Use of respiratory syncytial virus surveillance data to optimize the timing of immunoprophylaxis

[Circulation dynamics of respiratory syncytial virus and its relationship with ambient temperature. 25-year series in Buenos Aires]

Objective

To evaluate changes in RSV seasonality in the last 25 years and their correlation with the mean annual temperature.

Methods

Cross-sectional study, based on RSV and temperature data from the City of Buenos Aires (1995-2019). For each year, we describe the beginning, end, and duration of the RSV season and the correlation with the mean annual temperature.

Results

We identified 10,183 RSV infections. The duration of the RSV season decreased significantly (1995: 29 weeks vs. 2019: 18 weeks; R: 0.6 (p< 0.001)), due to an earlier ending (1995: week 45 vs. 2019: week 34; 0.6 (p<0.001)). No correlation was observed between mean annual temperature and the duration, start, or end of the RSV season.

Conclusion

In the last 25 years, the duration of the RSV season has been significantly shortened due to an earlier ending, without correlation with temperature.

Comparison of infections with respiratory syncytial virus between children and adults: a multicenter surveillance from 2015 to 2019 in Beijing, China

The objective of this study is to investigate the epidemiological and clinical characteristics of the acute respiratory tract infections (ARTI) caused by respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) among the population of all age categories in Beijing, China. Outpatients and inpatients with ARTI were enrolled from 35 sentinel hospitals in Beijing between March 2015 and February 2019. They were interviewed and their medical records were collected using a standardized form. Their respiratory specimens were collected and tested for the nucleic acid of RSV. The RSV-positive specimens were further genotyped into RSV-A and RSV-B groups. A total of 29,923 cases were included in this study. RSV was detected in 623 (2%, 623/29923) patients, with 391 (62.8%) genotypd as RSV-A, 126 (20.2%) as RSV-B, and 106 (17.0%) untyped. The RSV epidemic season usually occurred between October and March covering approximately 90% of annual RSV infections. The RSV-infected children aged < 5 years accounted for 52.2% of the total RSV infections with cough and fever as the most common manifestations. The RSV-infected elderly adults aged ≥ 60 years have the second largest proportion (25.2%) with dyspnea and lymphocytopenia as the most common manifestations and showed an elevated rate of hospitalization, an increased rate of ICU admission, an extended length of hospital stay, and an elevated mortality compared to the RSV-infected children. The RSV infections aged ≥ 60 years old, as the second largest population of the total annual RSV infections, usually developed worse outcomes than children and should be taken seriously.

Seasonality of Respiratory Syncytial Virus Hospitalization

Seasonality of respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) infection is an area of limited knowledge. In this study, we set out to get insight into the epidemic characteristics of RSV. We retrospectively evaluated medical files of 512 hospitalizations in children due to RSV infection from January 2010 to July 2017. In this cohort of patients, there were 96.3% of children below 1 year of age; the median age was 2.8 months. The influence of weather condition during the week of hospitalization (WH) and also the preceding week (WP) on the rate of hospitalizations was also assessed. An overview of morbidity data demonstrates that the epidemic RSV season started from Week 50 of a year and lasts until Week 15 of the following year, with a peak between Week 4 and Week 10. The average monthly percentage rate of morbidity per year was as follows: December, 12.3%; January, 24.5%; February, 29%; and March, 21.7%. Hospitalizations were positively associated with the minimum and maximum outside air temperature during the WH (62.5% and 59.7%, respectively) and the WP (64.3% and 63.4%, respectively) and with relative humidity (WH 23% and WP 29.8%). A weak association with the wind speed was also noticed (WH 22% and WP 21%), while there was no influence of the level of atmospheric pressure on RSV morbidity. We conclude that seasonality of RSV is present between December and April each year, and morbidity is mostly influenced by minimum-maximum outside air temperature changes. Further epidemiological exploration is required to get a better knowledge on both active and passive immunization against RSV.

Determining the seasonality of respiratory syncytial virus in Slovenia

Background

In Slovenia, the respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) surveillance is based on national laboratory data. The weeks with more than 10% of samples tested positive compose RSV epidemic season. The use of real‐time multiplex PCR, which identifies other respiratory pathogens in parallel with RSV, caused more testing but the percentage of RSV positives lowered. The 10% threshold was reached with delay, which raised concern about its suitability for defining RSV seasonality.

Methods

To describe the seasonality of RSV, the onset, offset and duration of the RSV epidemic season across 10 years (from week 40, 2008/2009 to week 39, 2017/2018), four calculative methods were deployed including moving epidemic method, MEM, and epidemiological parameters were compared.

