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Aldin A, Umlauff L, Estcourt LJ, Collins G, Moons KG, Engert A, Kobe C, von Tresckow B, Haque M, Foroutan F, Kreuzberger N, Trivella M, Skoetz N. Interim PET-results for prognosis in adults with Hodgkin lymphoma: a systematic review and meta-analysis of prognostic factor studies. Cochrane Database Syst Rev 2020; 1:CD012643. [PMID: 31930780 PMCID: PMC6984446 DOI: 10.1002/14651858.cd012643.pub3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/02/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Hodgkin lymphoma (HL) is one of the most common haematological malignancies in young adults and, with cure rates of 90%, has become curable for the majority of individuals. Positron emission tomography (PET) is an imaging tool used to monitor a tumour's metabolic activity, stage and progression. Interim PET during chemotherapy has been posited as a prognostic factor in individuals with HL to distinguish between those with a poor prognosis and those with a better prognosis. This distinction is important to inform decision-making on the clinical pathway of individuals with HL. OBJECTIVES To determine whether in previously untreated adults with HL receiving first-line therapy, interim PET scan results can distinguish between those with a poor prognosis and those with a better prognosis, and thereby predict survival outcomes in each group. SEARCH METHODS We searched MEDLINE, Embase, CENTRAL and conference proceedings up until April 2019. We also searched one trial registry (ClinicalTrials.gov). SELECTION CRITERIA We included retrospective and prospective studies evaluating interim PET scans in a minimum of 10 individuals with HL (all stages) undergoing first-line therapy. Interim PET was defined as conducted during therapy (after one, two, three or four treatment cycles). The minimum follow-up period was at least 12 months. We excluded studies if the trial design allowed treatment modification based on the interim PET scan results. DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS We developed a data extraction form according to the Checklist for Critical Appraisal and Data Extraction for Systematic Reviews of Prediction Modelling Studies (CHARMS). Two teams of two review authors independently screened the studies, extracted data on overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS) and PET-associated adverse events (AEs), assessed risk of bias (per outcome) according to the Quality in Prognosis Studies (QUIPS) tool, and assessed the certainty of the evidence (GRADE). We contacted investigators to obtain missing information and data. MAIN RESULTS Our literature search yielded 11,277 results. In total, we included 23 studies (99 references) with 7335 newly-diagnosed individuals with classic HL (all stages). Participants in 16 studies underwent (interim) PET combined with computed tomography (PET-CT), compared to PET only in the remaining seven studies. The standard chemotherapy regimen included ABVD (16) studies, compared to BEACOPP or other regimens (seven studies). Most studies (N = 21) conducted interim PET scans after two cycles (PET2) of chemotherapy, although PET1, PET3 and PET4 were also reported in some studies. In the meta-analyses, we used PET2 data if available as we wanted to ensure homogeneity between studies. In most studies interim PET scan results were evaluated according to the Deauville 5-point scale (N = 12). Eight studies were not included in meta-analyses due to missing information and/or data; results were reported narratively. For the remaining studies, we pooled the unadjusted hazard ratio (HR). The timing of the outcome measurement was after two or three years (the median follow-up time ranged from 22 to 65 months) in the pooled studies. Eight studies explored the independent prognostic ability of interim PET by adjusting for other established prognostic factors (e.g. disease stage, B symptoms). We did not pool the results because the multivariable analyses adjusted for a different set of factors in each study. Overall survival Twelve (out of 23) studies reported OS. Six of these were assessed as low risk of bias in all of the first four domains of QUIPS (study participation, study attrition, prognostic factor measurement and outcome measurement). The other six studies were assessed as unclear, moderate or high risk of bias in at least one of these four domains. Four studies were assessed as low risk, and eight studies as high risk of bias for the domain other prognostic factors (covariates). Nine studies were assessed