[Analysis of liver waiting list mortality in Paraná, Brazi: what shall we do to face organ shortage?]

Three-dimensional modeling in complex liver surgery and liver transplantation

Liver resection and transplantation are the most effective therapies for many hepatobiliary tumors and diseases. However, these surgical procedures are challenging due to the anatomic complexity and many anatomical variations of the vascular and biliary structures. Three-dimensional (3D) printing models can clearly locate and describe blood vessels, bile ducts and tumors, calculate both liver and residual liver volumes, and finally predict the functional status of the liver after resection surgery. The 3D printing models may be particularly helpful in the preoperative evaluation and surgical planning of especially complex liver resection and transplantation, allowing to possibly increase resectability rates and reduce postoperative complications. With the continuous developments of imaging techniques, such models are expected to become widely applied in clinical practice.

Liver transplantation: survival and indexes of donor-recipient matching

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to determine the prospective capacity and impact of donor risk index, preallocation survival outcomes following liver transplant, donor model for end-stage liver disease, and balance of risk on patients' 30-day survival after liver transplantation.

METHODS

We prospectively analyzed patient survival in a multicentric observational cohort of adult liver transplantation through the year of 2019 at the state of Paraná, Brazil. The receiver operating characteristic curve, the area under the curve, and the best cutoff point (i.e., the Youden's index) were estimated to analyze the prognostic value of each index.

RESULTS

In total, 252 liver transplants were included with an average model for end-stage liver disease score of 21.17 and a 30-day survival of 79.76%. The donor risk index was the only prognostic variable with no relation to patients' 30-day mortality model for end-stage liver disease and donor model for end-stage liver disease have no prognostic value on receiver operating characteristic curve, but preallocation survival outcomes following liver transplant, survival outcomes following liver transplant, and balance of risk presented good relationship with this observation. The cutoff value was estimated in 11-12 points for balance of risk and 9-12 for preallocation survival outcomes following liver transplant and survival outcomes following liver transplant. The 30-day survival for the group of transplants with scores up to 12 points (n=172) in all the three indexes was 87.79%, and for those transplants with scores higher than 12 it was 36.36%.

CONCLUSIONS

The 30-day survival is 79.76%, and balance of risk, survival outcomes following liver transplant, and preallocation survival outcomes following liver transplant are the good prognostic indexes. The cutoff value of 12 points has clinical usefulness to predict the post-liver transplantation results.

BAR, SOFT AND DRI POST-HEPATIC TRANSPLANTATION: WHAT IS THE BEST FOR SURVIVAL ANALYSIS?

BACKGROUND

Liver transplantation is the treatment of choice for patients with terminal liver disease. The Balance of Risk Score (BAR), Survival Outcomes Following Liver Transplantation (SOFT) and Donor Risk Index (DRI) scores are predictive systems for post-transplant survival.

AIM

To evaluate the most accurate score and the best cutoff point for each predictor in the brazilian population.

METHOD

Retrospective cross-sectional study of 177 patients. Data on the recipient, donor and transplant were analyzed and the prognostic scores BAR, SOFT and DRI were calculated for each transplant. To determine the BAR and SOFT cutoff points associated with death in three months, ROC curves were adjusted. Results : The best cutoff point for BAR was 9 points with an area under the ROC curve=0.69 and for SOFT it was 12 points with an area under the ROC curve=0.73. The DRI score did not discriminate survival (p = 0.139).

CONCLUSION

The SOFT score proved to be better than BAR for survival analysis post-hepatic transplantation and the DRI was not effective.

Liver Donations and Transplants in the State of Paraná, Brazil

BACKGROUND

The increase in the waiting list for a liver and the high mortality rate of patients with terminal liver disease represent serious public health problems in Brazil.

OBJECTIVE

To analyze donations and liver transplants in the State of Paraná, Brazil.

METHOD

A cross-sectional study was carried out with data from 3931 reports of deaths due to brain death and 8146 solid organ transplants made available by the State Transplant System of Paraná between 2011 and 2016. The data related to donation and liver transplantation were analyzed using descriptive statistics and inference.

RESULTS

A total of 751 (28.9%) liver donations were carried out. Of these, the greatest chance of effectiveness occurred in patients younger than 50 years OR: 1.94 (CI: 1.60-2.34; P < .01) and male OR: 1.27 (CI: 1.06-1.52; P < .01). A total of 720 (8.8%) liver transplants were performed, most of which were funded by the Unified Health System. There was a significant increase in donations and liver transplants over the years.

CONCLUSION

Donor numbers and liver transplants increased in the State but did not meet the need for the waiting list within the analyzed period.