Determination of risk factors of postoperative pneumonia in elderly patients with hip fracture: What can we do?

Moderate to severe anemia at admission increases the risk of complications in patients over 60 years with hip fracture

BACKGROUND

Anemia frequently occurs in patients with hip fractures and represents a risk factor that can potentially be altered. To evaluate the association between admission anemia and complications in older hip fracture patients while exploring the potential impact of anemia on complications from the perspective of overall, operation and non-operation.

METHODS

This retrospective study enrolled in-patients over 60 years old with hip fractures from January 2020 to November 2023. At admission, anemic patients were identified as having a hemoglobin level below 12 g/dL in females and 13 g/dL in males. Anemia was further classified as mild, moderate, or severe. Data encompassing demographics, comorbidities, medications, information on fracture and surgery, and complications were collected.

RESULTS

A total of 462/679 patients had anemia, including 348, 105, and 9 with mild, moderate, and severe anemia, respectively. A total of 281 individuals experienced complications, including 212 and 69 with and without operation, respectively. Multivariate regression analysis identified anemia as a greater risk for acute heart failure (OR = 2.056, p = 0.037, 95% CI 1.043-4.052) than non-anemia. Moderate to severe anemia was a significant risk factor for any complication (OR = 1.584, p = 0.028, 95% CI 1.050-2.390), ≥ 2 (OR = 2.364, p = 0.001, 95% CI 1.443-3.872) or 3 (OR = 2.311, p = 0.022, 95% CI 1.131-4.720) complications, delirium (OR = 2.301, p = 0.018, 95% CI 1.156-4.579), venous thromboembolism (OR = 2.031, p = 0.042, 95% CI 1.025-4.025), and acute heart failure (OR = 2.095, p = 0.016, 95% CI 1.145-3.834), compared with mild to non-anemia. Similar results were observed in operated patients, while anemia and its severity were not associated with complications in non-operated patients.

CONCLUSION

Moderate to severe anemia caused complications in elderly hip fracture patients, but it was not observed in non-operated individuals. These findings would support orthopedic physicians' hierarchical management of anemic patients.

Major comorbid diseases as predictors of infection in the first month after hip fracture surgery: a population-based cohort study in 92,239 patients

PURPOSE

Comorbidity level is a predictor of infection in the first 30 days after hip fracture surgery. However, the roles of individual comorbid diseases as predictors of infection remain unclear. We investigated individual major comorbid diseases as predictors of infection after hip fracture surgery.

METHODS

We obtained Danish population-based medical registry data for patients undergoing hip fracture surgery (2004-2018). Information was obtained on 27 comorbidities, included in various comorbidity indices, 5 years before surgery. The primary outcome was any hospital-treated infection within 30 days after surgery. Cumulative incidence of infection was calculated by considering death as competing risk. We used logistic regression to compute mutually adjusted odds ratios with 95% confidence interval for infection.

RESULTS

Of 92,239 patients with hip fracture, 71% were women, and the median age was 83 years. The most prevalent comorbidities were hypertension (23%), heart arrhythmia (15%), and cerebrovascular disease (14%). The 30-day incidence of infection was 15% and 12% among the total cohort and among patients with no record of comorbidities, respectively. Infection incidence was highest among patients with renal disease (24%), depression/anxiety (23%), and chronic pulmonary disease (23%), and lowest among patients with metastatic solid tumor (15%). Adjusted odds ratios of infection ranged from 0.94 [0.80-1.10] for metastatic solid tumor to 1.77 [1.63-1.92] for renal disease.

CONCLUSION

Most comorbid diseases were predictors of infection after surgery for hip fracture. Awareness of patients' comorbidity profiles might help clinicians initiate preventive measures or inform patients of their expected risk.

Incorporating preoperative frailty to assist in early prediction of postoperative pneumonia in elderly patients with hip fractures: an externally validated online interpretable machine learning model

BACKGROUND

This study aims to implement a validated prediction model and application medium for postoperative pneumonia (POP) in elderly patients with hip fractures in order to facilitate individualized intervention by clinicians.

METHODS

Employing clinical data from elderly patients with hip fractures, we derived and externally validated machine learning models for predicting POP. Model derivation utilized a registry from Nanjing First Hospital, and external validation was performed using data from patients at the Fourth Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University. The derivation cohort was divided into the training set and the testing set. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) and multivariable logistic regression were used for feature screening. We compared the performance of models to select the optimized model and introduced SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) to interpret the model.

