Long-term costs of introducing HPV-DNA post-treatment surveillance to national cervical cancer screening in Ireland

The 5-year risk of recurrence of grade 2/3 cervical intraepithelial neoplasia after treatment in a population screening programme by human papillomavirus status: A cohort study in central Italy

OBJECTIVES

(a) To estimate the risk of recurrent cervical intraepithelial neoplasia, grade 2/3 or worse (CIN2+/CIN3+), lesions within 5 years of follow-up in human papillomavirus-negative/human papillomavirus-positive cohorts; (b) to assess whether certain risk factors can predict the recurrence of CIN2+/CIN3+ lesions; and (c) to provide recommendations for follow-up after treatment of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia, grade 2/3 to prevent cervical cancer.

SETTING

Organized cervical cancer screening programme in Central Italy.

METHODS

We included 1063 consecutive first excisional treatments performed between 2006 and 2014 for screening-detected cervical intraepithelial neoplasia, grade 2/3 lesions among women aged 25-65. The study population was divided into two groups according to the human papillomavirus test results performed 6 months after treatment: Human papillomavirus-negative and human papillomavirus-positive cohorts. The 5-year risk of developing cervical intraepithelial neoplasia, grade 2/3 or worse (CIN2+/CIN3+) was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method and the Cox regression model.

RESULTS

Among 829 human papillomavirus-negative and 234 human papillomavirus-positive women, six (0.72%; three cervical intraepithelial neoplasia, grade 2, three cervical intraepithelial neoplasia, grade 3) and 45 (19.2%; 15 cervical intraepithelial neoplasia, grade 2, 30 cervical intraepithelial neoplasia, grade 3), respectively, developed CIN2+ recurrence within 5 years of follow-up. The cumulative risks for CIN2+ and CIN3+ were 0.9% (95% confidence interval: 0.4%-2.0%) and 0.5% (95% confidence interval: 0.1%-1.4%), respectively, for the human papillomavirus-negative cohort, and 24.8% (95% confidence interval: 18.5%-32.7%) and 16.9% (95% confidence interval: 11.4%-24.5%), respectively, for the human papillomavirus-positive cohort. Risk factors associated with increased risk of recurrence were both margins positive for the human papillomavirus-negative cohort, and positive margins, cervical intraepithelial neoplasia, grade 3 lesions, high-grade cytology and high viral load for the human papillomavirus-positive cohort.

CONCLUSIONS

Human papillomavirus testing can identify women at increased risk of recurrence and this supports a recommendation for its use in the post-treatment follow-up of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia, grade 2/3 lesions.

Evidence to support change of clinical pathway following colposcopy treatment for cervical intraepithelial neoplasia in Canada

OBJECTIVES

Human papillomavirus (HPV) testing can be incorporated into the post-treatment pathway of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN) to confirm disease-free status. To inform a post-treatment strategy based on risk of recurrence, we modelled disease and economic outcomes.

METHODS

The current Alberta, Canada, post-treatment care pathway-cytology testing with colposcopy assessment-was compared with 6 other scenarios incorporating cytology, HPV testing, or both tests at different time points in a modelling study based on a microsimulation program. Input parameter values for the screening participation, screening age groups, and follow-up options and test compliance for HPV, cytology, and colposcopy were varied, based on Alberta cervical cancer screening program data. Health outcomes over the short- and long-term were projected, which incorporated the increasing population-level coverage of HPV vaccination. Lifetime incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) were used to evaluate economic outcomes and descriptive statistics compared with numbers of tests, visits, and procedures as well as changes in incidence and mortality rates between the scenarios.

RESULTS

At 5 years after implementation of the "HPV testing alone at 6 and 18 months" post-treatment pathway, the number of colposcopies dropped by 36% and the number of pre-cancer treatments, by 6%. Lifetime ICERs were CAD $6170 versus $248,495 per quality-adjusted life-year compared with the status quo pathway. Cervical cancer incidence and mortality rates decreased significantly and similarly in all scenarios.

CONCLUSION

Strategies that involve HPV testing in CIN post-treatment follow-up care are expected to be more cost effective with improved clinical outcomes than traditional cytology and colposcopy-based follow-up.

The negative conversion of high-risk human papillomavirus and its performance in surveillance of cervical cancer after treatment: a retrospective study

PURPOSE

To determine the negative conversion regularity of high-risk human papillomavirus (HR-HPV) and to evaluate the prognostic implications of HR-HPV testing in patients with cervical cancer after treatment.

METHODS

A retrospective post-treatment analysis of 173 patients with cervical cancer was performed from January 2011 to December 2012. Patients who had HR-HPV infection before treatment were included. Clinical and pathological characteristics, as well as follow-up information, were reviewed.

RESULTS

The negative conversion rate of HR-HPV reached 68.9 % within half a year and increased most rapidly within the first 2 years after treatment. Univariate and multivariate analyses suggested that the negative conversion rate of HR-HPV was significantly correlated with clinical stage, treatment regimens, and HR-HPV type (P < 0.05). In our analysis of 173 patients, we found that HR-HPV status was predictive of 3-year survival rate and disease recurrence (P < 0.05). Pelvic recurrence, but not distant metastasis, was influenced by HR-HPV status (P < 0.05). Through 2 × 2 table analysis, we found that HR-HPV was more sensitive (71.43 %) and specific (94.20 %) than cervical cytology (sensitivity 62.86 % and specificity 78.26 %).

CONCLUSIONS

The negative conversion rate of HR-HPV increased most rapidly within the first 2 years of cervical cancer surveillance. Persistent HPV infection was associated with a poor prognosis and had an impact on recurrence sites. Further large and multi-center prospective studies should be performed, but these results of this study suggested that HR-HPV monitoring is necessary to be used as a means of cervical cancer surveillance.