as low risk, and three studies as high risk of bias for the domain 'statistical analysis and reporting'. We pooled nine studies with 1802 participants. Participants with HL who have a negative interim PET scan result probably have a large advantage in OS compared to those with a positive interim PET scan result (unadjusted HR 5.09, 95% confidence interval (CI) 2.64 to 9.81, I² = 44%, moderate-certainty evidence). In absolute values, this means that 900 out of 1000 participants with a negative interim PET scan result will probably survive longer than three years compared to 585 (95% CI 356 to 757) out of 1000 participants with a positive result. Adjusted results from two studies also indicate an independent prognostic value of interim PET scan results (moderate-certainty evidence). Progression-free survival Twenty-one studies reported PFS. Eleven out of 21 were assessed as low risk of bias in the first four domains. The remaining were assessed as unclear, moderate or high risk of bias in at least one of the four domains. Eleven studies were assessed as low risk, and ten studies as high risk of bias for the domain other prognostic factors (covariates). Eight studies were assessed as high risk, thirteen as low risk of bias for statistical analysis and reporting. We pooled 14 studies with 2079 participants. Participants who have a negative interim PET scan result may have an advantage in PFS compared to those with a positive interim PET scan result, but the evidence is very uncertain (unadjusted HR 4.90, 95% CI 3.47 to 6.90, I² = 45%, very low-certainty evidence). This means that 850 out of 1000 participants with a negative interim PET scan result may be progression-free longer than three years compared to 451 (95% CI 326 to 569) out of 1000 participants with a positive result. Adjusted results (not pooled) from eight studies also indicate that there may be an independent prognostic value of interim PET scan results (low-certainty evidence). PET-associated adverse events No study measured PET-associated AEs. AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS This review provides moderate-certainty evidence that interim PET scan results predict OS, and very low-certainty evidence that interim PET scan results predict progression-free survival in treated individuals with HL. This evidence is primarily based on unadjusted data. More studies are needed to test the adjusted prognostic ability of interim PET against established prognostic factors.
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Affiliation(s)
- Angela Aldin
- Faculty of Medicine and University Hospital Cologne, University of Cologne, Cochrane Haematology, Department I of Internal Medicine, Center for Integrated Oncology Aachen Bonn Cologne Duesseldorf, Kerpener Str. 62, Cologne, Germany, 50937
| | - Lisa Umlauff
- Faculty of Medicine and University Hospital Cologne, University of Cologne, Cochrane Haematology, Department I of Internal Medicine, Center for Integrated Oncology Aachen Bonn Cologne Duesseldorf, Kerpener Str. 62, Cologne, Germany, 50937
| | - Lise J Estcourt
- NHS Blood and Transplant, Haematology/Transfusion Medicine, Level 2, John Radcliffe Hospital, Headington, Oxford, UK, OX3 9BQ
| | - Gary Collins
- University of Oxford, Centre for Statistics in Medicine, Nuffield Department of Orthopaedics, Rheumatology and Musculoskeletal Sciences, Windmill Road, Oxford, UK, OX3 7LD
| | - Karel Gm Moons
- University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht University, Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, PO Box 85500, Utrecht, Netherlands, 3508 GA
| | - Andreas Engert
- Faculty of Medicine and University Hospital Cologne, University of Cologne, Department I of Internal Medicine, Center for Integrated Oncology Aachen Bonn Cologne Duesseldorf, Kerpener Str. 62, Cologne, Germany, 50924
| | - Carsten Kobe
- Faculty of Medicine and University Hospital Cologne, Department for Nuclear Medicine, University of Cologne, Cologne, Germany
| | - Bastian von Tresckow
- Faculty of Medicine and University Hospital Cologne, University of Cologne, Department I of Internal Medicine, Center for Integrated Oncology Aachen Bonn Cologne Duesseldorf, Kerpener Str. 62, Cologne, Germany, 50924
| | - Madhuri Haque
- Faculty of Medicine and University Hospital Cologne, University of Cologne, Cochrane Haematology, Department I of Internal Medicine, Center for Integrated Oncology Aachen Bonn Cologne Duesseldorf, Kerpener Str. 62, Cologne, Germany, 50937
| | - Farid Foroutan