Results

In 10 years, 10 969 (12%) out of 90 264 samples tested positive for RSV. The number of tested samples increased remarkably from the first to last season with a drop in the percentage of positive samples from 23% to 10%. The onset of RSV epidemic varied considerably regardless of the calculative method used (from 10 to 13 weeks). The unevenness in the RSV epidemic season end was also observed. The average duration of RSV epidemic season was the shortest when moving epidemic method has been used (15.7 weeks) and longest with ≥3% method (22.9 weeks).

Conclusion

The ≥3% calculative method could be used as an early warning of the RSV season. However, ≥7% calculative method was found to be reliable enough to define the epidemiological parameters of an ongoing season and to support public health response. The potential of the moving epidemic method should be further explored.

[Usefulness of the microbiological surveillance of respiratory syncytial virus in Galicia (Spain): 2008-2017]

OBJECTIVE

To describe whether the microbiological information of the respiratory syncytial virus (RSV), provided by four hospitals on a weekly basis, adequately captures the seasonality of the RSV in the entire community.

METHOD

Retrospective descriptive study. We compared the detection of RSV in respiratory samples of patients (hospitalized and not) from all age groups, from the 4 hospitals that are part of the microbiological surveillance system (MSS), with data from the Minimum Basic Data Set of hospitalization for bronchiolitis by RSV or another infectious organism, in patients under 5 years of age, admitted to any public hospital in Galicia (seasons 2008/2009 to 2016/2017). An epidemic wave period was considered when the positivity of RSV detections in the total respiratory samples of the SVM exceeded 10%. The sensitivity of the MSS was calculated as a percentage of admissions occurring in the epidemic wave.

RESULTS

MSS sensitivity was 92% (86%-96%) for RSV bronchiolitis admissions in each season and 79% (75%-84%) for total bronchiolitis admissions.

CONCLUSIONS

The RSV microbiological surveillance system, based on data from only 4 hospitals, showed very good sensitivity to predict the start and end of the annual RSV wave throughout the Galician region. These results support the use of this information to alert the entire health system of the onset of the wave.

Trends in rotavirus from 2001 to 2015 in two paediatric hospitals in Atlanta, Georgia

We compared rotavirus detection patterns before (2001-2006) and after (2008-2015) rotavirus vaccine introduction. We also compared rotavirus detection patterns in odd (2009, 2011, 2013, 2015) and even (2008, 2010, 2012, 2014) years post-vaccine separately. Results of stool rotavirus antigen testing from inpatient, outpatient and emergency department encounters from July 2000 to July 2015 at two paediatric hospital laboratories in Atlanta, Georgia were reviewed. Post-vaccine, rotavirus detection declined (30.2% vs. 13.7% (overall 54.6% decline, P <0.001)), occurred more frequently outside the rotavirus season (19.8% vs. 3.5%; P < 0.001), and was more common among older children (26 vs. 13 median months of age; P < 0.001). During odd years post-vaccine, rotavirus detection was significantly higher than even years (20.2% vs. 6.4%; P < 0.001). Rotavirus detection declined substantially and developed a biennial pattern in the post-vaccine era. The intensity and temporality of rotavirus detection in odd years post-vaccine resembled that observed pre-vaccine, although considerably reduced in magnitude.

RSV Hospitalizations in Comparison With Regional RSV Activity and Inpatient Palivizumab Administration, 2010-2013

OBJECTIVES

To compare pediatric respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) hospitalizations in the United States to regional RSV activity and inpatient palivizumab administration.

METHODS

We characterized inpatients, excluding newborns, with RSV from the Pediatric Health Information System (July 2010-June 2013). RSV regional activity timing was defined by the National Respiratory and Enteric Virus Surveillance System. RSV hospitalization season (defined by at least 3 SDs more than the mean regional baseline number of RSV hospitalizations for 3 consecutive weeks) was compared with RSV regional activity season (2 consecutive weeks with ≥10% RSV-positive testing). Logistic regression was used to determine predictors of hospitalization timing (ie, during or outside of regional activity season). We also assessed the timing of inpatient palivizumab administration.

RESULTS

There were 50 157 RSV hospitalizations. Mean RSV hospitalization season onset (early November) was 3.3 (SD 2.1) weeks before regional activity season onset (early December). Hospitalization season offset (early May) was 4.4 (SD 2.4) weeks after activity season offset (mid-April). RSV hospitalization and activity seasons lasted 18 to 32 and 13 to 23 weeks, respectively. Nearly 10% of hospitalizations occurred outside of regional activity season (regional ranges: 5.6%-22.4%). Children with chronic conditions were more likely to be hospitalized after regional activity season, whereas African American children were more likely to be hospitalized before. Inpatient palivizumab dosing was typically initiated before the start of RSV hospitalizations.

