The burden of stroke and modifiable risk factors in Ethiopia: A systemic review and meta-analysis

Exploring functional abilities and competing risks among stroke patients: a longitudinal and survival analysis study at Felege Hiwot Referral Hospital, Ethiopia

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to evaluate competing risks and functional ability measures among patients who had a stroke.

DESIGN

A joint model comprising two related submodels was applied: a cause-specific hazard submodel for competing drop-out and stroke-related death risks, and a partial proportional odd submodel for longitudinal functional ability.

SETTING

Felege Hiwot Referral Hospital, Ethiopia.

PARTICIPANTS

The study included 400 patients who had a stroke from the medical ward outpatient stroke unit at Felege Hiwot Referral Hospital, who were treated from September 2018 to August 2021.

RESULTS

Among the 400 patients who had a stroke, 146 (36.5%) died and 88 (22%) dropped out. At baseline, 14% of patients had no symptoms and/or disability while 24% had slight disability, and 25% had severe disability. Most patients (37.04%) exhibited moderate functional ability. The presence of diabetes increased the cause-specific hazard of death by 3.95 times (95% CI 2.16 to 7.24) but decreased the cause-specific hazard of drop-out by 95% (aHR 0.05; 95% CI 0.01 to 0.46) compared with non-diabetic patients who had a stroke.

CONCLUSION

A substantial proportion of patients who had a stroke experienced mortality and drop-out during the study period, highlighting the importance of considering competing risks in stroke research. Age, diabetes, white cell count and stroke complications were significant covariates affecting both longitudinal and survival submodels. Compared with stand-alone models, the joint competing risk modelling technique offers comprehensive insights into the disease's transition pattern.

Treatment outcomes, types, risk factors, and common manifestations of stroke among admitted stroke patients in Ethiopia: Systematic review and meta-analyses

INTRODUCTION

Stroke is the sudden onset of a reduced cerebral perfusion-related localized or widespread neurologic impairment. The two main causes of poor treatment outcomes are uncontrolled blood pressure and hospital arrival delays. Identifying the risk factors, types of stroke presentation, and treatment options might be used in the prevention, early detection, and management of stroke to provide the best care to patients.

OBJECTIVE

This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to assess the treatment outcomes, types, and risk factors of stroke patients in Ethiopia.

METHODS

A variety of databases were searched, including African Journals Online (AJOL), Google Scholar, Scopus, EMBASE (Ovid), and HINARI, and published and unpublished articles from the Ethiopian Universities repository. To pool the outcome variables, a weighted inverse variance random-effects model at 95% Cl was employed. Heterogeneity and publication bias were assessed using Cochrane I2 statistics and Egger's test with funnel plot, respectively. A subgroup analysis was conducted based on sample size, case definition, and region to detect source of heterogeneity.

RESULT

This study contained data from 26 studies, involving 6291 study participants, from different regions of Ethiopia. Out of 19 articles with I2 = 96.1%, p<0.001, the pooled prevalence of improved stroke treatment outcome was 47.50% (95% CI: 40.20-54.80), while the prevalence of mortality was 18.95% (95% CI: 15.62-22.29) from 19 articles with I2 = 87.9%, p<0.001. In Ethiopia, ischemic stroke accounted for 59.34% of all stroke cases (95% CI: 53.73-64.95). Among risk factors, substance abuse ranked second at 36.58% (95% CI: 25.22-47.93), after hypertension at 50.90% (95% CI: 43.77-56.27). According to the findings, hemiparalysis or hemiplegia was mentioned as a frequent clinical sign associated with stroke (56.87%) (95% CI: 45.65-68.06).

CONCLUSION

The improved treatment outcome was not satisfactory, and the most common type of stroke was an ischemic stroke. Hypertension was the most common risk factor, followed by substance use. As a result, there should be a strengthening of post-stroke care and the creation of awareness about the risk factors and clinical manifestations for prevention and early detection of stroke in Ethiopian people.

