Episodic Detectable Viremia Does Not Affect Prognosis in Untreated Compensated Cirrhosis With Serum Hepatitis B Virus DNA <2,000 IU/mL

Factors associated with persistent positive in HBV DNA level in patients with chronic Hepatitis B receiving entecavir treatment

Introduction

The clinical significance of persistent positive in Hepatitis B Virus (HBV) DNA level in patients receiving antiviral therapy is not well known. We investigated factors associated with persistent viremia (PV) in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) given 78-week entecavir.

Methods

A total of 394 treatment-naïve CHB patients who had undergone liver biopsy at baseline and week 78 of treatment were analyzed in this prospective multicentre study. We identified patients with PV (above the lower limit of quantification, 20 IU/ml) after 78 weeks of entecavir therapy. Stepwise, forward, multivariate regression analyses of specified baseline parameters were apllied to identify factors associated with PV. Futhermore, we assessed the incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in all patients using models of the risk of HCC development.

Results

Of the 394 patients, 90 (22.8%) still with PV after 78-week antiviral treatment. Factors associated significantly with PV (vs complete virological response, CVR) were HBV DNA level ≥8 log10 IU/mL (OR, 3.727; 95% CI, 1.851-7.505; P < 0.001), Anti-HBc level < 3 log10 IU/mL (OR, 2.384; 95% CI, 1.223-4.645; P=0.011), and HBeAg seropositivity (OR, 2.871; 95% CI, 1.563-5.272; P < 0.001). Patients with PV were less likely to have fibrosis progression and HCC development than those with the CVR. Of the 11 HBeAg-positive patients with HBV DNA level ≥8 log10 IU/mL and Anti-HBc level < 3 log10 IU/mL at baseline, 9 (81.8%) had persistent positivity in HBV DNA level and 0 had fibrosis progression at week 78 of treatment.

Discussion

In conclusion, HBV DNA level ≥8 log10 IU/mL, Anti-HBc level < 3 log10 IU/mL and HBeAg seropositivity at baseline contribute to PV in patients with CHB receiving 78-week antiviral treatment. In addition, the rate of fibrosis progression and the risk of HCC development in patients with PV were kept low. The complete protocol for the clinical trial has been registered at clinicaltrials.gov (NCT01962155 and NCT03568578).

Patients With Compensated Hepatitis B Virus-Related Cirrhosis and Low-Level Viremia: Treat or Not to Treat?

ABSTRACT

Patients with hepatitis B virus-related cirrhosis and low-level viremia represent a special group that might benefit from treatment because of their higher risk of complications. Evidence for the benefit of treatment in this population is lacking. The current study, which analyzed data of a historical cohort of 627 patients from a single Korean center with hepatitis B virus-related compensated cirrhosis, reported a 2.4-fold increased hepatocellular carcinoma risk among patients with low-level viremia compared with those with undetectable viremia provides indirect evidence in support of treatment for this population. The study underscores the importance of treating patients before the development of cirrhosis and the need for finite duration curative therapy.

Low Level of Hepatitis B Viremia Compared With Undetectable Viremia Increases the Risk of Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Patients With Untreated Compensated Cirrhosis

INTRODUCTION

The initiation of antiviral treatment in patients with chronic hepatitis B with compensated cirrhosis and low-level viremia (LLV; HBV DNA 15-2,000 IU/mL) remains controversial. We sought to compare the long-term outcomes of these untreated patients according to their viremic status.

METHODS

Six hundred twenty-seven untreated patients with chronic hepatitis B with compensated cirrhosis were analyzed retrospectively. The risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and liver-related clinical events, including hepatic decompensation, were compared between patients with LLV and undetectable HBV DNA. Patients who received antiviral treatment were censored during treatment initiation.

RESULTS

The mean age of the patients was 54.7 years, 64.4% of whom were male. During the study period, 59 patients developed HCC (20 and 39 in the undetectable and LLV groups, respectively) with an annual incidence of 2.44/100 person-years. Multivariable analysis revealed that the LLV group was associated with a significantly higher risk of HCC (adjusted hazard ratio: 2.36, P = 0.002) than the undetectable group. In the 204 propensity score-matched cohort, the LLV group had a 2.16-fold greater risk of HCC than the undetectable group ( P = 0.014). Liver-related clinical events occurred in 121 patients with an annual incidence of 5.25/100 person-years. Despite not reaching statistical significance, the LLV group tended to have a higher risk of liver-related events in the propensity score-matched cohort (hazard ratio: 1.14, P = 0.50).

DISCUSSION

Compared with patients with undetectable HBV DNA, those with compensated cirrhosis and LLV had a significantly higher risk of HCC. Antiviral treatment should be advised for these patients.

Cost-effectiveness of antiviral therapy in untreated compensated cirrhosis patient with serum HBV-DNA level < 2000 IU/mL

BACKGROUND

Due to stringent reimbursement criteria, significant numbers of patients with compensated cirrhosis (CC) and low-level viremia [LLV; serum hepatitis B virus (HBV)-DNA levels of 20-2000 IU/mL] remain untreated especially in the East Asian countries, despite potential risk of disease progression. We analyzed cost-effectiveness to assess rationales for antiviral therapy (AVT) for this population.

METHODS

We compared cost and effectiveness (quality-adjusted life years, QALYs) in a virtual cohort including 10,000 54-year-old CC-LLV patients receiving AVT (Scenario I) versus no treatment (Scenario II). A Markov model, including seven HBV-related conditions, was used. Values for transition probabilities and costs were mostly obtained from recent real-world South Korean data.

RESULTS

As per a simulation of a base-case analysis, AVT reduced costs by $639 USD and yielded 0.108 QALYs per patient for 5 years among CC-LLV patients compared to no treatment. Thus, AVT is a cost-saving option with lower costs and better effectiveness than no treatment. If 10,000 patients received AVT, 815 incident cases of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and 630 HBV-related deaths could be averted in 5 years compared to no treatment. In case of 10-year observation, AVT was consistently dominant. Even when the transition probabilities from CC-LLV vs. maintained virological response to HCC were same, fluctuation of results also lied within willingness-to-pay in South Korea. In the probabilistic sensitivity analysis with the willingness-to-pay threshold, the probability of AVT cost-effectiveness was 100%.

CONCLUSION

The extended application of AVT in CC-LLV patients may contribute positively to individual clinical benefits and national healthcare budgets.