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Lin SH, Chen WT, Tsai MH, Liu LT, Kuo WL, Lin YT, Wang SF, Chen BH, Lee CH, Huang CH, Chien RN. A novel prognostic model to predict mortality in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure in intensive care unit. Intern Emerg Med 2024; 19:721-730. [PMID: 38386096 DOI: 10.1007/s11739-024-03536-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/29/2023] [Accepted: 01/11/2024] [Indexed: 02/23/2024]
Abstract
Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) implies high short-term mortality rates and usually requires intensive care unit (ICU) admission. Proper prognosis for these patients is crucial for early referral for liver transplantation. The superiority of CLIF-C ACLF score in Asian patients with ACLF admitted to an ICU remains inconclusive when compared to other scoring systems. The purpose of the study is (i) to compare the predictive performance of original MELD, MELD-Lactate, CLIF-C ACLF, CLIF-C ACLF-Lactate, and APACHE-II scores for short-term mortality assessment. (ii) to build and validate a novel scoring system and to compare its predictive performance to that of the original five scores. Two hundred sixty-five consecutive cirrhotic patients with ACLF who were admitted to our ICU were enrolled. The prognostic values for mortality were assessed by ROC analysis. A novel model was developed and internally validated using fivefold cross-validation. Alcohol abuse was identified as the primary etiology of cirrhosis. The AUROC of the five prognostic scores were not significantly superior to each other in predicting 1-month and 3-month mortality. The newly developed prognostic model, incorporating age, alveolar-arterial gradient (A-a gradient), BUN, total bilirubin level, INR, and HE grades, exhibited significantly improved performance in predicting 1-month and 3-month mortality with AUROC of 0.863 and 0.829, respectively, as compared to the original five prognostic scores. The novel ACLF model seems to be superior to the original five scores in predicting short-term mortality in ACLF patients admitted to an ICU. Further rigorous validation is required.
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Affiliation(s)
- Shih-Hua Lin
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, New Taipei Municipal TuCheng Hospital, Tucheng, New Taipei City, 236, Taiwan
| | - Wei-Ting Chen
- Division of Hepatology, Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Linkou Chang-Gung Memorial Hospital, Taoyuan, 333, Taiwan
- College of Medicine, Chang-Gung University, Taoyuan, 333, Taiwan
| | - Ming-Hung Tsai
- Division of Hepatology, Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Linkou Chang-Gung Memorial Hospital, Taoyuan, 333, Taiwan
- College of Medicine, Chang-Gung University, Taoyuan, 333, Taiwan
| | - Li-Tong Liu
- Division of Hepatology, Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Linkou Chang-Gung Memorial Hospital, Taoyuan, 333, Taiwan
| | - Wei-Liang Kuo
- Division of Hepatology, Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Linkou Chang-Gung Memorial Hospital, Taoyuan, 333, Taiwan
| | - Yan-Ting Lin
- Division of Hepatology, Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Linkou Chang-Gung Memorial Hospital, Taoyuan, 333, Taiwan
| | - Sheng-Fu Wang
- Division of Hepatology, Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Linkou Chang-Gung Memorial Hospital, Taoyuan, 333, Taiwan
| | - Bo-Huan Chen
- Division of Hepatology, Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Linkou Chang-Gung Memorial Hospital, Taoyuan, 333, Taiwan
| | - Cheng-Han Lee
- Division of Hepatology, Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Linkou Chang-Gung Memorial Hospital, Taoyuan, 333, Taiwan
| | - Chien-Hao Huang
- Division of Hepatology, Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Linkou Chang-Gung Memorial Hospital, Taoyuan, 333, Taiwan.
- College of Medicine, Chang-Gung University, Taoyuan, 333, Taiwan.