30-day in-hospital stroke case fatality and significant risk factors in sub-Saharan-Africa: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Existing studies investigating 30-day in-hospital stroke case fatality rates in sub-Saharan Africa have produced varying results, underscoring the significance of obtaining precise and reliable estimations for this indicator. Consequently, this study aimed to conduct a systematic review and update of the current scientific evidence regarding 30-day in-hospital stroke case fatality and associated risk factors in sub-Saharan Africa. Medline/PubMed, Cumulative Index to Nursing and Allied Health Literature (CINAHL), APA PsycNet (encompassing PsycINFO and PsychArticle), Google Scholar, and Africa Journal Online (AJOL) were systematically searched to identify potentially relevant articles. Two independent assessors extracted the data from the eligible studies using a pre-tested and standardized excel spreadsheet. Outcomes were 30-day in-hospital stroke case fatality and associated risk factors. Data was pooled using random effects model. Ninety-three (93) studies involving 42,057 participants were included. The overall stroke case fatality rate was 27% [25%-29%]. Subgroup analysis revealed 24% [21%-28%], 25% [21%-28%], 29% [25%-32%] and 31% [20%-43%] stroke case fatality rates in East Africa, Southern Africa, West Africa, and Central Africa respectively. Stroke severity, stroke type, untyped stroke, and post-stroke complications were identified as risk factors. The most prevalent risk factors were low (<8) Glasgow Coma Scale score, high (≥10) National Institute Health Stroke Scale score, aspiration pneumonia, hemorrhagic stroke, brain edema/intra-cranial pressure, hyperglycemia, untyped stroke (stroke diagnosis not confirmed by neuroimaging), recurrent stroke and fever. The findings indicate that one in every four in-hospital people with stroke in sub-Saharan Africa dies within 30 days of admission. Importantly, the identified risk factors are mostly modifiable and preventable, highlighting the need for context-driven health policies, clinical guidelines, and treatments targeting these factors.

Diabetes Mellitus as a risk factor for stroke among Nigerians: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Background

Diabetes mellitus is one of the modifiable risk factors for stroke. Stroke is common in Nigeria, but there is a paucity of national data on the frequency of diabetes in stroke. This study aimed to estimate to what extent diabetes a risk factor for stroke in Nigeria.

Methods

The study design is a systematic review, and the PRISMA guidelines were strictly followed. African Journal Online (AJOL), PubMed, SCOPUS and Google Scholar were systematically searched. The Newcastle-Ottawa scale was used to assess the quality, heterogeneity was determined with the I² statistic, and the DerSimonian Laird random effect model was selected for the meta-analysis.

Results

The studies were distributed across different regions of the country. The total sample size was 9397. The weighted average age of the patients with stroke was 53.7 years. The attributable risk of diabetes in stroke, among Nigerian patients, was 0.20 (95% CI: 0.17-0.22; p < 0.0001). The attributable risk has been rising steadily since the advent of the new century, and it is relatively higher in southern Nigeria.

Conclusion

The attributable risk of diabetes in stroke, among Nigerian patients is high. This varies across the regions but it is rising progressively nationally.

Survival status and predictors of mortality among adult Stroke patients admitted to Jimma University Medical Center, South west Ethiopia: A retrospective Cohort study

Background

Stroke is the leading cause of cardiovascular disease death in sub-Saharan Africa and the second leading cause of mortality worldwide. In 2016, 6.23% of all fatalities in Ethiopia were stroke-related.

Objective

To assess survival status and predictors of mortality among adult stroke patients admitted to Jimma University Medical Center from April 1/2017 to March 31/2022.

Methods

A retrospective cohort study was conducted on 480 adult stroke patients selected by simple random sampling from patients admitted to the Jimma University Medical Center Stroke Unit from April 1, 2017 to March 31, 2022. Data were extracted from May to June 2022 and entered Epi-data v.3.1 and analyzed by R v.4.2. The Kaplan-Meier curve with Log rank test was used to estimate survival time and to compare survival experience between categories of explanatory variables. The Cox regression model was computed to identify predictors of survival status in stroke patients. Then the 95% CI of the hazard ratio was set with corresponding p-value < 0.05 to declare statistical significance.

