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Ostojic A, Mahmud N, Reddy KR. Surgical risk stratification in patients with cirrhosis. Hepatol Int 2024; 18:876-891. [PMID: 38472607 DOI: 10.1007/s12072-024-10644-y] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/05/2023] [Accepted: 01/15/2024] [Indexed: 03/14/2024]
Abstract
Individuals with cirrhosis experience higher morbidity and mortality rates than the general population, irrespective of the type or scope of surgery. This increased risk is attributed to adverse effects of liver disease, encompassing coagulation dysfunction, altered metabolism of anesthesia and sedatives, immunologic dysfunction, hemorrhage related to varices, malnutrition and frailty, impaired wound healing, as well as diminished portal blood flow, overall hepatic circulation, and hepatic oxygen supply during surgical procedures. Therefore, a frequent clinical dilemma is whether surgical interventions should be pursued in patients with cirrhosis. Several risk scores are widely used to aid in the decision-making process, each with specific advantages and limitations. This review aims to discuss the preoperative risk factors in patients with cirrhosis, describe and compare surgical risk assessment models used in everyday practice, provide insights into the surgical risk according to the type of surgery and present recommendations for optimizing those with cirrhosis for surgical procedures. As the primary focus is on currently available risk models, the review describes the predictive value of each model, highlighting its specific advantages and limitations. Furthermore, for models that do not account for the type of surgical procedure to be performed, the review suggests incorporating both patient-related and surgery-related risks into the decision-making process. Finally, we provide an algorithm for the preoperative assessment of patients with cirrhosis before elective surgery as well as guidance perioperative management.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ana Ostojic
- Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Internal Medicine, University Hospital Center Zagreb, Kispaticeva 12, Zagreb, 10000, Croatia
| | - Nadim Mahmud
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, University of Pennsylvania, 2 Dulles, 3400 Spruce Street, HUP, Philadelphia, PA, 19104, USA
| | - K Rajender Reddy
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, University of Pennsylvania, 2 Dulles, 3400 Spruce Street, HUP, Philadelphia, PA, 19104, USA.
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Mahmud N, Fricker Z, Lewis JD, Taddei TH, Goldberg DS, Kaplan DE. Risk Prediction Models for Postoperative Decompensation and Infection in Patients With Cirrhosis: A Veterans Affairs Cohort Study. Clin Gastroenterol Hepatol 2022; 20:e1121-e1134. [PMID: 34246794 PMCID: PMC8741885 DOI: 10.1016/j.cgh.2021.06.050] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/14/2021] [Revised: 06/08/2021] [Accepted: 06/18/2021] [Indexed: 02/07/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND AIMS Patients with cirrhosis have an increased risk of postoperative mortality for a range of surgeries; however, they are also at risk of postoperative complications such as infection and cirrhosis decompensation. To date, there are no prediction scores that specifically risk stratify patients for these morbidities. METHODS This was a retrospective study using data of patients with cirrhosis who underwent diverse surgeries in the Veterans Health Administration. Validated algorithms and/or manual adjudication were used to ascertain postoperative decompensation and postoperative infection through 90 days. Multivariable logistic regression was used to evaluate prediction models in derivation and validation sets using variables from the recently-published Veterans Outcomes and Costs Associated with Liver Disease (VOCAL)-Penn cirrhosis surgical risk scores for postoperative mortality. Models were compared with the Mayo risk score, Model for End-stage Liver Disease (MELD)-sodium, and Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) scores. RESULTS A total 4712 surgeries were included; patients were predominantly male (97.2 %), white (63.3 %), and with alcohol-related liver disease (35.3 %). Through 90 postoperative days, 8.7 % of patients experienced interval decompensation, and 4.5 % infection. Novel VOCAL-Penn prediction models for decompensation demonstrated good discrimination for interval decompensation (C-statistic 0.762 vs 0.663 Mayo vs 0.603 MELD-sodium vs 0.560 CTP; P < .001); however, discrimination was only fair for postoperative infection (C-statistic 0.666 vs 0.592 Mayo [P = .13] vs 0.502 MELD-sodium [P < .001] vs 0.503 CTP [P < .001]). The model for interval decompensation had excellent calibration in both derivation and validation sets. CONCLUSION We report the derivation and internal validation of a novel, parsimonious prediction model for postoperative decompensation in patients with cirrhosis. This score demonstrated superior discrimination and calibration as compared with existing clinical standards, and will be available at www.vocalpennscore.com.