| | - Rong-Nan Chien
- Division of Hepatology, Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Linkou Chang-Gung Memorial Hospital, Taoyuan, 333, Taiwan
- College of Medicine, Chang-Gung University, Taoyuan, 333, Taiwan
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Jain S, Udgirkar S, Rathi PM, Thanage R, Debnath P, Junar P, Chandnani S, Contractor QQ. Determinants of Short-term Mortality in Liver Cirrhosis with Acute Kidney Injury: A Prospective Observational Study. Middle East J Dig Dis 2023; 15:107-115. [PMID: 37546506 PMCID: PMC10404089 DOI: 10.34172/mejdd.2023.328] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/10/2022] [Accepted: 01/02/2023] [Indexed: 08/08/2023] Open
Abstract
Background: Acute kidney injury (AKI) occurs in 20-50% of patients with cirrhosis and is associated with a poor prognosis. The aim of the study is to identify the baseline factors affecting mortality in these patients at 30 and 90 days. Methods: We enrolled 117 patients with cirrhosis and AKI and followed them up prospectively. Results: Distribution of International club of ascites AKI stages was: 26 (22.03%) stage 1, 59 (50%) stage 2, and 33 (28%) stage 3. Mortalities at 30 and 90 days were 27 (22.8%) and 33 (27.9%) respectively. On multivariate analysis, variables affecting mortality at 30 days were serum creatinine level>2 mg% at 48 hours after AKI development (adjusted OR 7.93, P=0.02) and leukocytosis (total leucocyte count>11000/mm3 ) at admission (adjusted OR 6.54, P=0.002). Only leukocytosis at admission was a predictor of 90 days mortality (adjusted OR 4.76, P=0.01). Though not statistically significant, patients not responding to standard medical treatment had 3 times higher mortality at 30 days, while the maximum AKI stages (2 and 3) had eight times higher mortality at 90 days. Conclusion: In cirrhosis, AKI increases short-term mortality. High serum creatinine at 48 hours affects mortality at 30 days, while leukocytosis at baseline predicts mortality at 30 and 90 days. Progression to a higher AKI stage impacts prognosis.
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Affiliation(s)
- Shubham Jain
- Assistant Professor, Department of Gastroenterology, Topiwala National Medical College and BYL Nair Charitable Hospital, Dr. A.L Nair Road, Mumbai- 400 008, Maharashtra, India
| | - Suhas Udgirkar
- Assistant Professor, Department of Gastroenterology, Topiwala National Medical College and BYL Nair Charitable Hospital, Dr. A.L Nair Road, Mumbai- 400 008, Maharashtra, India
| | - Pravin M Rathi
- Professor, Department of Gastroenterology, Topiwala National Medical College and BYL Nair Charitable Hospital, Dr. A.L Nair Road, Mumbai- 400 008, Maharashtra, India
| | - Ravi Thanage
- Assistant Professor, Department of Gastroenterology, Topiwala National Medical College and BYL Nair Charitable Hospital, Dr. A.L Nair Road, Mumbai- 400 008, Maharashtra, India
| | - Prasanta Debnath
- Assistant Professor, Department of Gastroenterology, Topiwala National Medical College and BYL Nair Charitable Hospital, Dr. A.L Nair Road, Mumbai- 400 008, Maharashtra, India
| | - Parmeshwar Junar
- Assistant Professor, Department of Gastroenterology, Topiwala National Medical College and BYL Nair Charitable Hospital, Dr. A.L Nair Road, Mumbai- 400 008, Maharashtra, India
| | - Sanjay Chandnani
- Assistant Professor, Department of Gastroenterology, Topiwala National Medical College and BYL Nair Charitable Hospital, Dr. A.L Nair Road, Mumbai- 400 008, Maharashtra, India
| | - Qais Q Contractor
- Professor, Department of Gastroenterology, Topiwala National Medical College and BYL Nair Charitable Hospital, Dr. A.L Nair Road, Mumbai- 400 008, Maharashtra, India
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Safety and efficacy of terlipressin in acute-on-chronic liver failure with hepatorenal syndrome-acute kidney injury (HRS-AKI): a prospective cohort study. Sci Rep 2022; 12:5503. [PMID: 35365736 PMCID: PMC8976022 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-022-09505-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 16] [Impact Index Per Article: 8.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/10/2021] [Accepted: 03/21/2022] [Indexed: 12/11/2022] Open
Abstract
Terlipressin with albumin, the recommended treatment for hepatorenal syndrome-acute kidney injury (HRS-AKI), is associated with adverse events. Furthermore, the course of AKI in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is unknown. We aimed to analyze the safety and efficacy of terlipressin infusion and AKI course in patients with ACLF. We prospectively enrolled consecutive adult patients with ACLF with HRS-AKI (satisfying EASL criteria) treated with terlipressin infusion between 14 October 2019 and 24 July 2020. The objectives were to assess the incidence of adverse events, response to terlipressin, course of HRS-AKI and predictors of mortality. A total of 116 patients were included. Twenty-one percent of patients developed adverse effects. Only 1/3rd of patients who developed adverse events were alive at day 90. Sixty-five percent of the patients responded to terlipressin. Nearly 22% developed recurrence of HRS, and 5.2% progressed to HRS-chronic kidney disease. TFS was 70.4% at day 30 and 57.8% at day 90. On multivariate stepwise Cox regression analysis terlipressin non-response (hazard ratio [HR], 3.49 [1.85–6.57]; P < 0.001) and MELD NA score (HR,1.12 [1.06–1.18]; P < 0.001) predicted mortality at day-90. Patients with ACLF who develop terlipressin related adverse events have dismal prognoses. Terlipressin non-response predicts mortality in patients with ACLF and HRS-AKI.