RESULTS

The derivation and validation cohorts comprised 498 and 124 patients, with 14.3% and 10.5% POP rates, respectively. Among these models, Categorical boosting (Catboost) demonstrated superior discrimination ability. AUROC was 0.895 (95%CI: 0.841-0.949) and 0.835 (95%CI: 0.740-0.930) on the training and testing sets, respectively. At external validation, the AUROC amounted to 0.894 (95% CI: 0.821-0.966). The SHAP method showed that CRP, the modified five-item frailty index (mFI-5), and ASA body status were among the top three important predicators of POP.

CONCLUSION

Our model's good early prediction ability, combined with the implementation of a network risk calculator based on the Catboost model, was anticipated to effectively distinguish high-risk POP groups, facilitating timely intervention.

Postoperative pneumonia after femoral fracture surgery: an in-depth retrospective analysis

BACKGROUND

Femoral fractures significantly contribute to disability, predominantly in the elderly. Despite this, data on postoperative pneumonia following femoral fracture surgeries remains sparse. Our study sought to explore the incidence and impact of postoperative pneumonia on outcomes following such surgeries.

METHODS

A retrospective study analyzed femoral fracture patients hospitalized from 2016 to 2022. We scrutinized postoperative outcomes, including pneumonia, hospital stay duration, intensive care unit (ICU) admissions, and in-hospital mortality. We established stringent diagnostic criteria for postoperative pneumonia, incorporating both clinical signs and radiological evidence, excluding patients with prior infections or those discharged within 24 h post-surgery. Statistical analyses involved Chi-square and t-tests, linear regression, and logestic regression using SPSS.

RESULTS

Out of 636 patients, 10.8% were diagnosed with postoperative pneumonia. The average age was 79.55 ± 8.57 years, with a male prevalence of 47.8%. Common comorbidities were hypertension (78.3%), diabetes (60.9%), and cardiovascular diseases (40.6%). Surgical interventions were categorized as intramedullary nailing (40.6%), partial hip replacement (37.7%), and dynamic hip screw (21.7%). Postoperative pneumonia was associated with older age (AOR = 1.053, 95% CI 1.020 to 1.087, p = 0.002), ICU admission (AOR = 2.283, 95% CI 1.256 to 4.148, p = 0.007), and longer length of hospital stay (AOR = 1.079, 95% CI 1.030 to 1.130, p = 0.001). The presence of pneumonia was associated with a 2.621-day increase in hospitalization after adjusting for other variables (p < 0.001, 95% CI: 1.454 to 3.789).

CONCLUSION

This study accentuates the clinical significance of postoperative pneumonia in femoral fracture patients, with a noted incidence of 10.8%. A notable association with older age, prolonged hospital stays, and ICU admissions was observed, underscoring the necessity of addressing this complication to improve patient outcomes and healthcare resource allocation.

Random forest predictive modeling of prolonged hospital length of stay in elderly hip fracture patients

Background

In elderly individuals suffering from hip fractures, a prolonged hospital length of stay (PLOS) not only heightens the probability of patient complications but also amplifies mortality risks. Yet, most elderly hip fracture patients present compromised baseline health conditions. Additionally, PLOS leads to increased expenses for patient treatment and care, while also diminishing hospital turnover rates. This, in turn, jeopardizes the prompt allocation of beds for urgent cases.

Methods

A retrospective study was carried out from October 2021 to November 2023 on 360 elderly hip fracture patients who underwent surgical treatment at West China Hospital. The 75th percentile of the total patient cohort's hospital stay duration, which was 12 days, was used to define prolonged hospital length of stay (PLOS). The cohort was divided into training and testing datasets with a 70:30 split. A predictive model was developed using the random forest algorithm, and its performance was validated and compared with the Lasso regression model.

Results

Out of 360 patients, 103 (28.61%) experienced PLOS. A Random Forest classification model was developed using the training dataset, identifying 10 essential variables. The Random Forest model achieved perfect performance in the training set, with an area under the curve (AUC), balanced accuracy, Kappa value, and F1 score of 1.000. In the testing set, the model's performance was assessed with an AUC of 0.846, balanced accuracy of 0.7294, Kappa value of 0.4325, and F1 score of 0.6061.

Conclusion

This study aims to develop a prognostic model for predicting delayed discharge in elderly patients with hip fractures, thereby improving the accuracy of predicting PLOS in this population. By utilizing machine learning models, clinicians can optimize the allocation of medical resources and devise effective rehabilitation strategies for geriatric hip fracture patients. Additionally, this method can potentially improve hospital bed turnover rates, providing latent benefits for the healthcare system.

Orthogeriatric Care Following Hip Fracture: Improving Post-Operative Outcomes in an Aged Population

INTRODUCTION

Hip fractures globally are associated with high levels of morbidity, mortality, and significant financial burden. This audit aimed to assess the impact of orthogeriatric liaison care on post-operative outcomes following surgical management of neck or femur fractures.

