Accuracy of predictive scores of hemorrhagic transformation in patients with acute ischemic stroke

Heterogeneous treatment effects of Cerebrolysin as an early add-on to reperfusion therapy: post hoc analysis of the CEREHETIS trial

Background: There has been intensive research into enhancing the effects of reperfusion therapy to mitigate hemorrhagic transformation (HT) in stroke patients. Using neuroprotective agents alongside intravenous thrombolysis (IVT) appears a promising approach. Cerebrolysin is one of the candidates since it consists of neuropeptides mimicking the action of neurotrophic factors on brain protection and repair. Objectives: We looked at treatment effects of Cerebrolysin as an early add-on to IVT in stroke patients with varying HT risk. Methods: It was post hoc analysis of the CEREHETIS trial (ISRCTN87656744). Patients with middle cerebral artery infarction (n = 238) were selected from the intention-to-treat population. To stratify participants according to their HT risk, the DRAGON, SEDAN and HTI scores were computed for each eligible subject using on-admission data. The study endpoints were any and symptomatic HT, and functional outcome measured with the modified Rankin Scale (mRS) on day 90. Favorable functional outcome (FFO) was defined as an mRS ≤2. The performance of each stratification tool was estimated with regression approaches. Heterogeneous treatment effect analysis was conducted using techniques of meta-analysis and the matching-smoothing method. Results: The HTI score outperformed other tools in terms of HT risk stratification. Heterogeneity of Cerebrolysin treatment effects was moderate (I2, 35.8%-56.7%; H2, 1.56-2.31) and mild (I2, 10.9%; H2, 1.12) for symptomatic and any HT, respectively. A significant positive impact of Cerebrolysin on HT and functional outcome was observed in the moderate (HTI = 1) and high (HTI ≥2) HT risk patients, but it was neutral in those with the low (HTI = 0) risk. In particular, there was a steady decline in the rate of symptomatic (HTI = 0 vs. HTI = 4: by 4.3%, p = 0.077 vs. 21.1%, p < 0.001) and any HT (HTI = 0 vs. HTI = 4: by 1.2%, p = 0.737 vs. 32.7%, p < 0.001). Likewise, an mRS score reduction (HTI = 0 vs. HTI = 4: by 1.8%, p = 0.903 vs. 126%, p < 0.001) with a reciprocal increase of the fraction of FFO patients (HTI = 0 vs. HTI = 4: by 1.2% p = 0.757 vs. 35.5%, p < 0.001) was found. Conclusion: Clinically meaningful heterogeneity of Cerebrolysin treatment effects on HT and functional outcome was established in stroke patients. The beneficial effects were significant in those whose estimated on-admission HT risk was either moderate or high.

[Cerebrolysin as an early add-on to reperfusion therapy: heterogeneous treatment effect analysis in ischemic stroke patients with varying risk of hemorrhagic transformation]

OBJECTIVE

The study goal was the assessment of heterogeneous treatment effects of Cerebrolysin as an early add-on to reperfusion therapy in stroke patients with varying risk of hemorrhagic transformation (HT).

MATERIAL AND METHODS

It was post hoc analysis of the CEREHETIS trial (ISRCTN87656744). Patients with middle cerebral artery infarction (n=238) were stratified by HT risk with the HTI score. The study outcomes were symptomatic and any HT, and functional outcome measured with the modified Rankin Scale (mRS) on day 90. Favorable outcome was defined as an mRS score of ≤2. Heterogeneous treatment effect analysis was performed using techniques of meta-analysis and the matching-smoothing method.