- McMaster University, Department of Health Research Methods, Evidence, and Impact, 1280 Main St W, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada, L8S 4L8
| | - Nina Kreuzberger
- Faculty of Medicine and University Hospital Cologne, University of Cologne, Cochrane Haematology, Department I of Internal Medicine, Center for Integrated Oncology Aachen Bonn Cologne Duesseldorf, Kerpener Str. 62, Cologne, Germany, 50937
| | - Marialena Trivella
- University of Oxford, Centre for Statistics in Medicine, Nuffield Department of Orthopaedics, Rheumatology and Musculoskeletal Sciences, Windmill Road, Oxford, UK, OX3 7LD
| | - Nicole Skoetz
- Faculty of Medicine and University Hospital Cologne, University of Cologne, Cochrane Cancer, Department I of Internal Medicine, Center for Integrated Oncology Aachen Bonn Cologne Duesseldorf, Kerpener Str. 62, Cologne, Germany, 50937
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Aldin A, Umlauff L, Estcourt LJ, Collins G, Moons KGM, Engert A, Kobe C, von Tresckow B, Haque M, Foroutan F, Kreuzberger N, Trivella M, Skoetz N. Interim PET-results for prognosis in adults with Hodgkin lymphoma: a systematic review and meta-analysis of prognostic factor studies. Cochrane Database Syst Rev 2019; 9:CD012643. [PMID: 31525824 PMCID: PMC6746624 DOI: 10.1002/14651858.cd012643.pub2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/21/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Hodgkin lymphoma (HL) is one of the most common haematological malignancies in young adults and, with cure rates of 90%, has become curable for the majority of individuals. Positron emission tomography (PET) is an imaging tool used to monitor a tumour's metabolic activity, stage and progression. Interim PET during chemotherapy has been posited as a prognostic factor in individuals with HL to distinguish between those with a poor prognosis and those with a better prognosis. This distinction is important to inform decision-making on the clinical pathway of individuals with HL. OBJECTIVES To determine whether in previously untreated adults with HL receiving first-line therapy, interim PET scan results can distinguish between those with a poor prognosis and those with a better prognosis, and thereby predict survival outcomes in each group. SEARCH METHODS We searched MEDLINE, Embase, CENTRAL and conference proceedings up until April 2019. We also searched one trial registry (ClinicalTrials.gov). SELECTION CRITERIA We included retrospective and prospective studies evaluating interim PET scans in a minimum of 10 individuals with HL (all stages) undergoing first-line therapy. Interim PET was defined as conducted during therapy (after one, two, three or four treatment cycles). The minimum follow-up period was at least 12 months. We excluded studies if the trial design allowed treatment modification based on the interim PET scan results. DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS We developed a data extraction form according to the Checklist for Critical Appraisal and Data Extraction for Systematic Reviews of Prediction Modelling Studies (CHARMS). Two teams of two review authors independently screened the studies, extracted data on overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS) and PET-associated adverse events (AEs), assessed risk of bias (per outcome) according to the Quality in Prognosis Studies (QUIPS) tool, and assessed the certainty of the evidence (GRADE). We contacted investigators to obtain missing information and data. MAIN RESULTS Our literature search yielded 11,277 results. In total, we included 23 studies (99 references) with 7335 newly-diagnosed individuals with classic HL (all stages).Participants in 16 studies underwent (interim) PET combined with computed tomography (PET-CT), compared to PET only in the remaining seven studies. The standard chemotherapy regimen included ABVD (16) studies, compared to BEACOPP or other regimens (seven studies). Most studies (N = 21) conducted interim PET scans after two cycles (PET2) of chemotherapy, although PET1, PET3 and PET4 were also reported in some studies. In the meta-analyses, we used PET2 data if available as we wanted to ensure homogeneity between studies. In most studies interim PET scan results were evaluated according to the Deauville 5-point scale (N = 12).Eight studies were not included in meta-analyses due to missing information and/or data; results were reported narratively. For the remaining studies, we pooled the unadjusted hazard ratio (HR). The timing of the outcome measurement was after two or three years (the median follow-up time ranged from 22 to 65 