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Rao D, Yang L, Enxi X, Siyuan L, Yu Q, Zheng L, Zhou Z, Yerong C, Bo C, Xiuhong S, Eryi S. A predictive model in patients with chronic hydrocephalus following aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage: a retrospective cohort study. Front Neurol 2024; 15:1366306. [PMID: 38817542 PMCID: PMC11137279 DOI: 10.3389/fneur.2024.1366306] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/08/2024] [Accepted: 05/07/2024] [Indexed: 06/01/2024] Open
Abstract
Objective Our aim was to develop a nomogram that integrates clinical and radiological data obtained from computed tomography (CT) scans, enabling the prediction of chronic hydrocephalus in patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH). Method A total of 318 patients diagnosed with subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) and admitted to the Department of Neurosurgery at the Affiliated People's Hospital of Jiangsu University between January 2020 and December 2022 were enrolled in our study. We collected clinical characteristics from the hospital's medical record system. To identify risk factors associated with chronic hydrocephalus, we conducted both univariate and LASSO regression models on these clinical characteristics and radiological features, accompanied with penalty parameter adjustments conducted through tenfold cross-validation. All features were then incorporated into multivariate logistic regression analyses. Based on these findings, we developed a clinical-radiological nomogram. To evaluate its discrimination performance, we conducted Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve analysis and calculated the Area Under the Curve (AUC). Additionally, we employed calibration curves, and utilized Brier scores as an indicator of concordance. Additionally, Decision Curve Analysis (DCA) was performed to determine the clinical utility of our models by estimating net benefits at various threshold probabilities for both training and testing groups. Results The study included 181 patients, with a determined chronic hydrocephalus prevalence of 17.7%. Univariate logistic regression analysis identified 11 potential risk factors, while LASSO regression identified 7 significant risk factors associated with chronic hydrocephalus. Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed three independent predictors for chronic hydrocephalus following aSAH: Periventricular white matter changes, External lumbar drainage, and Modified Fisher Grade. A nomogram incorporating these factors accurately predicted the risk of chronic hydrocephalus in both the training and testing cohorts. The AUC values were calculated as 0.810 and 0.811 for each cohort respectively, indicating good discriminative ability of the nomogram model. Calibration curves along with Hosmer-Lemeshow tests demonstrated excellent agreement between predicted probabilities and observed outcomes in both cohorts. Furthermore, Brier scores (0.127 for the training and 0.09 for testing groups) further validated the predictive performance of our nomogram model. The DCA confirmed that this nomogram provides superior net benefit across various risk thresholds when predicting chronic hydrocephalus. The decision curve demonstrated that when an individual's threshold probability ranged from 5 to 62%, this model is more effective in predicting the occurrence of chronic hydrocephalus after aSAH. Conclusion A clinical-radiological nomogram was developed to combine clinical characteristics and radiological features from CT scans, aiming to enhance the accuracy of predicting chronic hydrocephalus in patients with aSAH. This innovative nomogram shows promising potential in assisting clinicians to create personalized and optimal treatment plans by providing precise predictions of chronic hydrocephalus among aSAH patients.