METHODS

Here, 258 patients who underwent hip fracture surgery over 1-year were included. Data were collected as an audit following the transition to an orthogeriatric liaison care model, involving regular orthogeriatric review (thrice weekly ward rounds, daily board rounds), superseding orthogeriatric review as requested. The audit is meant to assess the development of post-operative non-surgical site infection (NSSI) and mortality and duration of inpatient stay. Outcomes were compared to previous data from our hospital site in 2015/2016.

RESULTS

Patients with severe cognitive impairment and systemic disease (Abbreviated Mental Test Score (AMTS) < 7 and American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) grade ≥ 3) showed significantly elevated NSSI risk, consistent across the study periods. Both periods demonstrated an increased risk of NSSI associated with admission from nursing homes. Despite the 2021/2022 cohort being notably older, NSSI risk decreased from 40.6% to 37.2% after implementing the orthogeriatric care model. NSSI risk was notably reduced for severe cognitive impairment (51.6% vs. 71%), and the p-value was 0.025. Average hospital stay decreased post-intervention (2.4 days shorter), with a notable reduction for NSSI patients (3.4 days shorter). Overall mortality rates were similar, although mortality due to infection was significantly reduced in 2021/2022 (44.4% vs. 93.3%), and the p-value was 0.003.

CONCLUSION

The orthogeriatric liaison care model significantly decreased NSSI only in individuals with severe cognitive impairment and infection-associated mortality. This highlights the integral role of orthogeriatricians in the care of elderly hip fracture patients.

Risk factors for hospital-acquired pneumonia in hip fracture patients: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to comprehensively assess the prevalence and risk factors for Hospital-acquired pneumonia (HAP) in hip fracture patients by meta-analysis.

METHODS

Systematically searched 4 English databases and 4 Chinese databases from inception until October 20, 2022. All studies involving risk factors of HAP in patients with hip fractures will be considered. Newcastle-Ottawa Scale was used to evaluate the quality of the included studies. The results were presented through Review Manager 5.4 with the pooled odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval.

RESULTS

Of 35 articles included in this study, the incidence of HAP was 8.9%. 43 risk factors for HAP were initially included, 23 were eventually involved in the meta-analysis, and 21 risk factors were significant. Among them, the 4 most frequently mentioned risk factors were as follows: Advanced age (OR 1.07, 95% CI 1.05-1.10), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) (OR 3.44, 95% CI 2.83-4.19), time from injury to operation (OR 1.09, 95% CI 1.07-1.12), time from injury to operation ≥ 48 hours (OR 3.59, 95% CI 2.88-4.48), and hypoalbuminemia < 3.5g/dL (OR 2.68, 95% CI 2.15-3.36).

DISCUSSION

Hip fracture patients diagnosed with COPD have a 3.44 times higher risk of HAP compared to the general hip fracture patients. The risk of HAP also increases with age, with patients over 70 having a 2.34-fold higher risk and those over 80 having a 2.98-fold higher risk. These findings highlight the need for tailored preventive measures and timely interventions in vulnerable patient populations. Additionally, hip fracture patients who wait more than 48 hours for surgery have a 3.59-fold higher incidence of HAP. This emphasizes the importance of swift surgical intervention to minimize HAP risk. However, there are limitations to consider in this study, such as heterogeneity in selected studies, inclusion of only factors identified through multivariate logistic regression, and the focus on non-randomized controlled trial studies.

Risk factors for hospital-acquired pneumonia in hip fracture patients: a systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to systematically assess the incidence and risk factors for hospital-acquired pneumonia (HAP) in hip fracture patients by meta-analysis.

METHODS

Systematically searched four English databases (PubMed, EMBASE, The Cochrane Library, and Web Of Science) and four Chinese databases (CNKI, CQVIP, Sinomed, and WAN FANG) from inception until 20 November 2023. All studies involving risk factors of HAP in patients with hip fractures were considered. Newcastle-Ottawa Scale was used to evaluate the quality of the included studies. The results were presented with the pooled odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval (95% CI).