CONCLUSIONS

There is regional variation in RSV hospitalization and activity patterns. Many RSV hospitalizations occur before regional activity season; high-risk infants may require RSV immunoprophylaxis sooner.

Respiratory syncytial virus hospitalization risk in the second year of life by specific congenital heart disease diagnoses

Children with hemodynamically significant congenital heart disease (CHD) are at elevated risk of morbidity and mortality due to respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) disease compared to their healthy peers. Previous studies have demonstrated lower RSV hospitalization risk among all children with CHD at 12-23 months of age versus 0-11 months of age. However, RSV hospitalization risk at 12-23 months of age by specific CHD diagnosis has not been characterized. Both case-control and cohort studies were conducted using data from the US National Inpatient Sample from 1997 to 2013 to characterize relative risk of RSV hospitalization among children 12-23 months of age with CHD. Related CHD diagnoses were combined for analysis. Hospitalizations for RSV and unspecified bronchiolitis were described by length of stay, mechanical ventilation use, mortality, and total charges. Over the 17-year period, 1,168,886 live birth hospitalizations with CHD were identified. Multiple specific CHD conditions had an elevated odds ratio or relative risk of RSV hospitalization. Mean total RSV hospitalization charges were significantly higher among children with CHD relative to those without CHD ($19,650 vs $7,939 in 2015 dollars) for this period. Compared to children without CHD, children with Ebstein's anomaly, transposition of the great arteries, aortic stenosis, heterotaxia, and aortic arch anomalies had 367-, 344-, 203-, 117- and 47-fold increased risk of inpatient RSV mortality, respectively. Unspecified bronchiolitis hospitalization odds and relative risk across CHD diagnoses were similar to those observed with RSV hospitalization; however, unspecified bronchiolitis hospitalizations were associated with shorter mean days of stay and less frequently associated with mechanical ventilation or mortality. Among children with more severe CHD diagnoses, RSV disease remains an important health risk through the second year of life. These data can help inform decisions regarding interventions to protect children with CHD from severe RSV disease during their second year of life.

Retrospective Parameter Estimation and Forecast of Respiratory Syncytial Virus in the United States

Recent studies have shown that systems combining mathematical modeling and Bayesian inference methods can be used to generate real-time forecasts of future infectious disease incidence. Here we develop such a system to study and forecast respiratory syncytial virus (RSV). RSV is the most common cause of acute lower respiratory infection and bronchiolitis. Advanced warning of the epidemic timing and volume of RSV patient surges has the potential to reduce well-documented delays of treatment in emergency departments. We use a susceptible-infectious-recovered (SIR) model in conjunction with an ensemble adjustment Kalman filter (EAKF) and ten years of regional U.S. specimen data provided by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. The data and EAKF are used to optimize the SIR model and i) estimate critical epidemiological parameters over the course of each outbreak and ii) generate retrospective forecasts. The basic reproductive number, R0, is estimated at 3.0 (standard deviation 0.6) across all seasons and locations. The peak magnitude of RSV outbreaks is forecast with nearly 70% accuracy (i.e. nearly 70% of forecasts within 25% of the actual peak), four weeks before the predicted peak. This work represents a first step in the development of a real-time RSV prediction system.

Respiratory syncytial virus seasonality in Brazil: implications for the immunisation policy for at-risk populations

Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) infection is the leading cause of hospitalisation for respiratory diseases among children under 5 years old. The aim of this study was to analyse RSV seasonality in the five distinct regions of Brazil using time series analysis (wavelet and Fourier series) of the following indicators: monthly positivity of the immunofluorescence reaction for RSV identified by virologic surveillance system, and rate of hospitalisations per bronchiolitis and pneumonia due to RSV in children under 5 years old (codes CID-10 J12.1, J20.5, J21.0 and J21.9). A total of 12,501 samples with 11.6% positivity for RSV (95% confidence interval 11 - 12.2), varying between 7.1 and 21.4% in the five Brazilian regions, was analysed. A strong trend for annual cycles with a stable stationary pattern in the five regions was identified through wavelet analysis of the indicators. The timing of RSV activity by Fourier analysis was similar between the two indicators analysed and showed regional differences. This study reinforces the importance of adjusting the immunisation period for high risk population with the monoclonal antibody palivizumab taking into account regional differences in seasonality of RSV.

Reduced-Dose Schedule of Prophylaxis Based on Local Data Provides Near-Optimal Protection Against Respiratory Syncytial Virus

BACKGROUND

Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is a major cause of respiratory infections among young children and can lead to severe disease among some infants. Infants at high risk for severe RSV infection receive monthly injections of a prophylactic monoclonal antibody during the RSV season based on national guidelines. We considered whether a reduced-dose schedule tailored to the local RSV season in the continental United States would provide adequate protection.