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Affiliation(s)
- Nadim Mahmud
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania; Leonard David Institute of Health Economics, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania; Department of Medicine, Corporal Michael J. Crescenz VA Medical Center, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania; Center for Clinical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Department of Biostatistics, Epidemiology & Informatics, Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.
| | - Zachary Fricker
- Division of Gastroenterology, Hepatology, and Nutrition, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts
| | - James D Lewis
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania; Center for Clinical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Department of Biostatistics, Epidemiology & Informatics, Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
| | - Tamar H Taddei
- Division of Digestive Diseases, Yale University School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut; VA Connecticut Healthcare System, West Haven, Connecticut
| | - David S Goldberg
- Division of Digestive Health and Liver Diseases, Department of Medicine, University of Miami Miller School of Medicine, Miami, Florida
| | - David E Kaplan
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania; Department of Medicine, Corporal Michael J. Crescenz VA Medical Center, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
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Honerkamp I, Sandmann L, Richter N, Manns MP, Voigtländer T, Vondran FW, von Hahn T. Surgical Procedures in Patients Awaiting Liver Transplantation: Complications and Impact on the Liver Function. J Clin Exp Hepatol 2022; 12:68-79. [PMID: 35068787 PMCID: PMC8766540 DOI: 10.1016/j.jceh.2021.03.011] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/18/2020] [Accepted: 03/28/2021] [Indexed: 01/03/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Potential indications for surgery frequently arise in patients awaiting liver transplantation. There is a risk of hepatic decompensation and death triggered by surgical trauma, but this has not been studied in detail in this unique population. We aimed to quantify the impact of surgical interventions in patients awaiting liver transplantation on hepatic function and identify risk factors for decompensation. METHODS All surgeries between 2000 and 2018 in patients awaiting liver transplantation in a highvolume German liver transplant center were analyzed retrospectively. Change in liver function measured as indicated by MELD score was assessed and complication rates recorded. The primary endpoint was a composite of an increase in MELD score by > 5 points or death. A logistic regression model was used for multivariate analysis to identify risk factors. RESULTS In total, 177 surgical procedures in 148 patients were analyzed. The primary endpoint was reached in 42 cases (23.7%). The overall in-hospital complication rate (including death) was 44.1%. Multivariate analysis identified elevated leukocyte count, perioperative blood transfusion, preoperative presence of ascites, and preoperative circulatory support as independent risk factors for a decline in liver function or death. CONCLUSION Surgery in patients awaiting liver transplantation carries a relevant risk of hepatic decompensation and death that needs to be considered when deciding whether to perform elective surgery prior to or defer until after liver transplantation.
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Key Words
- ACLF, Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure
- ALT, Alanine transaminase
- ASA, American Society of Anesthesiologists physical status classification system
- AST, Aspartate transaminase
- CHE, Cholinesterase
- CRP, C-reactive Protein
- HCC, Hepatocellular carcinoma
- Hb, Hemoglobin
- INR, International Normalized Ratio
- MELD
- MELD, Model for End-stage Liver Disease
- OR, Odds Ratio
- SBP, Spontaneous Bacterial Peritonitis
- Tsd, Thousand
- aPTT, Activated partial thromboplastin time
- cirrhosis
- dl, Deciliter
- g, Gram
- i.e., id est
- l, Liter
- liver transplantation
- log, Logarithm
- mg, Milligram
- min, Minutes
- mmol, Millimole
- surgery
- vs, Versus
- waiting list
- μl, Microliter
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Affiliation(s)
- Imke Honerkamp
- Department of Gastroenterology, Hepatology and Endocrinology, Hannover Medical School, Carl-Neuberg-Straße 1, Hannover, Germany
| | - Lisa Sandmann
- Department of Gastroenterology, Hepatology and Endocrinology, Hannover Medical School, Carl-Neuberg-Straße 1, Hannover, Germany
| | - Nicolas Richter
- Department of General, Visceral and Transplant Surgery, Hannover Medical School, Carl-Neuberg-Straße 1, Hannover, Germany
| | - Michael P. Manns
- Department of Gastroenterology, Hepatology and Endocrinology, Hannover Medical School, Carl-Neuberg-Straße 1, Hannover, Germany
| | - Torsten Voigtländer
- Department of Gastroenterology, Hepatology and Endocrinology, Hannover Medical School, Carl-Neuberg-Straße 1, Hannover, Germany
| | - Florian W.R. Vondran
- Department of General, Visceral and Transplant Surgery, Hannover Medical School, Carl-Neuberg-Straße 1, Hannover, Germany
| | - Thomas von Hahn
- Department of Gastroenterology, Hepatology and Endocrinology, Hannover Medical School, Carl-Neuberg-Straße 1, Hannover, Germany,Department of Gastroenterology, Hepatology and Interventional Endoscopy, Asklepios Hospital Barmbek, Semmelweis University Budapest, Campus Hamburg, Rübenkamp 220, Germany,Address for correspondence: Prof. Dr. Med. Thomas von Hahn, Department of Gastroenterology, Hepatology and Interventional Endoscopy, Rübenkamp 220, Hamburg, 22307, Germany. Tel.: +49 40 18 18 82 3810; Fax: +49 40 18 18 82 3809.
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