months) in the pooled studies.Eight studies explored the independent prognostic ability of interim PET by adjusting for other established prognostic factors (e.g. disease stage, B symptoms). We did not pool the results because the multivariable analyses adjusted for a different set of factors in each study.Overall survivalTwelve (out of 23) studies reported OS. Six of these were assessed as low risk of bias in all of the first four domains of QUIPS (study participation, study attrition, prognostic factor measurement and outcome measurement). The other six studies were assessed as unclear, moderate or high risk of bias in at least one of these four domains. Nine studies were assessed as high risk, and three studies as moderate risk of bias for the domain study confounding. Eight studies were assessed as low risk, and four studies as high risk of bias for the domain statistical analysis and reporting.We pooled nine studies with 1802 participants. Participants with HL who have a negative interim PET scan result probably have a large advantage in OS compared to those with a positive interim PET scan result (unadjusted HR 5.09, 95% confidence interval (CI) 2.64 to 9.81, I² = 44%, moderate-certainty evidence). In absolute values, this means that 900 out of 1000 participants with a negative interim PET scan result will probably survive longer than three years compared to 585 (95% CI 356 to 757) out of 1000 participants with a positive result.Adjusted results from two studies also indicate an independent prognostic value of interim PET scan results (moderate-certainty evidence).Progression-free survival Twenty-one studies reported PFS. Eleven out of 21 were assessed as low risk of bias in the first four domains. The remaining were assessed as unclear, moderate or high risk of bias in at least one of the four domains. Eleven studies were assessed as high risk, nine studies as moderate risk and one study as low risk of bias for study confounding. Eight studies were assessed as high risk, three as moderate risk and nine as low risk of bias for statistical analysis and reporting.We pooled 14 studies with 2079 participants. Participants who have a negative interim PET scan result may have an advantage in PFS compared to those with a positive interim PET scan result, but the evidence is very uncertain (unadjusted HR 4.90, 95% CI 3.47 to 6.90, I² = 45%, very low-certainty evidence). This means that 850 out of 1000 participants with a negative interim PET scan result may be progression-free longer than three years compared to 451 (95% CI 326 to 569) out of 1000 participants with a positive result.Adjusted results (not pooled) from eight studies also indicate that there may be an independent prognostic value of interim PET scan results (low-certainty evidence).PET-associated adverse eventsNo study measured PET-associated AEs. AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS This review provides moderate-certainty evidence that interim PET scan results predict OS, and very low-certainty evidence that interim PET scan results predict progression-free survival in treated individuals with HL. This evidence is primarily based on unadjusted data. More studies are needed to test the adjusted prognostic ability of interim PET against established prognostic factors.
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Affiliation(s)
- Angela Aldin
- Faculty of Medicine and University Hospital Cologne, Department I of Internal Medicine, Center for Integrated Oncology Aachen Bonn Cologne Duesseldorf, Cochrane Haematological MalignanciesUniversity of CologneKerpener Str. 62CologneGermany50937
| | - Lisa Umlauff
- Faculty of Medicine and University Hospital Cologne, Department I of Internal Medicine, Center for Integrated Oncology Aachen Bonn Cologne Duesseldorf, Cochrane Haematological MalignanciesUniversity of CologneKerpener Str. 62CologneGermany50937
| | - Lise J Estcourt
- NHS Blood and TransplantHaematology/Transfusion MedicineLevel 2, John Radcliffe HospitalHeadingtonOxfordUKOX3 9BQ
| | - Gary Collins
- University of OxfordCentre for Statistics in Medicine, Nuffield Department of Orthopaedics, Rheumatology and Musculoskeletal SciencesWindmill RoadOxfordUKOX3 7LD
| | - Karel GM Moons
- University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht UniversityJulius Center for Health Sciences and Primary CarePO Box 85500UtrechtNetherlands3508 GA
| | - Andreas Engert
- Faculty of Medicine and University Hospital Cologne, Department I of Internal Medicine, Center for Integrated Oncology Aachen Bonn Cologne DuesseldorfUniversity of CologneKerpener Str. 62CologneGermany50924