METHODS

Hospitalization data for 1942 counties across 38 states from 1997 to 2009 were obtained from the State Inpatient Databases (Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality). We assessed the timing of RSV epidemics at the county and state levels using a 2-stage hierarchical Bayesian change point model. We used a simple summation approach to estimate the fraction of RSV cases that occur during the window of protection provided by initiating RSV prophylaxis during different weeks of the year.

RESULTS

The timing of RSV epidemic onset varied significantly at the local level. Nevertheless, the national recommendations for initiation of prophylaxis provided near-optimal coverage of the RSV season in most of the continental United States. Reducing from 5 to 4 monthly doses (with a later initiation) provides near-optimal coverage (<5% decrease in coverage) in most settings. Earlier optimal dates for initiating 4 doses of prophylaxis were associated with being farther south and east, higher population density, and having a higher percentage of the population that was black or Hispanic.

CONCLUSIONS

A 4-dose schedule of prophylactic injections timed with local RSV epidemics could provide protection comparable to 5 doses and could be considered as a way to improve the cost-effectiveness of prophylaxis.

Efficacy and optimization of palivizumab injection regimens against respiratory syncytial virus infection

IMPORTANCE

Infection with the respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is the leading cause of hospitalizations in children, accounting for more than 90,000 hospitalizations every year in the United States. For children who are at risk for severe RSV infections, the American Academy of Pediatrics recommends immunoprophylaxis with a series of up to 5 injections of the antibody palivizumab administered monthly, beginning on November 1 of each year. However, many practitioners initiate injections at the onset of RSV season as indicated by local surveillance.

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate the effectiveness of current regimens for palivizumab injections across different cities and to design an optimized regimen.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

We performed a mathematical modeling study of the risk for hospitalization due to RSV infection. The model accounted for the pharmacokinetics of the antibody, the timing of the injections, and seasonal patterns of RSV, including geographic and year-to-year variability. We used the model to estimate the efficacy of current regimens, including the American Academy of Pediatrics recommendation, and to design a more effective injection regimen, the optimized fixed start (OFS), which uses city-specific initiation dates. Participants were the approximately 700,000 individuals who had specimens tested for RSV by National Respiratory and Enteric Virus Surveillance System laboratories in 18 US cities from July 1, 1994, through June 30, 2011 (a total of 725,741 tests).

INTERVENTIONS

Different palivizumab injection regimens.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

The primary outcome measure was reduction in hospitalizations due to RSV infections. The secondary measures were cost (number of palivizumab doses) and duration of protection (in days).

RESULTS

The American Academy of Pediatrics-recommended 5-injection regimen is expected to reduce hospitalization risk by a median of 2.7% (range, -2.2% to 6.1%) compared with the conventional regimen based on RSV surveillance. The 5-injection OFS regimen is expected to further reduce risk by a median of 6.8% (range, 4.9% to 14.8%), and the 4-injection OFS regimen is expected to achieve efficacy comparable to that of the conventional 5-injection regimen while reducing costs by 20%.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

Modified palivizumab regimens can improve protection for children at risk for severe outcomes of RSV infection and thereby lower rates of hospitalization due to RSV.

Environmental drivers of the spatiotemporal dynamics of respiratory syncytial virus in the United States

Epidemics of respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) are known to occur in wintertime in temperate countries including the United States, but there is a limited understanding of the importance of climatic drivers in determining the seasonality of RSV. In the United States, RSV activity is highly spatially structured, with seasonal peaks beginning in Florida in November through December and ending in the upper Midwest in February-March, and prolonged disease activity in the southeastern US. Using data on both age-specific hospitalizations and laboratory reports of RSV in the US, and employing a combination of statistical and mechanistic epidemic modeling, we examined the association between environmental variables and state-specific measures of RSV seasonality. Temperature, vapor pressure, precipitation, and potential evapotranspiration (PET) were significantly associated with the timing of RSV activity across states in univariate exploratory analyses. The amplitude and timing of seasonality in the transmission rate was significantly correlated with seasonal fluctuations in PET, and negatively correlated with mean vapor pressure, minimum temperature, and precipitation. States with low mean vapor pressure and the largest seasonal variation in PET tended to experience biennial patterns of RSV activity, with alternating years of “early-big” and “late-small” epidemics. Our model for the transmission dynamics of RSV was able to replicate these biennial transitions at higher amplitudes of seasonality in the transmission rate. This successfully connects environmental drivers to the epidemic dynamics of RSV; however, it does not fully explain why RSV activity begins in Florida, one of the warmest states, when RSV is a winter-seasonal pathogen. Understanding and predicting the seasonality of RSV is essential in determining the optimal timing of immunoprophylaxis.

Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) causes annual outbreaks of respiratory disease every winter in temperate climates, which can be severe particularly among infants. In the United States, RSV activity begins each autumn in Florida and appears to spread from the southeast to the northwest. Using data on hospitalizations and laboratory tests for RSV, we show that the timing of epidemics is associated with a variety of climatic factors, including temperature, vapor pressure, precipitation, and potential evapotranspiration (PET). Furthermore, using a dynamic model, we show that seasonal variation in the transmission rate of RSV can be correlated with the amplitude and timing of variation in PET, which is a measure of demand for water from the atmosphere. States with colder, drier weather and a large seasonal swing in PET tended to experience an alternating pattern of “early-big” RSV epidemics one year followed by a “late-small” epidemic the next year, which our model was able to reproduce based on the interaction between susceptible and infectious individuals. However, we cannot fully explain why epidemics begin in Florida. Being able to understand and predict the timing of RSV activity is important for optimizing the delivery of immunoprophylaxis to high-risk individuals.

Respiratory syncytial virus-associated hospitalizations in pre-mature infants in Lima, Peru

We conducted a prospective cohort study in four hospitals in Lima, Peru in infants with a birth weight ≤ 1,500 g followed from birth hospital discharge up to 1 year of age to determine the incidence of respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) hospitalizations. We enrolled 222 infants from March of 2009 to March of 2010: 48 infants with a birth weight < 1,000 g and 174 infants with a birth weight of 1,000-1,500 g (birth weight = 1,197 ± 224 g; gestational age = 30.1 ± 2.6 weeks). There were 936 episodes of respiratory infections; the incidence of respiratory infections during the first 1 year of life was 5.7 episodes/child-years. The incidence of RSV respiratory infections that required emergency room management was 103.9 per 1,000 child-years, and the incidence of RSV hospitalizations was 116.2 per 1,000 child-years (244.9 in infants with a birth weight < 1,000 g and 88.9 in infants 1,000-1,500 g; P < 0.05). The incidence of RSV respiratory infections that required emergency management or hospitalization is high among pre-mature infants in Lima.

Respiratory syncytial virus surveillance in the United States, 2007-2012: results from a national surveillance system

BACKGROUND

Annual respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) outbreaks throughout the US exhibit variable patterns in onset, peak month of activity and duration of season. RSVAlert, a US surveillance system, collects and characterizes RSV test data at national, regional, state and local levels.

METHODS

RSV test data from 296 to 666 laboratories from 50 states, the District of Columbia and Puerto Rico (as of 2010) were collected during the 2007-2008 to 2011-2012 RSV seasons. Data were collected in early August/September to the following August/September each season. Participating laboratories provided the total number and types of RSV tests performed each week and test results. RSV season onset and offset were defined as the first and last, respectively, of 2 consecutive weeks during which the mean percentage of specimens testing positive for RSV was ≥10%.

RESULTS

Nationally, the RSV season onset occurred in October/November of each year with offset occurring in March/April of the following year. The RSV season averaged 20 weeks and typically occurred earliest in the South and latest in the West. The onset, offset and duration varied considerably within the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services regions. RSV activity in Puerto Rico was elevated throughout the 2-year period studied. Median onset in core-based statistical areas ranged from 2 weeks earlier to 5 weeks later than those in their corresponding states.

CONCLUSIONS

Substantial variability existed in the timing of RSV activity at all geographic strata analyzed. RSV actively circulated (ie, ≥10%) in many areas outside the traditionally defined RSV epidemic period of November to March.

Respiratory syncytial virus circulation in seven countries with Global Disease Detection Regional Centers

BACKGROUND

Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is the leading cause of lower respiratory tract infections in young children globally, with the highest burden in low- and middle-income countries where the association between RSV activity and climate remains unclear.

METHODS

Monthly laboratory-confirmed RSV cases and associations with climate data were assessed for respiratory surveillance sites in tropical and subtropical areas (Bangladesh, China, Egypt, Guatemala, Kenya, South Africa, and Thailand) during 2004-2012. Average monthly minimum and maximum temperatures, relative humidity, and precipitation were calculated using daily local weather data from the US National Climatic Data Center.

RESULTS

RSV circulated with 1-2 epidemic periods each year in site areas. RSV seasonal timing and duration were generally consistent within country from year to year. Associations between RSV and weather varied across years and geographic locations. RSV usually peaked in climates with high annual precipitation (Bangladesh, Guatemala, and Thailand) during wet months, whereas RSV peaked during cooler months in moderately hot (China) and arid (Egypt) regions. In South Africa, RSV peaked in autumn, whereas no associations with seasonal weather trends were observed in Kenya.

