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Xi Q, Lu X, Zhang J, Wang D, Sun Y, Chen H. A practical nomogram and risk stratification system predicting the cancer-specific survival for patients aged >50 with advanced melanoma. Front Oncol 2023; 13:1166877. [PMID: 37519813 PMCID: PMC10374428 DOI: 10.3389/fonc.2023.1166877] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/15/2023] [Accepted: 06/23/2023] [Indexed: 08/01/2023] Open
Abstract
Objective To investigate risk factors for advanced melanoma over 50 years of age and to develop and validate a new line chart and classification system. Methods The SEER database was screened for patients diagnosed with advanced melanoma from 2010 to 2019 and Cox regression analysis was applied to select variables affecting patient prognosis. The area under curve (AUC), relative operating characteristic curve (ROC), Consistency index (C-index), decision curve analysis (DCA), and survival calibration curves were used to verify the accuracy and utility of the model and to compare it with traditional AJCC tumor staging. The Kaplan-Meier curve was applied to compare the risk stratification between the model and traditional AJCC tumor staging. Results A total of 5166 patients were included in the study. Surgery, age, gender, tumor thickness, ulceration, the number of primary melanomas, M stage and N stage were the independent prognostic factors of CSS in patients with advanced melanoma (P<0.05). The predictive nomogram model was constructed and validated. The C-index values obtained from the training and validation cohorts were 0.732 (95%CI: 0.717-0.742) and 0.741 (95%CI: 0.732-0.751). Based on the observation and analysis results of the ROC curve, survival calibration curve, NRI, and IDI, the constructed prognosis model can accurately predict the prognosis of advanced melanoma and performs well in internal verification. The DCA curve verifies the practicability of the model. Compared with the traditional AJCC staging, the risk stratification in the model has a better identification ability for patients in different risk groups. Conclusion The nomogram of advanced melanoma and the new classification system were successfully established and verified, which can provide a practical tool for individualized clinical management of patients.
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Xu Z, Shi P, Yibulayin F, Feng L, Zhang H, Wushou A. Spindle cell melanoma: Incidence and survival, 1973-2017. Oncol Lett 2018; 16:5091-5099. [PMID: 30250577 PMCID: PMC6144801 DOI: 10.3892/ol.2018.9247] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/02/2017] [Accepted: 05/11/2018] [Indexed: 12/27/2022] Open
Abstract
Spindle cell melanoma (SCM) is a rare morphological subtype of melanoma, which is relatively uncharacterized. The aim of the present study was to investigate the incidence of SCM, its general demographics, basic clinico-pathologic features, treatment outcomes and disease-specific prognostic factors. SCM cases were sampled from the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) Program (1973–2017). A total of 4761 SCM cases were identified, with a median age of 66 years. The female:male ratio was 0.62:1. Statistically significant overall survival (OS) and disease-specific survival (DSS) rate differences were identified depending on age, sex, ethnicity, tumor location, T stage, N stage, M stage, pathological grade, AJCC stage, SEER stages and surgical treatment (P<0.05). Multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed that age >66 years, T3+T4 stage disease, positive N stage and SEER historic stage of regional and distant metastasis tumor were associated with poor DSS and OS rates. In summary, SCM was most common in Caucasian people of 60~80 years of age with a predominance in males. Patient's age, ethnicity, T stage, N stage, and SEER historic stage were identified as independent prognostic factors of SCM in terms of DSS and OS.