| | - Carsten Kobe
- Faculty of Medicine and University Hospital Cologne, Department for Nuclear MedicineUniversity of CologneCologneGermany
| | - Bastian von Tresckow
- Faculty of Medicine and University Hospital Cologne, Department I of Internal Medicine, Center for Integrated Oncology Aachen Bonn Cologne DuesseldorfUniversity of CologneKerpener Str. 62CologneGermany50924
| | - Madhuri Haque
- Faculty of Medicine and University Hospital Cologne, Department I of Internal Medicine, Center for Integrated Oncology Aachen Bonn Cologne Duesseldorf, Cochrane Haematological MalignanciesUniversity of CologneKerpener Str. 62CologneGermany50937
| | - Farid Foroutan
- McMaster UniversityDepartment of Health Research Methods, Evidence, and Impact1280 Main St WHamiltonCanadaL8S 4L8
| | - Nina Kreuzberger
- Faculty of Medicine and University Hospital Cologne, Department I of Internal Medicine, Center for Integrated Oncology Aachen Bonn Cologne Duesseldorf, Cochrane Haematological MalignanciesUniversity of CologneKerpener Str. 62CologneGermany50937
| | - Marialena Trivella
- University of OxfordCentre for Statistics in Medicine, Nuffield Department of Orthopaedics, Rheumatology and Musculoskeletal SciencesWindmill RoadOxfordUKOX3 7LD
| | - Nicole Skoetz
- Faculty of Medicine and University Hospital Cologne, Department I of Internal Medicine, Center for Integrated Oncology Aachen Bonn Cologne Duesseldorf, Cochrane CancerUniversity of CologneKerpener Str. 62CologneGermany50937
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Gilardin L, Amorim S, Bernard S, Ravdan O, Thieblemont C, Brice P. L’arrivée de l’immunothérapie dans le lymphome de Hodgkin. Bull Cancer 2019; 105 Suppl 1:S50-S58. [PMID: 30595199 DOI: 10.1016/s0007-4551(18)30390-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/25/2022]
Abstract
IMMUNOTHERAPY OF HODGKIN LYMPHOMA Classical Hodgkin lymphoma (HL) is a rare hematological cancer, affecting preferentially young adults. Using a risk-adapted approach, HL has become highly curable (>80%) with front-line chemotherapy in addition with radiotherapy, despite long term significant toxicity. Some patients are primary refractory or relapse after first-line chemotherapy, requiring high dose chemotherapy with serious side effects. Studies of the microenvironment from HL tissue reveal ineffective inflammatory and immune cell infiltrate surrounding Reed-Sternberg cells, involving the Programmed cell Death 1 (PD-1)/PD-ligand-1 checkpoint pathways. Recently, immune checkpoint inhibitors demonstrated high efficacy for relapsed and refractory patients, with a favorable safety profile but indeterminate long term outcome. Guidelines for nivolumab or pembrolizumab treatment in HL remain to be established.
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Affiliation(s)
- Laurent Gilardin
- Service d'onco-hématologie - Hôpital Saint-Louis, AP-HP, Paris, France.
| | - Sandy Amorim
- Service d'onco-hématologie - Hôpital Saint-Louis, AP-HP, Paris, France
| | - Sophie Bernard
- Service d'onco-hématologie - Hôpital Saint-Louis, AP-HP, Paris, France
| | - Odonchimeg Ravdan
- Service d'onco-hématologie - Hôpital Saint-Louis, AP-HP, Paris, France
| | | | - Pauline Brice
- Service d'onco-hématologie - Hôpital Saint-Louis, AP-HP, Paris, France
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Vera-Lozada G, Segges P, Stefanoff CG, Barros MHM, Niedobitek G, Hassan R. Pathway-focused gene expression profiles and immunohistochemistry detection identify contrasting association of caspase 3 (CASP3) expression with prognosis in pediatric classical Hodgkin lymphoma. Hematol Oncol 2018; 36:663-670. [DOI: 10.1002/hon.2523] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/11/2017] [Revised: 03/16/2018] [Accepted: 04/10/2018] [Indexed: 12/27/2022]
Affiliation(s)
- Gabriela Vera-Lozada
- Oncovirology Laboratory, Bone Marrow Transplantation Center; Instituto Nacional de Câncer (INCA); Rio de Janeiro Brazil
| | - Priscilla Segges
- Oncovirology Laboratory, Bone Marrow Transplantation Center; Instituto Nacional de Câncer (INCA); Rio de Janeiro Brazil
| | | | | | | | - Rocio Hassan
- Oncovirology Laboratory, Bone Marrow Transplantation Center; Instituto Nacional de Câncer (INCA); Rio de Janeiro Brazil
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Collins GP, Rueda A, Salles G, von Tresckow B, Zaja F. Management of Hodgkin lymphoma in the era of brentuximab vedotin: real-world data from five European countries. Leuk Lymphoma 2018; 59:2113-2120. [PMID: 29334819 DOI: 10.1080/10428194.2017.1421762] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/18/2022]