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Liu S, Meng Q, Xu Y, Zhou J. Hepatorenal syndrome in acute-on-chronic liver failure with acute kidney injury: more questions requiring discussion. Gastroenterol Rep (Oxf) 2021; 9:505-520. [PMID: 34925848 PMCID: PMC8677535 DOI: 10.1093/gastro/goab040] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/12/2021] [Revised: 07/04/2021] [Accepted: 07/29/2021] [Indexed: 12/13/2022] Open
Abstract
In cirrhosis with ascites, hepatorenal syndrome (HRS) is a specific prerenal dysfunction unresponsive to fluid volume expansion. Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) comprises a group of clinical syndromes with multiple organ failure and early high mortality. There are differences in the characterization of ACLF between the Eastern and Western medical communities. Patients with ACLF and acute kidney injury (AKI) have more structural injuries, contributing to confusion in diagnosing HRS-AKI. In this review, we discuss progress in the pathogenesis, diagnosis, and management of HRS-AKI, especially in patients with ACLF. Controversy regarding HRS-AKI in ACLF and acute liver failure, hepatic carcinoma, shock, sepsis, and chronic kidney disease is also discussed. Research on the treatment of HRS-AKI with ACLF needs to be more actively pursued to improve disease prognosis.
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Affiliation(s)
- Songtao Liu
- Department of Critical Care Medicine, Beijing Tiantan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, P. R. China.,Department of Severe Liver Disease, Beijing You'an Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, P. R. China
| | - Qinghua Meng
- Department of Severe Liver Disease, Beijing You'an Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, P. R. China
| | - Yuan Xu
- Department of Critical Care Medicine, Beijing Tsinghua Chang Gung Hospital, Beijing, P. R. China
| | - Jianxin Zhou
- Department of Critical Care Medicine, Beijing Tiantan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, P. R. China
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Khatua CR, Sahu SK, Meher D, Nath G, Singh SP. Acute kidney injury in hospitalized cirrhotic patients: Risk factors, type of kidney injury, and survival. JGH Open 2021; 5:199-206. [PMID: 33553656 PMCID: PMC7857275 DOI: 10.1002/jgh3.12467] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/07/2020] [Revised: 10/04/2020] [Accepted: 11/21/2020] [Indexed: 12/19/2022]
Abstract
Background and Aim Acute kidney injury (AKI) is a common complication of chronic liver disease (CLD). We performed a prospective study to evaluate the risk factors and spectrum of AKI among decompensated cirrhosis (DC) patients and the impact of AKI on survival. Methods This study was conducted in consecutive DC patients hospitalized in SCB Medical College between December 2016 and October 2018. AKI was defined as per ICA criteria. Demographic, clinical, and laboratory parameters and outcomes were compared between patients with and without AKI. Results A total of 576 DC subjects were enrolled, 315 (54.69%) of whom had AKI; 34% (n = 106) had stage 1A, 28% (n = 90) stage 1B, 21% (n = 65) stage 2, and 17% (n = 54) stage 3 AKI. Alcohol was the predominant cause of CLD (66.7%). In 207 (65.7%) patients, diuretic/lactulose/nonsteroidal anti‐inflammatory drugs use was noted, and infection was present in 190 (60.3%) patients. Compared to those without AKI, patients with AKI had higher leucocyte count, higher serum urea and creatinine, higher Child‐Turcotte‐Pugh, higher Model of End‐Stage Liver Disease (MELD) scores (P < 0.001), longer hospital stay, and lower survival at 28 days and 90 days (P < 0.001). Besides, in patients with stages 1A to 3 AKI, there were differences in overall survival at 28 days (P < 0.001) and 90 days (P < 0.001). Conclusions Over half of DC patients had AKI, and alcohol was the most common cause of cirrhosis in them. Use of AKI‐precipitating medications was the most common cause of AKI, followed by bacterial infection. AKI patients had increased prevalence of acute‐on‐chronic liver failure and had prolonged hospitalization and lower survival both at 28 days and 90 days.
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Affiliation(s)
- Chitta Ranjan Khatua
- Department of Gastroenterology Sriram Chandra Bhanja Medical College and Hospital Cuttack India
| | - Saroj Kanta Sahu
- Department of Gastroenterology Sriram Chandra Bhanja Medical College and Hospital Cuttack India
| | - Dinesh Meher
- Department of Gastroenterology Sriram Chandra Bhanja Medical College and Hospital Cuttack India
| | - Gautam Nath
- Department of Gastroenterology Sriram Chandra Bhanja Medical College and Hospital Cuttack India
| | - Shivaram Prasad Singh
- Department of Gastroenterology Sriram Chandra Bhanja Medical College and Hospital Cuttack India
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