CONCLUSIONS

Further understanding of RSV seasonality in developing countries and various climate regions will be important to better understand the epidemiology of RSV and for timing the use of future RSV vaccines and immunoprophylaxis in low- and middle-income countries.

Seasonal respiratory syncytial virus prophylaxis based on predetermined dates versus regional surveillance data

BACKGROUND

In Ontario, Canada, the respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) prophylaxis period onset is defined by a fixed-date set provincially each year and offset by local hospital RSV admission activity. Inaccurate timing can result in inadequate or more costly prophylaxis.

METHODS

RSV positivity (2002/03 to 2010/11) was obtained from a local database. RSV activity was described: season start/end dates, duration and optimum number of palivizumab doses required compared with doses administered for the final 4 RSV seasons (2007 to 2011). Three prophylaxis period-setting methods were evaluated for seasons 2007/08 to 2010/11: 1) the provincial method currently in use, 2) a local fixed-date method based on laboratory data accrued from the previous 5 seasons and 3) an exploratory prospective method based on surveillance of laboratory data. These were compared with the observed RSV seasons.

RESULTS

The local RSV pattern closely reflects provincial seasonality. The local median season duration was 125 days (range 90-181). Median season onset and offset dates were December 19 and April 16, respectively. The prophylactic period definitions corresponded similarly, but the provincially set and local fixed-date methods provided longer immunity periods than required for the actual RSV season and involved the administration of more than 5 palivizumab doses compared with the prospective method.

CONCLUSIONS

The provincial prophylactic period aligned with the local fixed-date and prospective methods. However, the adoption of any of the first 2 strategies merits close observation to minimize excess healthcare expenditure. The prospective surveillance of laboratory isolates should be further explored as a preferred option to better define prophylactic periods.

Respiratory virus identification by interval polymerase chain reaction testing in the southeastern United States

BACKGROUND

This study was designed to determine if testing the first ~40 nasal washings (interval) each month for 1 year, could be used as an epidemiologic tool for seasonality and prevalence of respiratory viruses such as human metapneumovirus in an adult and pediatric population in the southeastern United States.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Results of interval polymerase chain reaction (PCR) testing of 469 specimens for 8 viruses were compared with our current procedures using PCR, culture, or respiratory synctial virus antigen for all 7435 specimens (routine).

RESULTS

One hundred thirty-six viruses out of 469 specimens (29.0%) and 1,495 viruses out of 7,435 specimens (20.1%) were identified by interval and routine testing, respectively. Seasonal detection varied among viruses and to some degree between interval and routine testing. A higher percent of positives and dual infections were detected by interval testing of pediatric specimens, likely due to the use of PCR for viruses commonly seen in this population. Human metapneumovirus was detected in both pediatric and adult specimens between January and August.

CONCLUSIONS

Interval testing can be used to provide a snapshot of prevalence and seasonality of respiratory viruses, although as currently designed they may not be sensitive enough to identify the beginning of a specific virus season. Exclusive use of interval PCR testing identified several dual infections, including human metapneumovirus, throughout most of the year in Florida. A rapid turnaround time to results translates into improved infection control and improved patient care.

Prevalence of respiratory syncytial virus-associated lower respiratory infection and apnea in infants presenting to the emergency department

The prevalence of respiratory syncytial virus in children presenting to US emergency departments with lower respiratory tract infection or apnea (N = 4172) was evaluated outside the traditional respiratory syncytial virus season (September to October and April to May) relative to January to February. The Mid-Atlantic and Southeast demonstrated positivity rates in September to October comparable with rates observed during January to February.

The impact of influenza and respiratory syncytial virus on hospitalizations for lower respiratory tract infections in young children: Slovenia, 2006-2011

Background

Influenza and respiratory syncytial viruses (RSV) are important viral pathogens in childhood.

Objectives

Our aim was to estimate the effect of influenza and RSV on excess hospitalizations for acute lower respiratory tract infections (ALRTI) in children aged ≤5.

Methods

Retrospective, population‐based study was performed for five seasons (2006–2011). Slovenian national hospital discharge data and surveillance data were used to estimate the effect of influenza and/or RSV on ALRTI hospitalizations (acute bronchiolitis, pneumonia, and acute bronchitis) using rate difference method.

Results

An excess was observed in average weekly ALRTI hospitalizations per 100 000 among children aged ≤5 in all five seasons during influenza and/or RSV active period. During three seasons, there was higher excess in ALRTI hospitalizations in the period when influenza/RSV cocirculated compared with the RSV period. In pandemic season (2009/2010), the only one without influenza/RSV overlap, excess hospitalization was higher in RSV period. The highest excess of hospitalizations was found among the youngest children (0‐5 months old). In all five seasons, acute bronchiolitis was the most common ALRTI recorded in hospitalized young children.

