity, smoking, HbA1C, HB, and SIRI, serves as a practical and effective tool for early identification and personalized management of CPTB.

Association of indicators of extensive disease and rifampin-resistant tuberculosis treatment outcomes: an individual participant data meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Indicators of extensive disease-acid fast bacilli (AFB) smear positivity and lung cavitation-have been inconsistently associated with clinical rifampin-resistant/multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (RR/MDR-TB) outcomes. We evaluated the association of these indicators with end-of-treatment outcomes.

METHODS

We did an individual participant data meta-analysis of people treated for RR/MDR-TB with longer regimens with documented AFB smear and chest radiography findings. We compared people AFB smear-negative without cavities to people: (1) smear-negative with lung cavities; (2) smear-positive without lung cavities and (3) AFB smear-positive with lung cavities. Using multivariable logistic regression accounting for demographic, treatment and clinical factors, we calculated adjusted ORs (aOR) for any unfavourable outcome (death, lost to follow-up, failure/recurrence), and mortality and treatment failure/recurrence alone.

RESULTS

We included 5596 participants; included participants significantly differed from excluded participants. Overall, 774 (13.8%) were AFB smear-negative without cavities, 647 (11.6%) only had cavities, 1424 (25.4%) were AFB smear-positive alone and 2751 (49.2%) were AFB smear-positive with cavities. The median age was 37 years (IQR: 28-47), 3580 (64%) were male and 686 (12.5%) had HIV. Compared with participants AFB smear-negative without cavities, aOR (95% CI) for any unfavourable outcome was 1.0 (0.8 to 1.4) for participants smear-negative with lung cavities, 1.2 (0.9 to 1.5) if smear-positive without cavities and 1.6 (1.3 to 2.0) if AFB smear-positive with lung cavities. Odds were only significantly increased for mortality (1.5, 95% CI 1.1 to 2.1) and failure/recurrence (2.2, 95% CI 1.5 to 3.3) among participants AFB smear-positive with lung cavities.

CONCLUSION

Only the combination of AFB smear-positivity and lung cavitation was associated with unfavourable outcomes, suggesting they may benefit from stronger regimens.

Associations of hyponatremia and SIADH with increased mortality, young age and infection parameters in patients with tuberculosis

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

Hyponatremia and the syndrome of inappropriate antidiuretic hormone secretion (SIADH) are associated with and can be caused by tuberculosis (TB) through meningitis by locally invading the hypothalamus, adrenal, or pituitary glands or possibly through ectopic ADH production. This study assessed the association of TB mortality with hyponatremia and SIADH in a large cohort of a university hospital in Austria.

METHODS

This retrospective study enrolled patients with hyponatremia and patients diagnosed with TB from 01/2001-11/2019 to assess the prevalence of TB in hyponatremia and TB morbidity and mortality in patients with and without hyponatremia. Sex, age, microbiological results, laboratory tests and comorbidities were analysed and used to calculate survival rates.

RESULTS

Of 107.532 patients with hyponatremia (0.07%) and 186 patients with TB (43%), 80 patients were diagnosed with both-hyponatremia and TB. Only three TB patients had SIADH, precluding further SIADH analysis. In hyponatremia, young age and high CRP levels showed significant associations with TB diagnosis (p<0.0001). Survival rates of patients diagnosed with TB with moderate to profound hyponatremia were significantly lower than those without hyponatremia (p = 0.002).

CONCLUSION

In this study of a large cohort from a tertiary care hospital in a non-endemic area of TB, 0.07% of patients presenting with hyponatremia, but especially younger patients and patients with high CRP values, were diagnosed with TB. Crucially, patients with moderate to profound hyponatremia had a significantly higher mortality rate and thus required increased medical care.