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Affiliation(s)
- Dai Rao
- Department of Radiology, Affiliated People’s Hospital of Jiangsu University, Zhenjiang, Jiangsu, China
| | - Li Yang
- Department of Radiology, Affiliated People’s Hospital of Jiangsu University, Zhenjiang, Jiangsu, China
| | - Xu Enxi
- Department of Neurosurgery, Affiliated People’s Hospital of Jiangsu University, Zhenjiang, Jiangsu, China
| | - Lu Siyuan
- Department of Radiology, Affiliated People’s Hospital of Jiangsu University, Zhenjiang, Jiangsu, China
| | - Qian Yu
- Department of Neurosurgery, Affiliated People’s Hospital of Jiangsu University, Zhenjiang, Jiangsu, China
| | - Li Zheng
- Department of Neurosurgery, Affiliated People’s Hospital of Jiangsu University, Zhenjiang, Jiangsu, China
| | - Zhou Zhou
- Department of Neurosurgery, Affiliated People’s Hospital of Jiangsu University, Zhenjiang, Jiangsu, China
| | - Chen Yerong
- Department of Radiology, Affiliated People’s Hospital of Jiangsu University, Zhenjiang, Jiangsu, China
| | - Chen Bo
- Department of Neurosurgery, Affiliated People’s Hospital of Jiangsu University, Zhenjiang, Jiangsu, China
| | - Shan Xiuhong
- Department of Radiology, Affiliated People’s Hospital of Jiangsu University, Zhenjiang, Jiangsu, China
| | - Sun Eryi
- Department of Neurosurgery, Affiliated People’s Hospital of Jiangsu University, Zhenjiang, Jiangsu, China
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Iaccarino C, Chibbaro S, Sauvigny T, Timofeev I, Zaed I, Franchetti S, Mee H, Belli A, Buki A, De Bonis P, Demetriades AK, Depreitere B, Fountas K, Ganau M, Germanò A, Hutchinson P, Kolias A, Lindner D, Lippa L, Marklund N, McMahon C, Mielke D, Nasi D, Peul W, Poca MA, Pompucci A, Posti JP, Serban NL, Splavski B, Florian IS, Tasiou A, Zona G, Servadei F. Consensus-based recommendations for diagnosis and surgical management of cranioplasty and post-traumatic hydrocephalus from a European panel. BRAIN & SPINE 2024; 4:102761. [PMID: 38510640 PMCID: PMC10951750 DOI: 10.1016/j.bas.2024.102761] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/09/2023] [Accepted: 01/21/2024] [Indexed: 03/22/2024]
Abstract
Introduction Planning cranioplasty (CPL) in patients with suspected or proven post-traumatic hydrocephalus (PTH) poses a significant management challenge due to a lack of clear guidance. Research question This project aims to create a European document to improve adherence and adapt to local protocols based on available resources and national health systems. Methods After a thorough non-systematic review, a steering committee (SC) formed a European expert panel (EP) for a two-round questionnaire using the Delphi method. The questionnaire employed a 9-point Likert scale to assess the appropriateness of statements inherent to two sections: "Diagnostic criteria for PTH" and "Surgical strategies for PTH and cranial reconstruction." Results The panel reached a consensus on 29 statements. In the "Diagnostic criteria for PTH" section, five statements were deemed "appropriate" (consensus 74.2-90.3 %), two were labeled "inappropriate," and seven were marked as "uncertain."In the "Surgical strategies for PTH and cranial reconstruction" section, four statements were considered "appropriate" (consensus 74.2-90.4 %), six were "inappropriate," and five were "uncertain." Discussion and conclusion Planning a cranioplasty alongside hydrocephalus remains a significant challenge in neurosurgery. Our consensus conference suggests that, in patients with cranial decompression and suspected hydrocephalus, the most suitable diagnostic approach involves a combination of evolving clinical conditions and neuroradiological imaging. The recommended management sequence prioritizes cranial reconstruction, with the option of a ventriculoperitoneal shunt when needed, preferably with a programmable valve. We strongly recommend to adopt local protocols based on expert consensus, such as this, to guide patient care.
