Postoperative Risk of Hepatic Decompensation after Orthopedic Surgery in Patients with Cirrhosis

Surgical risk stratification in patients with cirrhosis

Individuals with cirrhosis experience higher morbidity and mortality rates than the general population, irrespective of the type or scope of surgery. This increased risk is attributed to adverse effects of liver disease, encompassing coagulation dysfunction, altered metabolism of anesthesia and sedatives, immunologic dysfunction, hemorrhage related to varices, malnutrition and frailty, impaired wound healing, as well as diminished portal blood flow, overall hepatic circulation, and hepatic oxygen supply during surgical procedures. Therefore, a frequent clinical dilemma is whether surgical interventions should be pursued in patients with cirrhosis. Several risk scores are widely used to aid in the decision-making process, each with specific advantages and limitations. This review aims to discuss the preoperative risk factors in patients with cirrhosis, describe and compare surgical risk assessment models used in everyday practice, provide insights into the surgical risk according to the type of surgery and present recommendations for optimizing those with cirrhosis for surgical procedures. As the primary focus is on currently available risk models, the review describes the predictive value of each model, highlighting its specific advantages and limitations. Furthermore, for models that do not account for the type of surgical procedure to be performed, the review suggests incorporating both patient-related and surgery-related risks into the decision-making process. Finally, we provide an algorithm for the preoperative assessment of patients with cirrhosis before elective surgery as well as guidance perioperative management.

Risk Prediction Models for Postoperative Decompensation and Infection in Patients With Cirrhosis: A Veterans Affairs Cohort Study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Patients with cirrhosis have an increased risk of postoperative mortality for a range of surgeries; however, they are also at risk of postoperative complications such as infection and cirrhosis decompensation. To date, there are no prediction scores that specifically risk stratify patients for these morbidities.

METHODS

This was a retrospective study using data of patients with cirrhosis who underwent diverse surgeries in the Veterans Health Administration. Validated algorithms and/or manual adjudication were used to ascertain postoperative decompensation and postoperative infection through 90 days. Multivariable logistic regression was used to evaluate prediction models in derivation and validation sets using variables from the recently-published Veterans Outcomes and Costs Associated with Liver Disease (VOCAL)-Penn cirrhosis surgical risk scores for postoperative mortality. Models were compared with the Mayo risk score, Model for End-stage Liver Disease (MELD)-sodium, and Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) scores.

RESULTS

A total 4712 surgeries were included; patients were predominantly male (97.2 %), white (63.3 %), and with alcohol-related liver disease (35.3 %). Through 90 postoperative days, 8.7 % of patients experienced interval decompensation, and 4.5 % infection. Novel VOCAL-Penn prediction models for decompensation demonstrated good discrimination for interval decompensation (C-statistic 0.762 vs 0.663 Mayo vs 0.603 MELD-sodium vs 0.560 CTP; P < .001); however, discrimination was only fair for postoperative infection (C-statistic 0.666 vs 0.592 Mayo [P = .13] vs 0.502 MELD-sodium [P < .001] vs 0.503 CTP [P < .001]). The model for interval decompensation had excellent calibration in both derivation and validation sets.

CONCLUSION

We report the derivation and internal validation of a novel, parsimonious prediction model for postoperative decompensation in patients with cirrhosis. This score demonstrated superior discrimination and calibration as compared with existing clinical standards, and will be available at www.vocalpennscore.com.

Surgical Procedures in Patients Awaiting Liver Transplantation: Complications and Impact on the Liver Function

BACKGROUND

Potential indications for surgery frequently arise in patients awaiting liver transplantation. There is a risk of hepatic decompensation and death triggered by surgical trauma, but this has not been studied in detail in this unique population. We aimed to quantify the impact of surgical interventions in patients awaiting liver transplantation on hepatic function and identify risk factors for decompensation.

METHODS

All surgeries between 2000 and 2018 in patients awaiting liver transplantation in a highvolume German liver transplant center were analyzed retrospectively. Change in liver function measured as indicated by MELD score was assessed and complication rates recorded. The primary endpoint was a composite of an increase in MELD score by > 5 points or death. A logistic regression model was used for multivariate analysis to identify risk factors.

RESULTS

In total, 177 surgical procedures in 148 patients were analyzed. The primary endpoint was reached in 42 cases (23.7%). The overall in-hospital complication rate (including death) was 44.1%. Multivariate analysis identified elevated leukocyte count, perioperative blood transfusion, preoperative presence of ascites, and preoperative circulatory support as independent risk factors for a decline in liver function or death.

CONCLUSION

Surgery in patients awaiting liver transplantation carries a relevant risk of hepatic decompensation and death that needs to be considered when deciding whether to perform elective surgery prior to or defer until after liver transplantation.