Distribution and spatial autocorrelation of the hospitalizations for cardiovascular diseases in adults in Brazil

Temporal-spatial analysis of mortality from cardiovascular diseases in the State of Ceará, Brazil, between 2009-2019

OBJECTIVE

To analyze the spatial distribution of mortality from cardiovascular diseases in the municipalities of the state of Ceará, Brazil, between 2009-2019.

METHODS

This is an ecological study with a spatial focus on the state of Ceará, considering the period from 2009 to 2019. Death data from the Brazilian Mortality Information System and population data from the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics were used to calculate crude and standardized mortality rates from cardiovascular diseases. Temporal analysis was carried out using the Joinpoint Regression Program 4.9.0 software and spatial analysis of the municipalities' average mortality. The values were smoothed by the local empirical Bayesian method using QGIS 3.16. For spatial clusters, the Global and Local Moran Index was used through Moran Map and LISA Map, with analyses carried out in TerraView 4.2.2.

RESULTS

A total of 132,145 deaths from cardiovascular diseases were recorded in the period, with an average increase of 3% per year. Higher mortality rates were observed in men, people aged ≥80 years, mixed-race ethnicity/skin color, married, and with lower level of education. There was the formation of clusters of municipalities with high mortality rates in the regions of Vale do Jaguaribe, Sertão Central, Centro Sul, Sertão dos Inhamuns and Serra da Ibiapaba.

CONCLUSION

This study identified municipalities with high mortality and exposed the need for strategies aligned with the reality and particularities of these locations.

Health Promotion Programs Can Mitigate Public Spending on Hospitalizations for Stroke: An Econometric Analysis of the Health Gym Program in the State of Pernambuco, Brazil

Health promotion programs can reduce morbidity and mortality from chronic diseases, as well as public spending on health. The current study aims to evaluate the effects of the Health Gym Program on expenditures on hospitalizations for stroke in the state of Pernambuco, Brazil. This public policy impact assessment used an econometric model that combines the difference-in-difference estimator with propensity score matching. Data referring to the health, demographic, and socioeconomic characteristics of the 185 municipalities in Pernambuco were collected for the period from 2007 to 2019. Validation tests were carried out of the empirical strategy, the estimation of models with fixed effects for multiple periods and validation post-tests, and robustness of the results. In total, US$ 52,141,798.71 was spent on hospitalizations for stroke, corresponding to 4.42% of the expenses on hospitalizations for all causes over the period studied. Municipalities that implemented the Health Gym Program spent 17.85% less on hospitalizations for stroke than municipalities that did not. The findings of this study indicate that the Health Gym Program was effective in reducing expenses with hospitalizations for stroke and that its implementation has the potential to reduce expenses related to rehabilitation, sick leave, and early retirement.