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Affiliation(s)
- Corrado Iaccarino
- School of Neurosurgery, Department of Biomedical, Metabolic and Neural Sciences, University of Modena and Reggio Emilia, Modena, Italy
- Neurosurgery Unit, University Hospital of Modena, Modena, Italy
- Neurosurgery Unit, AUSL RE IRCCS, Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Salvatore Chibbaro
- Neurosurgery Department, University of Siena, AOUS Le Scotte, Siena, Italy
| | - Thomas Sauvigny
- Department of Neurosurgery, University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Hamburg, Germany
| | - Ivan Timofeev
- Department of Neurosurgery, Addenbrooke's Hospital, Cambridge University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Cambridge, UK
| | - Ismail Zaed
- Department of Neurosurgery, Neurocenter of the Southern Switzerland, Regional Hospital of Lugano, Lugano, Switzerland
| | | | - Harry Mee
- Department of Neurosurgery, Addenbrooke's Hospital, Cambridge University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Cambridge, UK
- Division of Rehabilitation Medicine, Department of Clinical Neurosciences, Cambridge University Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, Box 167, Level 4, A block Addenbrookes Hospital, Cambridge, UK
- NIHR Global Health Research Group on NeuroTrauma, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK
| | - Antonio Belli
- The Department of Neurosurgery, University Hospitals Birmingham NHS Foundation Trust, Birmingham, UK
| | - Andras Buki
- Department of Neurosurgery, School of Medical Sciences, University of Orebro, Orebro, Sweden
| | - Pasquale De Bonis
- Department of Neurosurgery, University of Ferrara and Sant'Anna University Hospital, Ferrara, Italy
| | - Andreas K. Demetriades
- Department of Neurosurgery, Royal Infirmary of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, EH16 4SA, UK
- Edinburgh Spinal Surgery Outcome Studies Group, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Bart Depreitere
- Department of Neurosurgery, University Hospital Leuven, Leuven, Belgium
| | - Kostantinos Fountas
- Department of Neurosurgery, Faculty of Medicine, School of Health Sciences, University of Thessaly, Larissa, Greece
| | - Mario Ganau
- Department of Neurosurgery, Oxford University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
| | - Antonino Germanò
- Division of Neurosurgery, BIOMORF Department, University of Messina, Messina, Italy
| | - Peter Hutchinson
- Division of Neurosurgery, Department of Clinical Neurosciences, Addenbrooke's Hospital and University of Cambridge, Cambridge Biomedical Campus, Cambridge, CB20QQ, UK
| | - Angelos Kolias
- Division of Neurosurgery, Department of Clinical Neurosciences, Addenbrooke's Hospital and University of Cambridge, Cambridge Biomedical Campus, Cambridge, CB20QQ, UK
| | - Dirk Lindner
- Klinik und Poliklinik für Neurochirurgie, Universitätsklinikum Leipzig, Leipzig, Germany
| | - Laura Lippa
- Department of Neurosurgery, ASST Grande Ospedale Metrnoplitano Niguarda, Milano, Italy
| | - Niklas Marklund
- Department of Clinical Sciences Lund, Neurosurgery, Lund University, Department of Neurosurgery, Skåne University Hospital, Lund, Sweden
| | - Catherine McMahon
- Department of Neurosurgery, Walton Centre NHS Foundation Trust, Liverpool, UK
| | - Dorothee Mielke
- Department of Neurosurgery, University Medical Center Göttingen, Göttingen, Germany
| | - Davide Nasi
- Neurosurgery Unit, Azienda Ospedaliero-Universitaria, Modena, Italy
| | - Wilco Peul
- University Neurosurgical Centre Holland, Leiden University Medical Centre,l, Leiden-The Hague, the Netherlands
| | - Maria Antonia Poca
- Centre de Recerca Matemàtica (CRM), Bellaterra, Spain
- Department of Neurosurgery, Vall d'Hebron University Hospital, Barcelona, Spain
- Department of Surgery, Universidad Autònoma de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain
| | - Angelo Pompucci
- Neurosurgery Unit, Santa Maria Goretti Hospital, Latina, Italy
| | - Jussi P. Posti
- Department of Neurosurgery and Turku Brain Injury Centre, University of Turku, Turku, Finland
| | | | - Bruno Splavski
- Department of Anatomy, University of Applied Health Sciences, Zagreb, Croatia
- Department of Surgery, Service of Neurosurgery, Dubrovnik General Hospital, Dubrovnik, Croatia
| | | | - Anastasia Tasiou
- Department of Neurosurgery, Faculty of Medicine, School of Health Sciences, University of Thessaly, Larissa, Greece
| | - Gianluigi Zona
- IRCCS Ospedale Policlinico San Martino, Genova, Italy
