Short P-Wave Duration Is Associated with Incident Atrial Fibrillation

Subclinical variations on ECG and their associations with structural brain aging networks

Impaired cardiac function is associated with cognitive impairment and brain imaging features of aging. Cardiac arrhythmias, including atrial fibrillation, are implicated in clinical and subclinical brain injuries. Even in the absence of a clinical diagnosis, subclinical or prodromal substrates of arrhythmias, including an abnormally long or short P-wave duration (PWD), a measure associated with atrial abnormalities, have been associated with stroke and cognitive decline. However, the extent to which PWD has subclinical influences on overall aging patterns of the brain is not clearly understood. Here, using neuroimaging and ECG data from the UK Biobank, we use a novel regional "brain age" method to identify the brain aging networks associated with abnormal PWD. We find that PWD is inversely associated with accelerated brain aging in the sensorimotor, frontoparietal, ventral attention, and dorsal attention networks, even in the absence of overt cardiac diseases. These findings suggest that detrimental aging outcomes may result from subclinically abnormal PWD.

An association between heart rate variability and incident heart failure in an elderly cohort

BACKGROUND

Early identification of individuals at risk of developing heart failure (HF) may improve poor prognosis. A dominant sympathetic activity is common in HF and associated with worse outcomes; however, less is known about the autonomic balance before HF.

HYPOTHESIS

A low frequency/high frequency (L-F/H-F) ratio, index of heart rate variability, and marker of the autonomic balance predict the development of HF and may improve the performance of the HF prediction model when added to traditional cardiovascular (CV) risk factors.

METHODS

Individuals in the PIVUS (Prospective Investigation of the Vasculature in Uppsala Seniors) study (n = 1016, all aged 70 years) were included. Exclusion criteria were prevalent HF, electrocardiographic QRS duration ≥130 millisecond, major arrhythmias, or conduction blocks at baseline. The association between the L-F/H-F ratio and incident HF was assessed using Cox proportional hazard analysis. The C-statistic evaluated whether adding the L-F/H-F-ratio to traditional CV risk factors improved the discrimination of incident HF.

RESULTS

HF developed in 107/836 study participants during 15 years of follow-up. A nonlinear, inverse association between the L-F/H-F ratio and incident HF was mainly driven by an L-F/H-F ratio of <30. The association curve was flat for higher values (hazard ratio, HR for the total curve = 0.78 [95% confidence interval, CI: 0.69-0.88, p < .001]; HR = 2 for L-F/H-F ratio = 10). The traditional prediction model improved by 3.3% (p < .03) when the L-F/H-F ratio was added.

CONCLUSIONS

An L-F/H-F ratio of <30 was related to incident HF and improved HF prediction when added to traditional CV risk factors.

Risk factor profile for newly diagnosed atrial fibrillation: 4-year follow-up of annual health examinations in a Japanese Adult Cohort

Background

Detecting unknown atrial fibrillation (AF) would provide an opportunity to prevent ischemic stroke by instituting appropriate anticoagulation. Although opportunistic screening of older patients is recommended in current guidelines, which patients may benefit from intensive AF screening remains unclear. We sought to clarify the risk factor profile for newly diagnosed AF in annual health examinations of a Japanese adult cohort.

Methods

Among 141 441 Japanese patients who underwent annual health examinations in 2014, 87 872 patients aged ≥20 years without known AF who had undergone electrocardiography were analyzed (mean age: 47 ± 12 years; 64% men). The absence of known AF was confirmed by prior electrocardiography in 2012 and/or 2013. Newly diagnosed AF was observed in 244 patients in 2014-2017 (mean age: 62 ± 12 years; 83% men).

Results

In the multivariable analysis, waist circumference obesity (hazard ratio [HR], 1.5; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.13-1.99; p = .005) high blood pressure (HR, 1.9; 95% CI, 1.01-3.59; p = .047), on-treatment hypertension (HR, 1.53; 95% CI, 1.01-2.31; p = .046), and daily alcohol drinking (HR, 2.18; 95% CI, 1.52-3.12; p < .001) were significantly associated with newly diagnosed AF.

Conclusions

In this Japanese cohort, waist circumference obesity, hypertension, and alcohol drinking were independent predictors of newly diagnosed AF in annual medical examinations. This finding encourages further evaluation of systematic AF screening programs in at-risk populations.