Abstract
We examined real-world data on management of relapsed/refractory Hodgkin lymphoma (R/R HL) in five European countries and the consistency of these data with guideline recommendations. Retrospective clinical and epidemiologic data for 509 patients with R/R HL treated between January 2014 and March 2015 were collected at centers in France, Germany, Italy, Spain, and the United Kingdom. Mean age was 46.3 years; 73.3% were receiving second-line therapy for a first relapse during the reporting period. Most patients received ABVD as front-line chemotherapy, except in Germany where escalated BEACOPP was used more often. The proportion of patients receiving stem cell transplantation (SCT) was 44%; 85% of transplants occurred at first relapse. Brentuximab vedotin (BV) was usually administered after autologous SCT, and was initiated for 65% of patients following SCT failure. Our findings suggest that R/R HL management across these countries is broadly consistent with guideline recommendations and that BV is well-integrated into treatment pathways.
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Affiliation(s)
- Graham P Collins
- a Oxford Cancer and Haematology Centre , Churchill Hospital , Oxford , UK
| | - Antonio Rueda
- b Department of Medical Oncology , Hospital Costa del Sol , Málaga , Spain
| | - Gilles Salles
- c Department of Haematology , Hospices Civils de Lyon, Université Claude Bernard-Lyon-1, Centre Hospitalier Lyon Sud , Pierre-Bénite , France
| | - Bastian von Tresckow
- d German Hodgkin Study Group (GHSG) , University Hospital of Cologne , Cologne , Germany
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High dose chemotherapy and autologous stem cell transplantation in relapsed or refractory Hodgkin lymphoma: Emerging questions, newer agents, and changing paradigm. Hematol Oncol Stem Cell Ther 2017. [DOI: 10.1016/j.hemonc.2017.05.010] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/21/2022] Open
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deAndrés-Galiana EJ, Fernández-Martínez JL, Luaces O, Del Coz JJ, Fernández R, Solano J, Nogués EA, Zanabilli Y, Alonso JM, Payer AR, Vicente JM, Medina J, Taboada F, Vargas M, Alarcón C, Morán M, González-Ordóñez A, Palicio MA, Ortiz S, Chamorro C, Gonzalez S, González-Rodríguez AP. On the prediction of Hodgkin lymphoma treatment response. Clin Transl Oncol 2015; 17:612-9. [PMID: 25895906 DOI: 10.1007/s12094-015-1285-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 20] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/11/2014] [Accepted: 03/20/2015] [Indexed: 11/24/2022]
Abstract
PURPOSE The cure rate in Hodgkin lymphoma is high, but the response along with treatment is still unpredictable and highly variable among patients. Detecting those patients who do not respond to treatment at early stages could bring improvements in their treatment. This research tries to identify the main biological prognostic variables currently gathered at diagnosis and design a simple machine learning methodology to help physicians improve the treatment response assessment. METHODS We carried out a retrospective analysis of the response to treatment of a cohort of 263 Caucasians who were diagnosed with Hodgkin lymphoma in Asturias (Spain). For that purpose, we used a list of 35 clinical and biological variables that are currently measured at diagnosis before any treatment begins. To establish the list of most discriminatory prognostic variables for treatment response, we designed a machine learning approach based on two different feature selection methods (Fisher's ratio and maximum percentile distance) and backwards recursive feature elimination using a nearest-neighbor classifier (k-NN). The weights of the k-NN classifier were optimized using different terms of the confusion matrix (true- and false-positive rates) to minimize risk in the decisions. RESULTS AND CONCLUSIONS We found that the optimum strategy to predict treatment response in Hodgkin lymphoma consists in solving two different binary classification problems, discriminating first if the patient is in progressive disease; if not, then discerning among complete and partial remission. Serum ferritin turned to be the most discriminatory variable in predicting treatment response, followed by alanine aminotransferase and alkaline phosphatase. The importance of these prognostic variables suggests a close relationship between inflammation, iron overload, liver damage and the extension of the disease.