Results

During 4350 person-days of follow-up; 88 (18.33%) patients died; resulting in an incidence mortality of 20.23 per 1000 person-days, with a median survival time of 38 days. Glasgow coma score <8 on admission (AHR = 7.71; 95% CI: 3.78, 15.69), dyslipidemia (AHR = 3.96; 95% CI: 2.04, 7.69), aspiration pneumonia (AHR 2.30; 95% CI: 1.23-4.26), and increased intracranial pressure (AHR = 4.27; 95% CI: 2.33, 7.81), were the independent predictors of the time until death.

Conclusion

The incidence of stroke mortality was higher at the seven and fourteen days. Glasgow Coma Scale, increased intracranial pressure, dyslipidemia, and aspiration pneumonia were independent predictors of mortality.

Knowledge of stroke risk factors and warning symptoms among adults with type 2 diabetes in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia, 2021: an institution-Based cross-sectional study

BACKGROUND

Stroke is a global public health concern with type 2 diabetes being one of the common risk factors. Knowledge of stroke risk factors and warning symptoms among type 2 diabetes patients is largely unknown in developing countries like Ethiopia. The inability to recognize stroke warning symptoms accurately is an important cause of delay in seeking medical attention. We investigated knowledge of stroke risk factors and warning symptoms among adults with type 2 diabetes and the factors associated with these variables.

METHODS

This was an institution-based cross-sectional study. We enrolled 470 adult type 2 diabetes patients using a systematic random sampling method from four government-managed hospitals in Addis Ababa from 1 to 30 February 2021. The Stroke Recognition Questionnaire was adapted to measure the knowledge of stroke risk factors and warning symptoms. Sociodemographic characteristics, source of information, and reaction to stroke were also measured. Data were analyzed using SPSS version 25 and linear regression analysis was used to determine factors independently associated with knowledge of stroke risk factors and warning symptoms.

RESULT

The mean age of the participants was 50.6 ± 12.9 years. The mean score of knowledge of stroke risk factors and warning symptoms was 67.2% and 63.9%, respectively. Higher educational level (B = 2.007, 95% CI = 1.101, 2.914, P < 0.001), knowing someone diagnosed with stroke (B = 3.328, 95% CI = 2.734, 3.922, P < 0.001), and living with others (B = 2.28, 95% CI = 1.606, 2.954, P < 0.001) were independently associated with knowledge of stroke risk factors. Younger age (B = - 0.021, 95% CI= -0.038, 0.005, P = 0.01), higher educational level (B = 1.873, 95% CI = 1.017, 2.730, P < 0.001), and knowing someone diagnosed with stroke (B = 3.64, 95% CI = 3.079, 4.200, P < 0.001) were independently associated with knowledge of warning symptoms of stroke.

CONCLUSION

The mean score of knowledge of stroke risk factors and warning symptoms was 67.2% and 63.9%, respectively. Younger age, higher educational level, and living with other people are predictors of better knowledge of stroke risk factors and warning symptoms in this study. Future educational interventions should target type 2 diabetes adults with advancing age and the involvement of their family members.

The prevalence of stroke among adults in Ethiopia from 2012 to 2022: A systematic review and meta-analysis protocol

INTRODUCTION

Stroke is one of the most common causes of death and acquired disability worldwide. The burden of death and disability-adjusted life-years lost (DALYs) in lower-and-middle income countries (LMIC), were 86% and 89%, respectively. Ethiopia, one of SSA countries, is being affected by stroke and its consequence. The conception and development of this systematic review and meta-analysis protocol primarily based on the gap we noted from the previous systematic review and meta-analysis. Thus, this review will fill knowledge gap by identifying and analyzing studies that used sound method in determiningthe last ten years stroke prevalence in Ethiopia.