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Affiliation(s)
- Zhe Xu
- Department of Stomatology, Shenzhen Longhua District Central Hospital, Guangdong Medical University, Shenzhen, Guangdong 518110, P.R. China
| | - Ping Shi
- Department of Stomatology, Shenzhen Longhua District Central Hospital, Guangdong Medical University, Shenzhen, Guangdong 518110, P.R. China
| | - Feiluore Yibulayin
- Department of Oral and Maxillofacial Surgery, Shanghai Stomatological Hospital, Fudan University, Shanghai 200001, P.R. China.,Department of Preventive Medicine, School of Public Health, Fudan University, Shanghai 200001, P.R. China
| | - Lei Feng
- Department of Oral and Maxillofacial Surgery, Shanghai Stomatological Hospital, Fudan University, Shanghai 200001, P.R. China.,Department of Oral Biomedical Engineering Laboratory, Shanghai Stomatological Hospital, Fudan University, Shanghai 200001, P.R. China
| | - Hao Zhang
- Department of Oral Biomedical Engineering Laboratory, Shanghai Stomatological Hospital, Fudan University, Shanghai 200001, P.R. China.,Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Shanghai Stomatological Hospital, Fudan University, Shanghai 200001, P.R. China
| | - Alimujiang Wushou
- Department of Oral and Maxillofacial Surgery, Shanghai Stomatological Hospital, Fudan University, Shanghai 200001, P.R. China.,Department of Oral Biomedical Engineering Laboratory, Shanghai Stomatological Hospital, Fudan University, Shanghai 200001, P.R. China
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Cai WX, Yu RQ, Ma L, Huang HZ, Zheng LW, Zwahlen R. Differences between epithelial and mesenchymal human tongue cancer cell lines in experimental metastasis. Oncol Lett 2018; 15:9959-9964. [PMID: 29928368 DOI: 10.3892/ol.2018.8591] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/21/2017] [Accepted: 02/08/2018] [Indexed: 12/26/2022] Open
Abstract
Distant metastasis represents the outcome with the worst prognosis for various types of malignant tumors, but little is known regarding the impact of interacting epithelial and mesenchymal phenotypic cancer cells within its etiopathogenesis. In a novel animal model, 48 male athymic Balb/c nude mice underwent subcutaneous and intravenous injection of human tongue cancer cell lines of green fluorescent mesenchymal and red fluorescent epithelial phenotypes, in order to visualize and monitor eventual phenotypic interaction in lung metastasis as well as experimental metastasis in in vivo, ex vivo and histopathological analyses. While the epithelial, but not the mesenchymal, phenotypic human tongue cancer cell line led to direct metastasis in the lungs when injected intravenously, neither of them, even when injected in combination, were able to establish distant metastasis. The results of the present study provide evidence regarding the role of epithelial phenotypic cancer cells in the release of experimental metastasis following tail vein injection in male athymic Balb/c nude mice, in addition to proving fluorescent human tongue cancer cells may be reliably detected under a fluorescence microscope even 8 weeks after the two injection types.
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Affiliation(s)
- Wei-Xin Cai
- Department of Oral and Maxillofacial Surgery, Guanghua School of Stomatology, Hospital of Stomatology, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, Guangdong 510055, P.R. China.,Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Stomatology, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, Guangdong 510055, SAR, P.R. China
| | - Ru Qing Yu
- Department of Oral Diagnosis and Polyclinics, Faculty of Dentistry, The University of Hong Kong, Prince Philip Dental Hospital, Hong Kong, SAR, P.R. China
| | - Li Ma
- Department of Oral Rehabilitation, Faculty of Dentistry, The University of Hong Kong, Prince Philip Dental Hospital, Hong Kong, SAR, P.R. China
| | - Hong Zhang Huang
- Department of Oral and Maxillofacial Surgery, Guanghua School of Stomatology, Hospital of Stomatology, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, Guangdong 510055, P.R. China.,Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Stomatology, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, Guangdong 510055, SAR, P.R. China
| | - Li Wu Zheng
- Department of Oral Diagnosis and Polyclinics, Faculty of Dentistry, The University of Hong Kong, Prince Philip Dental Hospital, Hong Kong, SAR, P.R. China
| | - Roger Zwahlen
- Department of Oral and Maxillofacial Surgery, Faculty of Dentistry, The University of Hong Kong, Prince Philip Dental Hospital, Hong Kong, SAR, P.R. China
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Risk factors for development of melanoma brain metastasis and disease progression: a single-center retrospective analysis. Melanoma Res 2018; 27:477-484. [PMID: 28800031 DOI: 10.1097/cmr.0000000000000382] [Citation(s) in RCA: 21] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/18/2022]
Abstract