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Tumor burden in Hodgkin's lymphoma: Much more than the best prognostic factor. Crit Rev Oncol Hematol 2014; 90:17-23. [DOI: 10.1016/j.critrevonc.2013.11.002] [Citation(s) in RCA: 12] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/27/2013] [Revised: 09/09/2013] [Accepted: 11/07/2013] [Indexed: 11/20/2022] Open
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Scheid C. Allogeneic stem cell transplantation or novel agents for the treatment of relapsed/refractory Hodgkin’s lymphoma? Int J Hematol Oncol 2012. [DOI: 10.2217/ijh.12.21] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/21/2022] Open
Affiliation(s)
- Christof Scheid
- Stem Cell Transplantation Program, Department I of Internal Medicine, University Hospital Cologne, Germany
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GOBBI PAOLOG, BERGONZI MANUELA, BASSI EMILIO, MERLI FRANCESCO, CORIANI CHIARA, STELITANO CATERINA, IANNITTO EMILIO, FEDERICO MASSIMO. Tumor burden in Hodgkin's lymphoma can be reliably estimated from a few staging parameters. Oncol Rep 2012; 28:815-20. [DOI: 10.3892/or.2012.1892] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/17/2012] [Accepted: 04/12/2012] [Indexed: 11/05/2022] Open
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Gobbi PG, Bassi E, Bergonzi M, Merli F, Coriani C, Iannitto E, Luminari S, Polimeno G, Federico M. Tumour burden predicts treatment resistance in patients with early unfavourable or advanced stage Hodgkin lymphoma treated with ABVD and radiotherapy. Hematol Oncol 2012; 30:194-9. [PMID: 22271092 DOI: 10.1002/hon.1024] [Citation(s) in RCA: 13] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/04/2011] [Revised: 11/02/2011] [Accepted: 11/13/2011] [Indexed: 11/11/2022]
Abstract
The purpose of the work was to investigate the factors predicting early resistance to treatment in Hodgkin lymphoma. Many staging parameters, including relative tumour burden (rTB), were analysed in 246 patients with Hodgkin lymphoma in relation to early failure, that is, less than complete remission (i.e. partial response, null response or progression) or occurrence of early relapse, as clinical expressions of resistance to treatment. Patients with early unfavourable disease were 129 and were treated with four to six cycles of ABVD + involved field radiotherapy; 117 patients with advanced stage disease received six cycles of ABVD + optional irradiation to no more than two sites. The rTB was volumetrically measured through the evaluation of staging computed tomography for all the lesions except bone marrow involvement, which was quantified by calculation. The relationship with early resistance was analysed with logistic regressions. The rTB demonstrated to be the best predictor of early failure in both patient subsets, being superior to the multiparameter International Prognostic Score. The rTB showed a significant exponential relationship with the relative risk of early failure, and with inclusion of the extranodal involvement into the model, a single equation became adequate to predict resistance in both early unfavourable and advanced stage patients. The conclusions are that the rTB is the best pretreatment factor related to the risk of resistance to combined ABVD + radiotherapy and that this relationship can be mathematically expressed in an easy way. A simplified assessment of rTB is highly desirable.
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Affiliation(s)
- Paolo G Gobbi
- Medicina Interna e Gastroenterologia, Università di Pavia, Fondazione IRCCS Policlinico S. Matteo, Pavia, Italy.
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Bibliography. Lymphoma. Current world literature. Curr Opin Oncol 2011; 23:537-41. [PMID: 21836468 DOI: 10.1097/cco.0b013e32834b18ec] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/25/2022]
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