Conclusions

Respiratory syncytial viruses was leading viral pathogen associated with ALRTI hospitalizations in children aged ≤5. The cocirculation of influenza virus increased the burden of ALRTI hospitalizations especially in seasons with A(H3) predominance.

Should respiratory care in preterm infants include prophylaxis against respiratory syncytial virus infection? The case in favour

Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is the most significant cause of acute respiratory tract infections (RTI) in infants and young children throughout the world. Preterm infants are at increased risk for severe RSV lower respiratory tract infection due to small lung volumes, a reduced lung surface area, small airways and an increased air space wall thickness. Additionally, the airways of preterm infants have been ventilated mechanically and suctioned and potentially damaged by many microtraumas with disruption of endothelial surfaces enabling pathogens to invade more easily. The immune system of preterm infants is immature resulting in low antibody titers (incomplete transplacental transfer of maternal antibodies) and a reduced cellular immunity with reduced viral clearance. Rehospitalization rates of preterm compared to term infants due to RSV infection are increased as are total morbidity and mortality associated with RSV disease. Palivizumab effectively reduces RSV related rehospitalisation in this high-risk population.

Validity of laboratory-based surveillance for detection of respiratory syncytial virus seasons

In this study, we validated the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's use of a 10% threshold of median proportion of positive laboratory tests (median proportion positive (MPP)) to identify respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) seasons against a standard based on hospitalization claims. Medicaid fee-for-service recipients under 2 years of age from California, Florida, Illinois, and Texas (1999-2004), continuously eligible since birth, were categorized for each week as high-risk or low-risk with regard to RSV-related hospitalization based on medical and pharmacy claims data and birth certificates. Weeks were categorized as on-season if the RSV hospitalization incidence rate in high-risk children exceeded the seasonal peak of the incidence rate in low-risk children. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to measure the ability of MPP to discriminate between on-season and off-season weeks as determined from hospitalization data. Areas under the ROC curve ranged from 0.88 (95% confidence interval: 0.83, 0.92) in Illinois to 0.96 (95% confidence interval: 0.94, 0.98) in California. Requiring at least 5 positive tests in addition to the 10% MPP threshold optimized accuracy, as indicated by minimized root mean square errors. The 10% MPP with the added requirement of at least 5 positive tests is a valid method for identifying clinically significant RSV seasons across geographically diverse states.

Three monthly doses of palivizumab are not adequate for 5-month protection: a population pharmacokinetic analysis

Recent guidelines in British Columbia, Canada have suggested that the use of a maximum of 3 monthly doses of palivizumab 15 mg/kg intramuscularly for RSV immunoprophylaxis of high risk infants born prior to the RSV season is adequate to provide protection against severe RSV disease for a 5-month RSV season. Efficacy was established, however, with 2 large, randomized controlled clinical studies using 5 monthly doses of immunoprophylaxis. To evaluate the differences in expected palivizumab exposures between the 2 dosing regimens (3 vs 5 monthly doses across a 5-month period), we used a population pharmacokinetic (PK) model that was developed using palivizumab PK data collected from 22 clinical studies with a total of 1800 subjects. This model adequately described observed palivizumab concentrations from the different pediatric studies and was subsequently used to simulate expected palivizumab serum concentrations for 3 monthly doses compared with 5 monthly doses in children younger than 24 months with chronic lung disease of prematurity and infants younger than 6 months postnatal age who were born at ≤ 35 weeks gestational age. Results from the population PK model indicated lower serum concentrations of palivizumab during the fourth and fifth months, after an abbreviated 3-monthly-dose regimen when compared with the mean trough concentrations seen with the 5-monthly-dose regimen studied in the pivotal clinical trials in premature infants. Specifically, during the fourth and fifth months, 52% and 85%, respectively, would have levels below the lowest concentration (fifth percentile) in those receiving the 5-monthly-dose regimen. Simulations using this model did not support a 3-monthly-dose regimen to protect against severe RSV disease during the typical 5-month season.

Latitudinal variations in seasonal activity of influenza and respiratory syncytial virus (RSV): a global comparative review

BACKGROUND

There is limited information on influenza and respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) seasonal patterns in tropical areas, although there is renewed interest in understanding the seasonal drivers of respiratory viruses.

METHODS

We review geographic variations in seasonality of laboratory-confirmed influenza and RSV epidemics in 137 global locations based on literature review and electronic sources. We assessed peak timing and epidemic duration and explored their association with geography and study settings. We fitted time series model to weekly national data available from the WHO influenza surveillance system (FluNet) to further characterize seasonal parameters.