METHODS

This systematic review and meta-analysis will follow Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-analyses guideline. Both published articles and gray literature will be gathered from online databases. Cross-sectional, case control, and cohort studies will be included as long as these studies report the magnitude of the problem under study. Both community and facility-based studies conducted in Ethiopia will be included. Those studies that did not report the main outcome variable will be excluded. Joanna Bridge Institute appraisal checklist will be used to assess the quality of individual studies. Two reviewers will independently appraise the full articles of studies related to our topic of interest. I2 and p-value will be used to check for heterogeneity of the studies' outcome. Meta-regression will be used to identify source of heterogeneity. We will assess the presence of publication bias using funnel plot. PROSPERO registration number: CRD42022380945.

Angiotensin-converting enzyme gene insertion/deletion polymorphism and risk of ischemic stroke complication among patients with hypertension in the Ethiopian population

Background

Ischemic stroke is a complicated, multifaceted condition brought on by a confluence of vascular, environmental, and genetic variables. The burden of ischemic stroke is currently rising in terms of death, morbidity, and disability worldwide. Genetic variables also play significant roles in the pathophysiology of hypertension and ischemic stroke in addition to the greatest effects of demographic, clinical, and behavioral risk factors. The key functional variation of the ACE gene that has drawn the most interest is the ACE I/D variant. Even though the ACE gene I/D polymorphism has been widely studied, the findings of investigations on the involvement of this polymorphism in ischemic stroke were contradictory and provide conflicting data. The goal of this study was to look into the effect of the ACE gene I/D polymorphism on the risk of ischemic stroke in patients with hypertension.

Methods

A hospital-based case-control study was carried out in 36 cases of patients with hypertensive IS and 36 age- and sex-matched healthy controls. Clinical and biochemical parameters were measured to assess the associated risk factors. The DNA was isolated from blood samples, and the ACE I/D genotypes were identified using polymerase chain reaction and analyzed by agarose gel electrophoresis.

Results

The ACE-DD genotype (OR = 3.71, 95% CI = 1.02-13.5; P < 0.05) and D allele (OR = 2.07, 95% CI = 1.06-4.03; P < 0.05) were significantly more common in patients than in controls, indicating that it is a risk factor for the development of ischemic stroke in hypertensive individuals.

Conclusion

There is a significant correlation between the ACE gene I/D polymorphism and the development of ischemic stroke in patients with a history of hypertension in the Ethiopian population.

Cause-Specific Mortality Fraction (CSMF) of adult mortality in Butajira, South Central Ethiopia

Cause- and context-specific mortality data are imperative to understand the extent of health problems in low-income settings, where national death registration and cause of death identification systems are at a rudimentary stage. Aiming to estimate cause-specific mortality fractions, adult (15+ years) deaths between January 2008 and April 2020 were extracted from the Butajira health and demographic surveillance system electronic database. The physician review and a computerized algorithm, InterVA (Interpreting Verbal Autopsy), methods were used to assign the likely causes of death from January 2008 to April 2017 (the first) and May 2017 to April 2020 (the second) phase of the surveillance period, respectively. Initially, adult mortality rates per 1000py across sex and age were summarized. A total of 1,625 deaths were captured in 280, 461 person-years, with an overall mortality rate of 5.8 (95%CI: 5.5, 6.0) per 1000py. Principally, mortality fractions for each specific cause of death were estimated, and for 1,571 deaths, specific causes were determined. During the first phase, the leading cause of death was tuberculosis (13.6%), followed by hypertension (6.6%) and chronic liver disease (5.9%). During the second phase, digestive neoplasms (17.3%), tuberculosis (12.1%), and stroke (9.4%) were the leading causes of death, respectively. Moreover, tuberculosis was higher among persons aged 50+ (15.0%), males (13.8%), and in rural areas (14.1%) during the first phase. Hypertensive diseases were higher among females (7.9%) and in urbanities. In the second phase, digestive neoplasms were higher in the age group of 50-64 years (25.4%) and females (19.0%), and stroke was higher in older adults (65+) (10%) and marginally higher among males (9.7%). Our results showed that tuberculosis and digestive neoplasms were the most common causes of death. Hence, prevention, early detection, and management of cases at all levels of the existing healthcare system should be prioritized to avert premature mortality.