SURGERY VERSUS ENDOSCOPIC THERAPIES FOR EARLY CANCER AND HIGH-GRADE DYSPLASIA IN THE ESOPHAGUS: a systematic review

Comparative study of treatment options and construction nomograms to predict survival for early-stage esophageal cancer: a population-based study

BACKGROUND

The aim of this study was to investigate the impact of several common treatment options on the long-term survival of patients with early-stage esophageal cancer and to construct nomograms for survival prediction.

METHOD

This study was performed using the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database (2004-2015) on patients with early-stage (pT1N0M0) esophageal cancer who underwent endoscopic local therapy (ET), radiotherapy (RT), esophagectomy (ES) or neoadjuvant therapy (NT). Multivariate Cox regression was used to explore which factors influenced patient survival, and these factors were then incorporated into propensity sore matching (PSM) and the construction of nomogram plots. Kaplan-Meier analysis was used to compare whether there was a difference in long-term survival between the other three treatments and esophagectomy.

RESULT

Data from 4184 patients were included in this study. Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that age, grade, marital status, and treatment method were independent factors affecting survival. After matching, Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that the ET group had better CSS than the ES group, but no difference in OS, while the NT and RT groups had worse OS and CSS than the ES group. In the nomogram prediction model, the c-indexes of the training and validation cohorts were 0.805 and 0.794, respectively. Additionally the ROC curve (5-year AUC = 0.877) and DCA curve showed that the model had a good predictive effect.

CONCLUSION

For early-stage esophageal cancer, the results of this study showed that ET is not inferior to ES. Based on the independent factors affecting prognosis identified in the study, we constructed and validated a predictive model for predicting long-term survival in patients with early-stage esophageal cancer.

Endoscopic Treatment Versus Esophagectomy for Early-Stage Esophageal Cancer: a Population-Based Study Using Propensity Score Matching

BACKGROUND

Endoscopic treatment (ET) is an alternative for selected patients with early-stage esophageal cancer. The primary aim of this study was to compare overall survival (OS) and esophageal cancer-specific survival (ECSS) of such patients after ET or esophagectomy.

METHODS

Propensity score matching (PSM) and Cox regression analysis were used to compare OS and ECSS of 2661 patients with ET or esophagectomy for early-stage (Tis-T1N0M0) disease. Patient information was retrieved from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database. Subgroup analyses by T stage and tumor histology were also performed.

RESULTS

There were significant differences in age, sex ratio, year of diagnosis, cancer site, cancer stage, differentiation grade, tumor histology, tumor size, lymph nodes examined, and receipt of radiation therapy in the two treatment groups. PSM created 621 patient pairs. Multivariate analysis found no significant differences in OS (HR = 1.216, P = 0.279) or ECSS (HR = 0.692, P = 0.179) in the esophagectomy and ET groups. The results were similar for subgroup analyses limited to stage Tis, T1a, and T1b patients. ET was also associated with similar OS and ECSS in esophageal adenocarcinoma and squamous cell carcinoma patients.

CONCLUSION

In this population-based study using PSM, patients with stage Tis and T1N0M0 esophageal cancer with ET had OS and ECSS comparable to those treated by esophagectomy after adjusting for clinical variables. The results support ET as an alternative to esophagectomy in early esophageal cancer.