- Department of Neurosciences, Rehabilitation, Ophthalmology, Genetics, Maternal and Child Health, University of Genova, Genova, Italy
| | - Franco Servadei
- IRCCS Humanitas Research Hospital, Rozzano, Milan, Italy
- Department of Biomedical Sciences, Humanitas University, Pieve Emanuele, Milan, Italy
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Sanker V, Kundu M, El Kassem S, El Nouiri A, Emara M, Maaz ZA, Nazir A, Bekele BK, Uwishema O. Posttraumatic hydrocephalus: Recent advances and new therapeutic strategies. Health Sci Rep 2023; 6:e1713. [PMID: 38028696 PMCID: PMC10652704 DOI: 10.1002/hsr2.1713] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/02/2023] [Revised: 10/28/2023] [Accepted: 11/01/2023] [Indexed: 12/01/2023] Open
Abstract
Background Hydrocephalus or ventriculomegaly is a condition brought on by an overabundance of cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) in the ventricular system. The major contributor to posttraumatic hydrocephalus (PTH) is traumatic brain injuries (TBIs), especially in individuals with occupations set in industrial settings. A variety of criteria have been employed for the diagnosis of PTH, including the combination of neurological symptoms like nerve deficits and headache, as well as an initial improvement followed by a worsened relapse of altered consciousness and neurological deterioration, which is detected by computed tomography-brain imaging that reveals gradual ventriculomegaly. Aim In this article, we discuss and summarize briefly the current understandings and advancements in the management of PTH. Methods The available literature for this review was searched on various bibliographic databases using an individually verified, prespecified approach. The level of evidence of the included studies was considered as per the Centre for Evidence-Based Medicine recommendations. Results The commonly practiced current treatment modality involves shunting CSF but is often associated with complications and recurrence. The lack of a definitive management strategy for PTH warrants the utilization of novel and innovative modalities such as stem cell transplantations and antioxidative stress therapies. Conclusion One of the worst complications of a TBI is PTH, which has a high morbidity and mortality rate. Even though there hasn't been a successful method in stopping PTH from happening, hemorrhage-derived blood, and its metabolic by-products, like iron, hemoglobin, free radicals, thrombin, and red blood cells, may be potential targets for PTH hindrance and management. Also, using stem cell transplantations in animal models and antioxidative stress therapies in future studies can lower PTH occurrence and improve its outcome. Moreover, the integration of clinical trials and theoretical knowledge should be encouraged in future research projects to establish effective and updated management guidelines for PTH.
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Affiliation(s)
- Vivek Sanker
- Oli Health Magazine Organization, Research and EducationKigaliRwanda
- Society of Brain Mapping and TherapeuticsLos AngelesCaliforniaUSA
| | - Mrinmoy Kundu
- Oli Health Magazine Organization, Research and EducationKigaliRwanda
- Institute of Medical Sciences and SUM HospitalBhubaneswarIndia
| | - Sarah El Kassem
- Oli Health Magazine Organization, Research and EducationKigaliRwanda
- Faculty of MedicineBeirut Arab UniversityBeirutLebanon
| | - Ahmad El Nouiri
- Oli Health Magazine Organization, Research and EducationKigaliRwanda
- Faculty of MedicineBeirut Arab UniversityBeirutLebanon
| | - Mohamed Emara
- Oli Health Magazine Organization, Research and EducationKigaliRwanda
- College of MedicineUniversity of SharjahSharjahUnited Arab Emirates
| | - Zeina Al Maaz
- Oli Health Magazine Organization, Research and EducationKigaliRwanda
- Faculty of MedicineBeirut Arab UniversityBeirutLebanon
| | - Abubakar Nazir
- Oli Health Magazine Organization, Research and EducationKigaliRwanda
| | - Bezawit Kassahun Bekele
- Oli Health Magazine Organization, Research and EducationKigaliRwanda
- School of MedicineAddis Ababa UniversityAddis AbabaEthiopia
- Milken Institute of Public HealthGeorge Washington UniversityWashingtonDistrict of ColumbiaUSA
| | - Olivier Uwishema
- Oli Health Magazine Organization, Research and EducationKigaliRwanda
- Department of medicineClinton Global Initiative UniversityNew YorkNew YorkUSA
- Faculty of MedicineKaradeniz Technical UniversityTrabzonTurkey
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