Melanoma metastasis to the brain is associated with a poor prognosis. We sought to determine patient demographics and primary tumor factors associated with the development of brain metastasis (BM) and survival. We also investigated whether the BM detection setting (routine screening vs. symptomatic presentation) affected clinical outcomes. A database of melanoma patients seen from 1999 to 2015 at our institution was reviewed to identify patients who developed BM. Patients with BM were matched by initial stage with patients who did not develop BM as a control group. Patient demographics, primary tumor characteristics, and clinical outcomes were analyzed. A total of 123 patients with BM were matched by initial presenting stage to 237 patients without BM. The characteristics of the primary melanoma tumor associated with BM development included location on the scalp (P=0.030), nodular histologic type (P=0.020), and Breslow depth more than 4 mm (P=0.048), whereas location on the leg was associated with decreased BM risk (P=0.006). In patients with BM, time to first recurrence for melanomas of the scalp was significantly shorter (10.8 vs. 24.8 months, P=0.007) than nonscalp head and neck tumors. Patient stage, tumor depth, nodular type, and ulceration were also associated with worse clinical outcomes. There were no differences in the clinical outcomes between patients whose BM were detected upon routine screening versus those detected upon symptomatic presentation. In summary, factors predictive of development of BM included primary scalp location, nodular type, and depth. In BM patients, scalp location, stage, tumor depth, nodular type, and ulceration, but not detection setting, were associated with worse clinical outcomes.
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Lideikaitė A, Mozūraitienė J, Letautienė S. Analysis of prognostic factors for melanoma patients. Acta Med Litu 2017; 24:25-34. [PMID: 28630590 PMCID: PMC5467960 DOI: 10.6001/actamedica.v24i1.3460] [Citation(s) in RCA: 27] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/08/2017] [Accepted: 03/14/2017] [Indexed: 11/27/2022] Open
Abstract
Introduction. Melanoma is the most dangerous form of skin cancer. Morbidity from melanoma is increasing every year. Previous studies have revealed that there are some demographic and clinical factors having effect on melanoma survival prognosis. Aim of the study. Purpose of our study was to assess melanoma survival depending on prognostic factors, such as age, sex, stage, depth, histology and anatomical site. Materials and methods. We investigated melanoma-specific survival up to 10 years in 85 primary cases of melanoma from diagnosis at the National Cancer Institute in 2006. Analysis was performed for one-, five-, and ten-year survival. The data were processed with Microsoft Excel, data analysis was conducted using SPSS® software. Results. Melanomas diagnosed at stage IV or thicker than 4.00 mm had lower survival (five-year survival: 12.5% and 26.66%, respectively). A significant survival difference was observed among the different stages (p = 0.003) and different depths (p = 0.049) of melanoma. Ten-year survival was 32% for men and 61% for women, but melanoma-specific survival dependent on sex did not have a statistically significant difference (p = 0.121). In persons diagnosed at the age of 65 or older, ten-year survival was lower than in those of 40-64 years of age and in the age group of 15-39 years (44.44% and 26.66%, respectively), but melanoma-specific survival in different age groups did not have a statistically significant difference (p = 0.455). Back/breast skin melanoma had lower ten-year survival (37.03%) than other anatomic sites. Nodular melanoma had the poorest five-year and ten-year melanoma-specific survival among histological subtypes (51.67% and 38.75%). The differences between melanoma localizations (p = 0.457) and histological types (p = 0.364) were not statistically significant. Conclusions. Lower melanoma-specific survival rates were observed among patients diagnosed at a late stage, older age, and when melanomas were thicker than 4.00 mm. Female and younger patients had better melanoma-specific survival than men and older people, and these differences were statistically significant. Melanoma diagnosed at an early stage and of a small depth had higher survival rates. Back/breast skin melanoma had poorer prognosis than other anatomic sites. Nodular melanoma had the lowest melanoma-specific survival, while superficial spreading or lentigo maligna had the best prognosis among histological subtypes. However, differences in melanoma survival in different sex and age groups, localizations and histological types were not statistically significant.
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | - Simona Letautienė
- Faculty of Medicine, Vilnius University
- National Cancer Institute, Vilnius, Lithuania
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