Time to under-five mortality and its predictors in rural Ethiopia: Cox-gamma shared frailty model

Time to death and its determinants of under-five children in rural Ethiopia by using shared frailty

Under-five (U5M) is one of the most significant and sensitive measures of the community's health. Children who live in rural areas are more likely than those who live in urban areas to die before the age of five. Therefore, the study aimed to assess the Survival status of under-five mortality and its determinants in rural Ethiopia. The 2019 Ethiopia Mini Demographic and Health Survey was used in this study as a secondary source (EMDHS). A total of 4426 weighted under-five children were included in the study. To determine survival time and identify predictors of death among children under the age of five, the Cox's gamma shared frailty model and the Kaplan Meier model, respectively, were used. An adjusted Hazard Ratio (AHR) along with a 95% Confidence Interval (CI) were used to measure the size and direction of the association. The Study showed that in rural Ethiopia, 6.03% of children died before celebrating their first birthday. The median age of under-five mortality in rural Ethiopia was estimated to be 29 Months. The hazard of death among under-five children and those who had given birth to two children in the last five years was 4.99 times less likely to be at risk of dying than those who had given birth to one Child in the previous five years (AHR 4.99, 95% CI 2.97, 8.83). The Study Concluded that under-five mortality remained high in rural Ethiopia. In the final model, the Age of Mothers, Sex of Household, Breastfeeding, Types of Birth, Sex of Child, Educational Level of Mothers, Wealth Index, Child ever born, Marital Status, and Water Source were significant predictors of under-five mortality. Twins and children who are not breastfed should receive additional attention, along with improving water resources for households and mothers income.

Distribution of ß-Lactamase Genes Among Multidrug-Resistant and Extended-Spectrum ß-Lactamase-Producing Diarrheagenic Escherichia coli from Under-Five Children in Ethiopia

Purpose

Escherichia coli strains that produce extended-spectrum ß-lactamase (ESBL) and carbapenemase are among the major threats to global health. The objective of the present study was to determine the distribution of ß-lactamase genes among multidrug-resistant (MDR) and ESBL-producing Diarrheagenic E. coli (DEC) pathotypes isolated from under-five children in Ethiopia.

Patients and Methods

A cross-sectional study was conducted in Addis Ababa and Debre Berhan, Ethiopia. It was a health-facility-based study and conducted between December 2020 and August 2021. A total of 476 under-five children participated in the study. DEC pathotypes were detected by conventional Polymerase Chain Reaction (PCR) assay. After evaluating the antimicrobial susceptibility profile of the DEC strains by disk diffusion method, confirmation test was done for ESBL and carbapenemase production. ß-lactamase encoding genes were identified from phenotypically ESBLs and carbapenemase positive DEC strains using PCR assay.

Results

In total, 183 DEC pathotypes were isolated from the 476 under-five children. Seventy-nine (43%, 79/183) MDR-DEC pathotypes were identified. MDR was common among enteroaggregative E. coli (EAEC) (58%, 44/76), followed by enterotoxigenic E. coli (ETEC) (44%, 17/39)) and enteroinvasive E. coli (EIEC) (30%, 7/23). Phenotypically, a total of 30 MDR-DEC pathotypes (16.4%, 30/183) were tested positive for ESBLs. Few ETEC (5.1%, 2/39) and EAEC (2.6%, 2/76) were carbapenemase producers. The predominant β-lactamase genes identified was blaTEM (80%, 24/30) followed by blaCTX-M (73%, 22/30), blaSHV (60%, 18/30), blaNDM (13%, 4/30), and blaOXA-48 (13%, 4/30). Majority of the ß-lactamase encoding genes were detected in EAEC (50%) and ETEC (20%). Co-existence of different β-lactamase genes was found in the present study.

Conclusion

The blaTEM, blaCTX-M, blaSHV, blaNDM, and blaOXA-48, that are associated with serious and urgent threats globally, were detected in diarrheagenic E. coli isolates from under-five children in Ethiopia. This study also revealed the coexistence of the β-lactamase genes.

Determinant factors of under-five mortality in rural Ethiopia

Background

Methods

Results

Conclusion

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Ethiopia's under-five mortality rate is still high in the nation's rural areas despite a slight drop.

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A total of 4414 weighted under-five children from the EMDHS 2019 dataset were included from nine geographical regions and two administrative cities of Ethiopia.

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Out of 4414 total under-five children, 267(6%) of them were dead before the age of five years.

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From the current study the researcher Conclude that under-five mortality was very high in rural Ethiopia.

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This research suggests that encouraging women to birth in health facilities and expanding possibilities for mothers' education for rural residents will assist to lessen the burden of under-five mortality.