RESULTS

Of 35 articles (337,818 patients) included in this study, the incidence of HAP was 89 per 1000 cases. Twenty-three risk factors were eventually involved in the meta-analysis, and 21 risk factors were significant. Our study has identified four significant risk factors (advanced age, preoperative time, COPD, and hypoalbuminemia) associated with HAP, as follows: Advanced age as a continuous variable (OR 1.07, 95% CI 1.05-1.10), Advanced age > 70 years (OR 2.34, 95% CI 1.77-3.09), Advanced age > 80 years (OR 2.98, 95% CI 2.06-4.31), Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) (OR 3.44, 95% CI 2.83-4.19), Time from injury to operation as a continuous variable (OR 1.09, 95% CI 1.07-1.12), Time from injury to operation ≥48 h (OR 3.59, 95% CI 2.88-4.48), Hypoalbuminemia < 3.0 g/dL (OR 3.03, 95% CI 1.93-4.73), and Hypoalbuminemia < 3.5 g/dL (OR 2.68, 95% CI 2.15-3.36). However, it is important to note that all the studies included in our research were retrospective in nature, which introduces certain limitations to the level of evidence and the ability to establish causal inferences.

DISCUSSION

Patients who have suffered hip fractures are at an increased risk of developing postoperative hospital-acquired pneumonia, which can lead to prolonged hospital stays and adverse clinical outcomes. Consequently, the identification of these risk factors offers novel insights and methodologies for healthcare professionals in terms of both prevention and treatment.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

Registration number: INPLASY2022100091.

Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), and systemic immune inflammation index (SII) to predict postoperative pneumonia in elderly hip fracture patients

PURPOSE

Investigate the association between the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), and systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) about the presence of postoperative pneumonia (POP) in geriatric patients with hip fractures. Compare the predictive value of these biomarkers for POP and assess their potential for early detection of POP.

METHODS

We retrospectively included elderly patients with hip fractures who underwent surgical treatment at our institution. POP was diagnosed according to the guidelines provided by the American Thoracic Society. We collected neutrophil, lymphocyte, and platelet counts upon admission to calculate the NLR, PLR, and SII. Receiver operating characteristic curves were utilized to establish the optimal cutoff values for each index. Multivariate logistic regression analysis and propensity score matching analysis were utilized to assess the independent association between each index and POP after adjusting for demographic, comorbidity, and surgery-related variables.

RESULTS

The study included a total of 1199 patients, among whom 111 cases (9.26%) developed POP. NLR exhibited the highest predictive value for POP in elderly patients with hip fractures compared to PLR and SII (AUC = 0.648, 95% CI 0.594-0.701). A high NLR, using the optimal cutoff value of 5.84, was significantly associated with an increased incidence of POP (OR = 2.24, 95% CI 1.43-3.51). This finding remained statistically significant even after propensity score matching (OR = 2.04, 95% CI 1.31-3.20).

CONCLUSIONS

Among the three inflammatory/immune markers considered, the NLR demonstrates the highest reliability as a predictor for POP in elderly patients with hip fractures. Therefore, it serves as a valuable tool for early identification.

Frailty is associated with an increased risk of postoperative pneumonia in elderly patients following surgical treatment for lower-extremity fractures: A cross-sectional study

Elderly patients with lower-extremity fractures are at high risk of postoperative pneumonia (POP) after surgery due to longtime bed rest. This study aimed to explore whether preoperative frailty is an independent risk factor for POP in elderly patients undergoing surgical treatment for lower-extremity fractures. The study adopted a cross sectional design with 568 patients (≥60 years) admitted to a tertiary hospital in China from January 1, 2021 to June 30, 2022, for surgical intervention of a significant lower-extremity fracture. Preoperative frailty was assessed using the CFS (Clinical Frailty Scale). POP was assessed based on the classic diagnostic criteria reported in previous studies. Univariate and multiple logistic regression analyses were conducted to determine the impacts of preoperative frailty on POP. Of the 568 elderly patients, 65 (11.4%) developed pneumonia during postoperative hospitalization. There were significant differences among gender, hypoproteinemia, type of anesthesia, history of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), and CFS scores. Multiple regression analysis revealed that the risk of POP in vulnerable, mildly frail, and severely frail patients increased by 2.38 times (P = .01, 95% CI [1.22-1.91]), 3.32 (P = .00, 95% CI [2.39-5.61]), and 5.36 (P = .00, 95% CI [3.95-6.52]), significantly. 12.8% of patients with hip fractures and 8.9% of patients with other main types of lower-extremity fractures developed POP. However, the difference between hip and non-hip fractures was not statistically significant (P > .05). Preoperative frailty increases the risk of POP in elderly patients after surgical treatment of main lower-extremity fractures. The severer the preoperative frailty is, the higher the risk of preoperative pneumonia is in elderly patients with lower-extremity fractures. CFS is simple and feasible for the assessment of frailty in elderly patients with lower-extremity fractures. Preoperative frailty assessment and appropriate management strategies should be considered in the perioperative management of elderly patients with lower-extremity fractures.