RESULTS

Influenza and RSV activity consistently peaked during winter months in temperate locales, while there was greater diversity in the tropics. Several temperate locations experienced semi-annual influenza activity with peaks occurring in winter and summer. Semi-annual activity was relatively common in tropical areas of Southeast Asia for both viruses. Biennial cycles of RSV activity were identified in Northern Europe. Both viruses exhibited weak latitudinal gradients in the timing of epidemics by hemisphere, with peak timing occurring later in the calendar year with increasing latitude (P<0.03). Time series model applied to influenza data from 85 countries confirmed the presence of latitudinal gradients in timing, duration, seasonal amplitude, and between-year variability of epidemics. Overall, 80% of tropical locations experienced distinct RSV seasons lasting 6 months or less, while the percentage was 50% for influenza.

CONCLUSION

Our review combining literature and electronic data sources suggests that a large fraction of tropical locations experience focused seasons of respiratory virus activity in individual years. Information on seasonal patterns remains limited in large undersampled regions, included Africa and Central America. Future studies should attempt to link the observed latitudinal gradients in seasonality of viral epidemics with climatic and population factors, and explore regional differences in disease transmission dynamics and attack rates.

Challenges to evaluating respiratory syncytial virus mortality in Bangladesh, 2004-2008

Background

Acute lower respiratory illness is the most common cause of death among children, globally. Data are not available to make accurate estimates on the global mortality from respiratory syncytial virus (RSV), specifically.

Methods

Respiratory samples collected from children under 5 years of age during 2004 to 2008 as part of population-based respiratory disease surveillance in an urban community in Dhaka, Bangladesh were tested for RSV, human metapneumovirus (HMPV), human parainfluenza virus (PIV) types 1, 2, and 3, influenza and adenovirus by RT-PCR. Verbal autopsy data were used to identify children who died from respiratory illness in a nearby rural community. Significance of the correlation between detections and community respiratory deaths was determined using Spearman's coefficient.

Results

RSV activity occurred during defined periods lasting approximately three months but with no clear seasonal pattern. There was no significant correlation between respiratory deaths and detection of any of the respiratory viruses studied.

Conclusion

Outbreaks of respiratory viruses may not be associated with deaths in children in the study site; however, the few respiratory deaths observed and community-to-community variation in the timing of outbreaks may have obscured an association. An accurate assessment of respiratory virus-associated deaths will require detections and death data to come from the same location and a larger study population.

Clinical and epidemiologic features of respiratory syncytial virus

Since its discovery in 1955, respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) has consistently been noted to be the single most important cause of lower respiratory tract illness in infants <1 year of age. RSV also causes repeat infections and significant disease throughout life. In addition to the young child, persons with compromised immune, pulmonary or cardiac systems, and the elderly have significant risk from infection. Though RSV causes the full spectrum of acute respiratory illnesses, it is most notably associated with signs and symptoms of increased airway resistance manifested as wheezing and, in the young child, diagnosed as bronchiolitis. In temperate climates, RSV occurs as yearly outbreaks usually between late fall and early spring lasting 3-4 months in a community. The timing of outbreaks varies between years and in the same year between regions and even between nearby communities. RSV can be a serious nosocomial pathogen in high risk individuals but nosocomial transmission that can often be prevented with meticulous attention to good infection control practices. High risk groups include the premature infants and persons of any age with compromised cardiac, pulmonary, or immune systems. Risk factors for infection include increased number of children in the household and day care center attendance. There are reasonable estimates of the sizable burden of RSV disease in infants and young children and the elderly but less data on disease in older children, the role of RSV in later reactive airway disease (see chapter by M.T. Lotz et al. , this volume), and RSV-associated mortality in developing countries. The available data on burden of disease suggests there are at least four potential target populations for a vaccine, the young infant, young children >4-6 months of age, pregnant women, and the elderly. A link between infection in the young infant and later reactive airway disease and mortality in developing countries is needed. Each target population has different vaccine safety and efficacy concerns and may warrant a different type of vaccine.

Epidemiology and prevention of respiratory syncytial virus infections among infants and young children

Since its discovery in 1956, respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) has been recognized as one of the most common causes of serious lower respiratory tract infections in young children worldwide. While considered a high priority, development of a safe and effective vaccine has remained elusive. Prevention of RSV disease relies on infection control and hygiene measures, as well as providing immunoprophylaxis in select infants. The prophylaxis, however, is costly, and so targeting the recipient population and timing of administration is important for optimal effectiveness and judicious use of limited health care resources. This article reviews the epidemiology of RSV infections in infants and young children, including risk factors for severe disease, so as to inform decisions about prevention efforts.