Metabolic syndrome and prostate cancer

The role of metabolic syndrome in high grade prostate cancer: development of a clinical nomogram

BACKGROUND

The aim of our study is to develop a clinical nomogram including metabolic syndrome status for the prediction of high-grade prostate cancer (HG PCa).

METHODS

A series of men at increased risk of PCa undergoing prostate biopsies were enrolled in a single center. Demographic and clinical characteristics of the patients were recorded. Metabolic syndrome was defined according to the adult treatment panel III. A nomogram was generated based on the logistic regression model and used to predict high grade prostate cancer defined as grade group ≥3 (ISUP 2014). ROC curves, calibration plots and decision curve analysis were used to evaluate the performance of the nomogram.

RESULTS

Overall, 738 patients were enrolled. Greater than or equal to 294/738 (40%) of the patients presented PCa and of those patients, 84/294 (39%) presented high grade disease (Grade Group ≥3). On multivariate analysis, DRE (OR: 3.24, 95% CI: 1.80-5.84), PSA (OR: 1.10, 95% CI: 1.05-1.16), PV (OR: 0.98, 95% CI: 0.97-0.99) and MetS (OR: 2.02, 95% CI: 1.13-3.59) were predictors of HG PCa. The nomogram based on the model presented good discrimination (AUC: 0.76), good calibration (Hosmer-Lemeshow Test, P>0.05) and a net benefit in the range of probabilities between 10% and 70%.

CONCLUSIONS

Metabolic syndrome is highly prevalent in patients at risk of prostate cancer and is particularly associated with high-grade prostate cancer. Our nomogram offers the possibility to include metabolic status in the assessment of patients at risk of prostate cancer to identify men who may have a high-grade form of the disease. External validation is warranted before its clinical implementation.