RESULTS

Heterogeneity of Cerebrolysin treatment effects was moderate (I2=36.98-69.3%, H2=1.59-3.26) and mild (I2=18.33-32.39%, H2=1.22-1.48) for symptomatic and any HT, respectively. A positive impact of the Cerebrolysin treatment on HT and functional outcome was observed in patients with moderate (HTI=1) and high (HTI≥2) HT risk. However, the effect was neutral in those with low risk (HTI=0). In high HT risk patients, there was a steady decline in the rate of symptomatic (HTI=0 vs. HTI≥2: by 3.8%, p=0.120 vs. 14.3%, p<0.001) and any HT (HTI=0 vs. HTI≥2: by 0.6%, p=0.864 vs. 19.5%, p<0.001). Likewise, Cerebrolysin treatment resulted in an overall decrease in the mRS scores (HTI=0 vs. HTI≥2: by 2.1%, p=0.893 vs. 63%, p<0.001) with a reciprocal increase of the fraction with favorable outcome (HTI=0 vs. HTI≥2: by 2% p=0.634 vs. 19.2%, p<0.001).

CONCLUSION

Clinically meaningful heterogeneity of Cerebrolysin treatment effects on HT and functional outcome was established in stroke patients. The Cerebrolysin positive impact was significant in those whose estimated on-admission HT risk was either moderate or high.

Serum biomarkers to predict hemorrhagic transformation and ischemic stroke outcomes in a prospective cohort study

Ischemic stroke (IS) remains one of the most frequent causes of death and disability worldwide. Identifying possible prognosis factors for IS outcomes, including hemorrhagic transformation (HT), could improve patients' recovery. This study aimed to investigate the potential prognosis role of non-specific laboratory data at admission and baseline MMP-2 and MMP-9 serum levels in predicting HT risk, discharge, and 3-month follow-up status of IS patients. Data from 150 successive acute cerebral infarction patients were analyzed in a prospective cohort study. The active group included patients who developed HT during hospitalization (55 persons). There were no significant differences in age, gender distribution, time to admission, or time to blood sample collection for MMPs measurement between patients in the active and control groups. IS patients from the active group had a significantly higher rate of AF (atrial fibrillation) in the past (p=0.003), while differences in other factors such as diabetes, hypertension, myocardial infarction, previous stroke, obesity, smoking, and alcohol were not significant. Admission NIHSS score and mRS (modified Rankin Scale) values (at discharge and 90 days) were significantly worse in the active group (p<0.001). Among the analyzed admission laboratory factors (glycemia, lipid profile, coagulation panel, inflammatory reaction parameters, MMP-2, MMP-9), INR presented an inverse correlation, with lower values in the HT cohort (univariate analysis - p=0.01, OR=0.11; multivariate analysis - p=0.03, OR=0.09). Further research on larger cohorts is warranted to determine the specific laboratory biomarkers for predicting hemorrhagic transformation and ischemic stroke outcomes.

Proposal of multimodal computed tomography-based scoring system in prediction of hemorrhagic transformation in acute ischemic stroke

INTRODUCTION

The routinely used computed tomography (CT)-based workup in the setting of acute ischemic stroke (AIS) includes non-contrast brain CT, CT angiography (CTA), and CT perfusion. Several CT, CTA, CTP-based radiological biomarkers of hemorrhagic transformation (HT) were reported.

AIM OF THE STUDY

To assess the predictive value of the combined multimodal CT parameters for HT after AIS and proposal of predictive scoring scale.

METHODS

The source images of the NCCT, CTA and CTP of 282 AIS patients involving the anterior circulation (HT = 91, non-HT = 191) were retrospectively reviewed and the following biomarkers were recorded and analyzed: Early subtle ischemic signs, hyperdense middle cerebral artery sign (HMCAS) and Alberta Stroke Program Early CT Score (ASPECTS) < 7 in NCCT, large-vessel occlusion (LVO), clot burden score (CBS) < 6, large-vessel occlusion, poor collateral score (CS) and Tmax > 6 s ≥ 56.5 ml. A scoring system to predict HT based on these biomarkers was developed. Each biomarker counts for a single point with the total score ranging from 0 to 7.

RESULTS

All the aforementioned multimodal CT biomarkers and the selected cut offs were significantly associated with higher HT risk. The calculated scores were statistically significant different between the HT and the non-HT groups with AUC 0.761 (95% CI 0.703-0.819, P < 0.0000001). Rates of HT were approximately five times higher in patients with score ≥ 3.

CONCLUSION

Multimodal CT-based scoring system may provide highly reliable predictive model of hemorrhagic transformation in acute ischemic stroke.